NBA · resolved market

Rockets vs. Jazz

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdd854b2c1270783890ca22f5832c28917cee0779937f66457a58ee19139aa892

Rebuilt 23 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Jazzof Rockets, Jazz
Resolved: Dec 2, 2025, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $2,468,439
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $2,903,374

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,468,439 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 589 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NBA
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x4259…936fbacked Jazz	51c	499,815$256,200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$243,615.68	83	33.7%28 W · 55 L	-7.6wins	-0.09per pick	43cpaid	-29.8%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed Rockets	41c	141,942$58,729 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$58,728.62	1,045	49%512 W · 533 L	+21.8wins	+0.02per pick	47cpaid	-7.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc3c3…eec8backed Rockets	54c	75,000$40,499 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40,499.07	382	48.7%186 W · 196 L	+13.9wins	+0.04per pick	45cpaid	+0.2%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xcf6c…7e66backed Jazz	71c	71,457$50,572 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20,885.25	596	46.1%275 W · 321 L	-16.2wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-10.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xde5d…f58bbacked Rockets	26c	45,374$11,643 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11,643.01	6	16.7%1 W · 5 L	-1.2wins	-0.20per pick	37cpaid	-75.5%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Jazz	16c	30,979$4,805 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$26,173.55	2,091	47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L	-56.6wins	-0.03per pick	51cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Rockets	44c	29,466$12,981 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12,980.86	4,878	48%2,341 W · 2,537 L	+61.9wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Rockets	15c	28,058$4,115 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,114.7	815	29.4%240 W · 575 L	-37.0wins	-0.05per pick	34cpaid	-43%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x94d7…bef5backed Rockets	30c	24,779$7,500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,500	259	25.9%67 W · 192 L	+6.5wins	+0.03per pick	23cpaid	+8.7%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Jazz	15c	22,336$3,433 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18,903.16	2,045	48.4%990 W · 1,055 L	-30.3wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb2e4…bc51backed Rockets	50c	19,922$10,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10,000	219	44.7%98 W · 121 L	-1.3wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	+0.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9c16…09cbbacked Jazz	15c	16,781$2,517 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14,263.85	132	48.5%64 W · 68 L	-0.9wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	+3.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Rockets	28c	15,304$4,294 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,294.46	5,053	50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L	+110.9wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x481b…74c1backed Jazz	64c	14,619$9,410 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,208.86	480	46%221 W · 259 L	+3.3wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x94e5…6cfebacked Rockets	48c	13,990$6,678 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,678	44	56.8%25 W · 19 L	+2.0wins	+0.04per pick	52cpaid	+6.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Rockets	13c	12,760$1,640 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,640.27	1,384	39.4%545 W · 839 L	+4.8wins	0.00per pick	39cpaid	-21.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Jazz	17c	12,140$2,061 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10,079	2,361	48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L	-41.8wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1013…87d5backed Jazz	80c	11,999$9,599 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,399.76	88	63.6%56 W · 32 L	+6.2wins	+0.07per pick	57cpaid	+5.3%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x858d…1047backed Rockets	31c	10,769$3,384 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,383.58	140	25%35 W · 105 L	-0.6wins	0.00per pick	25cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5b8e…5c3cbacked Jazz	30c	10,299$3,042 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7,256.95	444	59.7%265 W · 179 L	+12.4wins	+0.03per pick	57cpaid	+7.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Jazz	15c	10,152$1,547 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8,605.02	4,325	47%2,031 W · 2,294 L	-69.5wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Jazz	15c	10,042$1,478 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8,563.85	4,682	49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L	+27.2wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x64b5…7543backed Jazz	16c	10,000$1,600 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8,399.69	352	35.8%126 W · 226 L	+5.1wins	+0.01per pick	34cpaid	+10.