Tweets · resolved market

Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from November 14 to November 21, 2025?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf5c7ccdae83cc78e5a264374b0aead279317c95a1883f8e27912125073314d40

Rebuilt 19 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Nov 20, 2025, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $1,025,784
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $817,518

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,025,784 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 139 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Tweets
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x0228…a700backed Yes	1c	124,493$990 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$990	26	11.5%3 W · 23 L	+0.5wins	+0.02per pick	9cpaid	-23.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2ee0…f57bbacked Yes	0c	50,000$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	820	6.6%54 W · 766 L	+17.9wins	+0.02per pick	4cpaid	-47.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8b66…02edbacked Yes	0c	30,000$90 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$90	180	9.4%17 W · 163 L	-3.2wins	-0.02per pick	11cpaid	-10.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x67cd…819bbacked Yes	0c	20,954$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.95	2	0%0 W · 2 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe842…27d6backed Yes	0c	17,168$61 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$61.45	532	5.3%28 W · 504 L	+1.6wins	0.00per pick	5cpaid	-68.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes	2c	14,186$226 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$225.94	2,163	3.9%85 W · 2,078 L	+5.8wins	0.00per pick	4cpaid	-35.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xcbbc…b5d0backed Yes	1c	12,800$125 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$124.6	796	6.5%52 W · 744 L	+9.3wins	+0.01per pick	5cpaid	+33.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6a1f…81e6backed Yes	2c	12,076$240 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$240.35	70	5.7%4 W · 66 L	-1.0wins	-0.01per pick	7cpaid	+12.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf8cc…028abacked Yes	1c	10,375$64 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$63.77	1,625	1.9%31 W · 1,594 L	+14.5wins	+0.01per pick	1cpaid	+17.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3cb0…4c27backed Yes	1c	8,594$92 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$91.9	504	5.2%26 W · 478 L	+10.0wins	+0.02per pick	3cpaid	+44.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6be9…3493backed Yes	5c	7,587$383 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$383.43	1,067	8.3%89 W · 978 L	+28.9wins	+0.03per pick	6cpaid	-28.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x24a5…b3bbbacked Yes	0c	7,369$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.75	86	16.3%14 W · 72 L	-1.0wins	-0.01per pick	17cpaid	-35.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbfc6…ce6bbacked Yes	2c	6,796$110 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$109.89	342	3.5%12 W · 330 L	+1.4wins	0.00per pick	3cpaid	+15%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1255…fa6fbacked Yes	3c	6,212$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.3wins	-0.09per pick	9cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3256…830cbacked Yes	1c	5,000$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35	782	8.7%68 W · 714 L	-1.0wins	0.00per pick	9cpaid	-36.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3929…9b32backed Yes	0c	5,000$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	16	12.5%2 W · 14 L	-1.0wins	-0.06per pick	19cpaid	-56.7%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x58f2…a3e2backed Yes	4c	4,518$184 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$184	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.07per pick	7cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe3ff…fe1abacked Yes	1c	4,229$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43.81	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8f66…b986backed Yes	3c	3,856$116 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$115.64	568	17.4%99 W · 469 L	+18.3wins	+0.03per pick	14cpaid	-17.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9b04…c387backed Yes	2c	3,741$87 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$87.47	15	20%3 W · 12 L	+1.8wins	+0.12per pick	8cpaid	+121.8%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa49b…7054backed Yes	4c	3,421$121 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$120.53	2,552	13.1%335 W · 2,217 L	+4.3wins	0.00per pick	13cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xce31…19c4backed Yes	2c	3,412$52 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$51.77	83	12%10 W · 73 L	+2.6wins	+0.03per pick	9cpaid	+5.6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xeaec…5d44backed Yes	1c	3,122$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	12	25%3 W · 9 L	+0.4wins	+0.03per pick	22cpaid	+15.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8f13…daaebacked Yes	6c	3,056$184 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$184.36	62	16.1%10 W · 52 L	-2.1wins	-0.03per pick	20cpaid	-66.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa270…4466backed Yes	3c	2,956$83 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$83	423	12.5%53 W · 370 L	+2.4wins	+0.01per pick	12cpaid	+6.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7795…1db8backed Yes	7c	2,499$170 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$170	48	22.9%11 W · 37 L	-0.9wins	-0.02per pick	25cpaid	-21.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf4d3…9249backed Yes	6c	2,428$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	52	7.7%4 W · 48 L	-1.8wins	-0.04per pick	11cpaid	-60.9%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf8a9…6da5backed Yes	2c	2,382$43 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43	25	8%2 W · 23 L	-1.1wins	-0.05per pick	13cpaid	-15.8%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x35e2…2953backed Yes	1c	2,200$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.6	221	19.9%44 W · 177 L	+6.5wins	+0.03per pick	17cpaid	-2.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe071…2d1abacked Yes	3c	2,178$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	20	25%5 W · 15 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	26cpaid	-17.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x23cc…4f5abacked Yes	1c	2,100$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.9	827	11%91 W · 736 L	+21.9wins	+0.03per pick	8cpaid	+7.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc90b…cb24backed Yes	3c	2,069$52 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$52.24	32	15.6%5 W · 27 L	+0.3wins	+0.01per pick	15cpaid	+1.