Fifa International · resolved market
Will Germany win on 2025-11-17?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8e02e71440f009e122cec76592300a1e41f44c1fa5f63a10ac2de919bebb8222
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $874,908
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,097,782
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $874,908 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 552 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7606…2836backed Yes | 78c | 148,221$115,597 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32,623.99 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed No | 22c | 135,946$29,908 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29,908.02 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0aa3…64e9backed No | 21c | 49,922$10,438 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,438.32 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 79c | 49,418$39,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,378.27 | 300 | 31%93 W · 207 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa925…e1c8backed Yes | 79c | 34,514$27,221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,293.04 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +46.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ad4…3c1abacked No | 22c | 25,000$5,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,500 | 23 | 0%0 W · 23 L | -2.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe952…bde4backed Yes | 78c | 24,905$19,526 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,379.03 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 15cpaid | -60.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 21c | 21,875$4,557 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,556.58 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes | 78c | 20,000$15,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,399.99 | 270 | 39.6%107 W · 163 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7865…4af9backed No | 21c | 19,012$4,011 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,011.21 | 125 | 25.6%32 W · 93 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37e4…c991backed No | 23c | 15,862$3,631 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,631.06 | 163 | 31.9%52 W · 111 L | -11.2wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdb27…c56ebacked No | 23c | 15,716$3,615 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,614.67 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd178…6703backed Yes | 77c | 13,683$10,536 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,147.14 | 113 | 54%61 W · 52 L | +6.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcf54…e5bebacked No | 21c | 10,288$2,149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,149.17 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 21cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed No | 21c | 10,000$2,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,100 | 123 | 10.6%13 W · 110 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44a1…bd21backed Yes | 78c | 10,000$7,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,200 | 320 | 31.6%101 W · 219 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb230…4193backed No | 23c | 10,000$2,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,299.99 | 66 | 43.9%29 W · 37 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a48…c353backed No | 22c | 9,636$2,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,119.91 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84f2…e323backed Yes | 77c | 9,360$7,207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,152.79 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed No | 19c | 8,011$1,522 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,522.12 | 281 | 33.1%93 W · 188 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 22c | 7,255$1,614 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,613.51 | 359 | 42.9%154 W · 205 L | -16.5wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -24%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b40…d85ebacked No | 1c | 7,080$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.8 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb44…cc90backed Yes | 78c | 7,000$5,460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,540 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 18c | 6,988$1,253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,253.28 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0bbe…87aebacked Yes | 78c | 6,328$4,937 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,390.75 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb875…68a8backed No | 22c | 5,792$1,280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,280.13 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +2.4wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x71f8…55ffbacked No | 0c | 5,561$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.32 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | +291.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Yes | 78c | 5,534$4,332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,201.98 | 170 | 48.2%82 W · 88 L | +8.8wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed No | 22c | 5,127$1,116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,115.95 | 220 | 41.4%91 W · 129 L | -8.0wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f09…4632backed Yes | 78c | 5,000$3,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,100 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked No | 23c | 5,000$1,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,150 | 83 | 59%49 W · 34 L | +10.0wins | +0.12per pick | 47cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb65d…4925backed No | 21c | 5,000$1,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,049.96 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.14per pick | 29cpaid | +76.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24b1…5163backed Yes | 78c | 4,850$3,783 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,067 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec3b…81c0backed Yes | 78c | 4,500$3,490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,010 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +51.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd470…783ebacked No | 21c | 4,462$937 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$937.02 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccea…a8ebbacked Yes | 78c | 4,089$3,197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$891.57 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.5wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed No | 22c | 3,626$798 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$797.72 | 72 | 47.2%34 W · 38 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 21c | 3,463$743 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$742.87 | 760 | 48.7%370 W · 390 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7ed…6c8bbacked Yes | 77c | 3,438$2,647 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$790.74 | 87 | 48.3%42 W · 45 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 21c | 3,307$682 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$682.03 | 465 | 36.1%168 W · 297 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Yes | 78c | 3,267$2,548 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$718.77 | 124 | 51.6%64 W · 60 L | +4.5wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfcca…c460backed No | 21c | 3,125$656 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$656.24 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +44.