North Carolina State Wolfpack vs. Boise State Broncos

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9da3ff37ed004859707cbf2e120d3dce327b6dfc8dbf2193447417a00f418b6b

Rebuilt 8 hours ago.

Winning outcome: North Carolina State Wolfpackof North Carolina State Wolfpack, Boise State Broncos
Resolved: Nov 25, 2025, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $1,836,145
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $2,736,699

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,836,145 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 83 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x2643…39aebacked North Carolina State Wolfpack	75c	897,096$669,260 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$227,836.66	62	45.2%28 W · 34 L	-6.4wins	-0.10per pick	55cpaid	-20.7%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x006c…16eabacked Boise State Broncos	25c	500,000$125,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$125,000	96	52.1%50 W · 46 L	+3.9wins	+0.04per pick	48cpaid	+7.7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6a72…33eebacked Boise State Broncos	26c	94,425$24,550 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24,550.5	217	54.8%119 W · 98 L	+15.3wins	+0.07per pick	48cpaid	+15.2%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb230…4193backed Boise State Broncos	25c	40,000$10,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10,000	15	33.3%5 W · 10 L	-0.4wins	-0.03per pick	36cpaid	-22.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Boise State Broncos	26c	9,175$2,431 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,431.45	12,422	49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L	+118.8wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+1.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1e5d…f75dbacked North Carolina State Wolfpack	70c	5,096$3,553 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,543.15	7	57.1%4 W · 3 L	-0.4wins	-0.05per pick	62cpaid	-11.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9b97…5e12backed Boise State Broncos	25c	5,000$1,250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,250	8	75%6 W · 2 L	+1.8wins	+0.23per pick	52cpaid	+43.7%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed Boise State Broncos	20c	3,396$671 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$671.14	369	44.2%163 W · 206 L	-19.0wins	-0.05per pick	49cpaid	-13.4%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4aa9…1351backed Boise State Broncos	12c	3,243$398 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$398.12	22	22.7%5 W · 17 L	-0.9wins	-0.04per pick	27cpaid	-37.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Boise State Broncos	26c	2,786$724 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$724.24	906	45.4%411 W · 495 L	+9.9wins	+0.01per pick	44cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x12d9…01bbbacked Boise State Broncos	27c	2,000$540 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$540	35	34.3%12 W · 23 L	-1.5wins	-0.04per pick	39cpaid	-10.4%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6ffb…a834backed North Carolina State Wolfpack	73c	2,000$1,460 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$539.88	27	55.6%15 W · 12 L	+1.9wins	+0.07per pick	48cpaid	+3.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed North Carolina State Wolfpack	74c	1,761$1,303 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$457.86	646	47.5%307 W · 339 L	+5.7wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-4.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8056…b64dbacked North Carolina State Wolfpack	74c	1,400$1,036 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$364	5	60%3 W · 2 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	60cpaid	+22.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Boise State Broncos	29c	1,343$392 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$392.23	1,951	45.1%880 W · 1,071 L	-19.9wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-16.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcb43…3c74backed North Carolina State Wolfpack	73c	1,051$766 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$285.81	285	39.6%113 W · 172 L	-14.4wins	-0.05per pick	45cpaid	-11.1%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xea81…eeaebacked Boise State Broncos	27c	829.69$223 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$223.42	1,227	27.8%341 W · 886 L	-0.9wins	0.00per pick	28cpaid	-10.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0585…5fa1backed Boise State Broncos	34c	735.29$250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$250	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.8wins	+0.28per pick	39cpaid	+61.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed North Carolina State Wolfpack	74c	675.68$500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$175.68	155	57.4%89 W · 66 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	58cpaid	-2.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xfe08…10ebbacked Boise State Broncos	26c	600$156 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$156	17	29.4%5 W · 12 L	-1.2wins	-0.07per pick	37cpaid	-33.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc42c…42a1backed Boise State Broncos	26c	544$141 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$141.44	635	51.5%327 W · 308 L	+9.3wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0e5c…c9eebacked North Carolina State Wolfpack	70c	530$371 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$159	31	74.2%23 W · 8 L	+2.8wins	+0.09per pick	65cpaid	+21.6%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1ada…43b0backed Boise State Broncos	30c	525$159 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$158.5	55	70.9%39 W · 16 L	+7.4wins	+0.13per pick	57cpaid	+23.8%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0xa72e…3db9backed Boise State Broncos	30c	499.99$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	86	43%37 W · 49 L	+5.1wins	+0.06per pick	37cpaid	+6.4%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x433f…a0dcbacked Boise State Broncos	3c	499.87$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.04	4	25%1 W · 3 L	+0.4wins	+0.11per pick	14cpaid	-32.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Boise State Broncos	24c	471.45$115 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$115.33	5,946	49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L	+163.0wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	-0.