La Liga · resolved market
Spread: Elche CF (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe5e91a6ff55744c1355aef82513453c247ba2e86b8d802a4d6925131ff64b272
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Elche CFof Elche CF, Rayo Vallecano de Madrid
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,133
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,804
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,133 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 15 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcd94…6b1ebacked Elche CF | 28c | 1,176$329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$847 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | +1.8wins | +0.08per pick | 22cpaid | +14%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Elche CF | 16c | 388.22$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$328 | 908 | 43.6%396 W · 512 L | -9.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Elche CF | 72c | 283.68$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.47 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb5…9bf1backed Elche CF | 17c | 199.99$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.99 | 317 | 45.7%145 W · 172 L | +7.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Elche CF | 71c | 188.27$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.6 | 1,798 | 51.4%924 W · 874 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdcfb…f1b8backed Elche CF | 16c | 165$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.84per pick | 16cpaid | +525%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdddc…9eb0backed Rayo Vallecano de Madrid | 72c | 150$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 62cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x924f…d049backed Elche CF | 32c | 133.03$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.46 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +3.6wins | +0.16per pick | 41cpaid | +36.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa8a3…a380backed Rayo Vallecano de Madrid | 67c | 76$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.92 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +3.1wins | +0.18per pick | 35cpaid | +60.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf035…0924backed Elche CF | 29c | 75.84$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.85 | 76 | 36.8%28 W · 48 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50fc…ba9abacked Rayo Vallecano de Madrid | 68c | 50$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -3.0wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc758…8574backed Elche CF | 25c | 40$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 195 | 44.1%86 W · 109 L | +13.7wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7c4e…9b6fbacked Elche CF | 33c | 39$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.13 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5956…e127backed Elche CF | 33c | 37$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.79 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7434…1276backed Rayo Vallecano de Madrid | 72c | 30$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.6 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.32per pick | 52cpaid | -50%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Elche CF (-1.5)this page
- Elche CF vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Elche CF vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid: O/U 1.5Over won
- Elche CF vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid: O/U 2.5Over won
- Elche CF vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid: O/U 3.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.