Tweets · resolved market
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from November 7 to November 14, 2025?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd5132cdb02885ac64344973395ff2c8585121ee5f2827d13ca4d8d5453c52820
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,363,480
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $702,281
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,363,480 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 126 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tweets | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2ee0…f57bbacked Yes | 0c | 153,854$384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$383.73 | 820 | 6.6%54 W · 766 L | +17.9wins | +0.02per pick | 4cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6349…2a82backed Yes | 0c | 71,800$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.96 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 18cpaid | +76%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x849c…4009backed Yes | 1c | 51,747$372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$372.41 | 1,782 | 7.4%132 W · 1,650 L | -23.2wins | -0.01per pick | 9cpaid | -66.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcbbc…b5d0backed Yes | 1c | 47,196$567 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$567.47 | 796 | 6.5%52 W · 744 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 5cpaid | +33.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b69…16d4backed Yes | 3c | 40,731$1,343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,343.13 | 223 | 27.8%62 W · 161 L | -7.6wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b0c…1a42backed Yes | 1c | 39,128$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.83 | 155 | 20%31 W · 124 L | +6.0wins | +0.04per pick | 16cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca6e…46f2backed Yes | 1c | 38,116$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.69 | 481 | 6.7%32 W · 449 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 6cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x033e…34c6backed Yes | 1c | 29,360$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.74 | 25 | 16%4 W · 21 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 11cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb0f…2052backed Yes | 0c | 25,140$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.99 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda67…1739backed Yes | 0c | 23,889$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.23 | 32 | 3.1%1 W · 31 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 3cpaid | +66.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6be9…3493backed Yes | 3c | 21,313$556 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$555.78 | 1,067 | 8.3%89 W · 978 L | +28.9wins | +0.03per pick | 6cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f66…b986backed Yes | 0c | 20,620$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.86 | 568 | 17.4%99 W · 469 L | +18.3wins | +0.03per pick | 14cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6964…ef53backed Yes | 1c | 15,959$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.06 | 662 | 22.2%147 W · 515 L | -34.7wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -58.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa5d6…6f47backed Yes | 3c | 15,005$464 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$464.42 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f74…ffdabacked Yes | 1c | 14,371$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.87 | 22 | 18.2%4 W · 18 L | +1.8wins | +0.08per pick | 10cpaid | +436.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf8cc…028abacked Yes | 1c | 13,094$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.67 | 1,625 | 1.9%31 W · 1,594 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 1cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4d3…9249backed Yes | 4c | 12,569$448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$447.97 | 52 | 7.7%4 W · 48 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 11cpaid | -60.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc52c…6732backed Yes | 1c | 11,105$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 39 | 5.1%2 W · 37 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 6cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 1c | 10,843$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.68 | 2,163 | 3.9%85 W · 2,078 L | +5.8wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90f1…72c6backed Yes | 1c | 9,041$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 624 | 12.3%77 W · 547 L | +16.2wins | +0.03per pick | 10cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec2d…de68backed Yes | 1c | 9,000$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 176 | 12.5%22 W · 154 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 11cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cb0…4c27backed Yes | 0c | 8,884$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.18 | 504 | 5.2%26 W · 478 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 3cpaid | +44.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec4e…aa07backed Yes | 1c | 8,305$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.43 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf22f…6d67backed Yes | 3c | 8,228$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.94 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6df5…6430backed Yes | 0c | 8,000$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 455 | 11.6%53 W · 402 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 10cpaid | +104.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3256…830cbacked Yes | 2c | 7,800$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.6 | 782 | 8.7%68 W · 714 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 9cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8daa…89d6backed Yes | 3c | 7,571$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e5b…a593backed Yes | 1c | 7,485$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.2 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x037b…47f4backed Yes | 1c | 7,093$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 416 | 5.3%22 W · 394 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 3cpaid | +158.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f82…2d74backed Yes | 2c | 6,580$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122 | 105 | 13.3%14 W · 91 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 11cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x78bc…483cbacked Yes | 3c | 6,139$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.1 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3b1…9ca4backed Yes | 2c | 5,572$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.35 | 326 | 7.1%23 W · 303 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 7cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc3e4…8669backed Yes | 3c | 5,437$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 126 | 16.7%21 W · 105 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f0…25d2backed Yes | 1c | 5,348$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.89 | 384 | 4.7%18 W · 366 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4081…cfb0backed Yes | 0c | 5,167$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.9 | 134 | 7.5%10 W · 124 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 6cpaid | +27%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a1f…81e6backed Yes | 1c | 5,042$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.94 | 70 | 5.7%4 W · 66 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 7cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c2c…407ebacked Yes | 0c | 5,015$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.01 | 240 | 1.7%4 W · 236 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 1cpaid | +675.