Tweets · resolved market

Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from November 21 to November 28, 2025?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xada495fb682578508a25567e8b7580da89f4c2a6abf28191ee4192529de1c949

Rebuilt 7 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Nov 28, 2025, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $1,067,782
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $538,275

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,067,782 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 120 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Tweets
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x2ee0…f57bbacked Yes	1c	283,579$3,405 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,405.21	820	6.6%54 W · 766 L	+17.9wins	+0.02per pick	4cpaid	-47.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcbbc…b5d0backed Yes	3c	40,631$1,166 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,166.12	796	6.5%52 W · 744 L	+9.3wins	+0.01per pick	5cpaid	+33.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8b66…02edbacked Yes	4c	25,191$1,006 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,006.46	180	9.4%17 W · 163 L	-3.2wins	-0.02per pick	11cpaid	-10.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x849c…4009backed Yes	3c	23,248$599 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$599.26	1,782	7.4%132 W · 1,650 L	-23.2wins	-0.01per pick	9cpaid	-66.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaf46…8c1dbacked Yes	1c	20,000$108 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$108.21	627	13.2%83 W · 544 L	+3.3wins	+0.01per pick	13cpaid	-52.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6964…ef53backed Yes	1c	16,467$98 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$98.23	662	22.2%147 W · 515 L	-34.7wins	-0.05per pick	27cpaid	-58.2%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes	3c	16,363$515 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$514.93	2,163	3.9%85 W · 2,078 L	+5.8wins	0.00per pick	4cpaid	-35.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0338…70cfbacked Yes	4c	14,814$603 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$602.82	17	5.9%1 W · 16 L	-0.3wins	-0.02per pick	8cpaid	-86.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf3b1…9ca4backed Yes	5c	12,272$654 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$653.8	326	7.1%23 W · 303 L	-0.9wins	0.00per pick	7cpaid	-39.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1022…f0cfbacked Yes	4c	11,506$494 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$493.76	173	22.5%39 W · 134 L	+5.5wins	+0.03per pick	19cpaid	-24%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3256…830cbacked Yes	6c	9,044$536 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$536.17	782	8.7%68 W · 714 L	-1.0wins	0.00per pick	9cpaid	-36.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdd37…6993backed Yes	6c	8,738$484 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$483.54	10	10%1 W · 9 L	-0.5wins	-0.05per pick	15cpaid	-60.3%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1b69…16d4backed Yes	6c	8,729$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	223	27.8%62 W · 161 L	-7.6wins	-0.03per pick	31cpaid	-20.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdd1f…cc26backed Yes	3c	8,575$281 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$280.87	499	19%95 W · 404 L	-1.7wins	0.00per pick	19cpaid	-11.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x033e…34c6backed Yes	1c	7,041$97 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$97.29	25	16%4 W · 21 L	+1.2wins	+0.05per pick	11cpaid	+12.7%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc52c…6732backed Yes	3c	6,899$179 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$179	39	5.1%2 W · 37 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	6cpaid	+8.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x206b…7d6abacked Yes	2c	6,223$151 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$151.41	524	9.9%52 W · 472 L	+15.5wins	+0.03per pick	7cpaid	+64%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdd45…59b2backed Yes	2c	5,218$86 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$85.65	66	10.6%7 W · 59 L	-0.8wins	-0.01per pick	12cpaid	+87.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6df5…6430backed Yes	3c	5,022$155 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$155.4	455	11.6%53 W · 402 L	+8.5wins	+0.02per pick	10cpaid	+104.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbac4…1ab2backed Yes	5c	5,000$250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$250	457	15.1%69 W · 388 L	-12.5wins	-0.03per pick	18cpaid	-17.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2f92…1a91backed Yes	6c	4,958$277 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$277.48	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.06per pick	6cpaid	-100%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xd5f6…7d33backed Yes	3c	4,908$124 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$124.13	207	4.3%9 W · 198 L	+2.1wins	+0.01per pick	3cpaid	+5.