La Liga · resolved market
Elche CF vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xec2363e1ca7060b69450022b9ee23fc5d2edb7fec8777db2dab88efc978290bb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,688
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,185
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,688 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 50c | 1,653$832 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$820.21 | 4,753 | 47.1%2,238 W · 2,515 L | -21.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x854d…deb0backed Yes | 53c | 1,500$797 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$796.87 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80d4…770ebacked No | 54c | 328.58$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.58 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +1.5wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Yes | 19c | 308.74$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.66 | 307 | 43.6%134 W · 173 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 38c | 241.51$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.57 | 3,461 | 43%1,489 W · 1,972 L | +31.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50ca…bfddbacked Yes | 46c | 217.28$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.95 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x33a7…960dbacked Yes | 28c | 200$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 138 | 24.6%34 W · 104 L | -6.8wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c2e…a948backed Yes | 47c | 189.89$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.25 | 175 | 41.1%72 W · 103 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe48c…163abacked Yes | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 225 | 53.8%121 W · 104 L | +12.8wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb5…9bf1backed Yes | 46c | 180.04$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.82 | 317 | 45.7%145 W · 172 L | +7.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca15…0d5ebacked No | 51c | 178.11$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.52 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 46cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd473…3febbacked No | 58c | 150$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63 | 74 | 47.3%35 W · 39 L | -6.4wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 47c | 128.59$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.44 | 559 | 41.1%230 W · 329 L | -11.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51d2…1462backed Yes | 54c | 98.22$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.04 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 38c | 88$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.56 | 849 | 39.7%337 W · 512 L | -21.1wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked No | 38c | 75$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.5 | 370 | 39.2%145 W · 225 L | -14.7wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdf68…8682backed Yes | 71c | 70.42$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -3.9wins | -0.36per pick | 54cpaid | -70.9%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…ecf3backed Yes | 47c | 51$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.97 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4986…aacbbacked Yes | 47c | 46.81$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 60 | 45%27 W · 33 L | +3.1wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +42.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x320f…b4a3backed Yes | 46c | 42$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.32 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.16per pick | 47cpaid | +35.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37bb…c71fbacked No | 36c | 37$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.68 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.15per pick | 62cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d54…81a1backed Yes | 50c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 110 | 46.4%51 W · 59 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f1…23eebacked Yes | 50c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 65 | 30.8%20 W · 45 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb717…a67fbacked Yes | 64c | 21$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.44 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 66cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd17…77fdbacked Yes | 64c | 16$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.24 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Elche CF vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Elche CF vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid: O/U 1.5Over won
- Elche CF vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid: O/U 2.5Over won
- Elche CF vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid: O/U 3.5Over won
- Spread: Elche CF (-1.5)Elche CF won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.