World Politics · resolved market
Will Salvador Alejandro César Nasralla Salum win the 2025 Honduran presidential election by less than 3%?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2982e6a81420ca5b1bbb21b9130ca73cbbf134b5183ad1c7ef9506efb2f59f5c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $60,533
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $53,715
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $60,533 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 80 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x58b7…f66dbacked Yes | 41c | 6,071$2,485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,485.03 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f63…680ebacked Yes | 19c | 4,157$774 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$774.34 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.14per pick | 30cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7994…c512backed Yes | 9c | 3,650$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$311.91 | 57 | 28.1%16 W · 41 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ecd…0787backed Yes | 9c | 3,190$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.55 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -44.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4371…2e31backed Yes | 33c | 2,056$678 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$678.23 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8a0…5cc4backed No | 79c | 1,622$1,277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$344.48 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +29%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x91b0…4da1backed Yes | 38c | 1,510$571 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$570.61 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -49.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa703…3335backed Yes | 14c | 1,175$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.8 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.33per pick | 34cpaid | +86.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x98d0…f14abacked Yes | 39c | 1,061$416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$415.58 | 149 | 47.7%71 W · 78 L | +6.9wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1728…c190backed Yes | 9c | 1,053$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b91…ae77backed Yes | 15c | 1,000$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 56 | 30.4%17 W · 39 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 25cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb8…d906backed No | 55c | 966.08$527 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$439.23 | 123 | 45.5%56 W · 67 L | +5.2wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf25b…82d0backed Yes | 22c | 869.43$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.15 | 55 | 5.5%3 W · 52 L | -3.5wins | -0.06per pick | 12cpaid | -92.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4333…1f57backed No | 57c | 789.28$449 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340.47 | 58 | 43.1%25 W · 33 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8de2…8483backed Yes | 32c | 778.21$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.63 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | +3.6wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2c41…133ebacked Yes | 10c | 712$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.91 | 65 | 33.8%22 W · 43 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6291…cc47backed Yes | 25c | 700$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174 | 284 | 34.2%97 W · 187 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d5c…f8e4backed Yes | 47c | 673.97$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320.02 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +26%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccf1…20ccbacked Yes | 16c | 641.41$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.78 | 113 | 31%35 W · 78 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x993c…eae0backed No | 76c | 625$475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.96 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54b5…4b31backed No | 68c | 600.08$408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.13 | 148 | 34.5%51 W · 97 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x005d…2dedbacked Yes | 9c | 555.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.21per pick | 22cpaid | +182.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa65c…32fbbacked Yes | 20c | 540.37$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.94 | 46 | 34.8%16 W · 30 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5986…83e3backed Yes | 9c | 500$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8797…bbbebacked Yes | 10c | 500$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.6 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | +2.9wins | +0.14per pick | 29cpaid | +50.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x21b4…967dbacked Yes | 10c | 485.4$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.92 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a1a…60d7backed No | 58c | 416.4$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.34 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6c7…c0c0backed No | 61c | 404.77$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.75 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…03b2backed No | 72c | 396.33$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.73 | 69 | 14.5%10 W · 59 L | -6.9wins | -0.10per pick | 24cpaid | -59.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x54a3…102cbacked No | 61c | 392.75$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.43 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde2b…73a0backed Yes | 32c | 329$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.61 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd137…ceacbacked No | 79c | 303$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.84 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -49.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ca…1383backed Yes | 21c | 294.79$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.01 | 449 | 21.2%95 W · 354 L | -21.7wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0b2e…fe02backed No | 68c | 277$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.92 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.17per pick | 63cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43a9…faebbacked No | 79c | 272.23$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.98 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 69cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf8f…c28fbacked Yes | 10c | 270.47$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.75 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 18cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9bf8…c7afbacked Yes | 21c | 264$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.5 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb25c…6d89backed No | 62c | 260$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.6 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +2.5wins | +0.23per pick | 59cpaid | +22%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4c58…8c00backed Yes | 11c | 257.84$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.62 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa11b…f663backed No | 72c | 246.96$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.13 | 25 | 80%20 W · 5 L | +2.2wins | +0.09per pick | 71cpaid | +12%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x88c4…758bbacked Yes | 33c | 245$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.34 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.16per pick | 59cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94fb…d6cbbacked Yes | 12c | 229.2$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.19 | 45 | 40%18 W · 27 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -28%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c55…8adebacked Yes | 6c | 212.65$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.18 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75aa…9f2abacked Yes | 38c | 210$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.11 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.16per pick | 53cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7373…7701backed Yes | 9c | 200$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.4 | 71 | 35.2%25 W · 46 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x442a…7c94backed Yes | 45c | 200$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 61 | 41%25 W · 36 L | +6.1wins | +0.10per pick | 31cpaid | +93.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8b44…63fbbacked Yes | 38c | 192.14$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.09 | 371 | 17.8%66 W · 305 L | -18.9wins | -0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x41f2…d8efbacked No | 64c | 165.71$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.06 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2247…96e8backed Yes | 21c | 152$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.53 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.30per pick | 30cpaid | +186%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdaa9…bad5backed Yes | 11c | 142.08$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.62 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 25c | 141.38$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.16 | 1,022 | 28%286 W · 736 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe3de…5339backed Yes | 33c | 140$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.48 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -3.8wins | -0.29per pick | 37cpaid | -83.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf62b…2adcbacked Yes | 34c | 140$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.06 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2bbb…5c80backed No | 79c | 122$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.11 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -40%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39b5…cf5fbacked Yes | 47c | 120$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.04 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -49.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9081…0b1ebacked Yes | 16c | 108$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.28 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -56.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x731b…90dfbacked Yes | 26c | 100$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.26 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 27cpaid | +38.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x49b1…0f4dbacked Yes | 39c | 100$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e32…535bbacked Yes | 31c | 100$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.3 | 284 | 30.3%86 W · 198 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab6…fa77backed No | 61c | 99.23$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.76 | 688 | 3.6%25 W · 663 L | -9.5wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 34c | 88$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.04 | 1,318 | 43.9%579 W · 739 L | -26.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a6d…1d0abacked Yes | 21c | 79.1$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.78 | 140 | 27.9%39 W · 101 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1dfd…946bbacked Yes | 33c | 76$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.23 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd39c…8a14backed Yes | 41c | 61.59$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x14d4…c3f7backed Yes | 28c | 59.65$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde37…b9bfbacked Yes | 35c | 56.34$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 21cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55c7…b063backed Yes | 28c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.1 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x949a…721cbacked Yes | 42c | 47.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 24cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69ac…7b99backed Yes | 43c | 46.29$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.12 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb862…5aaebacked No | 67c | 46$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.27 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4034…373dbacked Yes | 45c | 43.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.94 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c54…f0bbbacked Yes | 35c | 42.25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.12per pick | 39cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x34e6…e673backed Yes | 49c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9228…e41abacked No | 66c | 40$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.6 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.4wins | +0.26per pick | 51cpaid | +55.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4ae6…7485backed Yes | 32c | 39.49$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.54 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | -3.3wins | -0.13per pick | 40cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7170…ed44backed No | 68c | 39$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.52 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17a5…e00abacked Yes | 44c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 24 | 16.7%4 W · 20 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -59.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd030…3e6bbacked No | 57c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.03 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb740…81bdbacked No | 71c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x46fc…7766backed No | 78c | 12.82$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -36%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Salvador Alejandro César Nasralla Salum win the 2025 Honduran presidential election by less than 3%?this page
- Will Irma Rosibel Moncada Godoy win the 2025 Honduran presidential election by at least 6%?No won
- Will Irma Rosibel Moncada Godoy win the 2025 Honduran presidential election by between 3% and 6%?No won
- Will Irma Rosibel Moncada Godoy win the 2025 Honduran presidential election by less than 3%?No won
- Will Nasry Juan Asfura Zablah win the 2025 Honduran presidential election?Yes won
- Will Salvador Alejandro César Nasralla Salum win the 2025 Honduran presidential election by at least 9%?No won
- Will Salvador Alejandro César Nasralla Salum win the 2025 Honduran presidential election by between 3% and 6%?No won
- Will Salvador Alejandro César Nasralla Salum win the 2025 Honduran presidential election by between 6% and 9%?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.