Tweets · resolved market

Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from December 12 to December 19, 2025?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9cef15c2448320c1d40ea28fe684d270d9e347a44c37087701b9c031a4b1da78

Rebuilt 13 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Dec 19, 2025, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $758,469
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $265,150

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $758,469 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 96 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Tweets
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xcbbc…b5d0backed Yes	1c	149,420$1,154 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,154.33	796	6.5%52 W · 744 L	+9.3wins	+0.01per pick	5cpaid	+33.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2ee0…f57bbacked Yes	0c	70,178$234 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$233.93	820	6.6%54 W · 766 L	+17.9wins	+0.02per pick	4cpaid	-47.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9285…c19dbacked Yes	0c	37,410$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.41	274	0.4%1 W · 273 L	+0.7wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	+257.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa06c…0861backed Yes	0c	26,916$81 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80.75	146	8.2%12 W · 134 L	+4.3wins	+0.03per pick	5cpaid	-2.6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x033e…34c6backed Yes	0c	24,646$63 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$63.12	25	16%4 W · 21 L	+1.2wins	+0.05per pick	11cpaid	+12.7%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x285a…fd1bbacked Yes	0c	18,660$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.66	136	0.7%1 W · 135 L	+0.9wins	+0.01per pick	0cpaid	+635.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf8cc…028abacked Yes	0c	15,110$59 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$59.45	1,625	1.9%31 W · 1,594 L	+14.5wins	+0.01per pick	1cpaid	+17.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7c2c…407ebacked Yes	0c	14,088$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.83	240	1.7%4 W · 236 L	+2.8wins	+0.01per pick	1cpaid	+675.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x38a3…fe34backed Yes	0c	11,061$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.06	89	0%0 W · 89 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf33f…085cbacked Yes	0c	11,000$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38	122	28.7%35 W · 87 L	+4.0wins	+0.03per pick	25cpaid	+6.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa49b…7054backed Yes	2c	8,390$199 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$198.92	2,552	13.1%335 W · 2,217 L	+4.3wins	0.00per pick	13cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8565…0c43backed Yes	10c	7,778$760 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$760	706	16.4%116 W · 590 L	-13.6wins	-0.02per pick	18cpaid	-29%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes	1c	7,608$56 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55.82	768	21.7%167 W · 601 L	-2.0wins	0.00per pick	22cpaid	-49.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9ecb…a693backed Yes	1c	4,319$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.19	122	4.9%6 W · 116 L	+1.5wins	+0.01per pick	4cpaid	+213.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x849c…4009backed Yes	6c	4,318$263 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$263.06	1,782	7.4%132 W · 1,650 L	-23.2wins	-0.01per pick	9cpaid	-66.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x39aa…583cbacked Yes	1c	4,130$58 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$57.77	592	25.3%150 W · 442 L	+2.3wins	0.00per pick	25cpaid	-42.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x88cb…2c20backed Yes	0c	4,100$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.2	108	11.1%12 W · 96 L	+2.9wins	+0.03per pick	8cpaid	+70.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xca6e…46f2backed Yes	6c	4,088$245 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$245.31	481	6.7%32 W · 449 L	+2.8wins	+0.01per pick	6cpaid	-2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdd1f…cc26backed Yes	1c	3,800$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.2	499	19%95 W · 404 L	-1.7wins	0.00per pick	19cpaid	-11.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5028…91c5backed Yes	4c	3,280$135 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$135.39	150	7.3%11 W · 139 L	-11.1wins	-0.07per pick	15cpaid	-56.5%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7369…59a1backed Yes	1c	2,920$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36.94	65	27.7%18 W · 47 L	+1.5wins	+0.02per pick	25cpaid	-21.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3256…830cbacked Yes	2c	2,690$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47.83	782	8.7%68 W · 714 L	-1.0wins	0.00per pick	9cpaid	-36.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8af3…0c5dbacked Yes	3c	2,565$83 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$83.16	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x945a…a48cbacked Yes	3c	2,521$81 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$81.45	434	5.1%22 W · 412 L	-13.5wins	-0.03per pick	8cpaid	-33%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9dc2…0727backed Yes	4c	2,355$88 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$88.33	261	5.4%14 W · 247 L	+3.1wins	+0.01per pick	4cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1e98…6345backed Yes	4c	2,230$86 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$86.12	691	5.5%38 W · 653 L	+10.1wins	+0.01per pick	4cpaid	-2%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe559…f88cbacked Yes	9c	2,148$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	12	8.3%1 W · 11 L	-0.2wins	-0.02per pick	10cpaid	-6.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed Yes	1c	2,019$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.87	1,053	5.6%59 W · 994 L	+20.7wins	+0.02per pick	4cpaid	+5.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf33d…24cabacked Yes	9c	2,000$180 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$180	73	12.3%9 W · 64 L	+0.6wins	+0.01per pick	12cpaid	+10.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb423…1aeabacked Yes	7c	1,955$142 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$142.14	27	3.7%1 W · 26 L	-1.0wins	-0.04per pick	8cpaid	-68.