TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x033e…34c6

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
84
Categories scored
16
Categories below 50
11

Best Category: Tweets, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category Tweets at 53 out of 100; worst AI at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Dec 25, 2025, EST2516%4 W · 21 L+1.2wins+0.05per pick11cpaid+12.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Tweets — the 25 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from December 19 to December 26, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST-100%-$13
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from December 12 to December 19, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST-100%-$29.02
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from December 12 to December 19, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST-100%-$63.12
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from December 12 to December 19, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST-100%-$13.1
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from December 9 to December 16, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST-100%-$25.8
Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from December 5 to December 12, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST-100%-$13.07
Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from December 5 to December 12, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST-100%-$18.7
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from November 28 to December 5, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST-100%-$19.8
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from November 28 to December 5, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST+454.4%+$65.56
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from November 21 to November 28, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST-100%-$97.29
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from November 21 to November 28, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST-100%-$38.5
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from November 21 to November 28, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$113Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST-100%-$112.66
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from November 18 to November 25, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST-100%-$39.87
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from November 18 to November 25, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST+451%+$65.48
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from November 14 to November 21, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST-100%-$17.28
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from November 14 to November 21, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST-100%-$71.98
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from November 14 to November 21, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST-100%-$39.05
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from November 14 to November 21, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST+46.3%+$20.58
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from November 14 to November 21, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 20, 2025, EST-100%-$16.02
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from November 11 to November 18, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$235Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$235.49
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from November 11 to November 18, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$127Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$126.92
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from November 11 to November 18, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$14.75
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from November 11 to November 18, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$11.78
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from November 7 to November 14, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$294Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST-100%-$293.74
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from November 7 to November 14, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST+1,465.9%+$1,081.21
All 25 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Dec 27, 2025, EST1612.5%2 W · 14 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick12cpaid-65.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Epstein blackmail evidence released in 2025? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$22.89
Will Trump admin release any Epstein files on December 19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST+257.1%+$30
Will Trump disparage Zohran Mamdani on Friday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$11.4
Will Trump say "ICE" during Mamdani events on November 21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST+100%+$15
Will Trump sign the Epstein Disclosure Bill on November 23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 20, 2025, EST-100%-$10.5
Will Trump sign the Epstein Disclosure Bill on November 29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST-100%-$11.4
Will Trump sign the Epstein Disclosure Bill on November 27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST-100%-$14.48
Will Trump sign the Epstein Disclosure Bill on November 26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Will Trump sign the Epstein Disclosure Bill on November 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST-100%-$15.13
Will Trump sign the Epstein Disclosure Bill on November 24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST-100%-$10.24
Will Trump sign the Epstein Disclosure Bill on November 25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST-100%-$14.37
Will Trump sign the Epstein Disclosure Bill on November 21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST-100%-$16.58
Will the government shutdown end November 16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$27
Will the government shutdown end November 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$79.79
Will the government shutdown end November 12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$11.4
Will the Government shutdown end November 8-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$145Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST-100%-$144.67
All 16 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Dec 26, 2025, EST966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+20.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Israel strike Gaza on December 24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST-100%-$24.16
Will Israel strike Lebanon on December 23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST+27.3%+$11.92
Will Israel strike Lebanon on December 24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST-100%-$38.34
Will Israel strike Lebanon on December 21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+33.9%+$15.2
Will Israel strike Lebanon on December 17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$107Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST-100%-$107.07
Will Israel strike Gaza on December 17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST+70.8%+$16.58
Will Israel strike Lebanon on December 18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST+46.6%+$8.84
Will Israel strike Gaza on November 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST+89%+$10.1
Will Israel strike Gaza on November 12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST+220.3%+$31.45
All 9 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Dec 24, 2025, EST837.5%3 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick33cpaid-29.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Nasry Juan Asfura Zablah win the 2025 Honduran presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST+80.9%+$24.6
Will Nasry Juan Asfura Zablah finish in second place in the 2025 Honduras presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST-100%-$24.78
Will Salvador Alejandro César Nasralla Salum finish in second place in the 2025 Honduras presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST+89.9%+$11.83
Will Rixi Ramona Moncada Godoy win the 2025 Honduras presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST-100%-$27.08
Will Salvador Nasralla win the 2025 Honduras presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST-100%-$34.15
Will Nasry Juan Asfura Zablah win the 2025 Honduras presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST+96.6%+$52.15
Will turnout in the 2025 Bucharest mayoral by-election be between 34% and 36%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST-100%-$13.75
Will Daniel Baluta be the next Mayor of Bucharest?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$17.9
All 8 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST70%0 W · 7 L-1.7wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
AI — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Weather Inactivelast resolved Nov 12, 2025, EST40%0 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Weather — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Nov 27, 2025, EST30%0 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Movies Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Movies — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Nov 25, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.18per pick68cpaid-32.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Tennessee Volunteers vs. Houston Cougarsbacked Houston Cougars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST-100%-$12.4
North Carolina State Wolfpack vs. Boise State Broncosbacked North Carolina State Wolfpack · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST+35.1%+$5.2
All 2 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 4, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved Nov 22, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+78.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC Fight Night: Topuria vs. Almakhan (Bantamweight, Prelims)backed Topuria · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+78.6%+$8.8
All 1 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jan 4, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Stocks — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$83Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$83.1
All 1 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Dec 17, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2025, EST-100%-$47
All 1 picks, newest first.
F1 Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
F1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Max Verstappen be the 2025 Drivers Champion?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$226Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$226.39
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Dec 10, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Fed Cut–Pause–Cut in the next three decisions (Oct–Dec–Jan)?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$16.65
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Nov 5, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.65per pick65cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Barcelona win on 2025-11-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$13
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.