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x057a…3bacbacked Rockets	18c	9,766$1,776 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,776.43	260	38.1%99 W · 161 L	-9.3wins	-0.04per pick	42cpaid	-24%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe9cb…d096backed Rockets	23c	9,661$2,183 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,182.7	1,003	34.7%348 W · 655 L	-44.7wins	-0.04per pick	39cpaid	-35.1%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc47f…94b4backed Rockets	20c	9,353$1,850 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,850	77	31.2%24 W · 53 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	31cpaid	+14.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2ada…2f28backed Rockets	3c	8,492$247 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$246.92	645	17.1%110 W · 535 L	-11.9wins	-0.02per pick	19cpaid	-44.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x16da…ef29backed Rockets	50c	8,385$4,192 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,192.47	129	60.5%78 W · 51 L	+7.0wins	+0.05per pick	55cpaid	+8%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4297…ea39backed Rockets	14c	8,089$1,132 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,132.42	14	21.4%3 W · 11 L	-1.9wins	-0.13per pick	35cpaid	-49.4%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x96e1…50aabacked Rockets	50c	8,071$4,058 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,058.5	16	50%8 W · 8 L	+0.7wins	+0.04per pick	46cpaid	-8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x817b…3c25backed Jazz	76c	7,665$5,858 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,807.27	1,048	41.1%431 W · 617 L	+23.6wins	+0.02per pick	39cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Jazz	16c	7,663$1,200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,462.82	1,782	28%499 W · 1,283 L	+11.5wins	+0.01per pick	27cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe756…e006backed Jazz	16c	7,278$1,164 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,113.36	328	27.4%90 W · 238 L	-6.4wins	-0.02per pick	29cpaid	-12.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfa21…1438backed Jazz	64c	7,061$4,550 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,510.51	168	48.2%81 W · 87 L	-4.5wins	-0.03per pick	51cpaid	-11.4%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x42cb…8412backed Jazz	68c	6,928$4,730 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,198.5	72	59.7%43 W · 29 L	+4.2wins	+0.06per pick	54cpaid	+5%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2509…e4dbbacked Rockets	51c	6,762$3,427 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,427	667	44.5%297 W · 370 L	-6.5wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-2.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d20…a976backed Rockets	77c	5,712$4,400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,399.94	142	48.6%69 W · 73 L	-12.2wins	-0.09per pick	57cpaid	-17.7%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x1e3a…4033backed Jazz	70c	5,490$3,867 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,622.63	340	62.1%211 W · 129 L	+3.0wins	+0.01per pick	61cpaid	+3.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x17e0…80aebacked Rockets	26c	5,005$1,320 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,319.93	100	49%49 W · 51 L	+0.4wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	+16.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd9dd…b525backed Jazz	64c	5,000$3,200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,799.99	443	37.9%168 W · 275 L	-0.7wins	0.00per pick	38cpaid	-9.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x52ec…a6f3backed Jazz	78c	4,947$3,861 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,086.87	430	51.4%221 W · 209 L	+2.5wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	-2.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Rockets	22c	4,925$1,101 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,100.92	1,226	37.4%458 W · 768 L	+7.6wins	+0.01per pick	37cpaid	-21.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb7b3…9573backed Rockets	49c	4,742$2,328 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,328.28	736	49.9%367 W · 369 L	-5.8wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1bd5…8971backed Rockets	27c	4,497$1,195 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,195	11	45.5%5 W · 6 L	+1.0wins	+0.09per pick	36cpaid	-16.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7a79…a442backed Jazz	79c	4,352$3,422 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$930.07	70	62.9%44 W · 26 L	-2.5wins	-0.04per pick	66cpaid	-5.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd78d…60bebacked Rockets	8c	4,273$339 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$338.53	250	16.8%42 W · 208 L	-13.1wins	-0.05per pick	22cpaid	-38.7%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8c0b…7aa5backed Jazz	47c	4,256$2,006 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,249.06	488	45.3%221 W · 267 L	+18.9wins	+0.04per pick	41cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5116…58c4backed Rockets	76c	4,222$3,206 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,206.48	768	50.3%386 W · 382 L	-5.0wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Rockets	34c	4,032$1,375 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,375.06	1,409	40.2%567 W · 842 L	-40.5wins	-0.03per pick	43cpaid	-23.