AI · resolved market
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1a2ec4f6e34d891e80dbd74ffccd4b40c2f8148fc117ff5ebf07cd9f95602e17
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- AIevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,314,818
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,380,290
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,314,818 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 263 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in AI is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in AI | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1f23…b36ebacked No | 1c | 72,181$845 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$845 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab6…fa77backed No | 5c | 69,686$3,609 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,609.3 | 256 | 0.8%2 W · 254 L | -8.9wins | -0.03per pick | 4cpaid | -97.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4fdf…4452backed No | 3c | 56,615$1,714 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,714.02 | 47 | 4.3%2 W · 45 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 10cpaid | -93.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x28c4…6024backed No | 3c | 54,476$1,701 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,700.81 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07d4…8991backed No | 2c | 32,246$735 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$734.66 | 629 | 1.3%8 W · 621 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 2cpaid | -88.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa917…9062backed No | 2c | 31,445$670 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$670.49 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58e2…dfeabacked No | 3c | 30,319$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf8cc…5a82backed No | 2c | 30,000$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490 | 26 | 15.4%4 W · 22 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 20cpaid | -70.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ca…66edbacked No | 4c | 29,762$1,303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,303.26 | 50 | 16%8 W · 42 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -60.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4181…de86backed No | 8c | 20,283$1,702 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,702.34 | 88 | 15.9%14 W · 74 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9db…7984backed No | 0c | 20,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6590…3a26backed No | 0c | 13,500$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 58 | 0%0 W · 58 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e24…175dbacked No | 2c | 11,887$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 6c | 11,408$671 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$671.09 | 1,363 | 6.8%93 W · 1,270 L | -20.2wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -59.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6db9…4ab5backed No | 3c | 10,660$307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306.57 | 20 | 5%1 W · 19 L | -1.7wins | -0.09per pick | 14cpaid | -84.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d8d…8f77backed No | 3c | 9,249$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.11 | 24 | 4.2%1 W · 23 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -88.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6c9…975ebacked No | 3c | 8,480$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281.7 | 72 | 19.4%14 W · 58 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 17cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…42d8backed No | 6c | 8,414$473 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$473.06 | 38 | 2.6%1 W · 37 L | -2.9wins | -0.08per pick | 10cpaid | -94.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb4e…47f0backed No | 1c | 8,175$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.47 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cc8…feb7backed No | 2c | 7,757$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf8c5…4109backed No | 3c | 7,647$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.81 | 19 | 0%0 W · 19 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x63e3…8876backed No | 5c | 7,475$353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$352.98 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 21cpaid | -72.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2cb…3bbdbacked No | 7c | 7,452$494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$493.67 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.28per pick | 32cpaid | +32%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7bc9…e8ecbacked No | 4c | 7,184$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.3 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 5c | 7,027$321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$321.39 | 574 | 26.8%154 W · 420 L | -11.5wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -45.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f3…e710backed No | 3c | 6,939$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.27 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa899…f68dbacked No | 4c | 6,302$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.54 | 40 | 17.5%7 W · 33 L | -2.6wins | -0.06per pick | 24cpaid | -51.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xecd7…c614backed No | 6c | 6,089$346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$346.26 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x357e…2a0cbacked No | 7c | 5,885$421 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420.63 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.15per pick | 29cpaid | +195.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x249b…5df1backed No | 3c | 5,885$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.89 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.14per pick | 31cpaid | -78.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc9…ace5backed No | 4c | 5,811$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.83 | 211 | 0.9%2 W · 209 L | -12.0wins | -0.06per pick | 7cpaid | -85.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf5b5…5b9cbacked No | 7c | 5,463$367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$367.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaadc…4925backed No | 38c | 5,288$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe858…ef1cbacked Yes | 67c | 5,236$3,484 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,751.57 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d89…69b5backed Yes | 78c | 4,721$3,674 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,046.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d0d…9b6ebacked No | 4c | 4,453$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.27 | 183 | 11.5%21 W · 162 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 12cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd0e…b89abacked No | 5c | 4,243$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05a9…7175backed No | 10c | 3,894$389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$389.42 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb38…ae5fbacked No | 10c | 3,666$365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$364.95 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +2.5wins | +0.20per pick | 27cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ec…646dbacked No | 3c | 3,483$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed No | 8c | 3,445$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.11 | 257 | 31.5%81 W · 176 L | -14.6wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x71c2…735dbacked No | 2c | 3,352$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.4 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a7a…06e4backed No | 7c | 3,247$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.65 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd40d…5652backed No | 6c | 3,236$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0182…7103backed No | 4c | 3,189$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6910…1779backed No | 5c | 3,173$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.84 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 16cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed No | 8c | 3,112$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.82 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56db…171cbacked No | 2c | 3,005$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.25 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 11cpaid | -88.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda08…72d4backed No | 5c | 3,000$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.56 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.11per pick | 20cpaid | -83.