UFC · resolved market
UFC Fight Night: Topuria vs. Almakhan (Bantamweight, Prelims)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf3deaf65f90d3edebe1bc3ae03abee8e547cb72d0b025d6810d29a99347321c0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Topuriaof Topuria, Almakhan
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- UFCevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $614,000
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $720,099
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $614,000 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 473 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in UFC is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in UFC | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Almakhan | 46c | 52,398$24,022 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,021.63 | 89 | 40.4%36 W · 53 L | +4.9wins | +0.06per pick | 35cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x68dd…f0b2backed Almakhan | 42c | 40,046$16,994 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,994.04 | 54 | 40.7%22 W · 32 L | -4.2wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf2f6…5817backed Topuria | 55c | 35,167$19,190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,976.61 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +2.1wins | +0.16per pick | 53cpaid | +31.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2c57…c94dbacked Almakhan | 44c | 34,412$15,141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,141.48 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecdf…6c07backed Topuria | 55c | 34,379$18,908 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,470.42 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Almakhan | 45c | 31,357$14,256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,255.62 | 160 | 49.4%79 W · 81 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3850…c4b4backed Topuria | 56c | 30,000$16,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,200 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.29per pick | 46cpaid | +48%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb27…c56ebacked Topuria | 54c | 25,459$13,748 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,711.25 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad1b…5da0backed Almakhan | 1c | 20,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e1…5ad0backed Almakhan | 42c | 19,599$8,317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,317.45 | 288 | 49.7%143 W · 145 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef58…7b1bbacked Almakhan | 45c | 19,551$8,798 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,797.58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0fd…a346backed Topuria | 59c | 17,476$10,310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,166.27 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -1.8wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcc3f…5c6fbacked Almakhan | 10c | 16,089$1,609 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,609.18 | 48 | 35.4%17 W · 31 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -20%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90f7…6533backed Topuria | 56c | 16,062$9,043 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,019.24 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 26cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac0d…b006backed Topuria | 50c | 14,625$7,312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,312.34 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41b4…de82backed Almakhan | 9c | 12,815$1,152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,151.99 | 105 | 22.9%24 W · 81 L | -4.0wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbad…9c95backed Almakhan | 43c | 11,030$4,743 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,742.73 | 191 | 54.5%104 W · 87 L | +14.9wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +13%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe734…8f6abacked Topuria | 55c | 10,000$5,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,500 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.28per pick | 47cpaid | +32.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf635…e876backed Almakhan | 46c | 10,000$4,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,600 | 66 | 45.5%30 W · 36 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe12a…67efbacked Almakhan | 46c | 10,000$4,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,599.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x445e…9be0backed Almakhan | 45c | 10,000$4,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,499.98 | 177 | 52%92 W · 85 L | -5.8wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Almakhan | 45c | 10,000$4,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,499.9 | 300 | 39.3%118 W · 182 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b3d…7422backed Almakhan | 44c | 9,267$4,086 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,086.48 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -2.4wins | -0.22per pick | 58cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x03ac…4f55backed Topuria | 54c | 9,077$4,902 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,175.42 | 267 | 43.8%117 W · 150 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c0…722ebacked Almakhan | 44c | 8,389$3,730 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,730.39 | 75 | 45.3%34 W · 41 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b6d…f95bbacked Topuria | 57c | 8,144$4,670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,474.22 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 33cpaid | -57.