Will Nasry Juan Asfura Zablah win the 2025 Honduran presidential election?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xab17c8aa9f0ecd1a06149bc68ae7bb5d3ad79ceadcd008e14c5e70ac2b2196f0

Rebuilt 9 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Yesof Yes, No
Resolved: Dec 24, 2025, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $97,856
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $112,233

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $97,856 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 98 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in World Politics
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xfcf2…a469backed Yes	68c	5,975$4,057 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,917.75	36	30.6%11 W · 25 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	31cpaid	-30.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x58b7…f66dbacked Yes	62c	3,370$2,093 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,276.16	4	50%2 W · 2 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-20.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc60e…bbdfbacked Yes	63c	3,120$1,961 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,159.61	2	50%1 W · 1 L	0.0wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	-20.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7fb8…d906backed No	23c	1,652$377 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$376.88	123	45.5%56 W · 67 L	+5.2wins	+0.04per pick	41cpaid	-1.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x731b…90dfbacked Yes	56c	1,592$888 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$703.86	25	32%8 W · 17 L	+1.3wins	+0.05per pick	27cpaid	+38.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7f67…5bbabacked Yes	62c	1,300$803 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$496.66	11	18.2%2 W · 9 L	-0.2wins	-0.02per pick	20cpaid	+189.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7994…c512backed No	20c	1,123$223 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$223.29	57	28.1%16 W · 41 L	-0.8wins	-0.01per pick	29cpaid	-37.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x83a2…9452backed Yes	53c	1,041$554 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$486.59	13	53.8%7 W · 6 L	+2.0wins	+0.16per pick	38cpaid	+10.1%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc8a0…5cc4backed No	41c	910.6$374 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$374.02	17	41.2%7 W · 10 L	-1.1wins	-0.06per pick	48cpaid	+29%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x833c…0c6fbacked Yes	65c	910$592 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$318.21	6	66.7%4 W · 2 L	+1.4wins	+0.23per pick	43cpaid	+203.8%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8b44…63fbbacked No	31c	764.78$234 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$233.58	371	17.8%66 W · 305 L	-18.9wins	-0.05per pick	23cpaid	-32.9%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x72a2…7b65backed No	38c	625$239 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$239.47	21	57.1%12 W · 9 L	-0.4wins	-0.02per pick	59cpaid	-4.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4333…1f57backed No	39c	572.13$224 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$223.59	58	43.1%25 W · 33 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9f63…680ebacked No	24c	559.28$134 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$133.54	9	44.4%4 W · 5 L	+1.3wins	+0.14per pick	30cpaid	+21.2%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe3de…5339backed No	42c	544$229 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$228.98	13	7.7%1 W · 12 L	-3.8wins	-0.29per pick	37cpaid	-83.6%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0x6b17…03b2backed No	22c	536.26$118 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$118.34	69	14.5%10 W · 59 L	-6.9wins	-0.10per pick	24cpaid	-59.9%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc9b6…9b6abacked No	13c	535$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70.07	22	45.5%10 W · 12 L	+1.4wins	+0.06per pick	39cpaid	+71.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x24c8…23e1backed No	30c	524.63$156 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$156.1	232	25%58 W · 174 L	-0.7wins	0.00per pick	25cpaid	-35.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x814a…ab7abacked No	42c	500$208 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$208.4	22	31.8%7 W · 15 L	-3.4wins	-0.16per pick	47cpaid	-47.9%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf416…6ec9backed No	30c	484.25$144 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$143.76	79	54.4%43 W · 36 L	+2.2wins	+0.03per pick	52cpaid	-0.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8de2…8483backed No	10c	477.22$46 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45.58	39	51.3%20 W · 19 L	+3.6wins	+0.09per pick	42cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x94fb…d6cbbacked Yes	72c	467.84$337 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$130.95	45	40%18 W · 27 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	41cpaid	-28%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa11b…f663backed Yes	76c	467.17$356 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$111.18	25	80%20 W · 5 L	+2.2wins	+0.09per pick	71cpaid	+12%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3e77…e626backed Yes	18c	407.91$72 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$335.65	11	36.4%4 W · 7 L	+0.8wins	+0.07per pick	29cpaid	+43.8%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked No	23c	384.06$87 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$86.85	1,022	28%286 W · 736 L	+1.6wins	0.00per pick	28cpaid	-34.