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1180…b0d6backed No | 3c | 2,887$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7238…cbc1backed No | 5c | 2,827$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd898…7d57backed No | 4c | 2,730$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.22 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7ed…4acdbacked No | 7c | 2,699$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.34 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.23per pick | 52cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe154…0b7fbacked No | 0c | 2,500$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 263 | 12.9%34 W · 229 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 11cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4591…318bbacked No | 1c | 2,470$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c52…2c09backed No | 11c | 2,445$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27b8…b68cbacked No | 5c | 2,388$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.62 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ee1…e2bbbacked No | 6c | 2,383$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.49 | 32 | 3.1%1 W · 31 L | -3.9wins | -0.12per pick | 15cpaid | -88.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xce60…6705backed Yes | 71c | 2,280$1,619 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$660.47 | 48 | 37.5%18 W · 30 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0643…8eccbacked No | 4c | 2,250$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.1 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54af…a9efbacked Yes | 72c | 2,224$1,610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$613.44 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6cef…af02backed No | 3c | 2,200$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb79f…d749backed No | 1c | 2,183$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.29 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5eae…ea4abacked No | 4c | 2,170$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.26per pick | 49cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdf6d…9c5cbacked No | 4c | 2,151$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.34 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | +2.1wins | +0.08per pick | 30cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0100…a303backed No | 4c | 2,104$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.38 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb36c…8715backed No | 2c | 2,050$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.1 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 7cpaid | +146.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e7…12febacked No | 4c | 2,000$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.84 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.22per pick | 34cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8674…0d1ebacked No | 6c | 1,861$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.05 | 55 | 38.2%21 W · 34 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x993f…35cbbacked No | 5c | 1,842$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.38 | 59 | 50.8%30 W · 29 L | +4.1wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1f79…0b32backed No | 1c | 1,802$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.91 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dbf…3f35backed No | 6c | 1,725$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.36 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x59cb…0722backed No | 4c | 1,691$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e25…d7a7backed No | 24c | 1,614$387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$387.36 | 40 | 20%8 W · 32 L | -2.9wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -67.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x76d2…6bfcbacked No | 6c | 1,601$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.65 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -82.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed No | 13c | 1,559$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.92 | 407 | 12.3%50 W · 357 L | -35.7wins | -0.09per pick | 21cpaid | -48.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0a43…b7bdbacked No | 7c | 1,541$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.9 | 14 | 0%0 W · 14 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ee4…fa88backed No | 10c | 1,539$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.44 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -55.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1fb7…61e9backed No | 5c | 1,500$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.95 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 14cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ba4…8a89backed Yes | 62c | 1,453$903 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$550.43 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 17cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ff…fe1abacked No | 2c | 1,439$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.53 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd5f6…7d33backed No | 2c | 1,387$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.75 | 26 | 0%0 W · 26 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x807d…1e89backed No | 7c | 1,382$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 29cpaid | -78.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5b9…e44ebacked No | 9c | 1,273$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.03 | 142 | 50%71 W · 71 L | +10.5wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +70.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x33da…7270backed No | 8c | 1,250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.99 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0419…606dbacked No | 4c | 1,239$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde0a…1811backed No | 2c | 1,203$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.83 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4706…286ebacked No | 4c | 1,153$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.68 | 71 | 2.8%2 W · 69 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 5cpaid | -66.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fed…d914backed Yes | 61c | 1,144$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$443.27 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xada4…48babacked No | 4c | 1,139$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.57 | 20 | 0%0 W · 20 L | -2.7wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2a21…d26abacked No | 2c | 1,125$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.75 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | +76.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6305…9d0bbacked No | 9c | 1,104$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -53.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf31…4837backed No | 5c | 1,092$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.66 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b5a…b95dbacked No | 4c | 1,076$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -52.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe56e…dc0cbacked No | 9c | 1,044$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.39per pick | 11cpaid | +312%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb74e…e0a6backed No | 13c | 1,042$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 13c | 1,019$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.66 | 201 | 48.8%98 W · 103 L | +11.5wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b91…2709backed No | 4c | 1,000$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.86 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +5.1wins | +0.20per pick | 38cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x807c…f1e3backed No | 3c | 1,000$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 31 | 9.7%3 W · 28 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 13cpaid | -57%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba94…d855backed No | 6c | 1,000$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in AI and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?this page
- Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?No won
- Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?No won
- Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?No won
- Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?No won
- Will Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?No won
- Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.