Tweets · resolved market

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from November 14 to November 21, 2025?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbcce035864d8d5ee15585acf91f7292765fa634c6ecc76b07449acc4c66e1175

Rebuilt 15 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Nov 21, 2025, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $691,559
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $369,757

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $691,559 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 126 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Tweets
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x2ee0…f57bbacked Yes	0c	140,000$525 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$525	820	6.6%54 W · 766 L	+17.9wins	+0.02per pick	4cpaid	-47.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x952c…be27backed Yes	4c	34,999$1,515 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,514.95	68	22.1%15 W · 53 L	+1.2wins	+0.02per pick	20cpaid	-37.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3e3e…ac7cbacked Yes	0c	33,140$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.14	6	0%0 W · 6 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8b66…02edbacked Yes	11c	30,000$3,187 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,186.63	180	9.4%17 W · 163 L	-3.2wins	-0.02per pick	11cpaid	-10.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xca6e…46f2backed Yes	7c	19,023$1,382 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,382.02	481	6.7%32 W · 449 L	+2.8wins	+0.01per pick	6cpaid	-2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6aca…c734backed Yes	12c	16,872$2,099 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,098.95	63	22.2%14 W · 49 L	-1.0wins	-0.02per pick	24cpaid	-14.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x849c…4009backed Yes	6c	9,028$514 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$514.25	1,782	7.4%132 W · 1,650 L	-23.2wins	-0.01per pick	9cpaid	-66.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcbbc…b5d0backed Yes	3c	6,782$224 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$224.45	796	6.5%52 W · 744 L	+9.3wins	+0.01per pick	5cpaid	+33.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd0ae…73ddbacked Yes	4c	5,488$228 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$228.37	23	8.7%2 W · 21 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	8cpaid	-62.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3cb0…4c27backed Yes	1c	5,400$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34.72	504	5.2%26 W · 478 L	+10.0wins	+0.02per pick	3cpaid	+44.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe842…27d6backed Yes	0c	4,600$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.2	532	5.3%28 W · 504 L	+1.6wins	0.00per pick	5cpaid	-68.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes	6c	4,541$254 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$253.53	2,163	3.9%85 W · 2,078 L	+5.8wins	0.00per pick	4cpaid	-35.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x618f…f2f3backed Yes	2c	3,978$81 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$81.27	67	13.4%9 W · 58 L	+1.1wins	+0.02per pick	12cpaid	-20.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3256…830cbacked Yes	2c	3,785$71 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$71.48	782	8.7%68 W · 714 L	-1.0wins	0.00per pick	9cpaid	-36.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa49b…7054backed Yes	3c	3,781$105 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$104.57	2,552	13.1%335 W · 2,217 L	+4.3wins	0.00per pick	13cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf4d3…9249backed Yes	4c	3,291$117 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$117.41	52	7.7%4 W · 48 L	-1.8wins	-0.04per pick	11cpaid	-60.9%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf8cc…028abacked Yes	1c	2,706$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.56	1,625	1.9%31 W · 1,594 L	+14.5wins	+0.01per pick	1cpaid	+17.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xec2d…de68backed Yes	2c	2,500$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.5	176	12.5%22 W · 154 L	+2.7wins	+0.02per pick	11cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xadab…2f80backed Yes	5c	2,168$116 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$115.66	19	10.5%2 W · 17 L	-0.3wins	-0.02per pick	12cpaid	-17.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes	4c	2,073$92 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$91.98	996	19.8%197 W · 799 L	-15.9wins	-0.02per pick	21cpaid	-43.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x69ff…0d1dbacked Yes	10c	2,000$190 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$190	26	7.7%2 W · 24 L	-2.6wins	-0.10per pick	18cpaid	-52.9%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x306b…00c4backed Yes	10c	1,836$177 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$177.06	21	0%0 W · 21 L	-2.6wins	-0.13per pick	13cpaid	-100%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x91f5…b7e4backed Yes	11c	1,743$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	7	14.3%1 W · 6 L	-1.2wins	-0.18per pick	32cpaid	-79.