Tweets · resolved market

Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from November 14 to November 21, 2025?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa51c63586746e56232cad39561b1b088aa1ddda75e6218622e9fc7a62b5da291

Rebuilt 11 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Nov 21, 2025, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $1,066,913
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $620,563

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,066,913 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 321 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Tweets
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x2ee0…f57bbacked Yes	1c	54,912$399 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$399.14	820	6.6%54 W · 766 L	+17.9wins	+0.02per pick	4cpaid	-47.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8b66…02edbacked Yes	2c	32,400$551 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$551.48	180	9.4%17 W · 163 L	-3.2wins	-0.02per pick	11cpaid	-10.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0228…a700backed Yes	3c	30,640$1,058 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,058.13	26	11.5%3 W · 23 L	+0.5wins	+0.02per pick	9cpaid	-23.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x849c…4009backed Yes	3c	24,304$610 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$609.91	1,782	7.4%132 W · 1,650 L	-23.2wins	-0.01per pick	9cpaid	-66.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe071…2d1abacked Yes	4c	22,489$820 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$820	20	25%5 W · 15 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	26cpaid	-17.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xcbbc…b5d0backed Yes	2c	19,810$380 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$379.62	796	6.5%52 W · 744 L	+9.3wins	+0.01per pick	5cpaid	+33.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6fe7…2229backed Yes	2c	18,025$369 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$368.65	12	33.3%4 W · 8 L	+0.4wins	+0.03per pick	30cpaid	+13%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6be9…3493backed Yes	8c	16,651$1,250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,250.18	1,067	8.3%89 W · 978 L	+28.9wins	+0.03per pick	6cpaid	-28.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe842…27d6backed Yes	3c	15,200$404 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$404.4	532	5.3%28 W · 504 L	+1.6wins	0.00per pick	5cpaid	-68.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6a1f…81e6backed Yes	5c	13,075$689 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$689.32	70	5.7%4 W · 66 L	-1.0wins	-0.01per pick	7cpaid	+12.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes	5c	9,440$435 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$435.41	2,163	3.9%85 W · 2,078 L	+5.8wins	0.00per pick	4cpaid	-35.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8f13…daaebacked Yes	7c	9,285$642 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$642.3	62	16.1%10 W · 52 L	-2.1wins	-0.03per pick	20cpaid	-66.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbd70…d270backed Yes	4c	7,000$280 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$280.28	751	22.2%167 W · 584 L	+15.0wins	+0.02per pick	20cpaid	-35.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3b8d…42c5backed Yes	4c	6,739$284 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$284.44	519	8.3%43 W · 476 L	+6.4wins	+0.01per pick	7cpaid	-27.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbfc6…ce6bbacked Yes	4c	6,130$260 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$259.6	342	3.5%12 W · 330 L	+1.4wins	0.00per pick	3cpaid	+15%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1142…a9bfbacked Yes	21c	6,000$1,250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,250	4	25%1 W · 3 L	+0.4wins	+0.09per pick	16cpaid	+15.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa49b…7054backed Yes	7c	5,902$437 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$437.05	2,552	13.1%335 W · 2,217 L	+4.3wins	0.00per pick	13cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x474c…37d3backed Yes	3c	5,881$153 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$152.51	410	17.8%73 W · 337 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	18cpaid	-36.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5040…df4abacked Yes	6c	5,773$331 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$331.34	33	6.1%2 W · 31 L	-1.1wins	-0.03per pick	9cpaid	-55.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc47f…94b4backed Yes	11c	5,297$600 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$600	10	10%1 W · 9 L	-0.2wins	-0.02per pick	12cpaid	-36.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3256…830cbacked Yes	9c	5,117$462 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$461.61	782	8.7%68 W · 714 L	-1.0wins	0.00per pick	9cpaid	-36.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf8cc…028abacked Yes	2c	4,629$98 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$97.65	1,625	1.9%31 W · 1,594 L	+14.5wins	+0.01per pick	1cpaid	+17.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xac83…eaaabacked Yes	3c	4,481$115 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$115.25	296	8.1%24 W · 272 L	+6.3wins	+0.02per pick	6cpaid	+52.