Tweets · resolved market

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from November 14 to November 21, 2025?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd14ee108b6db8bc3dc64b5d9dd3ce7ee6ba3cab14f47a1dd7d8bcda07d43476c

Rebuilt 9 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Nov 21, 2025, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $711,728
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $353,785

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $711,728 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 195 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Tweets
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x2ee0…f57bbacked Yes	1c	130,369$660 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$660.37	820	6.6%54 W · 766 L	+17.9wins	+0.02per pick	4cpaid	-47.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8b66…02edbacked Yes	17c	30,000$4,950 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,949.99	180	9.4%17 W · 163 L	-3.2wins	-0.02per pick	11cpaid	-10.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xca6e…46f2backed Yes	5c	25,302$1,195 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,195.45	481	6.7%32 W · 449 L	+2.8wins	+0.01per pick	6cpaid	-2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x952c…be27backed Yes	4c	15,037$599 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$598.96	68	22.1%15 W · 53 L	+1.2wins	+0.02per pick	20cpaid	-37.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe578…9bc8backed Yes	44c	13,699$6,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,000	13	15.4%2 W · 11 L	-1.1wins	-0.08per pick	23cpaid	-34.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x849c…4009backed Yes	7c	11,014$756 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$755.9	1,780	7.4%132 W · 1,648 L	-23.1wins	-0.01per pick	9cpaid	-66.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7c2c…407ebacked Yes	0c	9,500$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11	240	1.7%4 W · 236 L	+2.8wins	+0.01per pick	1cpaid	+675.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbfc6…ce6bbacked Yes	1c	8,435$84 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$84.06	342	3.5%12 W · 330 L	+1.4wins	0.00per pick	3cpaid	+15%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3cb0…4c27backed Yes	0c	8,100$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.7	504	5.2%26 W · 478 L	+10.0wins	+0.02per pick	3cpaid	+44.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcbbc…b5d0backed Yes	6c	7,906$447 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$446.84	796	6.5%52 W · 744 L	+9.3wins	+0.01per pick	5cpaid	+33.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf8cc…028abacked Yes	0c	7,645$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.99	1,625	1.9%31 W · 1,594 L	+14.5wins	+0.01per pick	1cpaid	+17.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa49b…7054backed Yes	5c	7,135$332 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$331.87	2,545	13.2%335 W · 2,210 L	+4.9wins	0.00per pick	13cpaid	-30.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb73e…c66fbacked Yes	4c	6,801$249 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$249.19	11	27.3%3 W · 8 L	+1.2wins	+0.11per pick	17cpaid	+2.7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6aca…c734backed Yes	18c	5,651$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	63	22.2%14 W · 49 L	-1.0wins	-0.02per pick	24cpaid	-14.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe842…27d6backed Yes	0c	5,271$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.74	532	5.3%28 W · 504 L	+1.6wins	0.00per pick	5cpaid	-68.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes	5c	5,130$271 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$270.98	2,160	3.9%85 W · 2,075 L	+5.9wins	0.00per pick	4cpaid	-35.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x15c2…ebc0backed Yes	13c	4,486$579 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$579	212	11.8%25 W · 187 L	-8.2wins	-0.04per pick	16cpaid	-31.3%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf4d3…9249backed Yes	3c	4,227$110 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$110	52	7.7%4 W · 48 L	-1.8wins	-0.04per pick	11cpaid	-60.9%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd0ae…73ddbacked Yes	4c	4,211$167 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$166.8	23	8.7%2 W · 21 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	8cpaid	-62.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes	5c	4,166$192 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$192.37	996	19.8%197 W · 799 L	-15.9wins	-0.02per pick	21cpaid	-43.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5172…0581backed No	6c	3,607$209 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,397.64	11	27.3%3 W · 8 L	+2.0wins	+0.18per pick	9cpaid	+321.9%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3256…830cbacked Yes	4c	3,500$129 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$129	781	8.7%68 W · 713 L	-1.0wins	0.00per pick	9cpaid	-36.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xec4e…aa07backed Yes	13c	3,210$424 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$423.91	14	14.3%2 W · 12 L	-0.4wins	-0.03per pick	17cpaid	-30.