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd493…7f04backed Yes	4c	1,929$78 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$78.05	279	4.7%13 W · 266 L	+1.6wins	+0.01per pick	4cpaid	-12.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x011b…e44dbacked Yes	7c	1,867$123 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$123.14	42	23.8%10 W · 32 L	+0.7wins	+0.02per pick	22cpaid	+13.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xec3c…d68ebacked Yes	4c	1,803$68 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$67.84	182	4.9%9 W · 173 L	+1.9wins	+0.01per pick	4cpaid	+28.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x38a4…4ef2backed Yes	2c	1,752$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34.19	35	5.7%2 W · 33 L	+0.5wins	+0.01per pick	4cpaid	-20.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4449…e977backed Yes	2c	1,696$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33	590	9.2%54 W · 536 L	+1.6wins	0.00per pick	9cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdcef…7388backed Yes	5c	1,642$85 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$84.96	91	4.4%4 W · 87 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	5cpaid	-30%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4978…956bbacked Yes	1c	1,639$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	479	8.6%41 W · 438 L	+16.6wins	+0.03per pick	5cpaid	-2.7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3986…01fdbacked Yes	2c	1,550$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.5	206	8.7%18 W · 188 L	-2.2wins	-0.01per pick	10cpaid	-42.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes	1c	1,457$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.2	2,163	3.9%85 W · 2,078 L	+5.8wins	0.00per pick	4cpaid	-35.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xaa50…3ed5backed Yes	2c	1,427$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27	653	11%72 W · 581 L	+10.8wins	+0.02per pick	9cpaid	-11%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4706…286ebacked Yes	6c	1,405$85 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$85.28	118	5.1%6 W · 112 L	+1.0wins	+0.01per pick	4cpaid	+94.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4d6d…1ba1backed Yes	8c	1,250$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	43	16.3%7 W · 36 L	-1.2wins	-0.03per pick	19cpaid	-38.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7413…4b09backed Yes	1c	1,236$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.01	798	11.3%90 W · 708 L	+30.0wins	+0.04per pick	8cpaid	+33.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6fcb…f083backed Yes	8c	1,121$92 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$92.12	45	13.3%6 W · 39 L	-1.1wins	-0.02per pick	16cpaid	-35.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9792…9212backed Yes	8c	1,120$90 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$89.6	27	18.5%5 W · 22 L	+1.8wins	+0.07per pick	12cpaid	+217.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0eea…726bbacked Yes	9c	1,111$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	21	19%4 W · 17 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	20cpaid	-20.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xca8b…dbf5backed Yes	1c	1,085$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	181	16%29 W · 152 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	16cpaid	-23.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1f59…3a50backed Yes	4c	1,000$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42	42	4.8%2 W · 40 L	-3.7wins	-0.09per pick	14cpaid	-58.5%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x11c3…60f7backed Yes	3c	1,000$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27	23	8.7%2 W · 21 L	-0.4wins	-0.02per pick	10cpaid	-22%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x86b1…c094backed Yes	5c	1,000$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45	124	12.1%15 W · 109 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	12cpaid	+2.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9e80…30e2backed Yes	2c	999.99$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	14	0%0 W · 14 L	-0.4wins	-0.03per pick	3cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe53c…6bf7backed Yes	6c	967.91$58 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$57.88	21	9.5%2 W · 19 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	10cpaid	-31.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5bac…8769backed Yes	6c	960.7$62 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$61.6	35	17.1%6 W · 29 L	-3.2wins	-0.09per pick	26cpaid	-35%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x70b6…aa2fbacked Yes	2c	890.98$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.71	730	4.5%33 W · 697 L	-7.7wins	-0.01per pick	6cpaid	-64.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4c46…fe27backed Yes	11c	859.68$93 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$92.62	26	11.5%3 W · 23 L	+0.7wins	+0.03per pick	9cpaid	+17.2%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3cca…c831backed Yes	6c	850.81$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	465	21.3%99 W · 366 L	+8.0wins	+0.02per pick	20cpaid	+5.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe4f8…1092backed Yes	6c	799.96$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48	11	18.2%2 W · 9 L	+0.3wins	+0.03per pick	15cpaid	+93.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2f31…8cf3backed Yes	2c	736.38$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.38	65	18.5%12 W · 53 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	18cpaid	-10.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xaef1…4058backed Yes	9c	689.32$61 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60.82	264	10.6%28 W · 236 L	-3.7wins	-0.01per pick	12cpaid	-23%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2692…38e2backed Yes	8c	649.2$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	191	18.8%36 W · 155 L	+5.5wins	+0.03per pick	16cpaid	+24%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1018…7264backed Yes	5c	563.93$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.01	89	24.7%22 W · 67 L	-8.0wins	-0.09per pick	34cpaid	-57.4%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe52c…33a6backed Yes	5c	500$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	10	20%2 W · 8 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	20cpaid	+11.