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd81…8626backed Yes | 1c | 4,739$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.82 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 12cpaid | +173.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x265f…a448backed Yes | 1c | 4,734$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.51 | 285 | 34.4%98 W · 187 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8ef7…1e3dbacked Yes | 1c | 4,483$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 20cpaid | +75.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4449…e977backed Yes | 1c | 4,360$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 590 | 9.2%54 W · 536 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 9cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda4d…c8eebacked Yes | 1c | 4,175$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.35 | 143 | 8.4%12 W · 131 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd0b9…0354backed Yes | 2c | 4,106$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.86 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c7d…c4d3backed Yes | 1c | 3,933$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.39 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56db…171cbacked Yes | 2c | 3,881$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 58 | 8.6%5 W · 53 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 10cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce40…da67backed Yes | 1c | 3,700$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.9 | 538 | 17.3%93 W · 445 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5546…c8cebacked Yes | 0c | 3,540$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.62 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 13cpaid | +101.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6993…c79abacked Yes | 0c | 3,534$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.44 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x111d…85f7backed Yes | 3c | 3,403$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.81 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -46.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08ce…f301backed Yes | 1c | 3,350$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.88 | 56 | 12.5%7 W · 49 L | -4.1wins | -0.07per pick | 20cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 1c | 3,321$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.51 | 996 | 19.8%197 W · 799 L | -15.9wins | -0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21ca…450abacked Yes | 6c | 3,300$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.43 | 312 | 17.3%54 W · 258 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd7db…40f4backed Yes | 3c | 3,250$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.99 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 19cpaid | +46.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc54a…ead9backed Yes | 2c | 3,138$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.83 | 186 | 18.3%34 W · 152 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb73e…c66fbacked Yes | 2c | 2,750$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | +1.2wins | +0.11per pick | 17cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c48…056fbacked Yes | 4c | 2,698$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 13cpaid | +175.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f7b…55cebacked Yes | 3c | 2,618$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.68 | 127 | 12.6%16 W · 111 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 11cpaid | +56.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa789…0a6ebacked Yes | 2c | 2,580$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.45 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaeeb…645fbacked Yes | 1c | 2,571$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.42 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33d4…c167backed Yes | 1c | 2,551$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.51 | 177 | 23.2%41 W · 136 L | +7.2wins | +0.04per pick | 19cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6994…9631backed Yes | 2c | 2,479$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 25cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3bc…543ebacked Yes | 2c | 2,477$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | +1.9wins | +0.12per pick | 7cpaid | +90%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcaa0…1df7backed Yes | 2c | 2,413$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.24 | 32 | 9.4%3 W · 29 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 7cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c77…05f5backed Yes | 2c | 2,325$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.35 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 12cpaid | +39.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b04…c387backed Yes | 1c | 2,298$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | +1.8wins | +0.12per pick | 8cpaid | +121.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8423…b93dbacked Yes | 1c | 2,253$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.9 | 36 | 16.7%6 W · 30 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3113…9943backed Yes | 2c | 2,234$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 23 | 8.7%2 W · 21 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 11cpaid | +44.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed Yes | 2c | 2,182$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.97 | 2,552 | 13.1%335 W · 2,217 L | +4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 13cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb9a5…ded5backed Yes | 1c | 2,160$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6845…c125backed Yes | 2c | 2,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 846 | 16.4%139 W · 707 L | +24.6wins | +0.03per pick | 14cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac6…82a6backed Yes | 1c | 2,000$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 184 | 12%22 W · 162 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -67.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9def…d1a5backed Yes | 1c | 2,000$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a84…a46bbacked Yes | 1c | 2,000$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 41 | 19.5%8 W · 33 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb179…8cf4backed Yes | 1c | 1,897$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 20 | 5%1 W · 19 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 13cpaid | -86.