TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Will Gabon win on 2025-12-31?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$170,266
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$173,423

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $170,266 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 146 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x84cb…28adbacked Yes65c36,057$23,547 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23,547.062065%13 W · 7 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick62cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No38c22,861$8,708 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,153.923,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No62c15,756$9,846 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,910.534,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcd36…a8acbacked Yes10c13,300$1,289 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,288.955228.8%15 W · 37 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-31.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd267…9dc6backed Yes10c6,309$631 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$630.899322.6%21 W · 72 L-3.2wins-0.03per pick26cpaid-18.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdcfe…44b5backed No35c5,778$2,030 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,747.86845.6%31 W · 37 L+2.5wins+0.04per pick42cpaid-0.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0ee4…276fbacked Yes62c5,175$3,188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,187.67837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.15per pick52cpaid-51.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7d43…bc5ebacked Yes9c4,896$441 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$440.649636.5%35 W · 61 L-3.3wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-26.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No33c4,478$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,978.1176048.7%370 W · 390 L-2.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid-8.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed No43c4,138$1,766 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,371.3629343%126 W · 167 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-8.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7652…c6c5backed Yes63c3,317$2,082 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,081.61911.1%1 W · 8 L-1.8wins-0.20per pick31cpaid-85.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Yes26c3,242$843 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$843.135942.9%154 W · 205 L-16.5wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-24%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd178…6703backed No38c2,435$925 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,509.711354%61 W · 52 L+6.3wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+4.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x72b4…7d67backed Yes13c2,387$310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$310.313333.3%11 W · 22 L+2.3wins+0.07per pick26cpaid-34.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7daf…0ec8backed Yes10c2,040$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2041414.3%2 W · 12 L-1.9wins-0.14per pick28cpaid-70.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x344b…f7fcbacked Yes59c2,018$1,181 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,180.889145.1%41 W · 50 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-16.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x9d8e…349fbacked Yes50c2,010$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0002152.4%11 W · 10 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1e33…afb3backed Yes40c1,700$675 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$675.433132.3%10 W · 21 L-4.0wins-0.13per pick45cpaid-16%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xaa7f…3223backed Yes67c1,354$901 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$900.883363.6%21 W · 12 L+4.4wins+0.13per pick50cpaid+34.6%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xccea…a8ebbacked Yes12c1,310$157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157.251435.7%5 W · 9 L-1.5wins-0.11per pick47cpaid-40.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd66f…a19bbacked No50c1,278$643 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$634.3118438%70 W · 114 L-8.9wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-26.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x964f…ca58backed Yes64c1,118$715 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$714.711030%3 W · 7 L-2.2wins-0.22per pick52cpaid-54.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7702…13d1backed Yes31c1,108$343 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$343.48922.2%2 W · 7 L-1.6wins-0.18per pick40cpaid-55.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf42a…8470backed Yes1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1010629.2%31 W · 75 L+3.2wins+0.03per pick26cpaid+3.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc7f7…2abfbacked Yes11c994.54$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.420322.7%46 W · 157 L+0.7wins0.00per pick22cpaid-18.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2707…0afabacked Yes44c993.67$440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4406331.7%20 W · 43 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-15.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xda9e…42e0backed Yes63c985.39$619 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$619.212055%11 W · 9 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-7.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0b1d…820cbacked Yes61c825.93$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5003262.5%20 W · 12 L+1.5wins+0.05per pick58cpaid-8.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd397…5052backed Yes63c793.65$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5001136.4%4 W · 7 L-2.9wins-0.26per pick63cpaid-48.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xd1a8…1b66backed Yes63c751.26$474 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$473.781735.3%6 W · 11 L+1.0wins+0.06per pick29cpaid-12.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x42b8…5379backed No49c714.72$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$364.724100%4 W · 0 L+1.6wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+77.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x88de…1091backed Yes10c693.93$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.4521016.7%35 W · 175 L-0.9wins0.00per pick17cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x540f…2840backed Yes66c687.03$453 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$452.5410%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.66per pick66cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa122…9847backed Yes32c668.78$217 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$217.162045%9 W · 11 L-2.5wins-0.13per pick58cpaid-29.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x503d…cd16backed Yes15c666.67$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004831.3%15 W · 33 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-25.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed No56c644.69$363 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$281.9816841.1%69 W · 99 L-4.6wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-26.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa266…67f7backed Yes8c626.52$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.9114620.5%30 W · 116 L-7.6wins-0.05per pick26cpaid-23.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Yes11c624$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.730031%93 W · 207 L-5.8wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-22.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd40b…429abacked Yes55c600$333 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$332.91136.4%4 W · 7 L+0.8wins+0.07per pick29cpaid-1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x42fd…4661backed Yes60c600$359 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$358.8830%0 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc1df…4404backed No40c577.45$232 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$345.331330.8%4 W · 9 L-1.8wins-0.14per pick45cpaid-32.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4da7…fe1cbacked Yes39c521.82$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203.5160%0 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x397e…3d84backed No67c514.3$343 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$171.2722656.6%128 W · 98 L+18.9wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+29.8%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x3a56…387cbacked No57c503.45$287 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$216.749845.9%45 W · 53 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-23.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaa57…a128backed Yes60c501.38$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3004961.2%30 W · 19 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick63cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe9db…a30ebacked Yes56c444.64$249 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.17per pick67cpaid-36.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3a8e…b505backed Yes55c428.04$238 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$237.554247.6%20 W · 22 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-24.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4411…985ebacked No49c404.77$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204.779357%53 W · 40 L+2.7wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+1.