Tweets · resolved market
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from November 7 to November 14, 2025?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfa9cc2fb4031c1a8c2a2501d09f2d2f1e7d845846c29975c7de1a365e87d40b0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,031,362
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,747,805
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,031,362 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 586 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tweets | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2ee0…f57bbacked Yes | 1c | 681,622$7,412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,411.88 | 820 | 6.6%54 W · 766 L | +17.9wins | +0.02per pick | 4cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d96…443ebacked Yes | 0c | 233,085$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77ef…9f6abacked Yes | 0c | 129,420$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.76 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | +2.3wins | +0.09per pick | 19cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xac83…eaaabacked Yes | 1c | 119,440$902 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$901.51 | 296 | 8.1%24 W · 272 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 6cpaid | +52.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee3b…8dcfbacked Yes | 10c | 51,114$5,359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,359.24 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb071…d064backed Yes | 0c | 40,000$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca6e…46f2backed Yes | 5c | 36,655$1,905 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,905.49 | 481 | 6.7%32 W · 449 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 6cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6964…ef53backed Yes | 58c | 36,617$21,375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,374.89 | 662 | 22.2%147 W · 515 L | -34.7wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -58.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf97a…30b7backed Yes | 0c | 29,702$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56db…171cbacked Yes | 1c | 26,179$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297 | 58 | 8.6%5 W · 53 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 10cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf899…6d7fbacked Yes | 0c | 26,139$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.57 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6be9…3493backed No | 16c | 25,724$3,995 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,728.71 | 1,060 | 8.4%89 W · 971 L | +29.0wins | +0.03per pick | 6cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcbbc…b5d0backed Yes | 8c | 23,446$1,859 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,859.14 | 796 | 6.5%52 W · 744 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 5cpaid | +33.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4e8…df4dbacked Yes | 1c | 21,388$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.13 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -3.4wins | -0.18per pick | 39cpaid | -60%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1a68…33bfbacked Yes | 0c | 16,247$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.5 | 45 | 48.9%22 W · 23 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd81…8626backed Yes | 0c | 16,117$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 12cpaid | +173.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac88…9b35backed Yes | 1c | 15,721$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 66 | 6.1%4 W · 62 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 6cpaid | -49%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x519f…a393backed No | 75c | 15,555$11,676 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,878.73 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x849c…4009backed Yes | 9c | 15,029$1,424 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,423.92 | 1,780 | 7.4%132 W · 1,648 L | -23.1wins | -0.01per pick | 9cpaid | -66.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1022…f0cfbacked Yes | 16c | 15,011$2,343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,343.32 | 173 | 22.5%39 W · 134 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 19cpaid | -24%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5eb0…5012backed Yes | 2c | 15,000$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370 | 28 | 25%7 W · 21 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda67…1739backed Yes | 0c | 13,922$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 32 | 3.1%1 W · 31 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 3cpaid | +66.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7795…1db8backed Yes | 1c | 12,902$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 48 | 22.9%11 W · 37 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x265f…a448backed Yes | 50c | 12,513$6,272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,271.64 | 285 | 34.4%98 W · 187 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd427…05adbacked Yes | 2c | 11,958$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.31 | 265 | 16.6%44 W · 221 L | +11.7wins | +0.04per pick | 12cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1842…b628backed Yes | 1c | 11,330$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.26 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 10cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c91…b2febacked No | 79c | 10,939$8,662 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,277.08 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -68.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b66…02edbacked Yes | 17c | 10,377$1,799 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,799.49 | 180 | 9.4%17 W · 163 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 11cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe842…27d6backed Yes | 0c | 10,100$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.8 | 532 | 5.3%28 W · 504 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 5cpaid | -68.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x68b8…5401backed Yes | 0c | 10,000$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 11cpaid | +86.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x134f…cdb6backed No | 61c | 9,472$5,783 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,689.44 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 30cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe9ed…e29cbacked Yes | 2c | 8,929$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.38 | 153 | 9.8%15 W · 138 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 7cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd263…5af6backed Yes | 1c | 8,732$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 15cpaid | +54.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdce0…da3cbacked Yes | 0c | 8,633$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 11cpaid | -17%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x063a…eb4bbacked Yes | 51c | 8,175$4,131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,131.45 | 36 | 33.3%12 W · 24 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | +101.