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x62f6…95d5backed Yes	6c	4,542$269 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$268.94	11	27.3%3 W · 8 L	+0.7wins	+0.06per pick	21cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa49b…7054backed Yes	2c	4,190$82 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$82.18	2,552	13.1%335 W · 2,217 L	+4.3wins	0.00per pick	13cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2c1a…42d8backed Yes	4c	4,002$169 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$168.83	70	11.4%8 W · 62 L	-2.1wins	-0.03per pick	14cpaid	-66.2%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x93fd…7e2fbacked Yes	4c	3,846$137 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$137.15	572	22%126 W · 446 L	-3.5wins	-0.01per pick	23cpaid	-42%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf44f…70c2backed Yes	3c	3,676$115 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$114.82	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-0.4wins	-0.07per pick	7cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf8cc…028abacked Yes	2c	3,131$59 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$58.94	1,625	1.9%31 W · 1,594 L	+14.5wins	+0.01per pick	1cpaid	+17.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8565…0c43backed Yes	4c	3,030$134 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$133.67	706	16.4%116 W · 590 L	-13.6wins	-0.02per pick	18cpaid	-29%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9792…9212backed Yes	1c	2,900$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.3	27	18.5%5 W · 22 L	+1.8wins	+0.07per pick	12cpaid	+217.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe1f0…25d2backed Yes	5c	2,790$138 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$138.44	384	4.7%18 W · 366 L	+4.0wins	+0.01per pick	4cpaid	-18.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8f7b…55cebacked Yes	4c	2,721$108 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$108.47	127	12.6%16 W · 111 L	+2.0wins	+0.02per pick	11cpaid	+56.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb6a2…4b66backed Yes	4c	2,707$104 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$103.84	22	9.1%2 W · 20 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	8cpaid	-6.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa553…3eaebacked Yes	1c	2,418$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35	20	20%4 W · 16 L	+1.1wins	+0.06per pick	14cpaid	-4.4%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbd70…d270backed Yes	5c	2,383$108 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$108.23	751	22.2%167 W · 584 L	+15.0wins	+0.02per pick	20cpaid	-35.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xda81…ed2cbacked Yes	7c	2,282$167 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$167	9	11.1%1 W · 8 L	-0.7wins	-0.08per pick	19cpaid	-3.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x701c…4615backed Yes	5c	2,124$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	64	17.2%11 W · 53 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	17cpaid	-18.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3bef…f04ebacked Yes	3c	2,074$65 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$64.92	38	10.5%4 W · 34 L	+1.3wins	+0.03per pick	7cpaid	-52.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaf16…464ebacked Yes	5c	1,892$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	11	9.1%1 W · 10 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	8cpaid	+4.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0643…8eccbacked Yes	3c	1,855$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.59	13	0%0 W · 13 L	-0.6wins	-0.05per pick	5cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4978…956bbacked Yes	3c	1,845$64 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$63.7	479	8.6%41 W · 438 L	+16.6wins	+0.03per pick	5cpaid	-2.7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5489…92c5backed Yes	3c	1,791$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.03per pick	3cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6be9…3493backed Yes	8c	1,769$137 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$136.77	1,067	8.3%89 W · 978 L	+28.9wins	+0.03per pick	6cpaid	-28.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9521…766bbacked Yes	4c	1,712$68 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$68.45	243	7%17 W · 226 L	+3.3wins	+0.01per pick	6cpaid	-5.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0655…faf8backed Yes	6c	1,669$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	94	20.2%19 W · 75 L	-1.0wins	-0.01per pick	21cpaid	-15.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x265f…a448backed Yes	3c	1,650$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47.75	285	34.4%98 W · 187 L	+9.1wins	+0.03per pick	31cpaid	-19.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9991…9480backed Yes	4c	1,620$71 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70.93	87	11.5%10 W · 77 L	-2.2wins	-0.03per pick	14cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4d6d…1ba1backed Yes	4c	1,571$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	43	16.3%7 W · 36 L	-1.2wins	-0.03per pick	19cpaid	-38.