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8f13…daaebacked Yes	6c	1,731$97 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$96.61	62	16.1%10 W · 52 L	-2.1wins	-0.03per pick	20cpaid	-66.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd5f6…7d33backed Yes	1c	1,725$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.25	207	4.3%9 W · 198 L	+2.1wins	+0.01per pick	3cpaid	+5.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf3b4…27f7backed Yes	1c	1,684$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.68	6	16.7%1 W · 5 L	+0.4wins	+0.06per pick	10cpaid	-49.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaa50…3ed5backed Yes	2c	1,608$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.89	653	11%72 W · 581 L	+10.8wins	+0.02per pick	9cpaid	-11%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xec4e…aa07backed Yes	10c	1,547$148 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$148.01	14	14.3%2 W · 12 L	-0.4wins	-0.03per pick	17cpaid	-30.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x765a…efb4backed Yes	1c	1,500$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	387	6.5%25 W · 362 L	+6.8wins	+0.02per pick	5cpaid	-6.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1f82…2d74backed Yes	9c	1,401$127 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$127.48	105	13.3%14 W · 91 L	+2.2wins	+0.02per pick	11cpaid	+0.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa3de…12a5backed Yes	9c	1,360$129 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$128.64	28	7.1%2 W · 26 L	-0.7wins	-0.03per pick	10cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xca8b…dbf5backed Yes	11c	1,283$140 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$140	181	16%29 W · 152 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	16cpaid	-23.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x15c2…ebc0backed Yes	10c	1,135$119 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$119	212	11.8%25 W · 187 L	-8.2wins	-0.04per pick	16cpaid	-31.3%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5300…d039backed Yes	3c	1,105$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34.97	64	12.5%8 W · 56 L	+3.3wins	+0.05per pick	7cpaid	+83.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb31e…4deebacked Yes	5c	1,069$54 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$54	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.2wins	-0.06per pick	6cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x134f…cdb6backed Yes	5c	1,044$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	22	36.4%8 W · 14 L	+1.4wins	+0.07per pick	30cpaid	+10.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2a44…e4e8backed Yes	2c	1,033$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.5	486	9.7%47 W · 439 L	+8.2wins	+0.02per pick	8cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xef38…02e2backed Yes	13c	1,020$129 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$129.09	25	12%3 W · 22 L	-1.4wins	-0.06per pick	18cpaid	-33.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf33d…9554backed Yes	2c	1,000$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	12	0%0 W · 12 L	-0.3wins	-0.02per pick	2cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xec05…b328backed Yes	5c	1,000$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	23	17.4%4 W · 19 L	-1.1wins	-0.05per pick	22cpaid	-30.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0655…faf8backed Yes	11c	912.1$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	94	20.2%19 W · 75 L	-1.0wins	-0.01per pick	21cpaid	-15.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6a97…4800backed Yes	7c	893.64$64 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$63.68	686	15.7%108 W · 578 L	-18.0wins	-0.03per pick	18cpaid	-40%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa002…e840backed Yes	3c	850$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.5	186	3.8%7 W · 179 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	4cpaid	-14.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xecf8…603bbacked Yes	12c	840.34$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	29	10.3%3 W · 26 L	-0.8wins	-0.03per pick	13cpaid	-40.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0c16…bbcbbacked Yes	10c	800$82 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$82.4	61	14.8%9 W · 52 L	-1.8wins	-0.03per pick	18cpaid	-20.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf5e8…9fbdbacked Yes	4c	750$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.75	187	3.2%6 W · 181 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	3cpaid	+278.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x21ca…450abacked Yes	10c	706$73 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$73.42	312	17.3%54 W · 258 L	-5.7wins	-0.02per pick	19cpaid	-21.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6e60…9e3fbacked Yes	8c	700.96$58 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$58.03	37	21.6%8 W · 29 L	-0.8wins	-0.02per pick	24cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe898…7116backed Yes	8c	700$53 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$53.4	27	18.5%5 W · 22 L	-1.0wins	-0.04per pick	22cpaid	-52.