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6aca…c734backed Yes | 14c | 7,998$1,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,119.71 | 63 | 22.2%14 W · 49 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc164…74d4backed No | 51c | 7,965$4,024 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,940.72 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +2.2wins | +0.17per pick | 29cpaid | +32%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xda4d…c8eebacked Yes | 1c | 7,520$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82 | 143 | 8.4%12 W · 131 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb0f…2052backed Yes | 1c | 7,492$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.15 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x474c…37d3backed Yes | 1c | 7,476$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.36 | 410 | 17.8%73 W · 337 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ddf…2c83backed Yes | 76c | 7,310$5,582 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,581.87 | 53 | 11.3%6 W · 47 L | -3.5wins | -0.07per pick | 18cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x67b6…568ebacked Yes | 36c | 7,129$2,597 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,596.69 | 39 | 15.4%6 W · 33 L | -2.7wins | -0.07per pick | 22cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x90f1…72c6backed Yes | 55c | 7,000$3,825 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,824.6 | 624 | 12.3%77 W · 547 L | +16.2wins | +0.03per pick | 10cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c16…8bfabacked Yes | 1c | 6,700$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 24cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5040…df4abacked Yes | 0c | 6,667$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 33 | 6.1%2 W · 31 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 9cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbac4…1ab2backed Yes | 15c | 5,990$901 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900.83 | 457 | 15.1%69 W · 388 L | -12.5wins | -0.03per pick | 18cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2785…42a6backed Yes | 1c | 5,981$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.59 | 22 | 13.6%3 W · 19 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 18cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4449…e977backed Yes | 4c | 5,530$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209 | 590 | 9.2%54 W · 536 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 9cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8fa6…4465backed Yes | 10c | 5,442$552 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$552.46 | 18 | 11.1%2 W · 16 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 7cpaid | +413.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9def…d1a5backed Yes | 23c | 5,172$1,186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,185.65 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3719…2df0backed Yes | 10c | 5,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd70…d270backed Yes | 69c | 4,963$3,412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,412.15 | 751 | 22.2%167 W · 584 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8acf…22e4backed Yes | 64c | 4,909$3,159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,159.35 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +11%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaca2…b9a1backed Yes | 22c | 4,894$1,070 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,069.76 | 541 | 22.7%123 W · 418 L | +16.6wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c00…06eebacked Yes | 2c | 4,849$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 13cpaid | +30.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4d3…9249backed Yes | 4c | 4,755$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.31 | 52 | 7.7%4 W · 48 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 11cpaid | -60.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc950…ad4ebacked Yes | 0c | 4,700$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.1 | 31 | 19.4%6 W · 25 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2635…41aebacked Yes | 1c | 4,623$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.67 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 18cpaid | -80%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce40…da67backed Yes | 22c | 4,330$972 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$972.33 | 538 | 17.3%93 W · 445 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc52c…6732backed Yes | 6c | 4,319$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245 | 39 | 5.1%2 W · 37 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 6cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe537…b456backed Yes | 0c | 4,130$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefb9…e74fbacked Yes | 74c | 4,090$3,026 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,025.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.74per pick | 74cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 12c | 4,026$484 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$484.13 | 996 | 19.8%197 W · 799 L | -15.9wins | -0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9521…766bbacked Yes | 1c | 4,026$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.69 | 243 | 7%17 W · 226 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 6cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9879…f735backed Yes | 4c | 3,836$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.15per pick | 5cpaid | +1,187.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e36…8463backed Yes | 1c | 3,750$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3256…830cbacked Yes | 20c | 3,606$731 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$730.82 | 781 | 8.7%68 W · 713 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 9cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf43…b321backed Yes | 18c | 3,500$629 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$628.59 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.10per pick | 38cpaid | -56.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbe98…9e5abacked Yes | 1c | 3,462$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.41 | 33 | 12.1%4 W · 29 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 16cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a1f…81e6backed Yes | 8c | 3,403$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.76 | 70 | 5.7%4 W · 66 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 7cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0619…d801backed Yes | 60c | 3,400$2,028 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,028 | 230 | 19.1%44 W · 186 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5039…946dbacked Yes | 3c | 3,197$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1589…688bbacked No | 16c | 3,107$506 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,601.69 | 43 | 16.3%7 W · 36 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 11cpaid | +246%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6df6…8458backed Yes | 73c | 3,102$2,275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,275.08 | 80 | 31.3%25 W · 55 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37b2…8681backed Yes | 1c | 3,072$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 233 | 21%49 W · 184 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc1e0…3c65backed Yes | 1c | 3,059$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf0b…fd01backed Yes | 0c | 2,948$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.79 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed Yes | 6c | 2,823$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.14 | 2,545 | 13.2%335 W · 2,210 L | +4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 13cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3cb0…4c27backed Yes | 0c | 2,732$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.91 | 504 | 5.2%26 W · 478 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 3cpaid | +44.