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x462d…ce9bbacked Rockets	50c	4,000$2,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,000.16	73	53.4%39 W · 34 L	+2.6wins	+0.04per pick	50cpaid	+6.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbcb9…4734backed Rockets	48c	3,810$1,847 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,847.04	48	43.8%21 W · 27 L	+0.8wins	+0.02per pick	42cpaid	-15.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3450…6793backed Jazz	61c	3,753$2,300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,453.48	174	41.4%72 W · 102 L	-4.2wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-5.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Rockets	17c	3,675$625 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$624.83	1,341	29.9%401 W · 940 L	-53.8wins	-0.04per pick	34cpaid	-35.7%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd1bc…9dc9backed Rockets	52c	3,675$1,900 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,900	21	23.8%5 W · 16 L	-2.3wins	-0.11per pick	35cpaid	-29.2%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Rockets	21c	3,414$721 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$720.52	3,342	43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L	+81.2wins	+0.02per pick	41cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Rockets	16c	3,379$551 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$550.63	1,190	32%381 W · 809 L	-58.1wins	-0.05per pick	37cpaid	-34.4%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xec13…862bbacked Jazz	17c	3,333$567 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,766.39	288	50.3%145 W · 143 L	+4.7wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+2.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1f5e…c375backed Jazz	15c	3,155$473 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,681.75	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+1.3wins	+0.45per pick	22cpaid	+318.3%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xeeb3…56f3backed Rockets	34c	3,135$1,060 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,060.1	5	40%2 W · 3 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	40cpaid	-46.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xff12…09f9backed Jazz	64c	3,017$1,929 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,088.39	193	88.1%170 W · 23 L	+48.6wins	+0.25per pick	63cpaid	+46.2%equal weight	75+0.22 edge/pick
0xb1bc…bd81backed Rockets	32c	2,973$940 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$940	135	58.5%79 W · 56 L	+5.1wins	+0.04per pick	55cpaid	+4.9%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3a6f…296abacked Rockets	62c	2,926$1,800 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,800	45	51.1%23 W · 22 L	-6.3wins	-0.14per pick	65cpaid	-25.4%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x045d…d649backed Rockets	29c	2,808$827 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$827	122	38.5%47 W · 75 L	+2.5wins	+0.02per pick	36cpaid	-6.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9f05…8937backed Jazz	15c	2,776$404 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,371.94	470	28.1%132 W · 338 L	+27.2wins	+0.06per pick	22cpaid	+13.2%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xa188…3fccbacked Rockets	46c	2,707$1,252 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,251.79	363	56.5%205 W · 158 L	+8.1wins	+0.02per pick	54cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Jazz	15c	2,678$405 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,272.32	3,120	44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L	-7.6wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Rockets	32c	2,666$863 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$863.15	2,630	36.7%966 W · 1,664 L	-119.1wins	-0.05per pick	41cpaid	-25.5%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4fb7…082dbacked Rockets	68c	2,580$1,754 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,754.5	132	50%66 W · 66 L	+5.1wins	+0.04per pick	46cpaid	+6.6%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x61fd…4d3dbacked Rockets	50c	2,308$1,156 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,156.4	54	37%20 W · 34 L	-7.5wins	-0.14per pick	51cpaid	-42.6%equal weight	39-0.09 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Jazz	59c	2,242$1,327 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$915.42	3,995	48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L	+101.9wins	+0.03per pick	46cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfbb3…d38ebacked Jazz	33c	2,200$726 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,474	34	55.9%19 W · 15 L	+1.0wins	+0.03per pick	53cpaid	+8.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeda0…7dffbacked Jazz	26c	2,189$568 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,621.64	285	37.9%108 W · 177 L	-4.5wins	-0.02per pick	39cpaid	-12.5%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4209…7582backed Rockets	33c	2,111$700 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$700	332	35.5%118 W · 214 L	-27.4wins	-0.08per pick	44cpaid	-15.3%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xcd3a…67cabacked Jazz	27c	2,111$574 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,537.63	508	38.2%194 W · 314 L	+22.3wins	+0.04per pick	34cpaid	+1.8%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6239…c24fbacked Jazz	30c	2,000$604 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,395.74	950	49.4%469 W · 481 L	+10.8wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+2.