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc6a1…b1ecbacked Yes	6c	700$41 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41.4	69	13%9 W · 60 L	+1.3wins	+0.02per pick	11cpaid	+13.9%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9a24…cf2bbacked Yes	2c	695.31$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13	13	38.5%5 W · 8 L	+2.1wins	+0.16per pick	22cpaid	+93.9%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x80dc…7cf8backed Yes	8c	671.41$51 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$51.37	83	14.5%12 W · 71 L	-3.9wins	-0.05per pick	19cpaid	-17.5%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0744…b4cbbacked Yes	10c	644$64 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$64.26	73	13.7%10 W · 63 L	-1.9wins	-0.03per pick	16cpaid	-22%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7529…5cd7backed Yes	10c	575.66$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	147	18.4%27 W · 120 L	-0.9wins	-0.01per pick	19cpaid	+5%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x62d7…7e85backed Yes	7c	573.42$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	89	7.9%7 W · 82 L	-4.4wins	-0.05per pick	13cpaid	-42.1%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xde9d…35f8backed Yes	8c	562.34$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43.62	35	11.4%4 W · 31 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	+24.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3986…01fdbacked Yes	7c	540.78$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	206	8.7%18 W · 188 L	-2.2wins	-0.01per pick	10cpaid	-42.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8daa…89d6backed Yes	10c	501.49$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	17	17.6%3 W · 14 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	17cpaid	-15.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2021…a8d5backed Yes	5c	500$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	45	13.3%6 W · 39 L	-1.3wins	-0.03per pick	16cpaid	-32.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6f3f…3dc7backed Yes	3c	500$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14	15	6.7%1 W · 14 L	-1.7wins	-0.11per pick	18cpaid	-69.7%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xabfc…173ebacked Yes	7c	500$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35.6	26	11.5%3 W · 23 L	-2.2wins	-0.09per pick	20cpaid	-57.3%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x96a7…9e8dbacked Yes	4c	500$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18	28	32.1%9 W · 19 L	+2.4wins	+0.09per pick	24cpaid	+54.3%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x35e2…2953backed Yes	10c	499.99$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50.5	221	19.9%44 W · 177 L	+6.5wins	+0.03per pick	17cpaid	-2.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6a84…a46bbacked Yes	12c	499.99$58 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$58.5	41	19.5%8 W · 33 L	-1.3wins	-0.03per pick	23cpaid	-34.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2b1c…d6f8backed Yes	11c	496$53 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$52.58	5	20%1 W · 4 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	21cpaid	-28.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9b04…c387backed Yes	10c	480.68$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	15	20%3 W · 12 L	+1.8wins	+0.12per pick	8cpaid	+121.8%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5526…8ffabacked Yes	9c	453.38$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.9	100	16%16 W · 84 L	+0.8wins	+0.01per pick	15cpaid	+11.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Yes	11c	450.58$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48.78	788	11.5%91 W · 697 L	-33.7wins	-0.04per pick	16cpaid	-42.4%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xab58…b07dbacked Yes	11c	443.31$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48.32	5	40%2 W · 3 L	+0.4wins	+0.07per pick	33cpaid	-5.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3013…2cd8backed Yes	10c	436$41 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41.42	261	13.8%36 W · 225 L	-0.5wins	0.00per pick	14cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7c58…b15cbacked Yes	12c	423.65$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	45	6.7%3 W · 42 L	-4.3wins	-0.09per pick	16cpaid	-61.4%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x223f…1d96backed Yes	3c	368.59$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.99	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-0.2wins	-0.05per pick	5cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe683…9095backed Yes	6c	342.24$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.76	6	50%3 W · 3 L	+1.8wins	+0.30per pick	20cpaid	+263.2%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xdf39…32ddbacked Yes	13c	325.94$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42.37	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.13per pick	13cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x53a6…3f64backed Yes	7c	324.34$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.08	6	16.7%1 W · 5 L	-0.8wins	-0.13per pick	30cpaid	-75.