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x48f5…e40dbacked Yes | 1c | 1,806$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 6cpaid | +103%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e26…e972backed Yes | 4c | 1,778$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 51 | 13.7%7 W · 44 L | -4.6wins | -0.09per pick | 23cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5040…df4abacked Yes | 2c | 1,767$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 33 | 6.1%2 W · 31 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 9cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1fe…9974backed Yes | 3c | 1,743$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -2.2wins | -0.17per pick | 24cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xde9d…35f8backed Yes | 1c | 1,668$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.13 | 35 | 11.4%4 W · 31 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 11cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x240d…bfd2backed Yes | 1c | 1,656$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.6 | 56 | 30.4%17 W · 39 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe828…5ceabacked Yes | 2c | 1,652$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.28 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +3.7wins | +0.13per pick | 46cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaa50…3ed5backed Yes | 1c | 1,604$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.24 | 653 | 11%72 W · 581 L | +10.8wins | +0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2608…5ca8backed Yes | 2c | 1,516$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d26…3286backed Yes | 2c | 1,508$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.65 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -1.4wins | -0.11per pick | 26cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4978…956bbacked Yes | 2c | 1,415$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.83 | 479 | 8.6%41 W · 438 L | +16.6wins | +0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x27c6…e143backed Yes | 3c | 1,348$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.26 | 39 | 15.4%6 W · 33 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 19cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd93…a22bbacked Yes | 1c | 1,346$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.8 | 198 | 19.7%39 W · 159 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09f0…5991backed Yes | 1c | 1,200$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b27…0b98backed Yes | 1c | 1,100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 344 | 27%93 W · 251 L | -10.1wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x306d…7a38backed Yes | 1c | 1,060$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.74 | 580 | 11.4%66 W · 514 L | +19.7wins | +0.03per pick | 8cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaada…75fbbacked Yes | 1c | 1,035$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.45per pick | 5cpaid | +419.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8d9…9085backed Yes | 2c | 1,031$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.20per pick | 33cpaid | -76.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa956…666fbacked Yes | 2c | 1,014$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 65 | 21.5%14 W · 51 L | -5.7wins | -0.09per pick | 30cpaid | -53%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6a47…88f2backed Yes | 2c | 1,009$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.26per pick | 7cpaid | +87.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88cb…2c20backed Yes | 1c | 977$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.04 | 108 | 11.1%12 W · 96 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 8cpaid | +70.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd5c…6d2abacked Yes | 1c | 922.85$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.64 | 625 | 39.5%247 W · 378 L | +48.1wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf647…632bbacked Yes | 1c | 910$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.92 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x011b…e44dbacked Yes | 2c | 852.26$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.32 | 42 | 23.8%10 W · 32 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 22cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x474c…37d3backed Yes | 3c | 847.33$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.42 | 410 | 17.8%73 W · 337 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x248e…7b12backed Yes | 1c | 828.25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.42 | 207 | 17.4%36 W · 171 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 26 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from November 7 to November 14, 2025?this page
- Will Elon Musk post 0-19 tweets from November 7 to November 14, 2025?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from November 7 to November 14, 2025?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from November 7 to November 14, 2025?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from November 7 to November 14, 2025?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from November 7 to November 14, 2025?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from November 7 to November 14, 2025?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 20-39 tweets from November 7 to November 14, 2025?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from November 7 to November 14, 2025?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from November 7 to November 14, 2025?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from November 7 to November 14, 2025?Yes won
- Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from November 7 to November 14, 2025?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from November 7 to November 14, 2025?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from November 7 to November 14, 2025?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from November 7 to November 14, 2025?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from November 7 to November 14, 2025?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from November 7 to November 14, 2025?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets from November 7 to November 14, 2025?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from November 7 to November 14, 2025?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from November 7 to November 14, 2025?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from November 7 to November 14, 2025?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from November 7 to November 14, 2025?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from November 7 to November 14, 2025?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from November 7 to November 14, 2025?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from November 7 to November 14, 2025?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from November 7 to November 14, 2025?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.