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x90f1…72c6backed Yes	4c	2,017$84 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$84	624	12.3%77 W · 547 L	+16.2wins	+0.03per pick	10cpaid	+8.7%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5c32…377fbacked Yes	16c	2,010$331 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$331.36	19	15.8%3 W · 16 L	-0.5wins	-0.02per pick	18cpaid	-28.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3013…2cd8backed Yes	1c	2,000$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	261	13.8%36 W · 225 L	-0.5wins	0.00per pick	14cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x66a1…c2f2backed Yes	1c	1,926$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	118	11%13 W · 105 L	+3.1wins	+0.03per pick	8cpaid	+4.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6859…3308backed Yes	6c	1,894$119 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$118.51	7	28.6%2 W · 5 L	+0.4wins	+0.06per pick	23cpaid	-19.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x70f8…513dbacked Yes	2c	1,800$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.58	74	17.6%13 W · 61 L	-1.1wins	-0.01per pick	19cpaid	+23.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa59e…06edbacked Yes	2c	1,710$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.42	49	22.4%11 W · 38 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	23cpaid	-11%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xaf46…8c1dbacked Yes	1c	1,654$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.32	627	13.2%83 W · 544 L	+3.3wins	+0.01per pick	13cpaid	-52.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x931d…dd7abacked Yes	1c	1,642$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.76	26	30.8%8 W · 18 L	+0.5wins	+0.02per pick	29cpaid	+20.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3973…b13ebacked Yes	3c	1,620$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	7	14.3%1 W · 6 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	14cpaid	-71.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe855…a4adbacked Yes	19c	1,610$305 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$304.79	4	50%2 W · 2 L	+0.6wins	+0.15per pick	35cpaid	+46.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x36cb…63d0backed Yes	1c	1,584$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11	282	11%31 W · 251 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	-21.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x560b…85d7backed Yes	2c	1,578$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.92	4	25%1 W · 3 L	+0.9wins	+0.23per pick	2cpaid	+1,061%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x679f…7976backed Yes	13c	1,561$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	11	18.2%2 W · 9 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	19cpaid	-25.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1b69…16d4backed Yes	4c	1,551$66 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$66.05	223	27.8%62 W · 161 L	-7.6wins	-0.03per pick	31cpaid	-20.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb107…2d5ebacked Yes	2c	1,530$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-0.1wins	-0.03per pick	3cpaid	-100%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x67ef…990abacked Yes	4c	1,500$57 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$57	732	15.2%111 W · 621 L	+11.7wins	+0.02per pick	14cpaid	+7.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcfbb…9e7cbacked Yes	2c	1,434$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.56	18	16.7%3 W · 15 L	+1.1wins	+0.06per pick	10cpaid	+62.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfd9d…a2adbacked Yes	1c	1,392$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.5	2	0%0 W · 2 L	0.0wins	-0.02per pick	2cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb2c0…c100backed Yes	1c	1,333$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.34	46	19.6%9 W · 37 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	20cpaid	-38.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbea3…e34fbacked Yes	1c	1,266$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.71	68	14.7%10 W · 58 L	+1.6wins	+0.02per pick	12cpaid	+18.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc98b…6430backed Yes	2c	1,264$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	32	25%8 W · 24 L	-0.7wins	-0.02per pick	27cpaid	-43.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x67b6…568ebacked Yes	2c	1,258$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.64	39	15.4%6 W · 33 L	-2.7wins	-0.07per pick	22cpaid	-47.1%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf021…df56backed Yes	5c	1,213$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	412	30.8%127 W · 285 L	+7.9wins	+0.02per pick	29cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf67c…d506backed Yes	2c	1,179$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	23	17.4%4 W · 19 L	-2.3wins	-0.10per pick	27cpaid	-56.3%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa0c4…a567backed Yes	1c	1,114$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	17	0%0 W · 17 L	-1.3wins	-0.07per pick	7cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes	2c	1,088$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.52	996	19.8%197 W · 799 L	-15.9wins	-0.02per pick	21cpaid	-43.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbd9c…5528backed Yes	1c	1,038$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	9	11.1%1 W · 8 L	-0.8wins	-0.08per pick	20cpaid	-85.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcf07…4b64backed Yes	13c	1,030$130 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$130	16	12.5%2 W · 14 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	13cpaid	-33.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xcaa0…1df7backed Yes	2c	1,004$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.79	32	9.4%3 W · 29 L	+0.6wins	+0.02per pick	7cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf33d…9554backed Yes	1c	1,000$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	12	0%0 W · 12 L	-0.3wins	-0.02per pick	2cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc164…74d4backed Yes	10c	1,000$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	13	46.2%6 W · 7 L	+2.2wins	+0.17per pick	29cpaid	+32%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xcb73…8890backed Yes	5c	999.96$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	30	10%3 W · 27 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	10cpaid	-30.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xde9d…35f8backed Yes	5c	884$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47.98	35	11.4%4 W · 31 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	+24.