Bundesliga · resolved market
Will Bayern München win on 2025-11-22?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf719ec1efeaba6f3f115198384808dacb081565f1eee01e8978fb5d03f1158bc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $574,118
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $655,200
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $574,118 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 239 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 25c | 102,448$25,217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,216.65 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b32…5950backed No | 16c | 24,241$3,880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,880.17 | 42 | 28.6%12 W · 30 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92e1…2ec3backed No | 0c | 23,500$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.5 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb9…32f2backed No | 17c | 23,000$3,910 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,909.97 | 34 | 29.4%10 W · 24 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 30c | 19,680$5,853 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,852.62 | 536 | 45.9%246 W · 290 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0aa3…64e9backed No | 16c | 16,044$2,567 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,567.1 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.9wins | +0.12per pick | 44cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf519…906bbacked No | 16c | 15,000$2,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,399.97 | 166 | 47%78 W · 88 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked No | 16c | 14,217$2,275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,274.66 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 17c | 14,175$2,460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,460.35 | 1,355 | 50.9%690 W · 665 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 17c | 12,099$2,057 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,056.78 | 762 | 34.8%265 W · 497 L | +9.4wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb230…4193backed No | 16c | 10,000$1,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,600 | 59 | 54.2%32 W · 27 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc2c8…5471backed No | 17c | 10,000$1,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,699.99 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e73…c4ecbacked No | 0c | 9,081$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.36 | 22 | 13.6%3 W · 19 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 10cpaid | +287.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad6a…9dbdbacked No | 17c | 6,682$1,136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,136 | 22 | 18.2%4 W · 18 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x57cd…a0fbbacked No | 17c | 6,320$1,074 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,074.4 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +26%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 24c | 6,168$1,472 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,471.99 | 751 | 42.5%319 W · 432 L | -26.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8ddb…420bbacked Yes | 72c | 5,777$4,171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,606.41 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8245…4f87backed Yes | 73c | 5,573$4,053 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,519.81 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.16per pick | 66cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed No | 15c | 5,000$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 237 | 45.6%108 W · 129 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7104…afefbacked Yes | 60c | 4,999$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,999.73 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22ed…002bbacked No | 17c | 4,470$760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$759.82 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x283d…0dadbacked Yes | 70c | 4,181$2,937 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,244.1 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.23per pick | 48cpaid | +57.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0a4f…3aa5backed No | 17c | 3,805$647 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$646.79 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf24…15ecbacked No | 25c | 3,597$911 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$911.5 | 50 | 56%28 W · 22 L | +8.5wins | +0.17per pick | 39cpaid | +50.4%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x478a…2deabacked Yes | 74c | 3,005$2,217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$787.55 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -3.3wins | -0.16per pick | 59cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed No | 16c | 3,000$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb1fe…9974backed No | 51c | 3,000$1,522 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,522.03 | 86 | 37.2%32 W · 54 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9dd…b525backed Yes | 50c | 3,000$1,490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,509.99 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -2.8wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x33e0…7d46backed Yes | 69c | 3,000$2,070 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$929.99 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.36per pick | 56cpaid | -71%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 21c | 2,932$612 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$611.56 | 2,538 | 39.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L | -8.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9602…4d02backed No | 30c | 2,683$798 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$798.1 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +84.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4944…e4c7backed Yes | 74c | 2,038$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$537.93 | 17 | 76.5%13 W · 4 L | +1.9wins | +0.11per pick | 65cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x02b1…c764backed Yes | 62c | 2,000$1,245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$755 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +50.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e85…1f81backed Yes | 60c | 2,000$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$800 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.27per pick | 40cpaid | +14%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed No | 15c | 2,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 230 | 46.5%107 W · 123 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1677…1126backed No | 15c | 1,867$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280.05 | 142 | 54.2%77 W · 65 L | +7.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9b6f…d853backed Yes | 50c | 1,598$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$797.61 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +79.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked No | 17c | 1,500$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.98 | 277 | 26.4%73 W · 204 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7197…14c8backed Yes | 71c | 1,361$972 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$389.59 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d4…2bacbacked Yes | 76c | 1,289$979 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$309.31 | 47 | 72.3%34 W · 13 L | +5.5wins | +0.12per pick | 61cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed No | 18c | 1,185$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.3 | 147 | 56.5%83 W · 64 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74a8…b4f9backed Yes | 69c | 1,093$758 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$335.09 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +39.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b0a…6b9fbacked No | 10c | 1,088$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.19 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…49eebacked Yes | 56c | 1,077$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$477.24 | 199 | 43.2%86 W · 113 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc6b4…1014backed Yes | 54c | 1,056$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$485.56 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe78e…55f0backed No | 18c | 1,030$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.08 | 59 | 40.7%24 W · 35 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +47.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90fc…064fbacked Yes | 80c | 1,000$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.0wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +72.