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x765a…efb4backed Yes	1c	1,555$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.19	387	6.5%25 W · 362 L	+6.8wins	+0.02per pick	5cpaid	-6.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xac83…eaaabacked Yes	4c	1,550$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$54.55	296	8.1%24 W · 272 L	+6.3wins	+0.02per pick	6cpaid	+52.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x80b5…9631backed Yes	10c	1,467$140 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$140	9	11.1%1 W · 8 L	-0.5wins	-0.06per pick	17cpaid	-37.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5300…d039backed Yes	4c	1,387$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49	64	12.5%8 W · 56 L	+3.3wins	+0.05per pick	7cpaid	+83.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb47f…d792backed Yes	5c	1,351$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$69.91	20	40%8 W · 12 L	+2.0wins	+0.10per pick	30cpaid	+36.6%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6787…321dbacked Yes	8c	1,335$113 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$113.33	28	7.1%2 W · 26 L	-1.5wins	-0.05per pick	13cpaid	-47.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3013…2cd8backed Yes	5c	1,317$67 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$67.1	261	13.8%36 W · 225 L	-0.5wins	0.00per pick	14cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8423…b93dbacked Yes	4c	1,304$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48.03	36	16.7%6 W · 30 L	-0.9wins	-0.02per pick	19cpaid	-44.8%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xec05…b328backed Yes	4c	1,250$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	23	17.4%4 W · 19 L	-1.1wins	-0.05per pick	22cpaid	-30.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x380f…8229backed Yes	1c	1,136$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	177	22.6%40 W · 137 L	+2.8wins	+0.02per pick	21cpaid	+7.2%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf8c6…5b8bbacked Yes	5c	1,127$53 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$53.38	112	21.4%24 W · 88 L	-3.1wins	-0.03per pick	24cpaid	-7.1%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x34e5…d9d0backed Yes	3c	1,005$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.13	58	8.6%5 W · 53 L	+2.5wins	+0.04per pick	4cpaid	+67.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6845…c125backed Yes	4c	1,000$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39	846	16.4%139 W · 707 L	+24.6wins	+0.03per pick	14cpaid	-1.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3238…1521backed Yes	2c	999.94$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21	126	6.3%8 W · 118 L	+1.9wins	+0.02per pick	5cpaid	+32.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x39aa…583cbacked Yes	5c	974.55$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.66	592	25.3%150 W · 442 L	+2.3wins	0.00per pick	25cpaid	-42.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc910…03f5backed Yes	1c	962.12$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11	11	9.1%1 W · 10 L	-0.3wins	-0.03per pick	12cpaid	+26.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6fd4…ea85backed Yes	3c	952.54$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.32	11	9.1%1 W · 10 L	-0.6wins	-0.05per pick	14cpaid	-18.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x240d…bfd2backed Yes	7c	942.36$68 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$68.2	56	30.4%17 W · 39 L	+0.8wins	+0.01per pick	29cpaid	-1.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb009…b498backed Yes	4c	880$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.6	34	23.5%8 W · 26 L	-0.8wins	-0.02per pick	26cpaid	-40.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9a30…f47dbacked Yes	6c	830$54 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$53.88	23	21.7%5 W · 18 L	-0.8wins	-0.03per pick	25cpaid	-43.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9263…1999backed Yes	2c	824.04$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.1	98	1%1 W · 97 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	1cpaid	-24.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe4be…58f2backed Yes	3c	822$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.05	53	17%9 W · 44 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	17cpaid	-48.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x657e…8436backed Yes	3c	819.76$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.2wins	-0.06per pick	6cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1589…688bbacked Yes	8c	817.12$69 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$68.79	43	16.3%7 W · 36 L	+2.2wins	+0.05per pick	11cpaid	+246%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4706…286ebacked Yes	4c	749.3$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.32	118	5.1%6 W · 112 L	+1.0wins	+0.01per pick	4cpaid	+94.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3103…ea70backed Yes	4c	732.01$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.67	139	26.6%37 W · 102 L	-1.5wins	-0.01per pick	28cpaid	-23.