Us Politics · resolved market
Will Trump disparage Zohran Mamdani on Friday?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3b3605d566bb020631701ee7c7fae875721e33458a35efc575b45c404dea57a3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Us Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $44,187
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $47,799
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $44,187 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 98 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Us Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Us Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7c3d…5c6bbacked Yes | 2c | 4,760$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.49 | 412 | 38.8%160 W · 252 L | +11.6wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf8be…c8d1backed Yes | 4c | 4,455$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.33 | 38 | 31.6%12 W · 26 L | +3.7wins | +0.10per pick | 22cpaid | +157.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf78f…f119backed No | 65c | 2,228$1,445 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$783.23 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1955…aef1backed Yes | 30c | 1,902$564 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$563.76 | 165 | 44.8%74 W · 91 L | +10.9wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5b22…c59cbacked Yes | 35c | 1,876$651 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650.65 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5188…c804backed No | 56c | 1,278$711 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$567.53 | 62 | 30.6%19 W · 43 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x47f5…934dbacked No | 59c | 1,243$731 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$512.59 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | +5.2wins | +0.12per pick | 31cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xaf20…f904backed Yes | 42c | 952.61$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -1.9wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8b44…63fbbacked Yes | 19c | 918.77$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.55 | 84 | 19%16 W · 68 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc90…00aebacked No | 68c | 872.16$597 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.2 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8864…3ed5backed Yes | 6c | 809.99$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.8 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -67.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe827…5209backed Yes | 17c | 700$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 42 | 26.2%11 W · 31 L | -3.3wins | -0.08per pick | 34cpaid | -45.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xed9e…f5f1backed Yes | 53c | 660$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.8 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d42…f124backed Yes | 40c | 591.68$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.81 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xacb5…8330backed Yes | 29c | 481.62$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.89 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 21cpaid | -82.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06ad…bb1bbacked Yes | 33c | 480.6$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.93 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe738…df65backed No | 49c | 480$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.8wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x366c…6578backed No | 77c | 453.05$347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.73 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ee1…e2bbbacked Yes | 47c | 429.64$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 28 | 14.3%4 W · 24 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 14cpaid | -56.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbac1…ce0ebacked No | 60c | 420.31$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.72 | 43 | 32.6%14 W · 29 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6429…33fcbacked No | 50c | 396$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x993c…6787backed Yes | 47c | 384.61$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.37 | 192 | 36.5%70 W · 122 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48f3…104fbacked No | 61c | 310.51$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.04 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99c1…9b20backed Yes | 5c | 299.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 27 | 7.4%2 W · 25 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 14cpaid | -80.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x827b…906bbacked Yes | 54c | 251.08$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.78 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0562…9d66backed Yes | 53c | 250$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.82 | 119 | 36.1%43 W · 76 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0523…e38bbacked Yes | 50c | 250$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 68 | 33.8%23 W · 45 L | -4.4wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb3d…bd14backed Yes | 47c | 213.11$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb428…13bfbacked No | 57c | 210.47$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.47 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f6a…7771backed No | 76c | 210.1$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.1 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf33f…085cbacked Yes | 24c | 209.99$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 69 | 21.7%15 W · 54 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79ad…a9f1backed No | 72c | 200$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 60 | 38.3%23 W · 37 L | -3.4wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -34%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca0d…2ae3backed Yes | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd630…fa11backed No | 56c | 177.97$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.97 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbcc4…c6b9backed Yes | 29c | 165.44$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.12 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2826…f448backed No | 78c | 165.24$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.37 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeebf…ab91backed Yes | 31c | 161.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +34.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x73dc…0f1bbacked Yes | 41c | 159.99$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0238…c051backed Yes | 20c | 150$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 11cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe405…c7f9backed Yes | 53c | 150$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.5 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +106.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe405…bf91backed No | 72c | 149.99$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.14per pick | 31cpaid | +156%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cf6…9767backed No | 58c | 132.76$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.76 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6df6…8458backed No | 50c | 129.74$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.13 | 161 | 44.7%72 W · 89 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5260…fd71backed No | 63c | 127.14$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.44 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -50.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b8f…4a0fbacked Yes | 49c | 120$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.8 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x91a8…2db7backed Yes | 53c | 112.62$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd77e…6adcbacked No | 59c | 111.62$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.32 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +57.