Tweets · resolved market

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from November 7 to November 14, 2025?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb7b513a7bfa5665ca9ecf24dd545418e2c1c4ce84de50df739d2d1c7892c5ae1

Rebuilt 21 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Yesof Yes, No
Resolved: Nov 14, 2025, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $1,239,840
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $1,014,144

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,239,840 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 320 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Tweets
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xca88…efb2backed Yes	76c	55,276$42,017 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13,258.63	18	50%9 W · 9 L	+0.6wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	-15.6%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe9ed…e29cbacked No	1c	44,268$656 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$655.83	153	9.8%15 W · 138 L	+4.4wins	+0.03per pick	7cpaid	-26.6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2ee0…f57bbacked Yes	10c	38,906$3,864 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$35,042.54	820	6.6%54 W · 766 L	+17.9wins	+0.02per pick	4cpaid	-47.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6964…ef53backed Yes	27c	36,366$9,828 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$26,538.33	662	22.2%147 W · 515 L	-34.7wins	-0.05per pick	27cpaid	-58.2%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8b66…02edbacked Yes	11c	28,509$3,043 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25,466.3	180	9.4%17 W · 163 L	-3.2wins	-0.02per pick	11cpaid	-10.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x849c…4009backed Yes	5c	25,933$1,288 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24,644.59	1,782	7.4%132 W · 1,650 L	-23.2wins	-0.01per pick	9cpaid	-66.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc52c…6732backed Yes	5c	15,497$758 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14,739.19	39	5.1%2 W · 37 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	6cpaid	+8.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xcbbc…b5d0backed Yes	7c	14,979$1,089 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13,889.43	796	6.5%52 W · 744 L	+9.3wins	+0.01per pick	5cpaid	+33.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf4d3…9249backed Yes	9c	13,661$1,214 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12,447.64	52	7.7%4 W · 48 L	-1.8wins	-0.04per pick	11cpaid	-60.9%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1022…f0cfbacked Yes	7c	12,887$894 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11,993.13	173	22.5%39 W · 134 L	+5.5wins	+0.03per pick	19cpaid	-24%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0e5b…a593backed Yes	77c	10,573$8,184 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,388.36	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	35cpaid	-55.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe537…b456backed No	0c	9,147$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	2	0%0 W · 2 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xaca2…b9a1backed Yes	12c	8,804$1,017 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7,787.38	541	22.7%123 W · 418 L	+16.6wins	+0.03per pick	20cpaid	+3.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xeb6b…943abacked No	45c	8,549$3,876 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,876.39	38	36.8%14 W · 24 L	-0.6wins	-0.02per pick	38cpaid	-10.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xca6e…46f2backed Yes	3c	8,416$237 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8,178.91	481	6.7%32 W · 449 L	+2.8wins	+0.01per pick	6cpaid	-2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1589…688bbacked Yes	18c	7,382$1,360 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,021.39	43	16.3%7 W · 36 L	+2.2wins	+0.05per pick	11cpaid	+246%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf8cc…028abacked Yes	1c	7,182$74 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7,108.31	1,625	1.9%31 W · 1,594 L	+14.5wins	+0.01per pick	1cpaid	+17.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0489…ddf7backed Yes	28c	7,071$1,955 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,116.39	199	27.6%55 W · 144 L	-3.6wins	-0.02per pick	29cpaid	-8.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0228…a700backed Yes	8c	6,751$516 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,235.13	26	11.5%3 W · 23 L	+0.5wins	+0.02per pick	9cpaid	-23.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbac4…1ab2backed Yes	16c	6,000$956 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,044.57	457	15.1%69 W · 388 L	-12.5wins	-0.03per pick	18cpaid	-17.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x265f…a448backed Yes	20c	5,952$1,211 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,741.38	285	34.4%98 W · 187 L	+9.1wins	+0.03per pick	31cpaid	-19.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes	5c	5,615$271 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,344.13	2,163	3.9%85 W · 2,078 L	+5.8wins	0.00per pick	4cpaid	-35.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x063a…eb4bbacked Yes	5c	5,372$285 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,087.4	36	33.3%12 W · 24 L	+2.3wins	+0.07per pick	27cpaid	+101.