TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Serie A · resolved market

Will AS Roma win on 2025-11-09?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$124,450
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$126,229

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $124,450 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 126 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Serie A
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc3c3…eec8backed No37c40,000$14,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,80010952.3%57 W · 52 L+8.0wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+13.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xee00…cea1backed Yes63c34,100$21,483 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,617.121877.8%14 W · 4 L+3.2wins+0.18per pick60cpaid+34.9%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x057a…3bacbacked No38c27,373$10,390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,389.7712050.8%61 W · 59 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-13.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes62c24,624$15,340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,284.22,53845.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L+13.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-12.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xad94…85b1backed No37c7,956$2,934 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,934.16940.6%28 W · 41 L-0.1wins0.00per pick41cpaid+1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb44e…c2c6backed Yes63c6,978$4,396 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,581.983259.4%19 W · 13 L0.0wins0.00per pick59cpaid-5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x11be…cbabbacked No37c6,978$2,582 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,581.86650%3 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+39.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No16c5,944$926 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$926.251,98139.8%788 W · 1,193 L-7.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid-23.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe3d4…2bacbacked Yes59c3,325$1,966 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,358.527656.6%43 W · 33 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7865…4af9backed No36c3,000$1,080 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0805641.1%23 W · 33 L+4.8wins+0.09per pick32cpaid+48.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4231…f63ebacked Yes63c2,795$1,761 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,034.1816154%87 W · 74 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbbe8…0fedbacked No24c1,251$296 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$295.6910260.8%62 W · 40 L+8.1wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+8.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5288…0439backed No36c1,000$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$360450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+30.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x15bc…5023backed Yes63c999.99$630 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$370450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick56cpaid+13.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfcdc…500dbacked Yes63c952.38$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$352.382100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+54%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8fe7…4f20backed Yes66c900.04$594 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$306.0124939.4%98 W · 151 L-12.9wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-13.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2bb0…2fd8backed Yes64c859.38$550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$309.38333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-47.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8de5…e957backed Yes62c805.69$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$306.16250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-19.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed Yes63c800$501 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$299.259240.7%241 W · 351 L-15.8wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-16.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6b59…6445backed Yes63c793.96$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$293.761573.3%11 W · 4 L+1.6wins+0.11per pick63cpaid+12.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x330b…69f1backed Yes65c769.24$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$269.2412950.4%65 W · 64 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Yes64c709.34$451 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$258.6544753.5%239 W · 208 L+17.0wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xaf38…a59bbacked No36c662.98$238 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$237.929651%49 W · 47 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+12.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6834…c8d3backed No34c623.58$212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$212.021662.5%10 W · 6 L+2.5wins+0.16per pick47cpaid+51.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe071…f836backed Yes63c500$315 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1858659.3%51 W · 35 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4781…336dbacked Yes64c491.48$315 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$176.9312565.6%82 W · 43 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick64cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf70…7d5fbacked Yes63c473.24$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$173.246642.4%28 W · 38 L-3.1wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-11.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Yes62c415.88$258 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.6543058.6%252 W · 178 L+15.8wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Yes64c312.5$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.510650%53 W · 53 L-4.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-5.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0a44…d80abacked Yes63c284.3$179 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.191957.9%11 W · 8 L+1.8wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0974…003dbacked Yes61c264.31$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.281457.1%8 W · 6 L+1.4wins+0.10per pick47cpaid+8.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Yes64c252$161 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.723036.7%11 W · 19 L-2.2wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-22%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xce7f…de96backed No38c201.92$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick60cpaid-10.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9cb3…f37fbacked No36c195.95$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.546162.3%38 W · 23 L+2.9wins+0.05per pick58cpaid+12.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2c1a…42d8backed No15c189.96$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.023020%6 W · 24 L-2.2wins-0.07per pick27cpaid-38.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc71f…bd62backed No37c186$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.549643.8%42 W · 54 L+4.2wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+4.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed Yes63c175.64$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.986155.7%34 W · 27 L+3.7wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+18.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xda70…828bbacked Yes59c167.8$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.84647.8%22 W · 24 L+2.0wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+14.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9a3b…b968backed Yes62c161.29$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.292470.8%17 W · 7 L+3.4wins+0.14per pick57cpaid+20.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3222…2823backed Yes63c158.73$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.732653.8%14 W · 12 L+2.6wins+0.10per pick44cpaid+11.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf614…689abacked Yes64c156.25$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.25580%4 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.22per pick58cpaid+36.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x53a8…96d2backed Yes64c156.25$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.25450%2 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-27.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7c85…77c6backed Yes64c150$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.8314254.2%77 W · 65 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xea9e…d3fbbacked No34c150$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$518620.9%18 W · 68 L+0.2wins0.00per pick21cpaid+8.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4108…a80dbacked No36c149.99$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$541625%4 W · 12 L-2.3wins-0.14per pick39cpaid-37.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x03de…4bfdbacked No36c149.99$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.591553.3%8 W · 7 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8bf8…e27cbacked Yes66c143.63$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.282100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+55.