Tweets · resolved market

Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from November 14 to November 21, 2025?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x59d1576e8e85c4ffbd9bf9e80e56b72fafdc94ee465290523a9c78e999f8fa7f

Rebuilt 5 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Yesof Yes, No
Resolved: Nov 21, 2025, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $1,517,050
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $1,464,925

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,517,050 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 894 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Tweets
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xee3b…8dcfbacked No	63c	135,353$85,224 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$85,223.59	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.5wins	-0.15per pick	49cpaid	-54.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2ee0…f57bbacked No	16c	60,244$9,865 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$9,865.02	820	6.6%54 W · 766 L	+17.9wins	+0.02per pick	4cpaid	-47.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1d3f…0d1ebacked No	0c	60,000$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc4d1…8ce8backed Yes	31c	48,264$15,010 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$33,253.61	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	+0.4wins	+0.14per pick	19cpaid	+7.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x471a…0328backed No	16c	43,318$7,015 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,015.13	312	42.9%134 W · 178 L	+20.0wins	+0.06per pick	37cpaid	-29.1%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x063a…eb4bbacked No	12c	42,917$5,294 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,293.51	36	33.3%12 W · 24 L	+2.3wins	+0.07per pick	27cpaid	+101.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6964…ef53backed Yes	76c	33,849$25,581 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8,267.53	662	22.2%147 W · 515 L	-34.7wins	-0.05per pick	27cpaid	-58.2%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8b66…02edbacked Yes	8c	31,531$2,542 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$28,989.18	180	9.4%17 W · 163 L	-3.2wins	-0.02per pick	11cpaid	-10.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5eb0…5012backed Yes	47c	29,322$13,839 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15,483.16	28	25%7 W · 21 L	+1.1wins	+0.04per pick	21cpaid	-29.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaa01…f1dfbacked Yes	64c	23,193$14,959 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8,234.38	246	6.1%15 W · 231 L	-2.0wins	-0.01per pick	7cpaid	-53.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3b6d…d8b4backed Yes	23c	22,065$5,075 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16,990.05	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.8wins	+0.77per pick	23cpaid	+334.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6be9…3493backed No	16c	17,411$2,826 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,826.5	1,067	8.3%89 W · 978 L	+28.9wins	+0.03per pick	6cpaid	-28.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2b63…1147backed Yes	79c	12,689$9,996 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,692.86	5	20%1 W · 4 L	-1.0wins	-0.20per pick	40cpaid	-74.6%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6a97…4800backed Yes	74c	12,621$9,377 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,244.3	686	15.7%108 W · 578 L	-18.0wins	-0.03per pick	18cpaid	-40%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb1fe…9974backed No	24c	10,000$2,379 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,379.12	13	7.7%1 W · 12 L	-2.2wins	-0.17per pick	24cpaid	+10.5%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x67b6…568ebacked Yes	27c	9,500$2,554 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,946.39	39	15.4%6 W · 33 L	-2.7wins	-0.07per pick	22cpaid	-47.1%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xbac4…1ab2backed Yes	25c	8,000$1,961 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,038.61	457	15.1%69 W · 388 L	-12.5wins	-0.03per pick	18cpaid	-17.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa49b…7054backed Yes	19c	7,752$1,473 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,279.39	2,552	13.1%335 W · 2,217 L	+4.3wins	0.00per pick	13cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x97ff…d095backed No	63c	6,178$3,863 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,863.24	546	75.1%410 W · 136 L	+34.8wins	+0.06per pick	69cpaid	+3.2%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa57d…a893backed No	77c	5,850$4,505 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,504.5	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.8wins	-0.77per pick	77cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x36e7…0b6bbacked No	72c	5,786$4,146 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,145.81	248	73%181 W · 67 L	+15.9wins	+0.06per pick	67cpaid	+6.1%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x47d0…4257backed No	77c	5,700$4,389 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,389	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.8wins	-0.77per pick	77cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xee04…e683backed No	77c	5,265$4,054 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,054.05	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.8wins	-0.77per pick	77cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2ef2…e2d7backed No	77c	5,250$4,043 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,042.5	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.8wins	-0.77per pick	77cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8f13…daaebacked No	27c	5,238$1,414 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,414.45	62	16.1%10 W · 52 L	-2.1wins	-0.03per pick	20cpaid	-66.