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb428…13bfbacked Boise State Broncos	33c	454.55$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	10	40%4 W · 6 L	-1.0wins	-0.10per pick	50cpaid	-32.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6077…f4f4backed Boise State Broncos	24c	401.4$97 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$97.15	72	45.8%33 W · 39 L	+2.9wins	+0.04per pick	42cpaid	+4.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x89c9…9534backed North Carolina State Wolfpack	74c	366.22$271 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$95.22	415	54.2%225 W · 190 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	54cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe53f…62d7backed North Carolina State Wolfpack	73c	359.72$264 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$96.03	114	39.5%45 W · 69 L	-1.3wins	-0.01per pick	41cpaid	-19.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3010…a27cbacked Boise State Broncos	25c	345.49$86 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$86.37	140	21.4%30 W · 110 L	-2.4wins	-0.02per pick	23cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a33…c087backed North Carolina State Wolfpack	74c	337.84$250 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$87.84	4	75%3 W · 1 L	+0.3wins	+0.08per pick	67cpaid	+11.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2cea…2d58backed North Carolina State Wolfpack	71c	300$213 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$87	5	60%3 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	61cpaid	-6.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x591a…aec2backed Boise State Broncos	30c	300$90 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$90	12	41.7%5 W · 7 L	-0.7wins	-0.06per pick	48cpaid	-14.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2cf0…de6dbacked Boise State Broncos	27c	296.3$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80	5	60%3 W · 2 L	+1.2wins	+0.25per pick	35cpaid	+111.5%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xae0f…f647backed North Carolina State Wolfpack	70c	285.43$201 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$84.53	47	46.8%22 W · 25 L	+2.1wins	+0.05per pick	42cpaid	-4.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Boise State Broncos	29c	256.57$75 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$74.59	3,684	42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L	+32.6wins	+0.01per pick	42cpaid	-5.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Boise State Broncos	26c	255$66 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$66.3	5,553	47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L	+26.3wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Boise State Broncos	26c	250$65 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$65	4,848	52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L	+139.2wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5eb7…569cbacked Boise State Broncos	27c	246.48$67 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$66.55	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.7wins	-0.23per pick	56cpaid	-57.9%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x66fe…e123backed North Carolina State Wolfpack	69c	200$138 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$61.73	7	42.9%3 W · 4 L	-1.1wins	-0.16per pick	59cpaid	-34%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbd64…cbeebacked Boise State Broncos	23c	200$46 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46	41	48.8%20 W · 21 L	-1.9wins	-0.05per pick	53cpaid	-12.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x45d1…7017backed Boise State Broncos	25c	200$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	48	45.8%22 W · 26 L	+1.0wins	+0.02per pick	44cpaid	+4.6%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa3d3…f2bcbacked Boise State Broncos	26c	199.99$52 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$52	18	44.4%8 W · 10 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	44cpaid	-0.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe216…7448backed Boise State Broncos	31c	161.77$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	239	41.4%99 W · 140 L	-7.1wins	-0.03per pick	44cpaid	-9.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x71c8…3559backed Boise State Broncos	28c	151.51$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42.42	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+1.3wins	+0.42per pick	25cpaid	+402.1%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Boise State Broncos	26c	151.5$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.39	2,048	32.7%670 W · 1,378 L	-16.2wins	-0.01per pick	34cpaid	-9.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x882e…e757backed Boise State Broncos	30c	147.09$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44.6	5	20%1 W · 4 L	-1.0wins	-0.20per pick	40cpaid	-45.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x13c9…5e53backed Boise State Broncos	30c	130$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39	111	36%40 W · 71 L	-4.5wins	-0.04per pick	40cpaid	-16.5%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc54f…dce8backed Boise State Broncos	20c	119.99$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.15	643	22.9%147 W · 496 L	-17.1wins	-0.03per pick	26cpaid	-27.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf13b…9ef9backed Boise State Broncos	27c	115.78$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.26	196	57.1%112 W · 84 L	+14.9wins	+0.08per pick	50cpaid	+15.8%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0x34fa…f491backed Boise State Broncos	26c	100$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26	1,070	46.9%502 W · 568 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x12fe…38cfbacked Boise State Broncos	18c	100$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18	1,260	43.3%545 W · 715 L	+34.8wins	+0.03per pick	40cpaid	+3.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x668a…e8e1backed North Carolina State Wolfpack	74c	94.59$70 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24.59	6	66.7%4 W · 2 L	+0.1wins	+0.02per pick	64cpaid	+1.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe176…9d7cbacked Boise State Broncos	22c	90$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.8	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-0.3wins	-0.07per pick	32cpaid	-64.