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xfd9d…aaa3backed Yes	2c	880.43$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-1.4wins	-0.29per pick	29cpaid	-100%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x64e3…e3f5backed Yes	2c	856.12$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.2	42	14.3%6 W · 36 L	+0.9wins	+0.02per pick	12cpaid	+34.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc6a1…b1ecbacked Yes	5c	854.54$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39	69	13%9 W · 60 L	+1.3wins	+0.02per pick	11cpaid	+13.9%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xdde3…2bbbbacked Yes	2c	833.72$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.3wins	-0.17per pick	17cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe9f4…e234backed Yes	2c	796.96$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.9	13	23.1%3 W · 10 L	+0.5wins	+0.04per pick	19cpaid	+125.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x033e…34c6backed Yes	2c	795.73$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.02	25	16%4 W · 21 L	+1.2wins	+0.05per pick	11cpaid	+12.7%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd442…d2edbacked Yes	2c	750.61$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.6wins	-0.30per pick	30cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x76f6…bbacbacked Yes	3c	727.68$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.44	10	0%0 W · 10 L	-1.0wins	-0.10per pick	10cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5040…df4abacked Yes	4c	726.49$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26	33	6.1%2 W · 31 L	-1.1wins	-0.03per pick	9cpaid	-55.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd3d3…bb8ebacked Yes	3c	716.25$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	17	17.6%3 W · 14 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	17cpaid	+23.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x15c2…ebc0backed Yes	3c	651.46$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18	212	11.8%25 W · 187 L	-8.2wins	-0.04per pick	16cpaid	-31.3%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb19f…25a8backed Yes	5c	649.47$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-0.7wins	-0.15per pick	15cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2c04…7031backed Yes	18c	628$114 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$114.3	6	0%0 W · 6 L	-1.3wins	-0.21per pick	21cpaid	-100%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9973…bc03backed Yes	2c	605.9$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.02	51	13.7%7 W · 44 L	-1.6wins	-0.03per pick	17cpaid	-28.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x14f7…eb7ebacked Yes	7c	594$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	16	12.5%2 W · 14 L	-0.7wins	-0.04per pick	17cpaid	-54.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x952c…be27backed Yes	5c	587.49$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.37	68	22.1%15 W · 53 L	+1.2wins	+0.02per pick	20cpaid	-37.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x70be…2c90backed Yes	19c	539.23$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	40	30%12 W · 28 L	+0.5wins	+0.01per pick	29cpaid	+28.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbd11…3401backed Yes	2c	526.32$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	37	8.1%3 W · 34 L	-3.3wins	-0.09per pick	17cpaid	-60.4%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc366…956cbacked Yes	2c	511.86$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.77	16	12.5%2 W · 14 L	-1.0wins	-0.06per pick	19cpaid	-62.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8e40…5f04backed Yes	3c	500$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.4	31	29%9 W · 22 L	-1.3wins	-0.04per pick	33cpaid	-47.4%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2021…a8d5backed Yes	11c	499.95$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$54.99	45	13.3%6 W · 39 L	-1.3wins	-0.03per pick	16cpaid	-32.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2b26…b3f6backed Yes	16c	486.66$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80	10	10%1 W · 9 L	-1.0wins	-0.10per pick	20cpaid	-67.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbbaf…2833backed Yes	6c	471.79$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.87	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	+0.1wins	+0.05per pick	29cpaid	-37.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8daa…89d6backed Yes	2c	452.66$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	17	17.6%3 W · 14 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	17cpaid	-15.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb2f9…eb15backed Yes	8c	451.57$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34	6	50%3 W · 3 L	+1.6wins	+0.27per pick	23cpaid	+68.8%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x62d7…7e85backed Yes	18c	419.93$74 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$73.59	89	7.9%7 W · 82 L	-4.4wins	-0.05per pick	13cpaid	-42.1%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x49f1…fe4ebacked Yes	8c	403.2$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.24	14	14.3%2 W · 12 L	-0.3wins	-0.02per pick	16cpaid	-65.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfc3e…776bbacked Yes	6c	403.06$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.79	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	+0.3wins	+0.09per pick	24cpaid	-46.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe159…18a5backed Yes	20c	402.43$81 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$81.02	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-1.4wins	-0.48per pick	48cpaid	-100%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x098c…e4e1backed Yes	5c	399.99$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19	98	16.3%16 W · 82 L	+2.0wins	+0.02per pick	14cpaid	-6.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6b9d…68dbbacked Yes	19c	387$72 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$72.4	122	13.9%17 W · 105 L	-4.9wins	-0.04per pick	18cpaid	-46.8%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3db2…960abacked Yes	3c	373.85$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.03per pick	3cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x223f…1d96backed Yes	4c	367.01$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.79	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-0.2wins	-0.05per pick	5cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0684…d593backed Yes	14c	320$46 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45.6	35	11.4%4 W · 31 L	-1.4wins	-0.04per pick	16cpaid	-27.3%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 26 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from November 14 to November 21, 2025?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event