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x847e…0a75backed Topuria | 54c | 7,087$3,827 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,260.21 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe916…4563backed Topuria | 57c | 7,018$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,017.54 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcbb5…5ed9backed Topuria | 54c | 6,781$3,678 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,103.04 | 46 | 65.2%30 W · 16 L | +4.6wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x85d9…717bbacked Topuria | 54c | 6,701$3,618 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,082.27 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf754…b2c4backed Topuria | 55c | 6,296$3,463 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,833.23 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d9…c051backed Almakhan | 45c | 6,289$2,830 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,830 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe51f…473dbacked Almakhan | 6c | 5,480$314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$314 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xafba…e61bbacked Almakhan | 44c | 5,271$2,319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,319.3 | 352 | 53.1%187 W · 165 L | +27.7wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdecc…9d36backed Topuria | 57c | 5,270$3,004 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,266.1 | 169 | 51.5%87 W · 82 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7bf4…8860backed Topuria | 54c | 5,000$2,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,299.99 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef38…ae8cbacked Almakhan | 44c | 5,000$2,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,199.98 | 64 | 53.1%34 W · 30 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a61…f44cbacked Topuria | 61c | 4,830$2,932 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,898.26 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +44.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1dc8…4c1dbacked Topuria | 55c | 4,818$2,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,168.17 | 210 | 44.8%94 W · 116 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75c4…4cd0backed Topuria | 57c | 4,500$2,565 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,935 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +77%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ea…380dbacked Topuria | 55c | 4,262$2,344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,917.82 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +2.8wins | +0.21per pick | 48cpaid | +54.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7709…c73abacked Topuria | 57c | 3,936$2,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,695.59 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.24per pick | 57cpaid | -48.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x50dd…c186backed Topuria | 55c | 3,829$2,106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,723.03 | 65 | 33.8%22 W · 43 L | -4.3wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Almakhan | 45c | 3,805$1,696 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,696.02 | 180 | 38.9%70 W · 110 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b1e…65c1backed Almakhan | 46c | 3,720$1,711 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,711.19 | 62 | 40.3%25 W · 37 L | -3.5wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd161…4cc1backed Topuria | 56c | 3,600$2,016 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,583.99 | 309 | 64.7%200 W · 109 L | +24.5wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2eb1…830cbacked Topuria | 55c | 3,600$1,980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,619.99 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x915d…65f9backed Almakhan | 44c | 3,420$1,504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,503.98 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -3.8wins | -0.18per pick | 42cpaid | -49.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x22ed…002bbacked Topuria | 55c | 3,330$1,832 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,497.81 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4612…d4b2backed Topuria | 59c | 3,075$1,814 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,260.58 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +52.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42b5…b5b6backed Almakhan | 45c | 3,000$1,360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,359.99 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9416…991bbacked Topuria | 57c | 3,000$1,710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,289.99 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb44…e977backed Topuria | 54c | 2,980$1,596 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,383.92 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a55…394ebacked Almakhan | 44c | 2,786$1,218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,218.46 | 56 | 53.6%30 W · 26 L | +5.5wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8efe…7b44backed Topuria | 56c | 2,588$1,449 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,138.5 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7865…28a8backed Topuria | 56c | 2,586$1,442 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,143.46 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0c3dbacked Topuria | 54c | 2,565$1,385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,179.7 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.30per pick | 37cpaid | +69.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30b8…f41fbacked Almakhan | 44c | 2,560$1,138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,138.18 | 77 | 36.4%28 W · 49 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81f5…70afbacked Almakhan | 44c | 2,500$1,110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,110 | 162 | 47.5%77 W · 85 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2bc7…e411backed Almakhan | 46c | 2,500$1,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,149.98 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0de3…8383backed Topuria | 57c | 2,496$1,420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,075.91 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 68cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa107…1ffcbacked Topuria | 56c | 2,493$1,396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,096.86 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.31per pick | 35cpaid | +118.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Topuria | 56c | 2,344$1,313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,031.4 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | -2.8wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ca…a175backed Almakhan | 45c | 2,329$1,043 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,042.99 | 202 | 33.7%68 W · 134 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…767cbacked Topuria | 54c | 2,304$1,244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,059.9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4da5…e32ebacked Almakhan | 45c | 2,200$990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$990 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.21per pick | 37cpaid | +67%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x34cf…7188backed Topuria | 57c | 2,173$1,230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$943.29 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -2.3wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9c95…ed41backed Topuria | 55c | 2,102$1,156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$945.83 | 82 | 20.7%17 W · 65 L | -12.6wins | -0.15per pick | 36cpaid | -48%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x1bdf…64c3backed Topuria | 56c | 2,025$1,133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$891.75 | 60 | 60%36 W · 24 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7455…93adbacked Almakhan | 40c | 2,000$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 195 | 31.8%62 W · 133 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb52c…450cbacked Topuria | 57c | 1,973$1,125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$848.36 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -2.2wins | -0.32per pick | 60cpaid | -56.