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd7b4…6f14backed Yes	7c	500$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35	51	13.7%7 W · 44 L	+1.2wins	+0.02per pick	11cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcf95…7865backed Yes	2c	460.2$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.33	526	19.8%104 W · 422 L	-2.7wins	-0.01per pick	20cpaid	-24.6%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x9faa…bbedbacked Yes	3c	450$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14	175	16.6%29 W · 146 L	-3.3wins	-0.02per pick	18cpaid	-16%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x34aa…980abacked Yes	4c	447.69$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17	12	0%0 W · 12 L	-1.7wins	-0.14per pick	14cpaid	-100%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6c8a…ec4cbacked Yes	5c	426$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.39	25	20%5 W · 20 L	+2.1wins	+0.08per pick	12cpaid	+104%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdf9a…4e95backed Yes	2c	420$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.08	23	34.8%8 W · 15 L	+0.9wins	+0.04per pick	31cpaid	-7.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbe50…d592backed Yes	9c	400$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36	48	6.3%3 W · 45 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	6cpaid	-27.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x22b7…1e4abacked Yes	8c	399.99$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32	44	13.6%6 W · 38 L	+0.4wins	+0.01per pick	13cpaid	-29.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa270…4466backed Yes	5c	373.22$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19	423	12.5%53 W · 370 L	+2.4wins	+0.01per pick	12cpaid	+6.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9804…d512backed Yes	6c	373.15$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.44	49	20.4%10 W · 39 L	+1.0wins	+0.02per pick	18cpaid	-40.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe612…a441backed Yes	7c	365.23$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.44	41	7.3%3 W · 38 L	-2.3wins	-0.06per pick	13cpaid	-77.3%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x72b8…6253backed Yes	3c	364.97$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11	231	16.9%39 W · 192 L	-1.8wins	-0.01per pick	18cpaid	+12.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7afa…5cb0backed Yes	8c	350$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28	61	8.2%5 W · 56 L	-1.3wins	-0.02per pick	10cpaid	-28.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x98ce…5e1dbacked Yes	5c	314.4$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.68	89	9%8 W · 81 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	9cpaid	-44.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5730…5cffbacked Yes	8c	300$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23	55	9.1%5 W · 50 L	-2.5wins	-0.05per pick	14cpaid	-59.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9fb5…440cbacked Yes	7c	299.76$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.75	39	10.3%4 W · 35 L	+0.5wins	+0.01per pick	9cpaid	+4.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x73be…11dfbacked Yes	9c	286.76$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	72	6.9%5 W · 67 L	-3.4wins	-0.05per pick	12cpaid	-56.2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd686…8e6ebacked Yes	7c	279.77$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.2wins	-0.08per pick	8cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc2f3…ebbbbacked Yes	4c	269.66$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	26	7.7%2 W · 24 L	-0.5wins	-0.02per pick	10cpaid	-44.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbc57…753bbacked Yes	5c	267.41$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.37	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.05per pick	5cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6709…385bbacked Yes	9c	250$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.5	442	27.4%121 W · 321 L	-21.9wins	-0.05per pick	32cpaid	-27.9%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x481c…51f5backed Yes	7c	242.86$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18	25	8%2 W · 23 L	-0.4wins	-0.02per pick	10cpaid	-49.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb44…6fa6backed Yes	5c	235.88$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.94	21	4.8%1 W · 20 L	-1.3wins	-0.06per pick	11cpaid	-70.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x239a…8e55backed Yes	7c	228.57$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16	53	22.6%12 W · 41 L	+0.7wins	+0.01per pick	21cpaid	-36.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x875d…25cfbacked Yes	5c	215.38$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.17	12	16.7%2 W · 10 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	17cpaid	-61.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x775e…bac9backed Yes	5c	207.8$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.39	48	12.5%6 W · 42 L	+0.4wins	+0.01per pick	12cpaid	-40%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9ccc…e7e8backed Yes	9c	200$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18	226	10.6%24 W · 202 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	-39.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xad78…6df3backed Yes	8c	200$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16	244	12.7%31 W · 213 L	-6.7wins	-0.03per pick	15cpaid	-29.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0ed1…a7fbbacked Yes	6c	200$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12	159	11.9%19 W · 140 L	-6.3wins	-0.04per pick	16cpaid	-35.5%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb27b…09f4backed Yes	10c	156.77$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	27	0%0 W · 27 L	-3.6wins	-0.13per pick	13cpaid	-100%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xb8e5…67a7backed Yes	11c	133.75$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	10	30%3 W · 7 L	+1.3wins	+0.13per pick	17cpaid	+94%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xaf38…c19ebacked Yes	8c	125$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	141	53.9%76 W · 65 L	+13.6wins	+0.10per pick	44cpaid	+23.6%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x0e10…b1ffbacked Yes	12c	115$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.65	14	21.4%3 W · 11 L	+0.9wins	+0.06per pick	15cpaid	+169.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5517…a7a6backed Yes	10c	100.5$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.2wins	-0.07per pick	7cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 30 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from December 12 to December 19, 2025?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event