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xce25…4e7dbacked No	26c	376$97 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$97.19	14	28.6%4 W · 10 L	-0.4wins	-0.03per pick	31cpaid	+31.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5ecd…0787backed No	5c	369.49$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.68	31	35.5%11 W · 20 L	+1.3wins	+0.04per pick	31cpaid	-44.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0362…449ebacked Yes	56c	358.12$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$158.12	134	46.3%62 W · 72 L	-3.2wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-12.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xab39…c22fbacked No	10c	325$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.2	9	22.2%2 W · 7 L	+0.6wins	+0.07per pick	15cpaid	+65.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x076c…4e7bbacked No	38c	301.04$114 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$114.36	367	42.5%156 W · 211 L	-2.2wins	-0.01per pick	43cpaid	-16.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xca67…2648backed No	14c	285$41 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41.33	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.3wins	-0.09per pick	42cpaid	-34.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xda77…8085backed No	14c	278$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.66	8	50%4 W · 4 L	-0.2wins	-0.03per pick	53cpaid	-28.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa44b…eb27backed Yes	74c	270$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$69.93	8	50%4 W · 4 L	-0.2wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-15.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf25b…82d0backed Yes	58c	267.18$154 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$113.55	55	5.5%3 W · 52 L	-3.5wins	-0.06per pick	12cpaid	-92.2%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4ae6…7485backed No	35c	259.57$90 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$90.11	26	26.9%7 W · 19 L	-3.3wins	-0.13per pick	40cpaid	-32.1%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0x8f3e…f9d4backed No	47c	258$122 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$122.03	20	55%11 W · 9 L	+3.3wins	+0.17per pick	38cpaid	+107.5%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0489…ddf7backed No	80c	256.91$205 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$205.46	20	50%10 W · 10 L	-0.7wins	-0.03per pick	53cpaid	-18.3%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1f0a…f7aabacked No	4c	255.01$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.96	185	30.3%56 W · 129 L	-3.9wins	-0.02per pick	32cpaid	-50.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1fc9…ace5backed No	17c	251.5$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43.58	476	6.5%31 W · 445 L	-8.9wins	-0.02per pick	8cpaid	-19.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ae9…2923backed No	15c	243$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35.48	8	37.5%3 W · 5 L	-0.9wins	-0.11per pick	49cpaid	-10.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x293b…09a9backed No	14c	226$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.97	12	33.3%4 W · 8 L	-1.5wins	-0.12per pick	46cpaid	-54.5%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x41f2…d8efbacked Yes	60c	212.8$128 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$84.54	12	58.3%7 W · 5 L	-0.5wins	-0.04per pick	63cpaid	-13%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x54b5…4b31backed Yes	67c	209.27$139 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$70.04	148	34.5%51 W · 97 L	-3.8wins	-0.03per pick	37cpaid	-21.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa65c…32fbbacked Yes	56c	208.8$116 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$92.92	46	34.8%16 W · 30 L	+1.0wins	+0.02per pick	33cpaid	-15.4%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ab6…fa77backed No	10c	206.18$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	688	3.6%25 W · 663 L	-9.5wins	-0.01per pick	5cpaid	-59.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2064…e748backed No	11c	206$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.63	11	36.4%4 W · 7 L	-0.3wins	-0.03per pick	39cpaid	-33.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x86cb…6c6dbacked No	34c	200$69 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$68.6	11	45.5%5 W · 6 L	-0.5wins	-0.05per pick	50cpaid	-12.9%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xab58…b07dbacked No	50c	200$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	18	50%9 W · 9 L	+1.1wins	+0.06per pick	44cpaid	-16.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x865d…16bdbacked No	10c	200$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.56	22	40.9%9 W · 13 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	41cpaid	-19.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdb40…3612backed No	57c	193$110 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$109.81	74	16.2%12 W · 62 L	-1.7wins	-0.02per pick	18cpaid	-57.