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7775…3bc8backed Yes | 32c | 105$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.6 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 23cpaid | -55.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8fce…2566backed Yes | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 61 | 26.2%16 W · 45 L | -8.3wins | -0.14per pick | 40cpaid | -48.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7878…7975backed Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 23cpaid | +56%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2968…ce4cbacked Yes | 34c | 100$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | +2.6wins | +0.14per pick | 13cpaid | +145.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcc79…1c2abacked Yes | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -2.8wins | -0.12per pick | 47cpaid | -48.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcd96…cbdcbacked Yes | 52c | 100$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -53.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd50…c17bbacked Yes | 44c | 100$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 125 | 33.6%42 W · 83 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 27c | 99.99$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 696 | 34.9%243 W · 453 L | -48.8wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6556…8647backed No | 65c | 99.99$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.14per pick | 58cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3cf9…3cb1backed Yes | 32c | 99.99$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -62.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5567…aeedbacked No | 60c | 99.34$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.14 | 53 | 39.6%21 W · 32 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8ae…df55backed No | 71c | 96.7$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.01 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe64f…6cc3backed No | 52c | 96.09$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.09 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9998…e858backed No | 59c | 94.99$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.65 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -39%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7352…e156backed No | 48c | 92.36$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.03 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.35per pick | 32cpaid | +64.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21e2…e456backed Yes | 32c | 90$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e3e…7fccbacked Yes | 57c | 87.72$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.19per pick | 39cpaid | -67.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2819…34fcbacked No | 57c | 87.07$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.07 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x490e…73adbacked Yes | 43c | 81.53$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.93 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc495…b276backed Yes | 33c | 80$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.4 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 52c | 79.28$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 1,073 | 35.5%381 W · 692 L | -70.5wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6236…6881backed No | 52c | 68.75$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.26 | 58 | 53.4%31 W · 27 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | 0%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb3c3…5034backed No | 49c | 65.24$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.27 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.58per pick | 43cpaid | +140.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb47f…d792backed Yes | 51c | 61.25$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.24 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34da…4656backed Yes | 47c | 60$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.2 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.16per pick | 39cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4980…f038backed Yes | 56c | 60$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fa6…8919backed Yes | 50c | 60$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -60.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13b5…c003backed No | 70c | 58.93$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.57 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ed4…4547backed No | 56c | 58.34$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.67 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb009…b498backed No | 60c | 56.67$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.67 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc468…009dbacked No | 50c | 53.06$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.65 | 118 | 54.2%64 W · 54 L | +10.5wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1d4a…03c0backed Yes | 39c | 52.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.39 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -51%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6f5…f23abacked Yes | 49c | 51.14$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3475…eea8backed Yes | 52c | 46.43$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | +3.2wins | +0.10per pick | 32cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7707…4fcbbacked Yes | 25c | 45.21$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.3 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -53.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9160…a858backed No | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.55 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01fa…c2edbacked No | 53c | 40$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc21…8e31backed Yes | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.17per pick | 32cpaid | -64.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7f0e…8cb9backed Yes | 51c | 39.19$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc441…fb83backed Yes | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +51.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x65e4…2420backed No | 50c | 31.08$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.54 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc93c…3c93backed No | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x033e…34c6backed Yes | 38c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 12cpaid | -65.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa359…a882backed Yes | 51c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.3 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 29cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55b6…c358backed Yes | 70c | 25.83$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37b2…8681backed Yes | 57c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -26%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc288…3480backed Yes | 58c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25b9…3058backed No | 73c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.4 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +39.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda9f…2928backed No | 68c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.42 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x40de…141abacked Yes | 59c | 17.22$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.22 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x473a…c40ebacked No | 72c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.2 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.14per pick | 44cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Us Politics and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.