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa502…4086backed Yes	8c	3,974$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.7wins	+0.33per pick	17cpaid	+86.9%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa270…4466backed Yes	5c	3,903$180 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$180	423	12.5%53 W · 370 L	+2.4wins	+0.01per pick	12cpaid	+6.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa002…e840backed Yes	1c	3,864$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.81	186	3.8%7 W · 179 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	4cpaid	-14.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1255…fa6fbacked Yes	16c	3,851$631 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$631.46	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.3wins	-0.09per pick	9cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xac88…9b35backed Yes	3c	3,707$111 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$111	66	6.1%4 W · 62 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	6cpaid	-49%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa4b3…87b8backed Yes	11c	3,697$393 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$392.86	70	22.9%16 W · 54 L	+2.8wins	+0.04per pick	19cpaid	+31.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0654…fabdbacked Yes	14c	3,627$505 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$505.15	13	23.1%3 W · 10 L	-1.5wins	-0.11per pick	34cpaid	-24.5%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8f66…b986backed Yes	9c	3,627$310 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$309.6	568	17.4%99 W · 469 L	+18.3wins	+0.03per pick	14cpaid	-17.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb5c2…1750backed Yes	2c	3,597$56 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55.75	209	7.7%16 W · 193 L	+3.5wins	+0.02per pick	6cpaid	-17%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x16b4…ab27backed Yes	26c	3,539$927 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$926.83	4	50%2 W · 2 L	+0.4wins	+0.10per pick	40cpaid	+22.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x434a…5218backed Yes	4c	3,514$157 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$157	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.04per pick	4cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x88ce…cb62backed Yes	9c	3,456$312 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$311.82	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-0.8wins	-0.16per pick	16cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7f42…78fcbacked Yes	3c	3,430$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.2wins	-0.06per pick	6cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe51f…473dbacked Yes	4c	3,419$144 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$144.31	6	0%0 W · 6 L	-0.4wins	-0.06per pick	6cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2ec0…f7aabacked Yes	23c	3,389$768 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$768.48	4	25%1 W · 3 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	24cpaid	-10.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1b0c…1a42backed Yes	11c	3,207$345 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$344.56	155	20%31 W · 124 L	+6.0wins	+0.04per pick	16cpaid	-16.3%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xce40…da67backed Yes	5c	3,186$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150.3	538	17.3%93 W · 445 L	-2.4wins	0.00per pick	18cpaid	-34.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5e98…a8e6backed Yes	3c	2,967$83 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$82.77	13	15.4%2 W · 11 L	-1.3wins	-0.10per pick	25cpaid	-32%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa899…f68dbacked Yes	5c	2,792$153 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$153.14	86	10.5%9 W · 77 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	-7.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6e60…9e3fbacked Yes	2c	2,644$57 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$57	37	21.6%8 W · 29 L	-0.8wins	-0.02per pick	24cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6894…5a2abacked Yes	1c	2,580$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32	31	25.8%8 W · 23 L	-2.2wins	-0.07per pick	33cpaid	-50.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xde9b…44fdbacked Yes	4c	2,514$96 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$96.18	9	22.2%2 W · 7 L	+0.5wins	+0.06per pick	16cpaid	-25.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf4d3…9249backed Yes	14c	2,470$348 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$347.53	52	7.7%4 W · 48 L	-1.8wins	-0.04per pick	11cpaid	-60.9%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x35e2…2953backed Yes	5c	2,457$125 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$124.5	221	19.9%44 W · 177 L	+6.5wins	+0.03per pick	17cpaid	-2.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7795…1db8backed Yes	12c	2,453$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	48	22.9%11 W · 37 L	-0.9wins	-0.02per pick	25cpaid	-21.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdce0…2dafbacked Yes	4c	2,412$101 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$101.25	303	17.2%52 W · 251 L	+8.6wins	+0.03per pick	14cpaid	-5.