Tweets · resolved market
Will Elon Musk post 580+ tweets from December 12 to December 19, 2025?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1c34f23b09af46894553ef3931239a3f27dac27be5b6d1f51bd0baf8d016a242
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,049,986
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $249,227
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,049,986 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 235 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tweets | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9285…c19dbacked Yes | 0c | 57,776$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.78 | 274 | 0.4%1 W · 273 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | +257.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x285a…fd1bbacked Yes | 0c | 57,030$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.03 | 136 | 0.7%1 W · 135 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 0cpaid | +635.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ee0…f57bbacked Yes | 0c | 50,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 820 | 6.6%54 W · 766 L | +17.9wins | +0.02per pick | 4cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2cce…768ebacked Yes | 0c | 42,898$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd8a6…afbcbacked Yes | 0c | 42,878$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x40f0…f649backed Yes | 0c | 42,878$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4883…ab26backed Yes | 0c | 42,878$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c87…6f86backed Yes | 0c | 42,858$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.86 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa46d…3970backed Yes | 0c | 42,518$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeaf5…9d32backed Yes | 0c | 42,518$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x74be…c62cbacked Yes | 0c | 42,518$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ed…7493backed Yes | 0c | 42,518$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c0a…2f58backed Yes | 0c | 42,511$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.51 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4037…6396backed Yes | 0c | 41,878$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2101…e5fbbacked Yes | 0c | 41,878$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa80b…ab3bbacked Yes | 0c | 41,518$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5462…f697backed Yes | 0c | 41,518$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2624…830fbacked Yes | 0c | 37,582$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0bd9…41e3backed Yes | 0c | 37,373$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.37 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec08…e879backed Yes | 0c | 37,020$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.02 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8132…abf1backed Yes | 0c | 37,009$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.01 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x667d…48bcbacked Yes | 0c | 36,898$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f1a…2bc9backed Yes | 0c | 36,892$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.89 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x161c…04f5backed Yes | 0c | 36,858$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.86 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86af…482fbacked Yes | 0c | 36,616$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.62 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd886…7b15backed Yes | 0c | 36,419$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdcf0…0691backed Yes | 0c | 36,143$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6152…c163backed Yes | 0c | 34,907$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.91 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f0…d269backed Yes | 0c | 34,826$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.83 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeafb…1d3fbacked Yes | 0c | 34,729$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.73 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37af…382fbacked Yes | 0c | 34,522$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x034b…e52ebacked Yes | 0c | 34,350$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x20a1…720fbacked Yes | 0c | 34,341$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.34 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c91…fd41backed Yes | 0c | 34,341$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.34 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a3f…a93ebacked Yes | 0c | 34,341$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.34 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x62af…c560backed Yes | 0c | 34,181$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa905…f6e6backed Yes | 0c | 34,125$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b68…ebe4backed Yes | 0c | 34,086$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.09 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4a9…8d89backed Yes | 0c | 33,897$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb5c4…b693backed Yes | 0c | 33,662$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7fe3…d04abacked Yes | 0c | 33,564$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d41…6bb2backed Yes | 0c | 33,564$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9766…85bcbacked Yes | 0c | 33,552$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32a2…df88backed Yes | 0c | 33,427$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.43 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa95…b72abacked Yes | 0c | 33,427$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.43 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe1…9989backed Yes | 0c | 33,427$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.43 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e30…f413backed Yes | 0c | 33,427$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.43 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x00eb…8098backed Yes | 0c | 33,427$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.43 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb27…8d9bbacked Yes | 0c | 33,427$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.43 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9036…b626backed Yes | 0c | 33,399$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a5d…90c1backed Yes | 0c | 33,371$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.37 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4976…330abacked Yes | 0c | 33,363$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e6b…ba9fbacked Yes | 0c | 33,363$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c48…c9efbacked Yes | 0c | 33,363$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbe7…2ab6backed Yes | 0c | 33,363$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x469d…1335backed Yes | 0c | 33,363$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4df8…cd34backed Yes | 0c | 33,139$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9397…a10cbacked Yes | 0c | 33,106$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4831…2736backed Yes | 0c | 33,100$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf096…eccebacked Yes | 0c | 33,046$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.05 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7200…6b75backed Yes | 0c | 32,920$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ce3…393bbacked