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2021…a8d5backed Yes	55c	181.84$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$81.85	20	40%8 W · 12 L	+1.7wins	+0.09per pick	31cpaid	+43.6%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x64c9…6bdebacked No	14c	173$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.69	11	54.5%6 W · 5 L	+0.7wins	+0.06per pick	49cpaid	+60.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes	57c	170.69$97 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$74.1	1,318	43.9%579 W · 739 L	-26.8wins	-0.02per pick	46cpaid	-13%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcdb8…f285backed Yes	53c	163$86 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$77.1	14	57.1%8 W · 6 L	+1.9wins	+0.14per pick	44cpaid	+12.6%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x39b5…cf5fbacked Yes	62c	161.77$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$61.77	18	33.3%6 W · 12 L	-0.5wins	-0.03per pick	36cpaid	-49.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1b4b…b93cbacked Yes	17c	160$27 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$132.8	34	35.3%12 W · 22 L	+2.0wins	+0.06per pick	29cpaid	+76.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2c41…133ebacked No	75c	158.41$119 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$118.77	65	33.8%22 W · 43 L	+3.3wins	+0.05per pick	29cpaid	+11.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x76ba…13d3backed Yes	69c	155.97$107 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$48.97	6	50%3 W · 3 L	+0.6wins	+0.10per pick	40cpaid	-25.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x43a9…faebbacked Yes	74c	155$114 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$40.56	13	61.5%8 W · 5 L	-1.0wins	-0.08per pick	69cpaid	-11.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x08fb…8b8bbacked Yes	65c	153.43$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$53.43	3	100%3 W · 0 L	+1.3wins	+0.44per pick	56cpaid	+99.5%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xdd45…59b2backed Yes	44c	149.47$66 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$83.58	17	52.9%9 W · 8 L	+2.5wins	+0.15per pick	38cpaid	+61.5%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x875d…25cfbacked Yes	75c	147.25$110 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$37.38	9	55.6%5 W · 4 L	-0.8wins	-0.09per pick	64cpaid	-25.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8fbd…1598backed Yes	57c	130.31$74 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$56.03	5	40%2 W · 3 L	-0.7wins	-0.13per pick	53cpaid	-36.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5b5a…c0bcbacked Yes	50c	110.04$55 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$54.99	6	50%3 W · 3 L	-0.1wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-17.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4b8a…f4a4backed Yes	13c	110$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$95.7	33	60.6%20 W · 13 L	+4.3wins	+0.13per pick	48cpaid	+40%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe4ca…1383backed Yes	56c	101.23$57 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$44.62	449	21.2%95 W · 354 L	-21.7wins	-0.05per pick	26cpaid	-24.3%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5986…83e3backed Yes	76c	100$76 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24	16	50%8 W · 8 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-9.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf51b…bf74backed Yes	53c	95$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$44.93	16	31.3%5 W · 11 L	-1.5wins	-0.09per pick	41cpaid	-46.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa4e2…9e7abacked Yes	62c	92.87$58 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$34.87	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+0.8wins	+0.42per pick	58cpaid	+75.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0a6d…1d0abacked No	36c	90.98$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.02	140	27.9%39 W · 101 L	-3.2wins	-0.02per pick	30cpaid	-38.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8c65…dcf7backed Yes	60c	90$54 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$35.7	13	53.8%7 W · 6 L	+0.5wins	+0.04per pick	50cpaid	-12%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xab38…77febacked No	14c	84$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.42	8	62.5%5 W · 3 L	+0.8wins	+0.10per pick	53cpaid	+3.2%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xce87…2f3fbacked No	19c	78.94$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	8	37.5%3 W · 5 L	-0.2wins	-0.02per pick	40cpaid	-6.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5d5a…d972backed Yes	67c	74.66$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24.66	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.3wins	+0.33per pick	67cpaid	+49.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5ae0…4590backed No	43c	71$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.53	13	53.8%7 W · 6 L	+1.7wins	+0.13per pick	41cpaid	+288.7%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd320…81a5backed Yes	74c	68$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.61	6	50%3 W · 3 L	+0.5wins	+0.09per pick	41cpaid	+15.