Tweets · resolved market
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from November 28 to December 5, 2025?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf1d825233c46fc137681fbf56e26c34f8f2069f3e1aa75c794fa2fe8fcc532a5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,897,588
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,684,936
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,897,588 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 875 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tweets | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe842…27d6backed No | 1c | 81,839$422 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$421.6 | 532 | 5.3%28 W · 504 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 5cpaid | -68.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6964…ef53backed Yes | 32c | 57,127$17,998 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39,128.93 | 662 | 22.2%147 W · 515 L | -34.7wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -58.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x849c…4009backed Yes | 13c | 55,803$7,003 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48,799.17 | 1,780 | 7.4%132 W · 1,648 L | -23.1wins | -0.01per pick | 9cpaid | -66.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa4a…4f22backed Yes | 19c | 42,569$8,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34,418.94 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.81per pick | 19cpaid | +422.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x265f…a448backed Yes | 18c | 35,004$6,225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28,778.5 | 285 | 34.4%98 W · 187 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x630d…3a93backed Yes | 3c | 20,152$675 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,477.12 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.27per pick | 6cpaid | +895.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca6e…46f2backed Yes | 22c | 17,538$3,811 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,726.75 | 481 | 6.7%32 W · 449 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 6cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e60…9e3fbacked Yes | 17c | 13,429$2,299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,129.88 | 37 | 21.6%8 W · 29 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ee0…f57bbacked Yes | 17c | 12,966$2,152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,814.05 | 820 | 6.6%54 W · 766 L | +17.9wins | +0.02per pick | 4cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3e…d34ebacked Yes | 3c | 11,573$378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,195.28 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.9wins | +0.95per pick | 5cpaid | +2,147.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x551a…7a72backed Yes | 4c | 10,173$430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,742.26 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.27per pick | 6cpaid | +688%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b69…16d4backed Yes | 17c | 9,291$1,620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,670.83 | 223 | 27.8%62 W · 161 L | -7.6wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Yes | 30c | 9,081$2,739 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,342.34 | 52 | 40.4%21 W · 31 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15c2…ebc0backed Yes | 18c | 8,755$1,585 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,169.56 | 212 | 11.8%25 W · 187 L | -8.2wins | -0.04per pick | 16cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce40…da67backed Yes | 18c | 8,685$1,556 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,129.16 | 538 | 17.3%93 W · 445 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x701c…4615backed Yes | 22c | 8,591$1,930 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,661.18 | 64 | 17.2%11 W · 53 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36e7…0b6bbacked No | 71c | 8,186$5,810 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,809.82 | 246 | 72.8%179 W · 67 L | +15.5wins | +0.06per pick | 66cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaa01…f1dfbacked Yes | 25c | 7,885$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,884.71 | 246 | 6.1%15 W · 231 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 7cpaid | -53.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39aa…583cbacked Yes | 31c | 7,848$2,452 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,396.42 | 592 | 25.3%150 W · 442 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb8…d906backed No | 62c | 7,772$4,830 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,830.09 | 234 | 64.5%151 W · 83 L | +23.0wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7879…822abacked Yes | 20c | 7,640$1,545 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,095.35 | 23 | 17.4%4 W · 19 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ddf…2c83backed Yes | 40c | 7,530$3,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,490.22 | 53 | 11.3%6 W · 47 L | -3.5wins | -0.07per pick | 18cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa638…1d87backed No | 64c | 7,343$4,664 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,664.27 | 293 | 31.7%93 W · 200 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcbbc…b5d0backed Yes | 21c | 7,297$1,540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,756.65 | 796 | 6.5%52 W · 744 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 5cpaid | +33.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca8b…dbf5backed Yes | 27c | 7,099$1,924 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,174.83 | 181 | 16%29 W · 152 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 16cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd8fc…49d7backed Yes | 18c | 6,466$1,132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,334.21 | 92 | 41.3%38 W · 54 L | +5.0wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a58…7e08backed Yes | 18c | 6,428$1,170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,257.62 | 140 | 9.3%13 W · 127 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 10cpaid | +642.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0744…b4cbbacked Yes | 18c | 6,387$1,151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,235.93 | 73 | 13.7%10 W · 63 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 16cpaid | -22%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0654…fabdbacked Yes | 15c | 5,968$883 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,084.26 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -1.5wins | -0.11per pick | 34cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f66…b986backed Yes | 8c | 5,966$505 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,461.42 | 568 | 17.4%99 W · 469 L | +18.3wins | +0.03per pick | 14cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16a0…2f60backed Yes | 47c | 5,564$2,596 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,967.94 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x97ff…d095backed No | 69c | 5,263$3,628 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,628.41 | 542 | 74.9%406 W · 136 L | +34.0wins | +0.06per pick | 69cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x552c…be63backed Yes | 14c | 5,259$718 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,540.43 | 143 | 14%20 W · 123 L | +5.3wins | +0.04per pick | 10cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbbef…7de2backed Yes | 37c | 5,197$1,907 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,289.52 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 18cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbac4…1ab2backed Yes | 2c | 5,000$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,899.99 | 457 | 15.1%69 W · 388 L | -12.5wins | -0.03per pick | 18cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaca2…b9a1backed Yes | 6c | 4,838$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,539.56 | 541 | 22.7%123 W · 418 L | +16.6wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc6ad…47a8backed Yes | 15c | 4,820$738 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,082.3 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.26per pick | 34cpaid | +96.