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x94fb…d6cbbacked No | 16c | 1,000$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 74 | 23%17 W · 57 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88f9…325dbacked No | 17c | 997.06$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.5 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb47b…c6b1backed Yes | 77c | 976.41$755 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.53 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0a…09a6backed Yes | 68c | 962.98$655 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$308 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +52.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf430…675abacked Yes | 68c | 823.41$561 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.73 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 23c | 821.32$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.06 | 511 | 36.8%188 W · 323 L | -28.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed No | 17c | 820.32$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.26 | 110 | 40.9%45 W · 65 L | -4.0wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad28…770cbacked Yes | 69c | 784.97$542 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.34 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d11…6096backed No | 16c | 703$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ee1…e2bbbacked Yes | 55c | 681.74$374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307.99 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e49…63f2backed No | 17c | 652.22$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.88 | 150 | 24%36 W · 114 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6834…c8d3backed No | 18c | 630.77$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.54 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -54.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ae5…53c8backed No | 17c | 629.54$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.02 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +1.4wins | +0.11per pick | 22cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Yes | 41c | 600$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$354 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4417…01eebacked Yes | 55c | 586.26$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.26 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 67c | 584.64$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.78 | 569 | 51.8%295 W · 274 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ea3…d599backed Yes | 62c | 557.69$346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.98 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ef4…4e4ebacked No | 45c | 539$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.96 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd00e…8807backed No | 17c | 535.29$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.36per pick | 14cpaid | +354.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0e6…7358backed Yes | 59c | 520$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.4 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90b6…3b53backed No | 17c | 511.24$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.3 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ba4…c08bbacked Yes | 59c | 500$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205 | 56 | 35.7%20 W · 36 L | -6.2wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xca38…460bbacked Yes | 55c | 500$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | -4.2wins | -0.15per pick | 43cpaid | -43%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe8a3…801cbacked No | 17c | 499.94$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.99 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b3c…ffc7backed No | 18c | 453.33$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.4 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x311e…9eb9backed No | 17c | 447.06$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.36per pick | 14cpaid | +354.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ca3…590fbacked Yes | 69c | 434.78$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.78 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked No | 18c | 431.86$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.15 | 238 | 42.9%102 W · 136 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed No | 3c | 420$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.42 | 223 | 32.3%72 W · 151 L | -7.6wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -24%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed No | 26c | 416.55$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.93 | 165 | 42.4%70 W · 95 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e3a…265ebacked Yes | 61c | 395.87$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.39 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 66cpaid | -15%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6b8…770fbacked Yes | 66c | 384.99$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.94 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4cd…221dbacked No | 17c | 380$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed61…9aa3backed Yes | 65c | 367.84$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.23 | 150 | 64%96 W · 54 L | +25.0wins | +0.17per pick | 47cpaid | +53.3%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x1b8b…3c39backed Yes | 61c | 334.25$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.36 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa070…c103backed Yes | 61c | 333.97$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.97 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe671…a682backed Yes | 39c | 318$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.98 | 158 | 47.5%75 W · 83 L | +10.5wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2269…6304backed Yes | 79c | 316.15$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.15 | 51 | 66.7%34 W · 17 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 16c | 300$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 242 | 58.7%142 W · 100 L | +11.2wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4b90…c258backed Yes | 70c | 284.33$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.38 | 42 | 73.8%31 W · 11 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 70cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked No | 41c | 283.66$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.66 | 226 | 69%156 W · 70 L | +13.1wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb12…f057backed No | 16c | 270$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.2 | 154 | 53.9%83 W · 71 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a5c…b3f2backed No | 22c | 268.42$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.09 | 101 | 50.5%51 W · 50 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4537…491dbacked Yes | 52c | 255.77$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.77 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +3.7wins | +0.27per pick | 45cpaid | +68.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc998…f060backed Yes | 62c | 252.66$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.11 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x873a…2066backed No | 33c | 245.94$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.32 | 133 | 32.3%43 W · 90 L | -5.4wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -37%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0981…eac2backed Yes | 54c | 235.78$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.44 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +98.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x16b3…403bbacked Yes | 76c | 230$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked No | 18c | 222.22$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 135 | 55.6%75 W · 60 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa966…208bbacked No | 18c | 222.22$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4781…336dbacked Yes | 73c | 222.06$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.37 | 38 | 76.3%29 W · 9 L | +4.6wins | +0.12per pick | 64cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xeb1d…a925backed Yes | 70c | 215.76$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.73 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +3.5wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1947…94bcbacked No | 17c | 211.76$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 59 | 59.3%35 W · 24 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Bayern München win on 2025-11-22?this page
- Will Bayern München vs. SC Freiburg end in a draw?No won
- Will SC Freiburg win on 2025-11-22?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.