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x91ba…c705backed Yes	73c	64$47 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.22	8	50%4 W · 4 L	+0.2wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+69%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x98d0…f14abacked No	44c	56.44$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.88	149	47.7%71 W · 78 L	+6.9wins	+0.05per pick	43cpaid	-6.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x033e…34c6backed Yes	55c	55$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24.6	8	37.5%3 W · 5 L	+0.4wins	+0.05per pick	33cpaid	-29.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a43…e829backed Yes	77c	53.92$41 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.64	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.2wins	+0.05per pick	61cpaid	-6.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x98ce…5e1dbacked Yes	40c	51.89$21 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$31.16	11	27.3%3 W · 8 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	28cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5a6e…88adbacked No	21c	48$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.18	8	25%2 W · 6 L	-1.7wins	-0.22per pick	47cpaid	-34.2%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5b74…93f7backed No	43c	47$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.21	16	56.3%9 W · 7 L	+1.7wins	+0.11per pick	46cpaid	+35.3%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdf70…7350backed Yes	37c	42.23$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$26.64	5	60%3 W · 2 L	+0.8wins	+0.15per pick	45cpaid	+7.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4058…8b1cbacked No	38c	39.99$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.16	24	41.7%10 W · 14 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	43cpaid	-18.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x69ac…7b99backed Yes	58c	36.45$21 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.4	2	50%1 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-13.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdaa9…bad5backed Yes	62c	33.65$21 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.86	6	50%3 W · 3 L	+0.2wins	+0.04per pick	46cpaid	-22.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1fa8…2bcdbacked Yes	73c	31$23 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.34	5	60%3 W · 2 L	+0.3wins	+0.07per pick	53cpaid	+31.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x976c…7634backed No	41c	30$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.18	2	50%1 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.06per pick	56cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x03d0…d647backed No	37c	30$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.98	42	54.8%23 W · 19 L	+2.0wins	+0.05per pick	50cpaid	+16.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x90ad…186ebacked No	54c	29.44$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.3wins	+0.15per pick	35cpaid	+212.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x13bb…c279backed Yes	68c	25$17 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8	23	26.1%6 W · 17 L	+0.8wins	+0.03per pick	23cpaid	-12.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0468…a6afbacked Yes	65c	22.96$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.05	4	50%2 W · 2 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-16.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4639…ab5dbacked Yes	70c	21.4$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6.4	5	40%2 W · 3 L	+0.3wins	+0.07per pick	33cpaid	+110.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6a9f…c209backed Yes	60c	20$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.08	19	63.2%12 W · 7 L	+1.0wins	+0.05per pick	58cpaid	-2.6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe56f…0319backed Yes	63c	20$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7.49	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.4wins	+0.37per pick	63cpaid	+59.9%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd834…f132backed Yes	63c	19$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7.1	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.3wins	+0.10per pick	56cpaid	+16.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe83c…6b05backed Yes	67c	16.32$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5.32	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.2wins	+0.08per pick	59cpaid	-1.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Will Nasry Juan Asfura Zablah win the 2025 Honduran presidential election?this page
Will Irma Rosibel Moncada Godoy win the 2025 Honduran presidential election by at least 6%?No won
Will Irma Rosibel Moncada Godoy win the 2025 Honduran presidential election by between 3% and 6%?No won
Will Irma Rosibel Moncada Godoy win the 2025 Honduran presidential election by less than 3%?No won
Will Salvador Alejandro César Nasralla Salum win the 2025 Honduran presidential election by at least 9%?No won
Will Salvador Alejandro César Nasralla Salum win the 2025 Honduran presidential election by between 3% and 6%?No won
Will Salvador Alejandro César Nasralla Salum win the 2025 Honduran presidential election by between 6% and 9%?No won
Will Salvador Alejandro César Nasralla Salum win the 2025 Honduran presidential election by less than 3%?No won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Nasry Juan Asfura Zablah win the 2025 Honduran presidential election?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event