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe071…2d1abacked Yes	16c	3,200$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	20	25%5 W · 15 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	26cpaid	-17.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xaf46…8c1dbacked Yes	2c	3,175$67 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$67.02	627	13.2%83 W · 544 L	+3.3wins	+0.01per pick	13cpaid	-52.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbd70…d270backed Yes	6c	2,721$154 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$153.95	751	22.2%167 W · 584 L	+15.0wins	+0.02per pick	20cpaid	-35.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7529…5cd7backed Yes	7c	2,699$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200.16	147	18.4%27 W · 120 L	-0.9wins	-0.01per pick	19cpaid	+5%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x69ff…0d1dbacked Yes	11c	2,554$283 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$282.56	26	7.7%2 W · 24 L	-2.6wins	-0.10per pick	18cpaid	-52.9%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xec2d…de68backed Yes	3c	2,000$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	176	12.5%22 W · 154 L	+2.7wins	+0.02per pick	11cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x67b6…568ebacked Yes	12c	2,000$247 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$246.87	39	15.4%6 W · 33 L	-2.7wins	-0.07per pick	22cpaid	-47.1%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xadab…2f80backed Yes	7c	1,884$130 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$130.07	19	10.5%2 W · 17 L	-0.3wins	-0.02per pick	12cpaid	-17.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3103…ea70backed Yes	1c	1,708$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.49	139	26.6%37 W · 102 L	-1.5wins	-0.01per pick	28cpaid	-23.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x474c…37d3backed Yes	11c	1,679$179 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$178.84	410	17.8%73 W · 337 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	18cpaid	-36.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa3de…12a5backed Yes	9c	1,675$145 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$145.2	28	7.1%2 W · 26 L	-0.7wins	-0.03per pick	10cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5040…df4abacked Yes	17c	1,630$270 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$270.43	33	6.1%2 W · 31 L	-1.1wins	-0.03per pick	9cpaid	-55.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x91f5…b7e4backed Yes	12c	1,618$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	7	14.3%1 W · 6 L	-1.2wins	-0.18per pick	32cpaid	-79.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x306b…00c4backed Yes	11c	1,573$177 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$177.35	21	0%0 W · 21 L	-2.6wins	-0.13per pick	13cpaid	-100%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xac83…eaaabacked Yes	3c	1,564$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50.5	296	8.1%24 W · 272 L	+6.3wins	+0.02per pick	6cpaid	+52.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x765a…efb4backed Yes	2c	1,500$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	387	6.5%25 W · 362 L	+6.8wins	+0.02per pick	5cpaid	-6.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x67ef…990abacked Yes	8c	1,486$115 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$114.51	731	15.2%111 W · 620 L	+11.9wins	+0.02per pick	14cpaid	+7.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4978…956bbacked Yes	1c	1,459$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18	479	8.6%41 W · 438 L	+16.6wins	+0.03per pick	5cpaid	-2.7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6ce6…107cbacked Yes	3c	1,361$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42.18	9	11.1%1 W · 8 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	10cpaid	-14.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd5f6…7d33backed Yes	1c	1,336$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.36	207	4.3%9 W · 198 L	+2.1wins	+0.01per pick	3cpaid	+5.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6859…3308backed Yes	15c	1,328$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	7	28.6%2 W · 5 L	+0.4wins	+0.06per pick	23cpaid	-19.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xca8b…dbf5backed Yes	12c	1,281$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	181	16%29 W · 152 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	16cpaid	-23.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0489…ddf7backed Yes	11c	1,209$130 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$130.35	199	27.6%55 W · 144 L	-3.6wins	-0.02per pick	29cpaid	-8.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa002…e840backed Yes	2c	1,161$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.61	186	3.8%7 W · 179 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	4cpaid	-14.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbda0…8992backed Yes	18c	1,137$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	166	21.7%36 W · 130 L	-6.4wins	-0.04per pick	26cpaid	-27.8%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf5e8…9fbdbacked Yes	4c	1,100$46 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46.1	187	3.2%6 W · 181 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	3cpaid	+278.