NBA · resolved market
Rockets vs. Jazz: O/U 231.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa7ef46ea658f77ce740c6c0e879e32dfff513b6fe2cb3d172053035869b7c3ab
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,874
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,211
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,874 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 46c | 1,514$699 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$698.54 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9519…3b2ebacked Over | 53c | 566.04$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.04 | 178 | 56.2%100 W · 78 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Over | 53c | 505.09$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.39 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3685…0123backed Over | 70c | 300$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 25 | 80%20 W · 5 L | +3.5wins | +0.14per pick | 66cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2e00…eb46backed Under | 47c | 280.72$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.94 | 363 | 51.2%186 W · 177 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x117c…db06backed Over | 54c | 122.22$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.22 | 180 | 47.2%85 W · 95 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x024e…2e48backed Over | 56c | 110$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.4 | 73 | 46.6%34 W · 39 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d45…1ba7backed Over | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.91 | 112 | 64.3%72 W · 40 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b20…7c67backed Over | 56c | 89.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.29 | 195 | 52.8%103 W · 92 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…3565backed Under | 38c | 82.26$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.26 | 1,911 | 45.4%868 W · 1,043 L | +22.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ed6…bbabbacked Over | 62c | 80.65$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.65 | 328 | 53%174 W · 154 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9d3…246cbacked Over | 54c | 55.56$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.56 | 143 | 46.9%67 W · 76 L | -7.6wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1acc…35b7backed Over | 55c | 54.55$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.55 | 38 | 63.2%24 W · 14 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19c9…2e09backed Over | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.71 | 35 | 62.9%22 W · 13 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x19f9…15eebacked Over | 55c | 33.33$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +2.2wins | +0.12per pick | 60cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa7f2…9b10backed Under | 45c | 33.33$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 79 | 53.2%42 W · 37 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d85…4c7abacked Over | 54c | 27.78$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.78 | 52 | 51.9%27 W · 25 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeabf…97e5backed Over | 57c | 26.32$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.32 | 144 | 52.1%75 W · 69 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Under | 42c | 26.08$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.92 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf782…8abbbacked Over | 58c | 25.86$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.86 | 27 | 70.4%19 W · 8 L | +3.8wins | +0.14per pick | 56cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x218e…e49dbacked Over | 54c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.2 | 482 | 55%265 W · 217 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Rockets vs. Jazz: O/U 231.5this page
- 1H Spread: Rockets (-6.5)Jazz won
- Rockets vs. JazzJazz won
- Rockets vs. Jazz: 1H MoneylineJazz won
- Rockets vs. Jazz: 1H O/U 112.5Over won
- Rockets vs. Jazz: O/U 232.5Over won
- Rockets vs. Jazz: O/U 233.5Over won
- Rockets vs. Jazz: O/U 234.5Over won
- Spread: Rockets (-11.5)Jazz won
- Spread: Rockets (-12.5)Jazz won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.