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x349d…7a1fbacked Yes | 79c | 3,031$2,395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$636.61 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8956…755fbacked Yes | 79c | 3,009$2,375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$634.17 | 189 | 47.6%90 W · 99 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3f…e00bbacked Yes | 78c | 3,000$2,330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$670 | 137 | 48.2%66 W · 71 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa196…5b78backed No | 22c | 3,000$660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$660 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | +2.2wins | +0.10per pick | 34cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc5a1…6877backed Yes | 79c | 2,848$2,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$598.1 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +2.2wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe689…784ebacked Yes | 78c | 2,718$2,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$597.97 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 73cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…49eebacked Yes | 78c | 2,673$2,085 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$588.08 | 360 | 38.1%137 W · 223 L | -15.1wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -14%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd80f…e3d8backed No | 19c | 2,390$454 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$454.08 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 13cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06e6…87e6backed Yes | 78c | 2,286$1,782 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$503.63 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed No | 19c | 2,209$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$419.75 | 145 | 37.2%54 W · 91 L | -6.4wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2858…ff7fbacked No | 22c | 2,050$451 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$451 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed No | 23c | 2,050$472 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$471.5 | 605 | 11.4%69 W · 536 L | -16.5wins | -0.03per pick | 14cpaid | -38%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 18c | 2,025$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370 | 346 | 30.1%104 W · 242 L | -21.8wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf778…2f09backed No | 23c | 2,000$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +2.7wins | +0.15per pick | 40cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb486…660ebacked No | 22c | 2,000$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$439.97 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8158…9a02backed Yes | 77c | 1,948$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$448.05 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed46…1badbacked Yes | 79c | 1,899$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$398.73 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 67cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7fa…ad31backed Yes | 79c | 1,650$1,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350.01 | 50 | 44%22 W · 28 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdaa8…b3e2backed Yes | 79c | 1,583$1,251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$332.46 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked No | 21c | 1,548$327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$327.47 | 1,252 | 39.2%491 W · 761 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90e0…ff4cbacked No | 9c | 1,537$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.32 | 44 | 6.8%3 W · 41 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 5cpaid | +37.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf32d…bbbbbacked Yes | 76c | 1,527$1,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$366.47 | 43 | 46.5%20 W · 23 L | -2.6wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9863…19f3backed No | 22c | 1,500$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -58.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16cb…2704backed No | 21c | 1,500$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315 | 162 | 44.4%72 W · 90 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3520…f128backed Yes | 77c | 1,316$1,013 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$302.59 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5cf…511dbacked No | 22c | 1,300$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1dc8…4c1dbacked No | 22c | 1,300$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.99 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -31%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60cc…f0dfbacked Yes | 77c | 1,299$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.7 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +58.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x889c…e375backed Yes | 77c | 1,299$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.7 | 89 | 40.4%36 W · 53 L | -9.4wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7104…afefbacked Yes | 78c | 1,282$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.05 | 32 | 71.9%23 W · 9 L | +4.4wins | +0.14per pick | 58cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4944…e4c7backed Yes | 79c | 1,266$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.82 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33c2…9818backed No | 22c | 1,239$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.86 | 36 | 33.3%12 W · 24 L | -3.7wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb72b…f4e0backed No | 21c | 1,190$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 71 | 35.2%25 W · 46 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6160…1786backed Yes | 79c | 1,149$908 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.26 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa717…15f2backed Yes | 80c | 1,136$909 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.26 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.41per pick | 75cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe071…f836backed Yes | 79c | 1,100$871 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229 | 51 | 54.9%28 W · 23 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff0e…2991backed No | 21c | 1,039$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.09 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 18cpaid | +80%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff5b…c583backed Yes | 80c | 1,000$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed Yes | 79c | 1,000$790 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210 | 45 | 37.8%17 W · 28 L | -5.4wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe671…a682backed Yes | 78c | 1,000$780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220 | 77 | 40.3%31 W · 46 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f2a…de7ebacked No | 22c | 1,000$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x88de…1091backed No | 20c | 1,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 210 | 16.7%35 W · 175 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9602…4d02backed No | 8c | 1,000$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 319 | 45.1%144 W · 175 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6700…105bbacked Yes | 77c | 999.99$770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -67.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked No | 19c | 999.87$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.97 | 224 | 21%47 W · 177 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 20cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x182d…73e9backed No | 21c | 952.38$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 142 | 26.8%38 W · 104 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc449…2239backed Yes | 79c | 945.11$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.11 | 24 | 70.8%17 W · 7 L | +3.2wins | +0.13per pick | 58cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfd32…cb64backed Yes | 78c | 900$698 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.5 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.18per pick | 48cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked No | 24c | 833.33$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 304 | 31.3%95 W · 209 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe78e…55f0backed No | 19c | 800$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152 | 93 | 24.7%23 W · 70 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77e2…8ba5backed Yes | 79c | 800$632 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed Yes | 78c | 800$624 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176 | 292 | 50.7%148 W · 144 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…cfadbacked Yes | 77c | 800$616 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184 | 39 | 25.6%10 W · 29 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb47b…c6b1backed Yes | 78c | 797.24$622 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.39 | 124 | 41.9%52 W · 72 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7bf…b02dbacked Yes | 79c | 768.35$607 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.35 | 25 | 72%18 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 67cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe456…00cbbacked Yes | 78c | 750$585 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165 | 10 | 90%9 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.18per pick | 72cpaid | +27%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed No | 19c | 737.58$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.71 | 89 | 30.3%27 W · 62 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | +43.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc668…b6d8backed No | 22c | 700$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Germany win on 2025-11-17?this page
- Will Germany vs. Slovakia end in a draw?No won
- Will Slovakia win on 2025-11-17?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.