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xde9b…44fdbacked Yes	8c	318.01$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.23	9	22.2%2 W · 7 L	+0.5wins	+0.06per pick	16cpaid	-25.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe380…654abacked Yes	13c	315.7$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	14	21.4%3 W · 11 L	-0.5wins	-0.03per pick	25cpaid	-40.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9879…f735backed Yes	7c	302.09$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	5	20%1 W · 4 L	+0.8wins	+0.15per pick	5cpaid	+1,187.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2967…7755backed Yes	7c	300$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.9	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.06per pick	6cpaid	-100%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x23cc…4f5abacked Yes	5c	300$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.9	827	11%91 W · 736 L	+21.9wins	+0.03per pick	8cpaid	+7.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3238…1521backed Yes	11c	300$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.7	126	6.3%8 W · 118 L	+1.9wins	+0.02per pick	5cpaid	+32.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1f57…3d24backed Yes	9c	300$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	+0.6wins	+0.19per pick	14cpaid	+23%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7413…a22abacked Yes	11c	299.99$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33	13	15.4%2 W · 11 L	-0.4wins	-0.03per pick	19cpaid	+5.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb863…a3a0backed Yes	8c	299.25$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.38	18	27.8%5 W · 13 L	-1.1wins	-0.06per pick	34cpaid	-52.7%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6be9…3493backed Yes	8c	299.23$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	1,067	8.3%89 W · 978 L	+28.9wins	+0.03per pick	6cpaid	-28.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbe98…9e5abacked Yes	10c	285.35$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.3	33	12.1%4 W · 29 L	-1.3wins	-0.04per pick	16cpaid	-15.7%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9cc6…8e7bbacked Yes	7c	273.61$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.08	37	16.2%6 W · 31 L	-0.6wins	-0.02per pick	18cpaid	-26.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x865a…f1ecbacked Yes	8c	265.05$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	7	14.3%1 W · 6 L	0.0wins	+0.01per pick	14cpaid	-47.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0f26…1f12backed Yes	6c	265.03$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	135	17%23 W · 112 L	-6.9wins	-0.05per pick	22cpaid	-56.4%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6a0f…baf9backed Yes	6c	253.72$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	7	14.3%1 W · 6 L	0.0wins	+0.01per pick	14cpaid	-52.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc92e…343dbacked Yes	8c	250.96$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	13	0%0 W · 13 L	-1.5wins	-0.12per pick	12cpaid	-100%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1802…7512backed Yes	13c	248.14$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32	51	25.5%13 W · 38 L	+1.0wins	+0.02per pick	23cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbd11…3401backed Yes	13c	247.4$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.74	37	8.1%3 W · 34 L	-3.3wins	-0.09per pick	17cpaid	-60.4%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x64e3…e3f5backed Yes	11c	247.09$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.55	42	14.3%6 W · 36 L	+0.9wins	+0.02per pick	12cpaid	+34.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6bbd…16b7backed Yes	9c	222.62$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.1wins	-0.05per pick	5cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x97e5…cf32backed Yes	11c	221.13$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	6	16.7%1 W · 5 L	+0.3wins	+0.05per pick	12cpaid	+70%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x152b…c4d7backed Yes	12c	216$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	34	14.7%5 W · 29 L	-1.7wins	-0.05per pick	20cpaid	-39.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4d5f…b380backed Yes	12c	200$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.6	430	27%116 W · 314 L	+7.1wins	+0.02per pick	25cpaid	-6.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xab47…2d6dbacked Yes	13c	200$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26	34	20.6%7 W · 27 L	+0.6wins	+0.02per pick	19cpaid	+4.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0927…6486backed Yes	11c	200$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.8	145	15.2%22 W · 123 L	-8.5wins	-0.06per pick	21cpaid	-55.1%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 26 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from November 14 to November 21, 2025?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event