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4964…4e66backed Topuria | 58c | 1,871$1,089 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$782.14 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ff5…f136backed Topuria | 55c | 1,818$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$818.18 | 59 | 59.3%35 W · 24 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96ca…5a71backed Topuria | 56c | 1,786$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$785.71 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | -4.9wins | -0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x80f0…68e1backed Topuria | 56c | 1,786$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$785.71 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.35per pick | 40cpaid | +87.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1375…4c69backed Almakhan | 43c | 1,744$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 70 | 40%28 W · 42 L | -3.6wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa263…6cf0backed Topuria | 58c | 1,724$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$724.14 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa253…7630backed Almakhan | 46c | 1,643$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750.18 | 52 | 40.4%21 W · 31 L | -3.7wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -15%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbb58…86a4backed Almakhan | 45c | 1,610$725 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$724.5 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +2.2wins | +0.11per pick | 37cpaid | +50%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa4a1…4799backed Topuria | 56c | 1,351$754 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$596.52 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad6a…9dbdbacked Topuria | 55c | 1,302$716 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$585.9 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ce…0772backed Almakhan | 42c | 1,131$475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$475.22 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.11per pick | 64cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb31e…c120backed Almakhan | 42c | 1,121$471 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470.87 | 156 | 41%64 W · 92 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Almakhan | 43c | 1,114$475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$474.69 | 420 | 42.6%179 W · 241 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8056…b64dbacked Almakhan | 46c | 1,100$502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$501.92 | 261 | 40.6%106 W · 155 L | -9.8wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Almakhan | 45c | 1,088$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$489.81 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6dd6…f5f4backed Topuria | 69c | 1,061$727 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.66 | 539 | 56.6%305 W · 234 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6977…394abacked Almakhan | 44c | 1,048$462 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$461.58 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x477f…6c45backed Almakhan | 44c | 1,019$448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$448.18 | 280 | 43.2%121 W · 159 L | +10.6wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd685…8be9backed Topuria | 57c | 1,000$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430 | 87 | 51.7%45 W · 42 L | +4.0wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x06a9…3b80backed Almakhan | 43c | 1,000$427 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$427 | 37 | 32.4%12 W · 25 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9363…3608backed Topuria | 54c | 1,000$542 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$458.5 | 64 | 62.5%40 W · 24 L | +5.7wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x30ef…70dfbacked Almakhan | 41c | 1,000$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410 | 109 | 28.4%31 W · 78 L | -4.3wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x629c…6c01backed Almakhan | 46c | 999.99$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$459.99 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9ce…691abacked Almakhan | 44c | 999.99$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$439.99 | 178 | 50%89 W · 89 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Almakhan | 41c | 957.3$389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$389.35 | 184 | 53.8%99 W · 85 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11e9…4136backed Topuria | 55c | 910.76$501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$409.84 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -1.7wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ff3…d376backed Topuria | 55c | 909.09$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$409.09 | 64 | 48.4%31 W · 33 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1488…409dbacked Topuria | 55c | 909.09$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$409.09 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.3wins | +0.33per pick | 53cpaid | +49.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x67bb…b6efbacked Topuria | 53c | 892.7$473 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$419.57 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +56.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in UFC and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- UFC Fight Night: Topuria vs. Almakhan (Bantamweight, Prelims)this page
- Fight to Go the Distance?Yes won
- O/U 1.5 RoundsOver won
- O/U 2.5 RoundsOver won
- Will Aleksandre Topuria win by KO or TKO?No won
- Will Bekzat Almakhan win by KO or TKO?No won
- Will the fight be won by KO or TKO?No won
- Will the fight be won by submission?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.