NBA · resolved market

Celtics vs. Jazz: O/U 242.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xceecc0710fdd347df84ed1d4eb4063a8e4a6d14428fc1bf6c6bdb8eccf503b6c

Rebuilt 8 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Overof Over, Under
Resolved: Dec 31, 2025, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $80,575
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $80,847

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $80,575 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 101 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NBA
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x1d1a…0df6backed Over	52c	19,807$10,300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9,507.26	207	44.9%93 W · 114 L	-8.4wins	-0.04per pick	49cpaid	-8.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed Under	48c	9,598$4,607 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,606.87	1,212	48.3%586 W · 626 L	-20.4wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbdb1…15fabacked Under	51c	7,602$3,867 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,867	33	51.5%17 W · 16 L	-1.5wins	-0.05per pick	56cpaid	-8.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8f03…64d6backed Over	51c	6,863$3,500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,363	1,046	51.1%534 W · 512 L	-0.7wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Under	50c	6,082$3,040 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,040.18	1,820	52.1%948 W · 872 L	+48.5wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+4.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Under	50c	6,082$3,040 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,040.18	2,512	49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L	+6.9wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9adf…55e8backed Over	50c	5,936$2,968 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,967.83	237	47.7%113 W · 124 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x16b2…a881backed Under	50c	5,518$2,735 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,735.11	2,298	51.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L	+65.4wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+5.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd4da…3175backed Under	48c	3,670$1,762 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,761.51	715	47.7%341 W · 374 L	-26.9wins	-0.04per pick	51cpaid	-6.1%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9ae8…c2a8backed Over	50c	3,669$1,835 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,834.5	240	53.8%129 W · 111 L	+12.5wins	+0.05per pick	49cpaid	+11%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa6ee…697bbacked Over	51c	3,131$1,597 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,534	203	52.2%106 W · 97 L	+6.3wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+4.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd9dd…b525backed Over	51c	3,000$1,530 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,470	443	37.9%168 W · 275 L	-0.7wins	0.00per pick	38cpaid	-9.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Under	49c	2,546$1,242 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,241.67	9,722	49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L	-2.8wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf93f…f94bbacked Over	51c	2,500$1,275 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,225	166	33.7%56 W · 110 L	-11.6wins	-0.07per pick	41cpaid	-26.8%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x57a8…6933backed Under	49c	2,298$1,126 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,126	927	53.5%496 W · 431 L	+20.1wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe405…bf91backed Under	50c	2,000$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	484	48.8%236 W · 248 L	-5.1wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7b47…d615backed Over	50c	2,000$1,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,000	579	50.1%290 W · 289 L	-3.2wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x24da…9561backed Over	50c	2,000$1,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,000	69	49.3%34 W · 35 L	+1.6wins	+0.02per pick	47cpaid	+20.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb2e2…4e99backed Over	50c	2,000$1,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,000	164	42.1%69 W · 95 L	-7.6wins	-0.05per pick	47cpaid	-10.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdf43…ae9abacked Over	51c	1,810$923 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$886.9	296	52.7%156 W · 140 L	-8.7wins	-0.03per pick	56cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under	47c	1,620$767 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$767.17	8,988	47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L	+96.4wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1041…f452backed Under	50c	1,580$790 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$790	269	49.1%132 W · 137 L	-5.8wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x45d5…47efbacked Under	48c	1,448$695 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$694.8	106	42.5%45 W · 61 L	-6.4wins	-0.06per pick	48cpaid	-13.6%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0500…6158backed Under	48c	1,313$630 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$630	121	51.2%62 W · 59 L	+3.8wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	+5.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc42c…42a1backed Under	48c	1,179$566 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$565.92	430	52.3%225 W · 205 L	+8.4wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+4.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Over	50c	1,056$533 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$522.78	3,995	48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L	+101.9wins	+0.03per pick	46cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xee20…5b37backed Over	47c	643.39$302 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$341	503	47.9%241 W · 262 L	+5.6wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	+0.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x117a…01babacked Under	48c	527.08$253 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$253	9	33.3%3 W · 6 L	-2.0wins	-0.22per pick	55cpaid	-44.1%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x685e…6f30backed Under	48c	499.99$240 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$240	107	57.9%62 W · 45 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	59cpaid	-5.7%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x7b28…66f0backed Over	50c	400$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$200	103	51.5%53 W · 50 L	+2.6wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+7.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xebc9…6786backed Under	50c	360$180 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$180	9	55.6%5 W · 4 L	+0.2wins	+0.02per pick	54cpaid	-1.