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3256…830cbacked Yes	11c	5,100$585 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,515.2	782	8.7%68 W · 714 L	-1.0wins	0.00per pick	9cpaid	-36.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x90f1…72c6backed Yes	8c	5,036$428 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,608.34	624	12.3%77 W · 547 L	+16.2wins	+0.03per pick	10cpaid	+8.7%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4449…e977backed Yes	5c	4,957$265 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,692.44	590	9.2%54 W · 536 L	+1.6wins	0.00per pick	9cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x556e…d5ccbacked Yes	7c	4,867$348 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,518.42	5	40%2 W · 3 L	+1.1wins	+0.21per pick	19cpaid	+218.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x36e7…0b6bbacked Yes	10c	4,400$446 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,953.69	248	73%181 W · 67 L	+15.9wins	+0.06per pick	67cpaid	+6.1%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes	16c	4,320$689 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,631.45	996	19.8%197 W · 799 L	-15.9wins	-0.02per pick	21cpaid	-43.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x134f…cdb6backed Yes	11c	4,226$474 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,751.8	22	36.4%8 W · 14 L	+1.4wins	+0.07per pick	30cpaid	+10.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5369…aac5backed Yes	9c	4,053$347 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,705.75	17	23.5%4 W · 13 L	+1.1wins	+0.06per pick	17cpaid	+72.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6a1f…81e6backed Yes	2c	4,024$62 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,962.06	70	5.7%4 W · 66 L	-1.0wins	-0.01per pick	7cpaid	+12.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xec2d…de68backed Yes	10c	4,000$381 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,618.99	176	12.5%22 W · 154 L	+2.7wins	+0.02per pick	11cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa49b…7054backed Yes	1c	3,966$57 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,909.45	2,552	13.1%335 W · 2,217 L	+4.3wins	0.00per pick	13cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xce40…da67backed Yes	18c	3,782$663 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,118.59	538	17.3%93 W · 445 L	-2.4wins	0.00per pick	18cpaid	-34.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x08ce…f301backed Yes	11c	3,697$403 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,294.13	56	12.5%7 W · 49 L	-4.1wins	-0.07per pick	20cpaid	-41.5%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5040…df4abacked Yes	8c	3,276$269 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,007.87	33	6.1%2 W · 31 L	-1.1wins	-0.03per pick	9cpaid	-55.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7acb…8c1dbacked No	55c	3,246$1,773 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,773.11	6	16.7%1 W · 5 L	-1.3wins	-0.22per pick	38cpaid	-70%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6845…c125backed Yes	9c	3,230$306 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,923.87	846	16.4%139 W · 707 L	+24.6wins	+0.03per pick	14cpaid	-1.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4a19…81b9backed Yes	15c	3,187$484 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,702.64	42	19%8 W · 34 L	-0.8wins	-0.02per pick	21cpaid	-15.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6e59…ab31backed No	1c	3,117$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.82	5	20%1 W · 4 L	-0.6wins	-0.12per pick	32cpaid	-34.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2021…a8d5backed Yes	15c	3,071$472 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,598.95	45	13.3%6 W · 39 L	-1.3wins	-0.03per pick	16cpaid	-32.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3f31…63d2backed Yes	12c	2,900$355 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,545.2	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	+0.1wins	+0.04per pick	30cpaid	+172.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x663a…5c51backed Yes	6c	2,794$169 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,624.06	48	18.8%9 W · 39 L	-1.7wins	-0.03per pick	22cpaid	-19.8%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x74e0…af4bbacked Yes	2c	2,777$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,727.24	103	35.9%37 W · 66 L	+1.1wins	+0.01per pick	35cpaid	+108%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x56db…171cbacked Yes	3c	2,773$80 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,692.77	58	8.6%5 W · 53 L	-0.8wins	-0.01per pick	10cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6aca…c734backed Yes	19c	2,689$500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,189.04	63	22.2%14 W · 49 L	-1.0wins	-0.02per pick	24cpaid	-14.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9879…f735backed Yes	2c	2,667$41 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,625.28	5	20%1 W · 4 L	+0.8wins	+0.15per pick	5cpaid	+1,187.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1b69…16d4backed Yes	18c	2,661$466 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,195.19	223	27.8%62 W · 161 L	-7.6wins	-0.03per pick	31cpaid	-20.