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x12cc…275dbacked Yes	5c	702.48$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.91	128	18.8%24 W · 104 L	-3.6wins	-0.03per pick	22cpaid	-21.8%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9973…bc03backed Yes	4c	700$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.77	51	13.7%7 W · 44 L	-1.6wins	-0.03per pick	17cpaid	-28.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xda67…1739backed Yes	7c	676.37$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	32	3.1%1 W · 31 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	3cpaid	+66.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf014…d442backed Yes	4c	672.02$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.15	14	28.6%4 W · 10 L	+0.8wins	+0.06per pick	23cpaid	+26.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3e64…4ddabacked Yes	2c	643.91$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.31	388	11.9%46 W · 342 L	+6.5wins	+0.02per pick	10cpaid	+51.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd42b…48c8backed Yes	4c	600$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.4	246	8.5%21 W · 225 L	-2.7wins	-0.01per pick	10cpaid	-23.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d72…8e62backed Yes	2c	591.68$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	52	1.9%1 W · 51 L	-3.2wins	-0.06per pick	8cpaid	-80.4%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xcc49…aa14backed Yes	5c	548.37$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.39	12	25%3 W · 9 L	+0.7wins	+0.06per pick	19cpaid	+136.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x306d…7a38backed Yes	4c	540$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.66	580	11.4%66 W · 514 L	+19.7wins	+0.03per pick	8cpaid	+21.4%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x91d8…fbc5backed Yes	5c	517.58$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	90	12.2%11 W · 79 L	-5.2wins	-0.06per pick	18cpaid	-42%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4143…d67dbacked Yes	2c	500$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.5	212	20.3%43 W · 169 L	+13.4wins	+0.06per pick	14cpaid	+610.3%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xfee1…bc75backed Yes	2c	500$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.5	15	33.3%5 W · 10 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	33cpaid	+21%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x35e2…2953backed Yes	2c	499.99$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11	221	19.9%44 W · 177 L	+6.5wins	+0.03per pick	17cpaid	-2.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x474c…37d3backed Yes	6c	499.95$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.5	410	17.8%73 W · 337 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	18cpaid	-36.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x64e3…e3f5backed Yes	2c	497.33$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.05	42	14.3%6 W · 36 L	+0.9wins	+0.02per pick	12cpaid	+34.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4522…ff26backed Yes	6c	489.71$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.57	14	14.3%2 W · 12 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	15cpaid	-50.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5546…c8cebacked Yes	2c	476.19$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	9	22.2%2 W · 7 L	+0.8wins	+0.09per pick	13cpaid	+101.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1606…0ba6backed Yes	3c	470$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.15	100	21%21 W · 79 L	-2.7wins	-0.03per pick	24cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xae00…f7b0backed Yes	3c	468.96$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.07	62	43.5%27 W · 35 L	+1.4wins	+0.02per pick	41cpaid	-16%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x729e…e23ebacked Yes	6c	443.17$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	238	31.1%74 W · 164 L	-4.9wins	-0.02per pick	33cpaid	-19.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1fa6…4094backed Yes	3c	439.54$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.94	307	14%43 W · 264 L	-2.5wins	-0.01per pick	15cpaid	-33.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeeb7…f008backed Yes	3c	427.28$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14	15	26.7%4 W · 11 L	+1.0wins	+0.06per pick	20cpaid	+2.6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xcf95…7865backed Yes	4c	417.57$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.46	526	19.8%104 W · 422 L	-2.7wins	-0.01per pick	20cpaid	-24.6%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x5526…8ffabacked Yes	6c	411.48$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.93	100	16%16 W · 84 L	+0.8wins	+0.01per pick	15cpaid	+11.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1a46…156ebacked Yes	6c	401.93$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.46	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.04per pick	4cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc90b…cb24backed Yes	5c	370$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.11	32	15.6%5 W · 27 L	+0.3wins	+0.01per pick	15cpaid	+1.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 26 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from November 21 to November 28, 2025?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event