TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Celtics vs. Jazz: O/U 241.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$193,432
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$193,334

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $193,432 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 110 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x84cb…28adbacked Under48c62,542$29,994 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29,993.816846.4%78 W · 90 L-13.2wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-15.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xbf42…d698backed Over48c62,500$29,999 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32,501.1517031.8%54 W · 116 L-24.9wins-0.15per pick46cpaid-31.5%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed Over52c51,110$26,577 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24,532.771,04549%512 W · 533 L+21.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xead0…f3babacked Under52c20,000$10,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,4001,12448.6%546 W · 578 L+13.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x68dd…f0b2backed Under52c20,000$10,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,299.9951350.1%257 W · 256 L+6.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6184…79a2backed Under52c11,154$5,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,800771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.17per pick55cpaid+29.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x98b5…e61fbacked Under52c10,139$5,272 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,272.463743.2%16 W · 21 L-4.0wins-0.11per pick54cpaid-19.9%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Over52c9,053$4,668 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,385.259,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5988…2185backed Over49c8,155$3,996 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,159.122100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Over48c7,708$3,714 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,994.226,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8f03…64d6backed Over53c6,726$3,565 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,161.051,04651.1%534 W · 512 L-0.7wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5555…2af1backed Under47c6,000$2,820 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,82021446.7%100 W · 114 L+5.7wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+4.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Over54c5,738$3,071 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,666.622,07853.6%1,113 W · 965 L+44.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed Under52c5,000$2,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,6001,26944.5%565 W · 704 L+32.4wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb8c4…7385backed Under48c3,968$1,905 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,904.8547542.3%201 W · 274 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Under47c3,000$1,410 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,4101,82052.1%948 W · 872 L+48.5wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Under47c3,000$1,410 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,4102,51249.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L+6.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe948…ff23backed Under52c3,000$1,560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,56017250%86 W · 86 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-2.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4278…0e92backed Under52c2,397$1,247 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,246.5141652.2%217 W · 199 L+1.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5cce…5c2fbacked Over49c2,041$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,040.8216254.3%88 W · 74 L+7.1wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7b47…d615backed Over53c2,000$1,060 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94057950.1%290 W · 289 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf7cd…0888backed Under51c1,975$1,007 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,007.2517744.1%78 W · 99 L-7.2wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-3.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa6ee…697bbacked Under47c1,968$925 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$924.9220352.2%106 W · 97 L+6.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+4.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Under54c1,783$962 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$961.781,90854.5%1,040 W · 868 L+53.7wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc7f2…da9cbacked Under52c1,708$888 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8881258.3%7 W · 5 L+1.0wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+18.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Over52c1,425$743 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$681.724,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ca5…73bcbacked Over56c1,364$764 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$600.2940451.5%208 W · 196 L-7.4wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2d39…fa04backed Under52c1,257$653 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$653.4214040%56 W · 84 L-13.3wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-20.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x2d84…aa68backed Over52c1,256$653 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$602.7111060%66 W · 44 L+9.5wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+15.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x26eb…22d0backed Under52c1,221$635 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$635.0227735%97 W · 180 L-30.7wins-0.11per pick46cpaid-28.4%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x89bd…3f72backed Over47c1,108$521 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$587.2411243.8%49 W · 63 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Under50c1,040$519 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$518.833,99548.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L+101.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x17cb…3ab8backed Over54c865.78$468 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$398.267437.8%28 W · 46 L-9.6wins-0.13per pick51cpaid-39.7%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over48c794.06$382 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$412.138,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9ae2…20a3backed Over50c773.96$387 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$387.1813951.1%71 W · 68 L-3.9wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-6.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Under50c771.63$386 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$385.812,79650.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L+27.9wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe403…3d50backed Under47c736.55$346 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$346.1854747.5%260 W · 287 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x05b0…4362backed Over48c700$336 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3642060%12 W · 8 L+2.2wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+28.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb871…9f15backed Over53c600$318 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28259144.5%263 W · 328 L-4.0wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1733…1e15backed Under52c576.92$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3001,15747.9%554 W · 603 L-19.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x16b2…a881backed Over51c517$264 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$253.332,29851.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L+65.4wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x37de…f512backed Under49c500$245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2451,39026%361 W · 1,029 L-5.6wins0.00per pick26cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4366…c73ebacked Under46c500$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2308742.5%37 W · 50 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick43cpaid+1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x221d…797abacked Under52c500$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2602343.5%10 W · 13 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xee20…5b37backed Over50c386$193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19350347.9%241 W · 262 L+5.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb580…9b95backed Under53c377.39$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20018440.8%75 W · 109 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf527…366bbacked Under48c350$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16810641.5%44 W · 62 L+10.3wins+0.10per pick32cpaid+63.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x6036…d2ccbacked Under46c327$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.4240648%195 W · 211 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc8ab…4f9cbacked Under47c319.15$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15015543.2%67 W · 88 L-6.