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd589…27c2backed Rockets	37c	2,000$745 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$745	176	37.5%66 W · 110 L	-16.3wins	-0.09per pick	47cpaid	-20.3%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x6ade…f5b0backed Rockets	50c	2,000$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	1,556	52.8%822 W · 734 L	+40.9wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+10.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x19d8…1691backed Rockets	49c	2,000$980 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$980	722	41.4%299 W · 423 L	+2.7wins	0.00per pick	41cpaid	-6.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x79aa…92cbbacked Jazz	17c	2,000$340 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,660	9	55.6%5 W · 4 L	+1.5wins	+0.17per pick	39cpaid	+63.2%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0e91…ea34backed Jazz	64c	2,000$1,280 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$719.99	10	60%6 W · 4 L	-1.0wins	-0.10per pick	70cpaid	-19.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfcca…c460backed Jazz	14c	2,000$280 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,719.94	116	49.1%57 W · 59 L	+5.0wins	+0.04per pick	45cpaid	+30.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc13f…ca64backed Rockets	44c	1,957$868 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$868	112	61.6%69 W · 43 L	+4.3wins	+0.04per pick	58cpaid	+1.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Jazz	27c	1,943$531 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,412.15	857	42.6%365 W · 492 L	-15.6wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-13.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4411…985ebacked Jazz	77c	1,939$1,500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$438.76	145	51%74 W · 71 L	-6.3wins	-0.04per pick	55cpaid	-13.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3529…a599backed Jazz	52c	1,925$1,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$925.16	74	45.9%34 W · 40 L	+2.3wins	+0.03per pick	43cpaid	+11.5%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0e5c…c9eebacked Jazz	79c	1,888$1,499 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$388.79	20	75%15 W · 5 L	+1.9wins	+0.09per pick	66cpaid	+13.5%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Rockets	36c	1,808$647 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$646.53	2,169	40.8%885 W · 1,284 L	-8.7wins	0.00per pick	41cpaid	-14.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2d05…6f11backed Rockets	24c	1,802$423 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$423.5	265	46%122 W · 143 L	+1.1wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf3d0…673fbacked Jazz	17c	1,800$306 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,494	11	36.4%4 W · 7 L	+1.0wins	+0.09per pick	27cpaid	+57.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc5b5…7e80backed Rockets	31c	1,746$541 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$541.2	1,055	49.9%526 W · 529 L	+29.7wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	-3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x20b9…9110backed Rockets	71c	1,733$1,228 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,228.46	139	50.4%70 W · 69 L	-7.4wins	-0.05per pick	56cpaid	+9.4%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x40de…450abacked Jazz	52c	1,705$880 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$825.34	7	71.4%5 W · 2 L	+0.2wins	+0.03per pick	69cpaid	+7.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc7f7…2abfbacked Jazz	15c	1,698$249 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,449.31	302	49.3%149 W · 153 L	+33.5wins	+0.11per pick	38cpaid	+31.6%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick
0x4818…fde0backed Rockets	33c	1,691$556 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$556	517	53.8%278 W · 239 L	+11.6wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa266…67f7backed Jazz	15c	1,667$250 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,416.67	167	40.1%67 W · 100 L	-1.3wins	-0.01per pick	41cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc684…2228backed Rockets	26c	1,600$416 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$416	222	43.7%97 W · 125 L	+3.6wins	+0.02per pick	42cpaid	-4.8%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4635…9f6fbacked Jazz	53c	1,597$846 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$750.63	15	53.3%8 W · 7 L	-0.6wins	-0.04per pick	57cpaid	-6.3%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xed89…647bbacked Rockets	43c	1,575$684 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$683.91	30	40%12 W · 18 L	+1.1wins	+0.04per pick	36cpaid	+26.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x27c5…6d61backed Rockets	64c	1,574$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	40	40%16 W · 24 L	+2.9wins	+0.07per pick	33cpaid	+17.3%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9adf…55e8backed Jazz	72c	1,573$1,128 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$444.66	237	47.7%113 W · 124 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Rockets vs. Jazz

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event