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x30b2…9e25backed No37c100$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfa01…f0a7backed Yes62c100$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3819652%102 W · 94 L-0.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb3fe…4a24backed Yes64c100$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$366264.5%40 W · 22 L+7.4wins+0.12per pick53cpaid+27.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xdddc…9eb0backed Yes64c95.27$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.3862.5%5 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.11per pick74cpaid-15.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3486…49eebacked Yes65c92.46$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.4626744.6%119 W · 148 L-0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid-5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd009…49f7backed Yes62c90.68$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.461100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+61.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xcba6…bb05backed No38c85.15$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.29754.6%53 W · 44 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x26ae…97b8backed No35c84.99$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.1310163.4%64 W · 37 L+4.9wins+0.05per pick58cpaid+5.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2129…4222backed No36c79.81$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.7324657.3%141 W · 105 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed No15c73$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.953218.8%6 W · 26 L+1.8wins+0.06per pick13cpaid+48.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed No34c72$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.4828931.8%92 W · 197 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-11.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd960…1adebacked Yes64c70.06$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.1911546.1%53 W · 62 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x369a…c545backed Yes64c69.7$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.093100%3 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+76.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xaacf…5f84backed Yes61c69$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.914776.6%36 W · 11 L+3.4wins+0.07per pick69cpaid+10.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5ab6…50f1backed Yes64c65$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.4250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.15per pick65cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x09c0…7253backed Yes63c63.49$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.49683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.24per pick60cpaid+47.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x671a…0a6dbacked Yes63c63.49$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.491560%9 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick60cpaid-8.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed No37c58.17$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.5238744.7%173 W · 214 L-10.8wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-8.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8821…3914backed No43c58.14$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.14per pick43cpaid+27.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4982…bdbdbacked Yes65c53.85$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.851100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+53.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5c0e…4838backed Yes58c51.72$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.721100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8594…7eedbacked Yes62c51.61$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.616659.1%39 W · 27 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick60cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6bf2…85b7backed Yes60c50$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$203560%21 W · 14 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9126…1896backed Yes64c50$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-21.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdf24…0039backed Yes64c46.88$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.881384.6%11 W · 2 L+3.0wins+0.23per pick61cpaid+45.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x3303…03afbacked Yes64c46.88$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.88366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+29%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3151…0977backed No36c45.01$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.21838.9%7 W · 11 L-2.7wins-0.15per pick54cpaid-26.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf6c1…c084backed No37c40.54$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1510%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd2ae…f36bbacked No37c40$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.84839.6%19 W · 29 L-4.6wins-0.10per pick49cpaid-21.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x34da…367fbacked Yes62c40$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.22330.4%7 W · 16 L-3.3wins-0.14per pick45cpaid-30.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x261a…fad0backed Yes64c39.06$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.06366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick62cpaid+7.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x85d3…0698backed Yes64c39.06$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.063253.1%17 W · 15 L-1.2wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-9.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd612…0bc1backed Yes63c36$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.326165.6%40 W · 21 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick63cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5a7b…fdd1backed Yes63c31.75$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.754860.4%29 W · 19 L+2.3wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa0e8…a236backed Yes63c31.75$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.752166.7%14 W · 7 L+1.2wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+4.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe43b…235fbacked Yes63c31.75$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.75955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+9.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2664…53f8backed Yes63c31.75$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.752356.5%13 W · 10 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick61cpaid-9.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcb91…f766backed Yes63c31.75$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.752556%14 W · 11 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick61cpaid-8.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x439f…bdedbacked Yes63c31.75$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.751050%5 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-17%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7a29…c0b6backed Yes63c31.75$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.752272.7%16 W · 6 L+1.8wins+0.08per pick64cpaid+13.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6a76…51b7backed No41c31.71$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1317948%86 W · 93 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3dea…26d5backed Yes63c31.64$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.641070%7 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick65cpaid+12.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb928…fa64backed Yes64c31.25$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.251457.1%8 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick62cpaid-7.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf0ee…8067backed Yes65c30.77$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.775545.5%25 W · 30 L+2.3wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfab1…4e6cbacked Yes65c30.77$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.771258.3%7 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick62cpaid-4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa741…bd1fbacked Yes65c30.77$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.771457.1%8 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick60cpaid+4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaa83…537bbacked Yes63c30$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.12850%14 W · 14 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-0.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd562…3804backed Yes68c29.41$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.41250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-26.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb7e4…769fbacked Yes70c28.57$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.571100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x56df…ffd4backed No37c27.78$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.2810%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc2df…2f6bbacked Yes63c25.96$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.671100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+59.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x29b0…ced0backed Yes64c25$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa8ae…7f3ebacked Yes64c25$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96842.6%29 W · 39 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+17.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.