Tweets · resolved market
Will Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets from December 12 to December 19, 2025?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2bd3a810b3a01be3adcd82039e570cad3cc1f9b753d01d930e363455a9da7498
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,329,120
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $73,885
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,329,120 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 165 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tweets | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2ee0…f57bbacked Yes | 0c | 50,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 820 | 6.6%54 W · 766 L | +17.9wins | +0.02per pick | 4cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9285…c19dbacked Yes | 0c | 43,744$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.74 | 274 | 0.4%1 W · 273 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | +257.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77f2…d32bbacked Yes | 0c | 39,545$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x824b…5d6fbacked Yes | 0c | 39,545$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x700c…24d4backed Yes | 0c | 39,545$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbaa5…2974backed Yes | 0c | 37,602$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8b4…6993backed Yes | 0c | 37,146$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1234…da4cbacked Yes | 0c | 37,124$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x285a…fd1bbacked Yes | 0c | 36,022$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.02 | 136 | 0.7%1 W · 135 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 0cpaid | +635.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1838…5dd4backed Yes | 0c | 36,003$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5df7…1782backed Yes | 0c | 34,496$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc6b6…4a82backed Yes | 0c | 33,678$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x27ff…2ffebacked Yes | 0c | 33,619$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.62 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe034…4a95backed Yes | 0c | 33,371$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.37 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2768…2a51backed Yes | 0c | 32,621$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.62 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe178…39b9backed Yes | 0c | 32,621$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.62 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9456…d5f1backed Yes | 0c | 32,621$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.62 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf7e…2958backed Yes | 0c | 32,621$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.62 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7fa7…322fbacked Yes | 0c | 32,621$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.62 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3bfc…847dbacked Yes | 0c | 32,621$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.62 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2941…cc51backed Yes | 0c | 32,601$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5471…419abacked Yes | 0c | 32,601$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe996…ef5ebacked Yes | 0c | 32,601$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfdda…c019backed Yes | 0c | 32,583$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8198…e73dbacked Yes | 0c | 32,579$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd48d…da75backed Yes | 0c | 32,569$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.57 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16bd…99cebacked Yes | 0c | 32,548$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7268…4b80backed Yes | 0c | 32,504$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x68e5…c8e6backed Yes | 0c | 32,480$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0130…5ca8backed Yes | 0c | 32,162$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc72a…279fbacked Yes | 0c | 32,162$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x025e…1dc0backed Yes | 0c | 31,621$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.62 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f9a…32a9backed Yes | 0c | 31,621$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.62 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa43f…033dbacked Yes | 0c | 31,621$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.62 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c6c…aef0backed Yes | 0c | 31,621$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.62 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa94d…46f4backed Yes | 0c | 31,621$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.62 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x75fd…39bfbacked Yes | 0c | 31,601$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1125…747dbacked Yes | 0c | 31,579$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8910…c4b1backed Yes | 0c | 31,579$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e35…325dbacked Yes | 0c | 31,579$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1331…9a27backed Yes | 0c | 31,579$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce29…aabfbacked Yes | 0c | 31,579$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8542…8dadbacked Yes | 0c | 31,471$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.47 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x846c…b767backed Yes | 0c | 31,448$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x41d0…db35backed Yes | 0c | 31,261$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd968…c78ebacked Yes | 0c | 31,219$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3121…defbbacked Yes | 0c | 31,197$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef25…23e6backed Yes | 0c | 30,981$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa5b7…d0bbbacked Yes | 0c | 30,976$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9615…862ebacked Yes | 0c | 30,947$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x69c6…33c4backed Yes | 0c | 30,939$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30ec…97fcbacked Yes | 0c | 30,629$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.63 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1338…3c8ebacked Yes | 0c | 30,304$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6197…c76cbacked Yes | 0c | 30,251$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdcda…fa5bbacked Yes | 0c | 29,981$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x76d8…e1bebacked Yes | 0c | 29,981$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc588…24b7backed Yes | 0c | 29,896$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d8a…02ebbacked Yes | 0c | 29,883$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x192b…e331backed Yes | 0c | 29,845$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc30f…62a3backed Yes | 0c | 29,794$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.79 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3bc…69c9backed Yes | 0c | 29,743$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.74 