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-9.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0c94…a43bbacked Under52c310.45$161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161.4351146.6%238 W · 273 L-13.7wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-5.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa8f3…e544backed Over52c289.99$151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.278652.4%412 W · 374 L+14.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8ff8…aa3abacked Under48c250$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1194553.3%24 W · 21 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9752…5b36backed Under45c223.62$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.637853.8%42 W · 36 L-4.2wins-0.05per pick59cpaid-10.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Over52c217.22$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.272,15351.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L+76.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x64db…325bbacked Under48c208.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001,25948.7%613 W · 646 L+1.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0be6…4ff5backed Under49c204.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick50cpaid-34.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe212…d5f4backed Under54c200.33$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.965657.1%32 W · 24 L-3.8wins-0.07per pick64cpaid-12.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6177…86e0backed Under52c200$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1042055%11 W · 9 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Under27c198.41$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.573,34243.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L+81.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1fc8…f45bbacked Over55c181.82$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.8233730.3%102 W · 235 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-10.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8d84…6df0backed Under48c172.62$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.6613844.2%61 W · 77 L-6.3wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Under50c159.05$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.074,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc49c…6dcabacked Under47c151$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.977951.9%41 W · 38 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3504…e042backed Over49c150$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.56844.1%30 W · 38 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x91f3…0d57backed Under52c142.31$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$749348.4%45 W · 48 L-3.1wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed Over51c140$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.61,69544.7%758 W · 937 L-30.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-11.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf8a1…c0babacked Under52c134$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.6820%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6b3a…2841backed Under47c130$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.11,19747.5%569 W · 628 L-32.0wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Over46c125.6$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.821,47551.3%756 W · 719 L+35.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x68e0…a3a6backed Under46c115$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.95650%28 W · 28 L+0.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9d43…86e7backed Over48c111.63$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.055450%27 W · 27 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Under51c103.64$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.642,36148.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L-41.8wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe42d…62febacked Under52c100$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5221352.1%111 W · 102 L-6.7wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed Over47c98.77$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.351,29448.1%623 W · 671 L+0.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7b17…e2c1backed Under52c96.15$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504050%20 W · 20 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-10.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x70df…bca8backed Under53c94.34$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5032750.2%164 W · 163 L-10.2wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-5.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x15ca…0a0dbacked Over53c93.39$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.8912648.4%61 W · 65 L-0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0fed…0d78backed Under47c77$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.195141.2%21 W · 30 L-3.3wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-15.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Under53c75.47$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$402,60250.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L-20.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5351…9b3cbacked Under46c70.88$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.620355.2%112 W · 91 L+7.9wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1f42…f76bbacked Over49c69$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.191100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x216f…9b1ebacked Under47c69$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.436349.2%31 W · 32 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa5bc…35b6backed Over49c65$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.15475%3 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.26per pick49cpaid+55.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8512…e70ebacked Over56c62$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.283268.8%22 W · 10 L+1.9wins+0.06per pick63cpaid+11.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe0c7…5861backed Over54c55.56$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.5651651.2%264 W · 252 L-6.4wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x678d…ee46backed Over54c50$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23850%4 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xce9b…0bc0backed Over54c47$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.622948.3%14 W · 15 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x14cd…1716backed Over53c46$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.623759.5%22 W · 15 L+2.7wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+14.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8c6c…ce09backed Over55c45.59$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.5912865.6%84 W · 44 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick64cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x315a…b24cbacked Over54c44$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.243357.6%19 W · 14 L+2.2wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+11.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8a2c…38ccbacked Over53c42$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.743237.5%12 W · 20 L-4.4wins-0.14per pick51cpaid-27.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x41ae…bdfcbacked Over53c40$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.82948.3%14 W · 15 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-8.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc730…ace1backed Under52c38.5$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.021637.5%6 W · 10 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick39cpaid+1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a88…2bffbacked Over53c37$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.3937949.3%187 W · 192 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2877…dc5bbacked Over53c32$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.043438.2%13 W · 21 L-4.4wins-0.13per pick51cpaid-25.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x3a56…387cbacked Under47c30$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1488845.7%406 W · 482 L-12.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9d28…7a6dbacked Over47c29.99$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.993849.7%466 W · 472 L+36.0wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+10.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd925…3ab5backed Over53c28.36$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.333554.3%19 W · 16 L0.0wins0.00per pick54cpaid+2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb2a4…aeb8backed Over53c28$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.163650%18 W · 18 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x77ed…53f7backed Over53c27$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.694057.5%23 W · 17 L+2.5wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+12.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.