Yes | 0c | 32,897$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…b9a5backed Yes | 0c | 32,897$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x839c…2f41backed Yes | 0c | 32,897$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa027…d320backed Yes | 0c | 32,635$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa473…f532backed Yes | 0c | 32,535$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8302…3d49backed Yes | 0c | 32,427$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.43 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x87dc…31f3backed Yes | 0c | 32,427$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.43 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc6ad…178dbacked Yes | 0c | 32,427$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.43 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3302…8537backed Yes | 0c | 32,378$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.38 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff25…5788backed Yes | 0c | 32,363$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf258…5530backed Yes | 0c | 32,363$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8192…e0adbacked Yes | 0c | 32,343$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.34 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e8a…a64cbacked Yes | 0c | 32,320$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde63…aad8backed Yes | 0c | 32,299$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf27…e9e7backed Yes | 0c | 32,284$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x35e1…8051backed Yes | 0c | 32,062$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.06 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a9…7191backed Yes | 0c | 31,817$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.82 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1aab…a41dbacked Yes | 0c | 31,784$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.78 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xafb6…c176backed Yes | 0c | 31,710$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.71 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8aa3…63fbbacked Yes | 0c | 31,536$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10fa…6735backed Yes | 0c | 31,067$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.07 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f01…0d8bbacked Yes | 0c | 30,911$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.91 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde48…b9d2backed Yes | 0c | 30,506$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.51 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xccb3…2db8backed Yes | 0c | 30,474$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.47 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfc0…2245backed Yes | 0c | 30,384$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.38 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa761…fb12backed Yes | 0c | 30,306$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.31 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37e0…916fbacked Yes | 0c | 29,810$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.81 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x931b…c5e3backed Yes | 0c | 29,798$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14a0…592bbacked Yes | 0c | 29,797$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc138…7877backed Yes | 0c | 29,790$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.79 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2724…cefcbacked Yes | 0c | 29,785$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.79 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x96e5…c3b4backed Yes | 0c | 29,779$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.78 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9991…b122backed Yes | 0c | 29,706$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.71 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xafd4…dad4backed Yes | 0c | 29,367$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.37 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa429…2c3abacked Yes | 0c | 29,367$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.37 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b60…de07backed Yes | 0c | 29,267$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.27 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x722e…4d15backed Yes | 0c | 29,161$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2db2…e401backed Yes | 0c | 29,161$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56f1…5f4abacked Yes | 0c | 29,161$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 30 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Elon Musk post 580+ tweets from December 12 to December 19, 2025?this page
- Will Elon Musk post 0-19 tweets from December 12 to December 19, 2025?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from December 12 to December 19, 2025?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from December 12 to December 19, 2025?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from December 12 to December 19, 2025?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from December 12 to December 19, 2025?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from December 12 to December 19, 2025?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 20-39 tweets from December 12 to December 19, 2025?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from December 12 to December 19, 2025?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from December 12 to December 19, 2025?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from December 12 to December 19, 2025?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from December 12 to December 19, 2025?Yes won
- Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from December 12 to December 19, 2025?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from December 12 to December 19, 2025?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from December 12 to December 19, 2025?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from December 12 to December 19, 2025?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from December 12 to December 19, 2025?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from December 12 to December 19, 2025?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets from December 12 to December 19, 2025?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from December 12 to December 19, 2025?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from December 12 to December 19, 2025?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from December 12 to December 19, 2025?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from December 12 to December 19, 2025?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from December 12 to December 19, 2025?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from December 12 to December 19, 2025?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets from December 12 to December 19, 2025?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 540-559 tweets from December 12 to December 19, 2025?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 560-579 tweets from December 12 to December 19, 2025?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from December 12 to December 19, 2025?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from December 12 to December 19, 2025?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.