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6a1f…81e6backed Yes	16c	4,987$786 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,200.16	70	5.7%4 W · 66 L	-1.0wins	-0.01per pick	7cpaid	+12.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd317…025abacked No	31c	4,841$1,494 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,494.35	220	23.6%52 W · 168 L	+1.0wins	0.00per pick	23cpaid	-22.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe842…27d6backed No	0c	4,620$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.13	532	5.3%28 W · 504 L	+1.6wins	0.00per pick	5cpaid	-68.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe071…2d1abacked Yes	37c	4,344$1,597 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,747.4	20	25%5 W · 15 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	26cpaid	-17.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xcbbc…b5d0backed Yes	7c	4,343$302 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,041.5	796	6.5%52 W · 744 L	+9.3wins	+0.01per pick	5cpaid	+33.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x11de…21d7backed Yes	75c	4,015$3,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,015.22	10	30%3 W · 7 L	-0.6wins	-0.06per pick	36cpaid	-49.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xce40…da67backed Yes	35c	4,000$1,401 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,599.17	538	17.3%93 W · 445 L	-2.4wins	0.00per pick	18cpaid	-34.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6aca…c734backed Yes	31c	3,850$1,181 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,669.06	63	22.2%14 W · 49 L	-1.0wins	-0.02per pick	24cpaid	-14.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7fb8…d906backed No	34c	3,559$1,194 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,194.31	234	64.5%151 W · 83 L	+23.0wins	+0.10per pick	55cpaid	+6.6%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x9376…c075backed No	64c	3,500$2,236 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,236.48	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+1.0wins	+0.34per pick	32cpaid	+300%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x076c…4e7bbacked No	49c	3,453$1,692 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,691.81	439	33%145 W · 294 L	-19.0wins	-0.04per pick	37cpaid	-38.1%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xca88…efb2backed Yes	32c	3,383$1,079 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,304.41	18	50%9 W · 9 L	+0.6wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	-15.6%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc295…dde9backed No	76c	3,260$2,489 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,489.1	35	37.1%13 W · 22 L	+1.0wins	+0.03per pick	34cpaid	-29.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa270…4466backed Yes	15c	3,245$493 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,752.23	423	12.5%53 W · 370 L	+2.4wins	+0.01per pick	12cpaid	+6.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6df5…6430backed No	28c	3,216$889 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$888.51	455	11.6%53 W · 402 L	+8.5wins	+0.02per pick	10cpaid	+104.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x15c2…ebc0backed Yes	19c	3,002$569 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,433.03	212	11.8%25 W · 187 L	-8.2wins	-0.04per pick	16cpaid	-31.3%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xcfbb…9e7cbacked Yes	11c	2,858$307 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,551.09	18	16.7%3 W · 15 L	+1.1wins	+0.06per pick	10cpaid	+62.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7c2c…407ebacked No	0c	2,845$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.8	240	1.7%4 W · 236 L	+2.8wins	+0.01per pick	1cpaid	+675.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc781…59d7backed Yes	56c	2,818$1,584 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,233.33	27	48.1%13 W · 14 L	+2.3wins	+0.08per pick	40cpaid	+5.4%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7795…1db8backed Yes	24c	2,782$659 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,122.15	48	22.9%11 W · 37 L	-0.9wins	-0.02per pick	25cpaid	-21.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x952c…be27backed No	2c	2,776$58 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$57.72	68	22.1%15 W · 53 L	+1.2wins	+0.02per pick	20cpaid	-37.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x134f…cdb6backed No	30c	2,717$804 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$804.05	22	36.4%8 W · 14 L	+1.4wins	+0.07per pick	30cpaid	+10.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x231e…9297backed No	25c	2,700$685 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$684.9	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.3wins	-0.25per pick	25cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x265f…a448backed Yes	69c	2,695$1,857 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$838.48	285	34.4%98 W · 187 L	+9.1wins	+0.03per pick	31cpaid	-19.