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54dd…e965backed Yes | 0c | 29,692$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.69 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d83…f05fbacked Yes | 0c | 29,521$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad9f…0615backed Yes | 0c | 29,238$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc98c…f878backed Yes | 0c | 29,238$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec3a…f705backed Yes | 0c | 29,227$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc80f…c362backed Yes | 0c | 29,218$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b03…d8ebbacked Yes | 0c | 29,169$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3ef…5a4abacked Yes | 0c | 28,845$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe7b8…3d1ebacked Yes | 0c | 28,814$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.81 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf18b…043abacked Yes | 0c | 28,794$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.79 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1eb1…76abbacked Yes | 0c | 28,792$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.79 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x42b4…64a5backed Yes | 0c | 28,734$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.73 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x161c…aa3cbacked Yes | 0c | 28,692$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.69 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf417…ad26backed Yes | 0c | 28,674$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.67 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa97a…8e51backed Yes | 0c | 28,669$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.67 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaba9…cb88backed Yes | 0c | 28,635$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.63 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc89…1db5backed Yes | 0c | 28,629$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.63 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x87e9…eddebacked Yes | 0c | 28,624$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.62 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf004…56d0backed Yes | 0c | 28,411$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.41 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4eba…8e41backed Yes | 0c | 28,238$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6999…780bbacked Yes | 0c | 28,238$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc99d…c835backed Yes | 0c | 28,238$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4af…bceebacked Yes | 0c | 28,238$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x47ef…6260backed Yes | 0c | 28,238$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1403…c5f0backed Yes | 0c | 28,238$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe23e…b397backed Yes | 0c | 28,238$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d57…afa0backed Yes | 0c | 28,238$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x74b4…7819backed Yes | 0c | 28,238$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4480…f12dbacked Yes | 0c | 28,238$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3114…4e7ebacked Yes | 0c | 28,213$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc488…8e39backed Yes | 0c | 28,202$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfdd0…a337backed Yes | 0c | 28,140$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd60…7516backed Yes | 0c | 27,734$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.73 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb2d8…44dcbacked Yes | 0c | 27,734$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.73 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6529…21b7backed Yes | 0c | 27,734$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.73 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x34cf…bbfebacked Yes | 0c | 27,734$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.73 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf968…0180backed Yes | 0c | 27,648$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7690…a42cbacked Yes | 0c | 27,624$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.62 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x08a5…3079backed Yes | 0c | 27,624$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.62 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 30 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets from December 12 to December 19, 2025?this page
- Will Elon Musk post 0-19 tweets from December 12 to December 19, 2025?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from December 12 to December 19, 2025?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from December 12 to December 19, 2025?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from December 12 to December 19, 2025?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from December 12 to December 19, 2025?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from December 12 to December 19, 2025?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 20-39 tweets from December 12 to December 19, 2025?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from December 12 to December 19, 2025?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from December 12 to December 19, 2025?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from December 12 to December 19, 2025?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from December 12 to December 19, 2025?Yes won
- Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from December 12 to December 19, 2025?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from December 12 to December 19, 2025?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from December 12 to December 19, 2025?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from December 12 to December 19, 2025?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from December 12 to December 19, 2025?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from December 12 to December 19, 2025?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets from December 12 to December 19, 2025?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from December 12 to December 19, 2025?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from December 12 to December 19, 2025?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from December 12 to December 19, 2025?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from December 12 to December 19, 2025?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from December 12 to December 19, 2025?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from December 12 to December 19, 2025?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 540-559 tweets from December 12 to December 19, 2025?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 560-579 tweets from December 12 to December 19, 2025?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 580+ tweets from December 12 to December 19, 2025?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from December 12 to December 19, 2025?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from December 12 to December 19, 2025?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.