NBA · resolved market
Celtics vs. Jazz: 1H Moneyline
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcd40ad0bad97a1616cb2c01406b09c9ccbc0a98952212208914992b420b71f53
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Jazzof Celtics, Jazz
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $47,480
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $49,492
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $47,480 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x84cb…28adbacked Jazz | 63c | 32,732$20,671 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,060.62 | 168 | 46.4%78 W · 90 L | -13.2wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Celtics | 41c | 15,184$6,187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,186.83 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Celtics | 37c | 14,903$5,461 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,461.07 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a7a…15a4backed Jazz | 37c | 2,711$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,711.42 | 310 | 44.8%139 W · 171 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Celtics | 48c | 2,045$986 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$986.03 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5993…33a2backed Celtics | 58c | 1,724$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 380 | 46.6%177 W · 203 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd903…bf9dbacked Celtics | 51c | 1,716$870 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$870 | 446 | 54.3%242 W · 204 L | +21.5wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed Celtics | 49c | 1,315$642 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$641.56 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | -2.4wins | -0.10per pick | 32cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9925…e33ebacked Jazz | 67c | 1,046$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$345.64 | 101 | 56.4%57 W · 44 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb871…9f15backed Celtics | 39c | 947.96$371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370.75 | 591 | 44.5%263 W · 328 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…f17abacked Celtics | 9c | 599.99$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 85 | 11.8%10 W · 75 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd397…5052backed Jazz | 48c | 416.67$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.67 | 271 | 61.3%166 W · 105 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb74d…9b2abacked Celtics | 9c | 400$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 56 | 8.9%5 W · 51 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 9cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf4e1…ee5abacked Celtics | 80c | 375$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 187 | 64.7%121 W · 66 L | -5.4wins | -0.03per pick | 68cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc6e7…caa8backed Celtics | 9c | 300$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 158 | 7%11 W · 147 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 7cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x611a…e63ebacked Celtics | 9c | 300$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 43 | 7%3 W · 40 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 6cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Celtics | 63c | 211.48$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.23 | 1,451 | 49.7%721 W · 730 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Celtics | 63c | 200$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf527…366bbacked Jazz | 35c | 155.75$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.75 | 106 | 41.5%44 W · 62 L | +10.3wins | +0.10per pick | 32cpaid | +63.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfd08…0635backed Celtics | 65c | 130$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.5 | 473 | 59.2%280 W · 193 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4164…5d84backed Celtics | 53c | 126.91$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.26 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc8…f45bbacked Jazz | 43c | 104.65$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.65 | 337 | 30.3%102 W · 235 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8f2…4adebacked Celtics | 65c | 93.46$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.75 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.1wins | -0.35per pick | 52cpaid | -65.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9ccc…e7e8backed Celtics | 63c | 75$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.25 | 539 | 51.6%278 W · 261 L | +20.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5197…1992backed Celtics | 68c | 70.31$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.81 | 110 | 41.8%46 W · 64 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f1c…0dd0backed Jazz | 33c | 68$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.56 | 50 | 60%30 W · 20 L | +4.4wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd851…9305backed Jazz | 34c | 59$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.94 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x00fe…eff7backed Jazz | 34c | 54$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.64 | 85 | 52.9%45 W · 40 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x45b8…3c28backed Celtics | 37c | 52.03$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 169 | 44.4%75 W · 94 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6919…d27bbacked Celtics | 64c | 50$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 185 | 49.2%91 W · 94 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc427…ee41backed Jazz | 33c | 41$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.47 | 47 | 57.4%27 W · 20 L | +3.1wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c83…6f40backed Jazz | 47c | 36.17$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.17 | 574 | 44.1%253 W · 321 L | -20.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72ea…d4f2backed Celtics | 69c | 29.06$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 120 | 52.5%63 W · 57 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6162…e856backed Celtics | 66c | 27$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.82 | 35 | 62.9%22 W · 13 L | +3.4wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf9…142bbacked Celtics | 66c | 27$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.82 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x064a…f183backed Jazz | 71c | 25.63$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.43 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d28…7a6dbacked Celtics | 64c | 23.39$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.97 | 938 | 49.7%466 W · 472 L | +36.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbe4b…fa4cbacked Celtics | 67c | 22$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.74 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -4.0wins | -0.20per pick | 50cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5a14…8610backed Celtics | 67c | 19$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.73 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfadc…a4e8backed Celtics | 67c | 19$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.73 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -3.0wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -25%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd512…91eebacked Celtics | 66c | 18$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.88 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -2.4wins | -0.15per pick | 52cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Celtics vs. Jazz: 1H Moneylinethis page
- 1H Spread: Celtics (-3.5)Jazz won
- 1H Spread: Celtics (-4.5)Jazz won
- Celtics vs. JazzCeltics won
- Celtics vs. Jazz: 1H O/U 123.5Under won
- Celtics vs. Jazz: 1H O/U 124.5Under won
- Celtics vs. Jazz: O/U 239.5Over won
- Celtics vs. Jazz: O/U 240.5Over won
- Celtics vs. Jazz: O/U 241.5Over won
- Celtics vs. Jazz: O/U 242.5Over won
- Celtics vs. Jazz: O/U 243.5Over won
- Celtics vs. Jazz: O/U 244.5Over won
- Spread: Celtics (-7.5)Celtics won
- Spread: Celtics (-8.5)Celtics won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.