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b2b…5072backed Yes | 38c | 4,741$1,811 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,930.1 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c54…1d08backed Yes | 19c | 4,670$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,769.38 | 64 | 18.8%12 W · 52 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a5b…64ccbacked Yes | 47c | 4,255$1,997 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,258.02 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x913c…d100backed Yes | 44c | 4,223$1,853 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,370.28 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2982…5a7cbacked Yes | 25c | 4,066$1,001 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,065.03 | 31 | 25.8%8 W · 23 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb6b…943abacked Yes | 37c | 4,000$1,466 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,534.11 | 38 | 36.8%14 W · 24 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf529…4fc0backed Yes | 16c | 3,957$615 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,341.29 | 55 | 14.5%8 W · 47 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 19cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd1f…cc26backed Yes | 19c | 3,898$760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,138.33 | 499 | 19%95 W · 404 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 19cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d52…0ababacked Yes | 23c | 3,873$874 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,998.21 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +121.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6aca…c734backed No | 73c | 3,808$2,775 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,775.11 | 63 | 22.2%14 W · 49 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf416…6ec9backed No | 75c | 3,758$2,804 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,803.54 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 73cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4333…1f57backed No | 56c | 3,756$2,104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,104.48 | 169 | 69.2%117 W · 52 L | +17.6wins | +0.10per pick | 59cpaid | +13%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1af0…d21fbacked Yes | 11c | 3,666$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,245.38 | 285 | 9.1%26 W · 259 L | +7.2wins | +0.03per pick | 7cpaid | +30.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48f3…104fbacked Yes | 50c | 3,542$1,762 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,780.88 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -45.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16d6…7268backed Yes | 35c | 3,436$1,196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,240.76 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa553…3eaebacked Yes | 8c | 3,425$278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,147.45 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 14cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3256…830cbacked Yes | 21c | 3,376$717 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,658.72 | 781 | 8.7%68 W · 713 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 9cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe572…6241backed Yes | 15c | 3,219$491 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,728.11 | 33 | 12.1%4 W · 29 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -25%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0234…62dabacked Yes | 20c | 3,205$630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,574.32 | 31 | 16.1%5 W · 26 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 19cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1018…7264backed No | 77c | 3,106$2,390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,389.68 | 89 | 24.7%22 W · 67 L | -8.0wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1b0c…1a42backed Yes | 23c | 3,105$710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,394.82 | 155 | 20%31 W · 124 L | +6.0wins | +0.04per pick | 16cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5c9…96c3backed Yes | 6c | 3,084$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,891 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.80per pick | 20cpaid | +849.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2d8c…26e9backed No | 76c | 3,074$2,335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,334.6 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.24per pick | 74cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8114…085abacked Yes | 18c | 3,023$535 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,487.32 | 127 | 14.2%18 W · 109 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 14cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x68c9…4c60backed Yes | 56c | 2,968$1,668 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,299.15 | 87 | 42.5%37 W · 50 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcfa6…da4fbacked Yes | 16c | 2,863$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,402.9 | 32 | 15.6%5 W · 27 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 21cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb100…673fbacked Yes | 39c | 2,856$1,114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,741.92 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +110.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3986…01fdbacked Yes | 36c | 2,847$1,036 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,810.96 | 206 | 8.7%18 W · 188 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 10cpaid | -42.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee3e…ebb5backed No | 72c | 2,842$2,055 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,055.03 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.9wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6a97…4800backed Yes | 29c | 2,830$814 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,015.23 | 686 | 15.7%108 W · 578 L | -18.0wins | -0.03per pick | 18cpaid | -40%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c28…40e7backed No | 77c | 2,771$2,146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,146.14 | 29 | 17.2%5 W · 24 L | -3.0wins | -0.10per pick | 28cpaid | -47.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfd5c…6d2abacked No | 70c | 2,653$1,858 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,858.47 | 625 | 39.5%247 W · 378 L | +48.1wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8981…ce82backed No | 73c | 2,588$1,887 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,887.41 | 181 | 63%114 W · 67 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ec…daabbacked Yes | 11c | 2,533$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,262.54 | 35 | 14.3%5 W · 30 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6a1…b1ecbacked Yes | 22c | 2,506$552 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,954.49 | 69 | 13%9 W · 60 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 11cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2a9…4cbdbacked Yes | 25c | 2,500$612 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,887.49 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5339…f4c4backed Yes | 30c | 2,475$743 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,732.27 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.70per pick | 30cpaid | +233.