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Yes	26c	2,549$669 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,880.14	788	11.5%91 W · 697 L	-33.7wins	-0.04per pick	16cpaid	-42.4%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6e60…9e3fbacked Yes	71c	2,457$1,739 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$718.85	37	21.6%8 W · 29 L	-0.8wins	-0.02per pick	24cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa3de…12a5backed Yes	8c	2,456$209 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,247.41	28	7.1%2 W · 26 L	-0.7wins	-0.03per pick	10cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa59e…06edbacked Yes	25c	2,448$612 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,836.84	49	22.4%11 W · 38 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	23cpaid	-11%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa4b3…87b8backed Yes	45c	2,397$1,072 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,325.88	70	22.9%16 W · 54 L	+2.8wins	+0.04per pick	19cpaid	+31.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x70f8…513dbacked Yes	25c	2,269$572 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,697.27	74	17.6%13 W · 61 L	-1.1wins	-0.01per pick	19cpaid	+23.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf5e8…9fbdbacked No	2c	2,250$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44.55	187	3.2%6 W · 181 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	3cpaid	+278.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7d8f…97e9backed Yes	79c	2,240$1,766 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$473.59	5	20%1 W · 4 L	-0.6wins	-0.12per pick	32cpaid	-74.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9b04…c387backed Yes	8c	2,231$168 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,062.61	15	20%3 W · 12 L	+1.8wins	+0.12per pick	8cpaid	+121.8%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3256…830cbacked Yes	9c	2,146$204 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,942.61	782	8.7%68 W · 714 L	-1.0wins	0.00per pick	9cpaid	-36.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6f1e…7834backed Yes	68c	2,128$1,443 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$684.81	13	30.8%4 W · 9 L	+0.4wins	+0.03per pick	27cpaid	-28.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7db5…cf18backed No	45c	2,073$931 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$930.62	886	10.3%91 W · 795 L	-4.2wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	-49.2%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x9c27…2132backed Yes	53c	2,064$1,091 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$973.06	64	57.8%37 W · 27 L	+6.7wins	+0.10per pick	47cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0489…ddf7backed Yes	50c	2,048$1,031 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,017.07	199	27.6%55 W · 144 L	-3.6wins	-0.02per pick	29cpaid	-8.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6df6…8458backed Yes	44c	2,000$890 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,110.13	80	31.3%25 W · 55 L	+0.9wins	+0.01per pick	30cpaid	-28.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8f7b…55cebacked Yes	8c	2,000$160 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,840	127	12.6%16 W · 111 L	+2.0wins	+0.02per pick	11cpaid	+56.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf90b…cb6cbacked Yes	57c	2,000$1,147 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$853	4	50%2 W · 2 L	+0.3wins	+0.07per pick	43cpaid	-14%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x16b4…ab27backed Yes	29c	2,000$584 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,415.99	4	50%2 W · 2 L	+0.4wins	+0.10per pick	40cpaid	+22.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5c32…377fbacked Yes	21c	2,000$415 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,584.96	19	15.8%3 W · 16 L	-0.5wins	-0.02per pick	18cpaid	-28.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1cf6…9767backed Yes	52c	1,993$1,028 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$965.29	9	22.2%2 W · 7 L	-1.2wins	-0.14per pick	36cpaid	-58.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7a2b…b88abacked Yes	50c	1,989$1,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$989.27	5	40%2 W · 3 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	39cpaid	-13%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb009…b498backed Yes	69c	1,942$1,346 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$595.77	34	23.5%8 W · 26 L	-0.8wins	-0.02per pick	26cpaid	-40.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x87e1…5998backed No	46c	1,931$884 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$883.77	155	20.6%32 W · 123 L	+1.7wins	+0.01per pick	20cpaid	-29.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8f66…b986backed Yes	68c	1,920$1,305 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$614.36	568	17.4%99 W · 469 L	+18.3wins	+0.03per pick	14cpaid	-17.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes	9c	1,893$172 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,721.16	2,163	3.9%85 W · 2,078 L	+5.8wins	0.00per pick	4cpaid	-35.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5e98…a8e6backed Yes	59c	1,872$1,100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$772.18	13	15.4%2 W · 11 L	-1.3wins	-0.10per pick	25cpaid	-32%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4c16…dd84backed Yes	27c	1,829$500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,329.35	12	25%3 W · 9 L	-0.5wins	-0.04per pick	29cpaid	-39.