La Liga · resolved market
Elche CF vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9005074c1f1ec821794ff878a618d34cb253f767623d2e69d3e704b74b049075
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $31,108
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $34,238
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $31,108 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 80 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 27c | 13,533$3,685 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,684.81 | 4,753 | 47.1%2,238 W · 2,515 L | -21.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5677…2ce9backed Over | 75c | 12,000$9,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,000 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf519…906bbacked Over | 66c | 5,000$3,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,700 | 241 | 47.7%115 W · 126 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Under | 27c | 3,567$962 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$961.76 | 908 | 43.6%396 W · 512 L | -9.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77e1…5924backed Under | 3c | 2,400$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 7cpaid | +25%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Under | 34c | 1,383$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470.26 | 640 | 46.9%300 W · 340 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed Under | 29c | 805.12$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.65 | 252 | 48.4%122 W · 130 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Over | 64c | 500$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180 | 234 | 52.6%123 W · 111 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb5…9bf1backed Over | 68c | 400$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128 | 317 | 45.7%145 W · 172 L | +7.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3f…c4a3backed Over | 76c | 311.87$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.85 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80d4…770ebacked Under | 35c | 285.71$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +1.5wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6562…4e48backed Over | 76c | 208.97$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.94 | 192 | 58.9%113 W · 79 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Under | 14c | 190$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.2 | 299 | 46.5%139 W · 160 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74dc…cc04backed Over | 74c | 158.85$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.3 | 53 | 67.9%36 W · 17 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 62cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a10…7843backed Over | 64c | 156.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.25 | 162 | 50.6%82 W · 80 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf95a…d895backed Over | 65c | 153.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.85 | 44 | 40.9%18 W · 26 L | +5.2wins | +0.12per pick | 29cpaid | +56.4%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4bb2…3a3fbacked Under | 41c | 146.34$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -54.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc079…8881backed Under | 38c | 131.58$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa7b7…0adbbacked Under | 34c | 113.58$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.62 | 61 | 41%25 W · 36 L | -4.5wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0968…ee21backed Over | 66c | 106$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.04 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x960f…1159backed Over | 62c | 104.48$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.48 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 23cpaid | -46.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c1e…ca41backed Over | 75c | 102.88$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.72 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc758…8574backed Over | 59c | 101.78$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.78 | 195 | 44.1%86 W · 109 L | +13.7wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8816…7082backed Over | 66c | 90.91$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.91 | 95 | 57.9%55 W · 40 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa354…b85fbacked Over | 64c | 89.63$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.52 | 75 | 73.3%55 W · 20 L | +20.9wins | +0.28per pick | 45cpaid | +62.3%equal weight | 73+0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x22b2…e7cfbacked Over | 67c | 89.55$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.55 | 99 | 66.7%66 W · 33 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1488…0672backed Under | 34c | 82$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.88 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf28e…cbf8backed Over | 62c | 80.5$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.86 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe38…f858backed Over | 65c | 78.05$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.32 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +54.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda5c…ed5bbacked Over | 65c | 76.92$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.92 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x939d…3b3cbacked Over | 64c | 75$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 226 | 38.5%87 W · 139 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 35c | 73.05$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.57 | 1,798 | 51.4%924 W · 874 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over | 64c | 70.31$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.31 | 425 | 58.4%248 W · 177 L | +31.1wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xea68…ff92backed Over | 67c | 67$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.11 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 35c | 63.03$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.06 | 3,461 | 43%1,489 W · 1,972 L | +31.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc427…ee41backed Under | 36c | 60$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.6 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.15per pick | 52cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…a835backed Over | 62c | 60$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.8 | 232 | 55.6%129 W · 103 L | +18.5wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x98e9…8dbebacked Over | 64c | 60$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.6 | 95 | 49.5%47 W · 48 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a2c…32bcbacked Over | 65c | 57.98$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.29 | 22 | 72.7%16 W · 6 L | +2.3wins | +0.10per pick | 62cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d73…036abacked Under | 36c | 57.45$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.6 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe34e…d326backed Under | 35c | 55$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00da…622cbacked Under | 35c | 51$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.85 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1fb…7c39backed Under | 38c | 48.82$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.44 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x307d…6865backed Over | 75c | 40.49$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.12 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a5c…b3f2backed Under | 29c | 39.27$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.49 | 150 | 51.3%77 W · 73 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa65b…b0c0backed Under | 36c | 39$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.04 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Under | 34c | 33.48$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.38 | 307 | 43.6%134 W · 173 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7de8…f53bbacked Under | 34c | 33.17$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.44 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe026…0404backed Under | 34c | 32.72$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.12 | 71 | 54.9%39 W · 32 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 37c | 32.7$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.1 | 1,018 | 53.1%541 W · 477 L | -24.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2379…f150backed Under | 35c | 31.46$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.88 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 24cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8144…eff8backed Under | 35c | 31.14$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.9 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9428…4d5bbacked Under | 35c | 31.14$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.9 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8806…c890backed Under | 35c | 31.14$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.9 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x42a3…fef9backed Under | 35c | 31.14$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.9 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb01…9422backed Under | 35c | 31.09$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.88 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…a3aebacked Under | 35c | 31.09$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.88 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05a2…a2d1backed Under | 35c | 31.09$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.88 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x069b…095dbacked Under | 35c | 31.09$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.88 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 25cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf564…38a3backed Under | 35c | 31.09$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.88 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb9f7…4933backed Under | 35c | 31.09$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.88 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 25cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42ea…c1edbacked Under | 35c | 31.09$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.88 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 25cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d6c…cd29backed Under | 35c | 31.09$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.88 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77d9…e920backed Under | 35c | 31.09$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.88 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 25cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa31b…a3edbacked Under | 35c | 31.09$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.88 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1493…630cbacked Under | 35c | 31.09$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.88 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa596…5870backed Under | 35c | 31.09$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.88 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3527…71a6backed Under | 35c | 31.09$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.88 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26f9…b8b1backed Under | 35c | 31.09$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.88 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x165c…6c0dbacked Under | 35c | 31.09$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.88 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0439…39d7backed Under | 35c | 31.09$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.88 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 25cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae58…1a3bbacked Under | 35c | 31.09$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.88 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +86.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd483…6365backed Under | 34c | 30.71$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.44 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -3.1wins | -0.21per pick | 47cpaid | -59.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Under | 34c | 29.99$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.05 | 572 | 52.1%298 W · 274 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f6c…ac71backed Over | 66c | 26$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.84 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 63cpaid | +26%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60a6…7ed2backed Over | 64c | 25$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6fc8…8198backed Over | 67c | 22.39$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.39 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | -4.9wins | -0.10per pick | 59cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0d6e…148bbacked Over | 66c | 21$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.14 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -2.0wins | -0.34per pick | 67cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2e45…efefbacked Over | 70c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 19 | 78.9%15 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.09per pick | 70cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc61d…ca38backed Over | 66c | 16$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.44 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 68cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Elche CF vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid: O/U 1.5this page
- Elche CF vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Elche CF vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid: O/U 2.5Over won
- Elche CF vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid: O/U 3.5Over won
- Spread: Elche CF (-1.5)Elche CF won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.