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe50b…c2a8backed Boise State Broncos	27c	84$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.68	349	47.9%167 W · 182 L	-3.2wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe286…6896backed Boise State Broncos	45c	83.62$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.63	11	27.3%3 W · 8 L	-1.3wins	-0.12per pick	39cpaid	-29.7%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x32b3…67cdbacked North Carolina State Wolfpack	75c	80$60 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.3wins	+0.25per pick	75cpaid	+33.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb379…0ff3backed Boise State Broncos	21c	79.47$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.98	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.5wins	-0.23per pick	23cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6a2d…d491backed North Carolina State Wolfpack	64c	78.13$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$28.13	25	52%13 W · 12 L	+0.4wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	-18.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa966…208bbacked Boise State Broncos	27c	74.07$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	151	56.3%85 W · 66 L	+8.6wins	+0.06per pick	51cpaid	+9.4%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8959…68e2backed North Carolina State Wolfpack	74c	67.57$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.57	5	80%4 W · 1 L	+0.6wins	+0.13per pick	67cpaid	+18%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3481…6b3cbacked North Carolina State Wolfpack	75c	65.96$49 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16.71	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.02per pick	69cpaid	-7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdaa9…bad5backed North Carolina State Wolfpack	74c	61.94$46 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16.39	9	55.6%5 W · 4 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	55cpaid	-5.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4b0e…b74abacked North Carolina State Wolfpack	75c	60$45 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15	7	57.1%4 W · 3 L	-0.4wins	-0.06per pick	63cpaid	-14.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdd52…bbccbacked North Carolina State Wolfpack	73c	50$37 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.5	10	30%3 W · 7 L	-3.1wins	-0.31per pick	61cpaid	-58.1%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0xc11d…421bbacked North Carolina State Wolfpack	74c	50$37 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13	39	56.4%22 W · 17 L	-2.5wins	-0.06per pick	63cpaid	-16%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6576…145abacked North Carolina State Wolfpack	74c	38$28 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.88	2	50%1 W · 1 L	-0.4wins	-0.18per pick	68cpaid	-32.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3406…3233backed North Carolina State Wolfpack	70c	35.71$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.71	23	69.6%16 W · 7 L	+2.3wins	+0.10per pick	59cpaid	+12%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6e6d…6012backed North Carolina State Wolfpack	64c	31.25$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.25	2	50%1 W · 1 L	-0.3wins	-0.13per pick	63cpaid	-21.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x11f0…eb14backed North Carolina State Wolfpack	68c	29.2$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.2	7	42.9%3 W · 4 L	-0.9wins	-0.13per pick	56cpaid	-27.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd3aa…37d1backed North Carolina State Wolfpack	73c	27.4$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7.4	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.02per pick	68cpaid	-6.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6777…f78abacked North Carolina State Wolfpack	79c	26.48$21 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5.51	2	50%1 W · 1 L	-0.4wins	-0.21per pick	71cpaid	-36.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x75e6…8947backed North Carolina State Wolfpack	76c	26.32$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6.32	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.2wins	+0.24per pick	76cpaid	+31.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5a83…50d3backed North Carolina State Wolfpack	76c	26.32$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6.32	18	72.2%13 W · 5 L	+0.4wins	+0.02per pick	70cpaid	+6.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked North Carolina State Wolfpack	76c	25.93$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6.21	605	51.4%311 W · 294 L	+8.0wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd9fc…6587backed North Carolina State Wolfpack	74c	22.17$17 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5.67	6	50%3 W · 3 L	-0.6wins	-0.10per pick	60cpaid	-26.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5320…f3b2backed North Carolina State Wolfpack	74c	20.27$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5.27	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	-0.6wins	-0.11per pick	44cpaid	-47.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd52b…783cbacked North Carolina State Wolfpack	65c	20$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7	5	40%2 W · 3 L	-0.3wins	-0.06per pick	46cpaid	-42.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x033e…34c6backed North Carolina State Wolfpack	74c	20$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5.2	2	50%1 W · 1 L	-0.4wins	-0.18per pick	68cpaid	-32.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x48a6…05afbacked North Carolina State Wolfpack	79c	18.99$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3.99	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.2wins	+0.21per pick	79cpaid	+26.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xda88…3eadbacked North Carolina State Wolfpack	60c	18$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7.2	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.4wins	+0.40per pick	60cpaid	+66.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xda35…ff0ebacked North Carolina State Wolfpack	70c	16.67$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5	50	44%22 W · 28 L	-3.3wins	-0.07per pick	51cpaid	-16.7%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

North Carolina State Wolfpack vs. Boise State Broncosthis page
Spread: North Carolina State Wolfpack (-6.5)North Carolina State Wolfpack won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

North Carolina State Wolfpack vs. Boise State Broncos

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event