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…783dbacked Yes | 8c | 2,440$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,249.45 | 35 | 28.6%10 W · 25 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7db…feb0backed No | 64c | 2,429$1,552 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,552.46 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.16per pick | 33cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5095…93eebacked Yes | 32c | 2,354$747 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,606.97 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.12per pick | 26cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9310…5e55backed Yes | 31c | 2,338$735 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,602.93 | 50 | 18%9 W · 41 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe343…23fdbacked Yes | 32c | 2,301$741 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,560 | 154 | 35.1%54 W · 100 L | +6.7wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f0…58dfbacked Yes | 13c | 2,272$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,972.1 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +9.2wins | +0.37per pick | 11cpaid | +624.5%equal weight | 70+0.18 edge/pick |
| 0x7529…5cd7backed Yes | 26c | 2,220$582 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,638.04 | 147 | 18.4%27 W · 120 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | +5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6291…cc47backed No | 68c | 2,219$1,513 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,512.8 | 25 | 12%3 W · 22 L | -2.6wins | -0.10per pick | 22cpaid | -67.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x892c…46cfbacked Yes | 9c | 2,218$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,018.16 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.22per pick | 3cpaid | +177.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x098c…e4e1backed Yes | 20c | 2,200$449 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,751 | 98 | 16.3%16 W · 82 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 14cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51f0…5c1cbacked Yes | 19c | 2,122$397 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,725.62 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 13cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67ff…721fbacked Yes | 20c | 2,100$421 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,679.3 | 79 | 12.7%10 W · 69 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x790e…989bbacked Yes | 24c | 2,031$479 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,551.89 | 67 | 22.4%15 W · 52 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fed…d914backed Yes | 18c | 2,029$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,654.33 | 57 | 15.8%9 W · 48 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -54.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc11e…75c8backed Yes | 12c | 2,026$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,785.18 | 78 | 9%7 W · 71 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 6cpaid | +40.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd70…d270backed Yes | 24c | 2,016$492 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,523.95 | 751 | 22.2%167 W · 584 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6df5…6430backed Yes | 2c | 2,000$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,958 | 455 | 11.6%53 W · 402 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 10cpaid | +104.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed Yes | 27c | 1,967$526 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,440.56 | 186 | 8.6%16 W · 170 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -76.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1db9…a43bbacked No | 78c | 1,967$1,535 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,535.44 | 238 | 19.3%46 W · 192 L | -6.2wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -25%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90f1…72c6backed Yes | 3c | 1,964$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,896.11 | 624 | 12.3%77 W · 547 L | +16.2wins | +0.03per pick | 10cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cf7…aba5backed Yes | 8c | 1,951$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,787.16 | 31 | 22.6%7 W · 24 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 19cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 5c | 1,922$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,826.26 | 2,160 | 3.9%85 W · 2,075 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9ac…c5d1backed Yes | 30c | 1,897$577 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,319.9 | 108 | 17.6%19 W · 89 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | +58.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x063a…eb4bbacked Yes | 12c | 1,894$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,669.16 | 36 | 33.3%12 W · 24 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | +101.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1c…aebebacked Yes | 21c | 1,863$397 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,465.78 | 131 | 21.4%28 W · 103 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1420…8f14backed Yes | 25c | 1,766$448 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,317.66 | 66 | 27.3%18 W · 48 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 23 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from November 28 to December 5, 2025?this page
- Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from November 28 to December 5, 2025?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from November 28 to December 5, 2025?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from November 28 to December 5, 2025?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from November 28 to December 5, 2025?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from November 28 to December 5, 2025?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 20-39 tweets from November 28 to December 5, 2025?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from November 28 to December 5, 2025?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from November 28 to December 5, 2025?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from November 28 to December 5, 2025?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from November 28 to December 5, 2025?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from November 28 to December 5, 2025?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from November 28 to December 5, 2025?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from November 28 to December 5, 2025?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from November 28 to December 5, 2025?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from November 28 to December 5, 2025?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from November 28 to December 5, 2025?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from November 28 to December 5, 2025?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from November 28 to December 5, 2025?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from November 28 to December 5, 2025?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from November 28 to December 5, 2025?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from November 28 to December 5, 2025?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from November 28 to December 5, 2025?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.