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9991…9480backed Yes	4c	2,411$87 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$86.97	87	11.5%10 W · 77 L	-2.2wins	-0.03per pick	14cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x875d…25cfbacked Yes	12c	2,336$273 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$273.42	12	16.7%2 W · 10 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	17cpaid	-61.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6b9d…68dbbacked Yes	14c	2,296$331 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$331.28	122	13.9%17 W · 105 L	-4.9wins	-0.04per pick	18cpaid	-46.8%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x723c…01ebbacked Yes	5c	2,282$103 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$103.45	9	0%0 W · 9 L	-0.3wins	-0.04per pick	4cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x72e5…4690backed Yes	8c	2,279$177 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$177.04	39	17.9%7 W · 32 L	+1.5wins	+0.04per pick	14cpaid	-17.1%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3cb0…4c27backed Yes	3c	2,043$71 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70.54	504	5.2%26 W · 478 L	+10.0wins	+0.02per pick	3cpaid	+44.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5c32…377fbacked Yes	23c	2,000$455 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$454.81	19	15.8%3 W · 16 L	-0.5wins	-0.02per pick	18cpaid	-28.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x206b…7d6abacked Yes	2c	2,000$43 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43.5	524	9.9%52 W · 472 L	+15.5wins	+0.03per pick	7cpaid	+64%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x70f8…513dbacked Yes	3c	1,900$57 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$57	74	17.6%13 W · 61 L	-1.1wins	-0.01per pick	19cpaid	+23.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6845…c125backed Yes	4c	1,859$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$79.76	846	16.4%139 W · 707 L	+24.6wins	+0.03per pick	14cpaid	-1.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x80c0…f57ebacked Yes	17c	1,852$308 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$307.68	36	11.1%4 W · 32 L	-2.6wins	-0.07per pick	18cpaid	-51.8%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa59e…06edbacked Yes	3c	1,816$57 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$57.43	49	22.4%11 W · 38 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	23cpaid	-11%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xce31…19c4backed Yes	4c	1,770$78 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$78.01	83	12%10 W · 73 L	+2.6wins	+0.03per pick	9cpaid	+5.6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xefd7…656abacked Yes	6c	1,763$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.06per pick	6cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x471e…b99abacked Yes	3c	1,731$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.78	48	18.8%9 W · 39 L	+2.0wins	+0.04per pick	15cpaid	-3.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x66a1…c2f2backed Yes	6c	1,727$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	118	11%13 W · 105 L	+3.1wins	+0.03per pick	8cpaid	+4.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x36e7…0b6bbacked Yes	7c	1,716$112 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$112.26	248	73%181 W · 67 L	+15.9wins	+0.06per pick	67cpaid	+6.1%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x9973…bc03backed Yes	4c	1,709$68 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$67.93	51	13.7%7 W · 44 L	-1.6wins	-0.03per pick	17cpaid	-28.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x338b…5827backed Yes	5c	1,665$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80.44	296	10.5%31 W · 265 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	10cpaid	-21.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1cf6…9767backed Yes	9c	1,662$147 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$147.25	9	22.2%2 W · 7 L	-1.2wins	-0.14per pick	36cpaid	-58.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4081…cfb0backed Yes	2c	1,657$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.81	134	7.5%10 W · 124 L	+2.5wins	+0.02per pick	6cpaid	+27%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2021…a8d5backed Yes	13c	1,634$213 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$213.06	45	13.3%6 W · 39 L	-1.3wins	-0.03per pick	16cpaid	-32.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9b04…c387backed Yes	4c	1,583$66 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$65.98	15	20%3 W · 12 L	+1.8wins	+0.12per pick	8cpaid	+121.8%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf5e6…fb8ebacked Yes	5c	1,562$84 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$84	28	10.7%3 W · 25 L	-1.6wins	-0.06per pick	17cpaid	-66.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xca8b…dbf5backed Yes	3c	1,559$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	181	16%29 W · 152 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	16cpaid	-23.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x36cb…63d0backed Yes	2c	1,552$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.68	282	11%31 W · 251 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	-21.