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3f74…ffdabacked Yes	1c	2,500$23 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,477.5	22	18.2%4 W · 18 L	+1.8wins	+0.08per pick	10cpaid	+436.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2aa8…09b0backed Yes	10c	2,500$262 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,238	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.9wins	+0.90per pick	10cpaid	+854.2%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9792…9212backed Yes	4c	2,423$87 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,336.16	27	18.5%5 W · 22 L	+1.8wins	+0.07per pick	12cpaid	+217.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb73e…c66fbacked Yes	14c	2,421$330 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,090.33	11	27.3%3 W · 8 L	+1.2wins	+0.11per pick	17cpaid	+2.7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6df5…6430backed Yes	2c	2,157$44 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,112.86	455	11.6%53 W · 402 L	+8.5wins	+0.02per pick	10cpaid	+104.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xde92…5e10backed Yes	18c	2,142$391 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,750.94	5	60%3 W · 2 L	+1.1wins	+0.21per pick	39cpaid	+86.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x037b…47f4backed Yes	9c	2,142$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,941.83	416	5.3%22 W · 394 L	+10.4wins	+0.02per pick	3cpaid	+158.1%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1f82…2d74backed No	2c	2,117$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47.99	105	13.3%14 W · 91 L	+2.2wins	+0.02per pick	11cpaid	+0.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9973…bc03backed Yes	10c	2,092$213 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,879	51	13.7%7 W · 44 L	-1.6wins	-0.03per pick	17cpaid	-28.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb1fe…9974backed Yes	7c	2,000$139 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,860.84	13	7.7%1 W · 12 L	-2.2wins	-0.17per pick	24cpaid	+10.5%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x51d6…3836backed Yes	1c	2,000$18 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,981.99	150	6%9 W · 141 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	6cpaid	+4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9def…d1a5backed Yes	70c	1,998$1,399 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$599.51	30	36.7%11 W · 19 L	+1.5wins	+0.05per pick	32cpaid	-11.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbd70…d270backed Yes	8c	1,922$153 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,769.29	751	22.2%167 W · 584 L	+15.0wins	+0.02per pick	20cpaid	-35.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x011b…e44dbacked Yes	31c	1,911$601 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,310.35	42	23.8%10 W · 32 L	+0.7wins	+0.02per pick	22cpaid	+13.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdd93…a22bbacked Yes	16c	1,899$300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,599.36	198	19.7%39 W · 159 L	-2.2wins	-0.01per pick	21cpaid	-15.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3cb0…4c27backed Yes	3c	1,895$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,845.04	504	5.2%26 W · 478 L	+10.0wins	+0.02per pick	3cpaid	+44.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xda4d…c8eebacked Yes	3c	1,892$61 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,831.07	143	8.4%12 W · 131 L	+4.7wins	+0.03per pick	5cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x474c…37d3backed Yes	6c	1,767$109 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,657.63	410	17.8%73 W · 337 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	18cpaid	-36.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3c77…05f5backed Yes	8c	1,750$146 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,603.66	12	16.7%2 W · 10 L	+0.6wins	+0.05per pick	12cpaid	+39.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x248e…7b12backed Yes	8c	1,704$129 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,575.25	207	17.4%36 W · 171 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	17cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x70ed…2366backed Yes	26c	1,700$436 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,263.95	16	25%4 W · 12 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	24cpaid	+149.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x21ca…450abacked Yes	17c	1,668$282 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,385.89	312	17.3%54 W · 258 L	-5.7wins	-0.02per pick	19cpaid	-21.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xda67…1739backed Yes	2c	1,633$31 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,602.17	32	3.1%1 W · 31 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	3cpaid	+66.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x27c6…e143backed Yes	9c	1,619$145 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,473.83	39	15.4%6 W · 33 L	-1.3wins	-0.03per pick	19cpaid	-27.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x952c…be27backed Yes	10c	1,565$155 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,409.89	68	22.1%15 W · 53 L	+1.2wins	+0.02per pick	20cpaid	-37.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xde9d…35f8backed Yes	5c	1,563$84 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,478.96	35	11.4%4 W · 31 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	+24.