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x152b…c4d7backed Yes	12c	1,082$125 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$124.99	34	14.7%5 W · 29 L	-1.7wins	-0.05per pick	20cpaid	-39.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb31e…4deebacked Yes	9c	1,068$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.2wins	-0.06per pick	6cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1f38…4c9abacked Yes	7c	1,000$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	+0.2wins	+0.05per pick	28cpaid	+270.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xac88…9b35backed Yes	2c	1,000$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16	66	6.1%4 W · 62 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	6cpaid	-49%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0744…b4cbbacked Yes	14c	999.99$144 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$143.98	73	13.7%10 W · 63 L	-1.9wins	-0.03per pick	16cpaid	-22%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1bc4…df1ebacked Yes	10c	985.6$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-0.5wins	-0.11per pick	11cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6be9…3493backed Yes	9c	976.96$85 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$85	1,060	8.4%89 W · 971 L	+29.0wins	+0.03per pick	6cpaid	-28.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa270…4466backed Yes	13c	940.1$121 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$120.6	423	12.5%53 W · 370 L	+2.4wins	+0.01per pick	12cpaid	+6.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5300…d039backed Yes	5c	931.11$47 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46.75	64	12.5%8 W · 56 L	+3.3wins	+0.05per pick	7cpaid	+83.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x64a3…450abacked Yes	11c	910$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100.1	50	68%34 W · 16 L	+6.0wins	+0.12per pick	56cpaid	+27.8%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x0c16…bbcbbacked Yes	11c	909$97 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$97.26	61	14.8%9 W · 52 L	-1.8wins	-0.03per pick	18cpaid	-20.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1e26…e972backed Yes	14c	899.99$121 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$121.5	51	13.7%7 W · 44 L	-4.6wins	-0.09per pick	23cpaid	-36.9%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1ffb…7cbfbacked Yes	13c	899.98$115 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$115.2	6	0%0 W · 6 L	-0.8wins	-0.13per pick	13cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0655…faf8backed Yes	11c	888.09$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	94	20.2%19 W · 75 L	-1.0wins	-0.01per pick	21cpaid	-15.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x02d7…7517backed Yes	9c	882$75 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$75.1	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-2.0wins	-0.40per pick	40cpaid	-100%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0xe35d…f5d5backed Yes	11c	876.72$96 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$95.88	656	23.2%152 W · 504 L	+1.1wins	0.00per pick	23cpaid	-13.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3c77…05f5backed Yes	11c	848.99$93 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$93.39	12	16.7%2 W · 10 L	+0.6wins	+0.05per pick	12cpaid	+39.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc6a1…b1ecbacked Yes	7c	805.66$53 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$52.54	69	13%9 W · 60 L	+1.3wins	+0.02per pick	11cpaid	+13.9%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2785…42a6backed Yes	13c	779.54$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	22	13.6%3 W · 19 L	-1.0wins	-0.05per pick	18cpaid	-26.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe679…9338backed Yes	13c	773.77$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	+0.6wins	+0.10per pick	23cpaid	+144.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9b04…c387backed Yes	13c	766.49$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	15	20%3 W · 12 L	+1.8wins	+0.12per pick	8cpaid	+121.8%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb0f6…451cbacked Yes	2c	761.72$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16	158	12%19 W · 139 L	+1.5wins	+0.01per pick	11cpaid	-19.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8f13…daaebacked Yes	6c	738$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45	62	16.1%10 W · 52 L	-2.1wins	-0.03per pick	20cpaid	-66.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x43e5…f917backed Yes	11c	728.29$81 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80.98	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-0.9wins	-0.19per pick	19cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x21ca…450abacked Yes	16c	705.99$114 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$113.66	312	17.3%54 W · 258 L	-5.7wins	-0.02per pick	19cpaid	-21.