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9ac…c5d1backed Yes | 1c | 2,675$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 108 | 17.6%19 W · 89 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | +58.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb042…14f3backed No | 48c | 2,631$1,269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,362.34 | 103 | 25.2%26 W · 77 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2021…a8d5backed Yes | 37c | 2,500$924 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$924.4 | 45 | 13.3%6 W · 39 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 16cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x663a…5c51backed Yes | 33c | 2,480$809 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$809.01 | 48 | 18.8%9 W · 39 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc295…dde9backed No | 69c | 2,349$1,618 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$731.31 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a97…4800backed Yes | 80c | 2,326$1,860 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,860.39 | 686 | 15.7%108 W · 578 L | -18.0wins | -0.03per pick | 18cpaid | -40%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde9d…35f8backed Yes | 5c | 2,303$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.67 | 35 | 11.4%4 W · 31 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 11cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3b4…2a97backed Yes | 29c | 2,114$617 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$617.1 | 27 | 25.9%7 W · 20 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | +33.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0655…faf8backed Yes | 10c | 2,104$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.85 | 94 | 20.2%19 W · 75 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6cfb…fac1backed Yes | 1c | 2,050$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 19cpaid | +33%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe071…2d1abacked No | 74c | 2,004$1,490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$513.41 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb1fe…9974backed Yes | 7c | 2,000$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -2.2wins | -0.17per pick | 24cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x471a…0328backed No | 27c | 1,922$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,411.56 | 312 | 42.9%134 W · 178 L | +20.0wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x08ce…f301backed Yes | 14c | 1,873$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.95 | 56 | 12.5%7 W · 49 L | -4.1wins | -0.07per pick | 20cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 24c | 1,835$437 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$436.64 | 788 | 11.5%91 W · 697 L | -33.7wins | -0.04per pick | 16cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6660…172bbacked Yes | 19c | 1,826$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$339.55 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f31…63d2backed Yes | 27c | 1,814$483 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$483.16 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +172.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc469…056abacked No | 66c | 1,803$1,186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$617.36 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +52.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x729e…e23ebacked Yes | 15c | 1,744$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.33 | 238 | 31.1%74 W · 164 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…0346backed Yes | 1c | 1,735$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ac5…fe46backed Yes | 5c | 1,729$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.06 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 26 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from November 7 to November 14, 2025?this page
- Will Elon Musk post 0-19 tweets from November 7 to November 14, 2025?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from November 7 to November 14, 2025?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from November 7 to November 14, 2025?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from November 7 to November 14, 2025?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from November 7 to November 14, 2025?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from November 7 to November 14, 2025?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 20-39 tweets from November 7 to November 14, 2025?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from November 7 to November 14, 2025?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from November 7 to November 14, 2025?Yes won
- Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from November 7 to November 14, 2025?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from November 7 to November 14, 2025?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from November 7 to November 14, 2025?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from November 7 to November 14, 2025?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from November 7 to November 14, 2025?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from November 7 to November 14, 2025?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from November 7 to November 14, 2025?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets from November 7 to November 14, 2025?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from November 7 to November 14, 2025?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from November 7 to November 14, 2025?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from November 7 to November 14, 2025?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from November 7 to November 14, 2025?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from November 7 to November 14, 2025?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from November 7 to November 14, 2025?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from November 7 to November 14, 2025?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from November 7 to November 14, 2025?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.