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2021…a8d5backed Yes	39c	1,812$703 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,109.2	45	13.3%6 W · 39 L	-1.3wins	-0.03per pick	16cpaid	-32.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb73e…c66fbacked No	7c	1,800$118 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$118	11	27.3%3 W · 8 L	+1.2wins	+0.11per pick	17cpaid	+2.7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8e40…5f04backed Yes	44c	1,706$759 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$947.93	31	29%9 W · 22 L	-1.3wins	-0.04per pick	33cpaid	-47.4%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbfc6…ce6bbacked Yes	23c	1,650$387 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,263.2	342	3.5%12 W · 330 L	+1.4wins	0.00per pick	3cpaid	+15%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb2c0…c100backed Yes	29c	1,600$465 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,135.59	46	19.6%9 W · 37 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	20cpaid	-38.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xaf46…8c1dbacked Yes	8c	1,530$127 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,403.09	627	13.2%83 W · 544 L	+3.3wins	+0.01per pick	13cpaid	-52.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5040…df4abacked Yes	41c	1,504$614 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$889.75	33	6.1%2 W · 31 L	-1.1wins	-0.03per pick	9cpaid	-55.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7dca…c48dbacked Yes	67c	1,500$1,012 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$487.92	37	29.7%11 W · 26 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	30cpaid	-16.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc90b…cb24backed Yes	21c	1,475$313 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,161.74	32	15.6%5 W · 27 L	+0.3wins	+0.01per pick	15cpaid	+1.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x646b…5c3dbacked No	79c	1,469$1,153 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,153.04	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	-0.3wins	-0.11per pick	78cpaid	-13.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x469c…5edebacked Yes	44c	1,462$650 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$812.46	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-0.2wins	-0.04per pick	29cpaid	-43.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0aec…74fcbacked Yes	63c	1,446$910 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$535.59	38	36.8%14 W · 24 L	-2.4wins	-0.06per pick	43cpaid	-26.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfe31…5ce8backed Yes	69c	1,421$987 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$433.86	15	73.3%11 W · 4 L	+2.5wins	+0.16per pick	57cpaid	+66.1%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x474c…37d3backed No	61c	1,411$858 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$857.6	410	17.8%73 W · 337 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	18cpaid	-36.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x72a9…05ddbacked Yes	78c	1,407$1,100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$306.65	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	-0.5wins	-0.08per pick	41cpaid	-55.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x19e8…405fbacked No	77c	1,401$1,076 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,076.09	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-1.2wins	-0.39per pick	72cpaid	-57.7%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3cb0…4c27backed No	2c	1,391$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.4	504	5.2%26 W · 478 L	+10.0wins	+0.02per pick	3cpaid	+44.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x931d…dd7abacked Yes	37c	1,391$516 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$875.2	26	30.8%8 W · 18 L	+0.5wins	+0.02per pick	29cpaid	+20.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x72f7…6d94backed No	27c	1,387$377 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$376.6	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.2wins	-0.05per pick	39cpaid	-36.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0f81…e93fbacked Yes	72c	1,382$1,001 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$381.48	36	66.7%24 W · 12 L	-2.3wins	-0.07per pick	73cpaid	-8.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8c2e…5e69backed Yes	39c	1,318$518 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$800.22	431	26.2%113 W · 318 L	+2.1wins	0.00per pick	26cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0xce31…19c4backed Yes	13c	1,309$170 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,138.59	83	12%10 W · 73 L	+2.6wins	+0.03per pick	9cpaid	+5.6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe35d…f5d5backed Yes	32c	1,308$414 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$893.75	656	23.2%152 W · 504 L	+1.1wins	0.00per pick	23cpaid	-13.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x19d4…ef88backed Yes	44c	1,307$580 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$726.98	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.2wins	+0.12per pick	38cpaid	+12.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 26 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from November 14 to November 21, 2025?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event