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2a44…e4e8backed Yes	2c	700$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.4	486	9.7%47 W · 439 L	+8.2wins	+0.02per pick	8cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5dd6…2d0cbacked Yes	11c	644.46$72 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$72	13	23.1%3 W · 10 L	-0.4wins	-0.03per pick	26cpaid	+4.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa623…384fbacked Yes	5c	641.44$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	421	10%42 W · 379 L	+1.5wins	0.00per pick	10cpaid	-1.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x134f…cdb6backed Yes	7c	630.81$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44.66	22	36.4%8 W · 14 L	+1.4wins	+0.07per pick	30cpaid	+10.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2b1c…d6f8backed Yes	17c	617$102 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$102.42	5	20%1 W · 4 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	21cpaid	-28.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xcf95…7865backed Yes	2c	609.87$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.35	526	19.8%104 W · 422 L	-2.7wins	-0.01per pick	20cpaid	-24.6%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xec05…b328backed Yes	4c	600$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.9	23	17.4%4 W · 19 L	-1.1wins	-0.05per pick	22cpaid	-30.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x11be…803cbacked Yes	5c	590.43$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.6	9	11.1%1 W · 8 L	-0.6wins	-0.07per pick	18cpaid	-77.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe497…f147backed Yes	12c	588.61$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-1.1wins	-0.21per pick	21cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf3b4…27f7backed Yes	3c	565.84$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.95	6	16.7%1 W · 5 L	+0.4wins	+0.06per pick	10cpaid	-49.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3013…2cd8backed Yes	14c	560$78 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$77.84	261	13.8%36 W · 225 L	-0.5wins	0.00per pick	14cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5d5e…26d5backed Yes	2c	550$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.45	21	28.6%6 W · 15 L	+2.0wins	+0.09per pick	19cpaid	+226.1%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x97ff…d095backed No	79c	545$433 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$111.75	542	74.9%406 W · 136 L	+34.0wins	+0.06per pick	69cpaid	+3.1%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8daa…89d6backed Yes	9c	543.38$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	17	17.6%3 W · 14 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	17cpaid	-15.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xaa50…3ed5backed Yes	3c	539.66$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16	653	11%72 W · 581 L	+10.8wins	+0.02per pick	9cpaid	-11%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5bd6…1833backed Yes	11c	514.02$57 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$57.34	20	10%2 W · 18 L	-0.6wins	-0.03per pick	13cpaid	-37.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6a84…a46bbacked Yes	12c	500.38$59 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$59.08	41	19.5%8 W · 33 L	-1.3wins	-0.03per pick	23cpaid	-34.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xac53…821fbacked Yes	3c	500$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.5	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.04per pick	4cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2021…a8d5backed Yes	6c	500$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.05	45	13.3%6 W · 39 L	-1.3wins	-0.03per pick	16cpaid	-32.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd42b…48c8backed Yes	8c	500$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40.37	246	8.5%21 W · 225 L	-2.7wins	-0.01per pick	10cpaid	-23.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd507…9b56backed Yes	4c	500$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.52	11	18.2%2 W · 9 L	+0.8wins	+0.07per pick	11cpaid	+49.4%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf529…4fc0backed Yes	16c	500$82 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$81.79	55	14.5%8 W · 47 L	-2.2wins	-0.04per pick	19cpaid	-28.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf1f0…58dfbacked No	6c	500$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$470	25	48%12 W · 13 L	+9.2wins	+0.37per pick	11cpaid	+624.5%equal weight	70+0.18 edge/pick
0xde9b…44fdbacked Yes	11c	499.83$52 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$52.49	9	22.2%2 W · 7 L	+0.5wins	+0.06per pick	16cpaid	-25.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x62d7…7e85backed Yes	8c	489.47$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	89	7.9%7 W · 82 L	-4.4wins	-0.05per pick	13cpaid	-42.1%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcaa0…1df7backed Yes	2c	483.8$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.73	32	9.4%3 W · 29 L	+0.6wins	+0.02per pick	7cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 26 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from November 14 to November 21, 2025?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event