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe1d9…a94bbacked Under	48c	330$158 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$158.4	61	54.1%33 W · 28 L	+3.0wins	+0.05per pick	49cpaid	+7.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Under	49c	300$147 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$147	2,796	50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L	+27.9wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+1.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d01…0ab1backed Under	49c	300$147 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$147	726	47.7%346 W · 380 L	+5.8wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	+5.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xebc0…fa41backed Under	50c	295.98$148 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$147.99	524	60.1%315 W · 209 L	+35.6wins	+0.07per pick	53cpaid	+32.1%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc468…530fbacked Under	52c	293.68$153 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$152.71	94	43.6%41 W · 53 L	-12.3wins	-0.13per pick	57cpaid	-26.7%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0xb8c2…a50ebacked Under	50c	260$130 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$130	150	55.3%83 W · 67 L	+3.3wins	+0.02per pick	53cpaid	+0.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xae53…d80bbacked Over	52c	240.38$125 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$115.38	409	52.1%213 W · 196 L	+16.3wins	+0.04per pick	48cpaid	+9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8396…0de1backed Under	48c	225$108 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$108.2	12	33.3%4 W · 8 L	-1.1wins	-0.10per pick	43cpaid	-26.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x363a…b79ebacked Under	48c	204$99 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$98.88	44	29.5%13 W · 31 L	-8.6wins	-0.19per pick	49cpaid	-40.2%equal weight	36-0.12 edge/pick
0xce26…8e06backed Over	53c	200$106 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$94	910	50.9%463 W · 447 L	+11.5wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa2cc…55a0backed Under	48c	200$96 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$96	44	34.1%15 W · 29 L	-2.7wins	-0.06per pick	40cpaid	-18.5%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2de8…1121backed Under	49c	200$98 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$98	909	57.6%524 W · 385 L	-1.9wins	0.00per pick	58cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Over	52c	200$104 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$96	1,475	51.3%756 W · 719 L	+35.2wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+5.6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x39c6…0ac1backed Over	50c	146$73 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$73	542	46.7%253 W · 289 L	-7.2wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-6.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x02a5…f476backed Under	51c	137$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$69.87	4	75%3 W · 1 L	+1.0wins	+0.25per pick	51cpaid	+49.3%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Over	50c	129$65 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$64.5	6,213	50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L	+53.8wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Over	50c	116.79$58 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$58.97	4,325	47%2,031 W · 2,294 L	-69.5wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa024…4929backed Under	48c	103$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.44	60	58.3%35 W · 25 L	+4.9wins	+0.08per pick	50cpaid	+15.7%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x9d29…4083backed Under	50c	100$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	173	41%71 W · 102 L	-10.0wins	-0.06per pick	47cpaid	-6.9%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x90c5…534cbacked Over	51c	100$51 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$49	628	48.7%306 W · 322 L	-5.1wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-9.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7c85…77c6backed Under	50c	100$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	701	53.5%375 W · 326 L	+6.2wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	+1.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa42b…45d2backed Under	54c	100$54 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$54	96	53.1%51 W · 45 L	-2.5wins	-0.03per pick	56cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5bbb…1594backed Under	49c	84$41 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41.16	60	45%27 W · 33 L	-2.8wins	-0.05per pick	50cpaid	-9.1%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x85c2…9730backed Over	51c	82.35$42 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$40.35	685	42.6%292 W · 393 L	-6.3wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3ef2…6e74backed Over	50c	82$41 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$41	39	30.8%12 W · 27 L	-8.2wins	-0.21per pick	52cpaid	-40.3%equal weight	36-0.13 edge/pick
0x32d6…844bbacked Over	50c	79$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$39.5	87	59.8%52 W · 35 L	+7.6wins	+0.09per pick	51cpaid	+15.9%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x243c…9ae0backed Over	52c	72.12$37 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$34.62	383	47%180 W · 203 L	-8.6wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x15ca…0a0dbacked Under	49c	67.34$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33	126	48.4%61 W · 65 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf437…b73abacked Under	48c	61.58$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.56	5	60%3 W · 2 L	+0.8wins	+0.15per pick	45cpaid	+6.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9d28…7a6dbacked Under	49c	61.3$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.03	938	49.7%466 W · 472 L	+36.0wins	+0.04per pick	46cpaid	+10.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x49c4…3f14backed Over	52c	60.08$31 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$28.84	83	47%39 W · 44 L	-1.9wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x755a…6da6backed Under	50c	60$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	455	42.4%193 W · 262 L	-0.7wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8512…e70ebacked Over	53c	59$31 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$27.73	32	68.8%22 W · 10 L	+1.9wins	+0.06per pick	63cpaid	+11.9%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe70c…c938backed Over	51c	50.98$26 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24.98	745	47.2%352 W · 393 L	-13.2wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-6.