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x70be…2c90backed Yes	46c	1,527$710 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$816.9	40	30%12 W · 28 L	+0.5wins	+0.01per pick	29cpaid	+28.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2c48…056fbacked Yes	9c	1,477$134 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,343.34	4	25%1 W · 3 L	+0.5wins	+0.12per pick	13cpaid	+175.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6948…136cbacked Yes	60c	1,443$871 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$571.86	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.3wins	+0.13per pick	37cpaid	-17.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaa50…3ed5backed Yes	3c	1,412$38 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,373.51	653	11%72 W · 581 L	+10.8wins	+0.02per pick	9cpaid	-11%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x48f5…e40dbacked Yes	6c	1,397$86 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,310.68	8	12.5%1 W · 7 L	+0.5wins	+0.06per pick	6cpaid	+103%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf8c6…5b8bbacked Yes	18c	1,388$245 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,142.6	112	21.4%24 W · 88 L	-3.1wins	-0.03per pick	24cpaid	-7.1%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5a08…7ff5backed Yes	13c	1,387$175 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,212.38	56	32.1%18 W · 38 L	-3.2wins	-0.06per pick	38cpaid	-26.5%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5c0e…4838backed Yes	42c	1,375$577 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$798.38	27	29.6%8 W · 19 L	+2.3wins	+0.08per pick	21cpaid	+56.2%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf3b1…9ca4backed Yes	8c	1,355$107 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,248.23	326	7.1%23 W · 303 L	-0.9wins	0.00per pick	7cpaid	-39.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xde54…444dbacked Yes	4c	1,326$51 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,275.53	20	25%5 W · 15 L	+1.6wins	+0.08per pick	17cpaid	+91.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1e26…e972backed Yes	10c	1,300$125 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,175.4	51	13.7%7 W · 44 L	-4.6wins	-0.09per pick	23cpaid	-36.9%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe679…9338backed Yes	8c	1,300$101 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,198.65	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	+0.6wins	+0.10per pick	23cpaid	+144.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8daa…89d6backed Yes	13c	1,292$165 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,126.34	17	17.6%3 W · 14 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	17cpaid	-15.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x369d…a2d2backed Yes	6c	1,240$75 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,164.71	22	13.6%3 W · 19 L	-1.1wins	-0.05per pick	19cpaid	+9.5%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x931d…dd7abacked Yes	8c	1,232$95 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,136.97	26	30.8%8 W · 18 L	+0.5wins	+0.02per pick	29cpaid	+20.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3113…9943backed Yes	5c	1,200$60 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,140.07	23	8.7%2 W · 21 L	-0.6wins	-0.03per pick	11cpaid	+44.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0655…faf8backed Yes	7c	1,183$81 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,102.09	94	20.2%19 W · 75 L	-1.0wins	-0.01per pick	21cpaid	-15.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x033e…34c6backed Yes	6c	1,155$74 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,081.21	25	16%4 W · 21 L	+1.2wins	+0.05per pick	11cpaid	+12.7%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd2a1…41f2backed Yes	16c	1,128$178 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$949.66	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	+0.4wins	+0.14per pick	19cpaid	+110.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6a84…a46bbacked Yes	13c	1,100$139 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$960.7	41	19.5%8 W · 33 L	-1.3wins	-0.03per pick	23cpaid	-34.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xec4e…aa07backed Yes	12c	1,039$122 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$916.39	14	14.3%2 W · 12 L	-0.4wins	-0.03per pick	17cpaid	-30.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf7f2…1362backed Yes	6c	1,022$60 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$962.16	48	10.4%5 W · 43 L	-0.8wins	-0.02per pick	12cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc164…74d4backed Yes	20c	1,005$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$805.03	13	46.2%6 W · 7 L	+2.2wins	+0.17per pick	29cpaid	+32%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xa901…d418backed Yes	14c	1,004$143 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$861.3	35	17.1%6 W · 29 L	+0.7wins	+0.02per pick	15cpaid	-40.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa002…e840backed Yes	1c	1,000$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$990	186	3.8%7 W · 179 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	4cpaid	-14.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 26 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from November 7 to November 14, 2025?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event