NBA · resolved market
Rockets vs. Jazz: O/U 232.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbc0e1efc1e640298322efba45350a5818cbb352c61598ecdb0ceb6d923955716
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $35,647
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $35,833
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $35,647 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 46 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Under | 49c | 10,000$4,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,900 | 1,124 | 48.6%546 W · 578 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x088b…bce1backed Over | 52c | 7,200$3,744 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,456 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd234…90b0backed Under | 48c | 7,200$3,456 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,456 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +1.8wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Over | 53c | 4,553$2,413 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,140 | 1,332 | 51.2%682 W · 650 L | +7.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec13…862bbacked Over | 52c | 3,333$1,733 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,599.83 | 288 | 50.3%145 W · 143 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Over | 51c | 2,459$1,254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,204.91 | 2,298 | 51.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L | +65.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4278…0e92backed Under | 50c | 1,716$858 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$858 | 416 | 52.2%217 W · 199 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5942…5641backed Under | 48c | 1,500$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$720 | 256 | 42.6%109 W · 147 L | -9.9wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc1…ffeebacked Over | 51c | 1,471$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$720.59 | 369 | 43.4%160 W · 209 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Over | 54c | 1,389$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$638.89 | 653 | 39.5%258 W · 395 L | -24.6wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 51c | 1,139$579 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$559.79 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e2…4e99backed Under | 48c | 1,042$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 164 | 42.1%69 W · 95 L | -7.6wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Over | 54c | 604$329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$274.88 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x698b…4426backed Under | 50c | 588$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294 | 220 | 55%121 W · 99 L | +12.2wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over | 53c | 534.04$283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251 | 1,820 | 52.1%948 W · 872 L | +48.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Under | 49c | 500$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d4…ad20backed Under | 47c | 500$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235 | 64 | 48.4%31 W · 33 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed Under | 49c | 500$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245 | 726 | 47.7%346 W · 380 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Over | 57c | 413$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.59 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe962…663abacked Over | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 843 | 42.9%362 W · 481 L | -39.1wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Over | 50c | 392$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196 | 2,265 | 43.4%982 W · 1,283 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8aea…ec91backed Under | 48c | 300$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe47b…1b4bbacked Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 357 | 39.8%142 W · 215 L | -25.0wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4556…2b35backed Over | 53c | 200$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94 | 129 | 52.7%68 W · 61 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Under | 46c | 192.39$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.5 | 950 | 49.4%469 W · 481 L | +10.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92cf…8b35backed Over | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 1,110 | 52%577 W · 533 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e88…7c99backed Under | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 55 | 52.7%29 W · 26 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac4a…4a47backed Under | 50c | 150$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6611…17e7backed Over | 54c | 150$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.1 | 90 | 48.9%44 W · 46 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed Under | 48c | 100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 658 | 55.6%366 W · 292 L | +27.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x49ab…f2a9backed Under | 47c | 100$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 152 | 47.4%72 W · 80 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8380…b151backed Over | 51c | 78.46$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.46 | 150 | 56%84 W · 66 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ac1…a0f2backed Under | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 110 | 51.8%57 W · 53 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9696…2bc3backed Under | 50c | 41$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.5 | 339 | 49.9%169 W · 170 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1231…786cbacked Over | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6f8…256ebacked Over | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.04 | 95 | 47.4%45 W · 50 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Under | 46c | 36.04$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.58 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x571c…0bb5backed Over | 55c | 34.55$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.55 | 70 | 58.6%41 W · 29 L | +4.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd95…52fbbacked Over | 52c | 30.77$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.77 | 139 | 38.8%54 W · 85 L | -14.7wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Under | 49c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.55 | 1,786 | 53.2%950 W · 836 L | +52.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xedb5…ce8ebacked Over | 54c | 27.78$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.78 | 217 | 56.7%123 W · 94 L | +6.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d60…50dbbacked Over | 54c | 27.78$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.78 | 62 | 56.5%35 W · 27 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 45c | 27.77$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.51 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b74…b58fbacked Over | 55c | 24$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.8 | 166 | 69.9%116 W · 50 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 68cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc42c…42a1backed Under | 48c | 21$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 430 | 52.3%225 W · 205 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbda3…ef65backed Over | 55c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 372 | 53.5%199 W · 173 L | +9.5wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Rockets vs. Jazz: O/U 232.5this page
- 1H Spread: Rockets (-6.5)Jazz won
- Rockets vs. JazzJazz won
- Rockets vs. Jazz: 1H MoneylineJazz won
- Rockets vs. Jazz: 1H O/U 112.5Over won
- Rockets vs. Jazz: O/U 231.5Over won
- Rockets vs. Jazz: O/U 233.5Over won
- Rockets vs. Jazz: O/U 234.5Over won
- Spread: Rockets (-11.5)Jazz won
- Spread: Rockets (-12.5)Jazz won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.