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2db3…667abacked Yes50c400$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2004050%20 W · 20 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1397…4b34backed Yes60c400$239 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23910%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1ca7…ce3bbacked Yes32c375$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1203423.5%8 W · 26 L-1.8wins-0.05per pick29cpaid-37.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0dd4…297abacked Yes45c358.67$161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161.410%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed No62c354.76$218 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.571,00153.9%540 W · 461 L+34.3wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+4.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf2ae…74c0backed Yes60c333.33$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20017851.1%91 W · 87 L-8.1wins-0.05per pick56cpaid-11.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe30e…eadabacked Yes32c315.15$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100580%4 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.31per pick49cpaid+51.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc6d7…18ffbacked No68c309.87$211 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.08771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.08per pick64cpaid+13.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x92fd…83eabacked Yes65c308.38$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.45366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick68cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1802…d00fbacked Yes69c300$207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2071931.6%6 W · 13 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick36cpaid-9.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe6f0…5701backed No66c300$197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1031747.1%8 W · 9 L+1.1wins+0.07per pick40cpaid-26.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9fc3…675bbacked Yes59c270.34$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.291844.4%8 W · 10 L-2.4wins-0.13per pick58cpaid-29.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xb893…bf4bbacked No38c263.16$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.164447.7%21 W · 23 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa7b2…7b9cbacked Yes39c256.41$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010748.6%52 W · 55 L+6.8wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+9.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x723c…01ebbacked Yes10c233.21$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.233520%7 W · 28 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick19cpaid-9.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf124…3bf0backed Yes65c230$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.540%0 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0e7f…2015backed No52c220$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.92050%10 W · 10 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-11%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf641…7b6fbacked No75c218$163 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.3622959.4%136 W · 93 L-3.7wins-0.02per pick61cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf9a2…a79abacked Yes59c208.27$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.8816225.3%41 W · 121 L-10.8wins-0.07per pick32cpaid-41.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x01fa…c2edbacked No70c200$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$602544%11 W · 14 L-2.9wins-0.12per pick56cpaid-19.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xfd96…e623backed Yes66c200$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.72937.9%11 W · 18 L-1.8wins-0.06per pick44cpaid+26.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3ce0…32c9backed Yes13c200$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2670%0 W · 7 L-0.6wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x49fa…f904backed Yes39c200$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$785318.9%10 W · 43 L-6.2wins-0.12per pick31cpaid-57.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xdd25…01aebacked Yes11c199.99$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$221338.5%5 W · 8 L+2.4wins+0.18per pick20cpaid+62.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe1c3…7d73backed Yes65c192.89$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1255154.9%28 W · 23 L-1.8wins-0.04per pick58cpaid-13.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8a23…bfddbacked No62c189.42$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.981844.4%8 W · 10 L-1.2wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-25.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf54a…e25dbacked No33c181.82$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.826434.4%22 W · 42 L-3.2wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-28.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa148…d8fbbacked Yes60c166.75$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002147.6%10 W · 11 L0.0wins0.00per pick47cpaid-15.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa1d7…a70cbacked Yes60c166.67$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1006229%18 W · 44 L-3.2wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-37.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdddc…9eb0backed Yes60c166.67$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100560%3 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick63cpaid-18.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xcddb…0d22backed Yes14c163.57$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.91258.3%7 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick60cpaid-16.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x57d5…0bbdbacked No39c161.08$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.452425%6 W · 18 L-2.2wins-0.09per pick34cpaid-50.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd934…a00abacked Yes63c158.73$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002277.3%17 W · 5 L+3.4wins+0.16per pick62cpaid+29.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7003…684bbacked Yes63c158.73$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004136.6%15 W · 26 L-3.1wins-0.08per pick44cpaid-28%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6ac1…6775backed No33c153.78$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.032948.3%14 W · 15 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4157…04f9backed No39c145.87$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.984734%16 W · 31 L-6.3wins-0.13per pick47cpaid-28.9%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xfb0f…1ecdbacked Yes54c142.43$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.283652.8%19 W · 17 L+1.7wins+0.05per pick48cpaid-0.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed No77c141.36$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.4816833.9%57 W · 111 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-36.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9e03…7f54backed Yes46c141$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.861266.7%8 W · 4 L+1.2wins+0.10per pick57cpaid+16%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x27e6…3363backed Yes40c135.56$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.412272.7%16 W · 6 L+3.5wins+0.16per pick57cpaid+24.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0f21…d644backed Yes63c129$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.2710%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.63per pick63cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf6b8…d54cbacked Yes38c126.98$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$483522.9%8 W · 27 L-3.0wins-0.09per pick32cpaid-9.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0d20…f812backed No38c106.61$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.6111331%35 W · 78 L-6.2wins-0.05per pick36cpaid-28.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xda91…4fefbacked Yes66c104.69$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.4510%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.66per pick66cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1e0c…fe6dbacked Yes12c104$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.4810%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xe5fe…c658backed Yes63c100$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$631346.2%6 W · 7 L-1.5wins-0.12per pick58cpaid-4.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbdea…1e0bbacked Yes10c100$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102512%3 W · 22 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick17cpaid-70.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0cff…15d1backed Yes11c100$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1111242.9%48 W · 64 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-16.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7529…5cd7backed Yes62c97$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60911.1%1 W · 8 L-1.6wins-0.18per pick29cpaid-75.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Yes64c94.41$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$607530.7%23 W · 52 L-3.3wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-16.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x38f8…95c0backed Yes14c90$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.68838.6%34 W · 54 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-25.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3e1b…42d0backed Yes64c88.94$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.9220%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.