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xaca2…b9a1backed Yes	6c	1,535$94 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$93.73	541	22.7%123 W · 418 L	+16.6wins	+0.03per pick	20cpaid	+3.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6e59…ab31backed Yes	16c	1,520$238 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$237.81	5	20%1 W · 4 L	-0.6wins	-0.12per pick	32cpaid	-34.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0655…faf8backed Yes	25c	1,504$377 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$376.88	94	20.2%19 W · 75 L	-1.0wins	-0.01per pick	21cpaid	-15.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x679f…7976backed Yes	20c	1,500$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	11	18.2%2 W · 9 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	19cpaid	-25.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1cde…b42abacked Yes	4c	1,500$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55	85	8.2%7 W · 78 L	+1.8wins	+0.02per pick	6cpaid	-38.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3238…1521backed Yes	1c	1,500$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.5	126	6.3%8 W · 118 L	+1.9wins	+0.02per pick	5cpaid	+32.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdddc…9935backed Yes	12c	1,459$169 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$168.79	5	20%1 W · 4 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	20cpaid	-55.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf021…df56backed Yes	8c	1,452$118 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$118	412	30.8%127 W · 285 L	+7.9wins	+0.02per pick	29cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb2c0…c100backed Yes	3c	1,447$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38.51	46	19.6%9 W · 37 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	20cpaid	-38.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x97ff…d095backed No	79c	1,424$1,118 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$306.03	546	75.1%410 W · 136 L	+34.8wins	+0.06per pick	69cpaid	+3.2%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xcf95…7865backed Yes	7c	1,385$99 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$98.74	526	19.8%104 W · 422 L	-2.7wins	-0.01per pick	20cpaid	-24.6%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x7b42…121cbacked Yes	10c	1,347$136 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$135.84	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.2wins	+0.09per pick	41cpaid	-29.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes	6c	1,313$74 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$73.72	996	19.8%197 W · 799 L	-15.9wins	-0.02per pick	21cpaid	-43.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb009…b498backed Yes	2c	1,302$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.75	34	23.5%8 W · 26 L	-0.8wins	-0.02per pick	26cpaid	-40.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xac3f…49f9backed Yes	7c	1,275$90 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$90.34	20	50%10 W · 10 L	+2.6wins	+0.13per pick	37cpaid	+23.9%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xd5f6…7d33backed Yes	2c	1,262$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.96	207	4.3%9 W · 198 L	+2.1wins	+0.01per pick	3cpaid	+5.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3103…ea70backed Yes	8c	1,216$91 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$91.33	139	26.6%37 W · 102 L	-1.5wins	-0.01per pick	28cpaid	-23.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x14f7…eb7ebacked Yes	5c	1,189$59 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$59.47	16	12.5%2 W · 14 L	-0.7wins	-0.04per pick	17cpaid	-54.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1fa7…0b13backed Yes	2c	1,144$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.36	24	20.8%5 W · 19 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	21cpaid	-19.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xcf7a…f989backed Yes	2c	1,113$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23	40	25%10 W · 30 L	+0.8wins	+0.02per pick	23cpaid	-7.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf67c…d506backed Yes	17c	1,106$190 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$190	23	17.4%4 W · 19 L	-2.3wins	-0.10per pick	27cpaid	-56.3%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xcaa0…1df7backed Yes	6c	1,100$64 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$64.1	32	9.4%3 W · 29 L	+0.6wins	+0.02per pick	7cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb84b…95b1backed Yes	6c	1,089$65 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$64.86	23	56.5%13 W · 10 L	+4.4wins	+0.19per pick	37cpaid	+28.6%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0xd42b…48c8backed Yes	3c	1,050$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.24	246	8.5%21 W · 225 L	-2.7wins	-0.01per pick	10cpaid	-23.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x23cc…4f5abacked Yes	11c	1,050$112 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$111.76	827	11%91 W · 736 L	+21.9wins	+0.03per pick	8cpaid	+7.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 26 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from November 14 to November 21, 2025?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event