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Over	50c	50$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25	1,562	47.4%741 W · 821 L	-6.3wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8f3a…9bdbbacked Over	52c	50$26 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24	39	59%23 W · 16 L	+2.4wins	+0.06per pick	53cpaid	+12.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfa46…1559backed Over	52c	50$26 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24	41	65.9%27 W · 14 L	+5.2wins	+0.13per pick	53cpaid	+26.3%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x52cc…9998backed Over	52c	50$26 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24	23	47.8%11 W · 12 L	-1.0wins	-0.05per pick	52cpaid	-10.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfc5d…be79backed Over	52c	50$26 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24	44	59.1%26 W · 18 L	+3.3wins	+0.08per pick	52cpaid	+15.7%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd289…98b5backed Over	52c	50$26 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24	31	71%22 W · 9 L	+6.0wins	+0.19per pick	52cpaid	+35.7%equal weight	62+0.11 edge/pick
0xf33d…1969backed Over	52c	50$26 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24	46	54.3%25 W · 21 L	+2.4wins	+0.05per pick	49cpaid	+17.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf447…3fe7backed Over	51c	46$23 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22.54	23	43.5%10 W · 13 L	-1.9wins	-0.08per pick	52cpaid	-15.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xaa6d…d6bdbacked Over	51c	45$23 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22.05	21	61.9%13 W · 8 L	+2.2wins	+0.10per pick	52cpaid	+18.4%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd431…06d4backed Under	49c	40.82$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	23	78.3%18 W · 5 L	+3.3wins	+0.14per pick	64cpaid	+19.7%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd5ad…5a42backed Under	50c	40$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	84	52.4%44 W · 40 L	+1.3wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+4.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x02ec…5412backed Under	50c	40$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	273	59%161 W · 112 L	+8.5wins	+0.03per pick	56cpaid	+7.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1e9b…829ebacked Under	50c	40$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	103	45.6%47 W · 56 L	-2.0wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	+0.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0a81…b783backed Over	52c	38.42$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.44	40	32.5%13 W · 27 L	-6.8wins	-0.17per pick	49cpaid	-35.5%equal weight	38-0.10 edge/pick
0x6b38…4d61backed Under	50c	38.02$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.01	302	44%133 W · 169 L	-6.6wins	-0.02per pick	46cpaid	-6.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2a88…2bffbacked Over	52c	36$19 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.28	379	49.3%187 W · 192 L	+2.6wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x05ba…2117backed Over	52c	35$18 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16.8	28	57.1%16 W · 12 L	+1.6wins	+0.06per pick	52cpaid	+9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4918…3db7backed Over	52c	33$17 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.84	29	48.3%14 W · 15 L	-1.4wins	-0.05per pick	53cpaid	-8.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc840…0650backed Under	50c	30.12$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	41	41.5%17 W · 24 L	-2.8wins	-0.07per pick	48cpaid	-13.3%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3a56…387cbacked Under	49c	30.01$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.6	888	45.7%406 W · 482 L	-12.2wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-9.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe026…0404backed Over	51c	29.71$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.56	204	56.4%115 W · 89 L	+4.4wins	+0.02per pick	54cpaid	+5.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7219…fcf7backed Over	52c	29$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.92	31	54.8%17 W · 14 L	+1.1wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	+5.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe11a…d47ebacked Over	52c	27$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.96	42	42.9%18 W · 24 L	-3.4wins	-0.08per pick	51cpaid	-16.4%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xdfa9…7097backed Over	52c	26$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.48	38	34.2%13 W · 25 L	-6.6wins	-0.17per pick	52cpaid	-35.7%equal weight	38-0.10 edge/pick
0x5373…e46bbacked Over	52c	23.67$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.36	87	44.8%39 W · 48 L	-4.3wins	-0.05per pick	50cpaid	-6.1%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x60a6…7ed2backed Under	50c	23$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.5	20	55%11 W · 9 L	+0.6wins	+0.03per pick	52cpaid	+5.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf2d9…0092backed Under	50c	22.52$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.26	762	50.4%384 W · 378 L	+3.7wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x2bb7…8745backed Under	50c	22$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11	25	56%14 W · 11 L	+1.0wins	+0.04per pick	52cpaid	+13.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc39b…5754backed Over	51c	21$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.29	39	46.2%18 W · 21 L	-2.1wins	-0.05per pick	51cpaid	-11.4%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x47e5…9b73backed Over	52c	20.77$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.97	425	51.3%218 W · 207 L	-7.2wins	-0.02per pick	53cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd44d…389dbacked Over	52c	20.77$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.97	413	54%223 W · 190 L	+3.7wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	+1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc730…ace1backed Under	50c	20.02$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.01	16	37.5%6 W · 10 L	-0.3wins	-0.02per pick	39cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9840…cb31backed Over	52c	20$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.6	25	44%11 W · 14 L	-1.6wins	-0.06per pick	50cpaid	-13%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf39d…c817backed Under	51c	20$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.2	70	65.7%46 W · 24 L	+4.3wins	+0.06per pick	60cpaid	+8.5%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xfb0f…1ecdbacked Under	50c	20$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	67	56.7%38 W · 29 L	+2.3wins	+0.03per pick	53cpaid	+2.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Celtics vs. Jazz: O/U 242.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event