Fifa International · resolved market
Will Germany vs. Slovakia end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x58cfa84ee53d3781cbf182cc8973e13e291356c5dd5f9071740e58246e4f8455
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $131,945
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $128,489
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $131,945 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 68 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1433…56a0backed Yes | 0c | 70,847$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.85 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74f1…16a8backed Yes | 1c | 9,987$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.17 | 287 | 31%89 W · 198 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d5b…a718backed Yes | 16c | 5,000$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed99…a1d0backed Yes | 7c | 3,612$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7fa…ad31backed Yes | 16c | 1,650$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264 | 50 | 44%22 W · 28 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ee1…e2bbbacked Yes | 16c | 1,629$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.61 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | +2.7wins | +0.08per pick | 38cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdaa8…b3e2backed Yes | 15c | 1,587$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38da…ab6fbacked Yes | 16c | 1,500$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.98 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.11per pick | 14cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b40…d85ebacked Yes | 1c | 1,349$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.49 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x23fb…70b1backed Yes | 8c | 1,200$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.5 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 11cpaid | +150%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88de…1091backed Yes | 14c | 1,000$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.89 | 210 | 16.7%35 W · 175 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Yes | 13c | 1,000$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 224 | 21%47 W · 177 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 20cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Yes | 14c | 847.07$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.59 | 170 | 48.2%82 W · 88 L | +8.8wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9244…4b6ebacked Yes | 15c | 666.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74e0…af4bbacked Yes | 16c | 625.38$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 89 | 36%32 W · 57 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1089…830ebacked Yes | 16c | 625$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -2.8wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5eb0…5012backed Yes | 9c | 618.75$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.31 | 69 | 39.1%27 W · 42 L | +6.4wins | +0.09per pick | 30cpaid | +20%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 15c | 580$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87 | 300 | 31%93 W · 207 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…cfadbacked Yes | 11c | 445.46$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.63 | 39 | 25.6%10 W · 29 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Yes | 16c | 430$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.8 | 293 | 43%126 W · 167 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb637…4c42backed Yes | 14c | 400$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 58 | 27.6%16 W · 42 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 24cpaid | +67.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf515…0805backed Yes | 15c | 333.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 39 | 59%23 W · 16 L | +3.0wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +18%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd2d6…d648backed Yes | 16c | 312.5$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7c7…e539backed Yes | 8c | 300$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.18per pick | 29cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x35fb…4ce5backed Yes | 16c | 300$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 131 | 12.2%16 W · 115 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 16cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Yes | 14c | 251.32$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.18 | 1,075 | 45.2%486 W · 589 L | +41.2wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbe9…156bbacked Yes | 4c | 250$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc049…48abbacked Yes | 16c | 212.92$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 107 | 34.6%37 W · 70 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2e7…40c2backed Yes | 16c | 200$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x73bc…481ebacked Yes | 14c | 200$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46fb…2b75backed Yes | 16c | 187.5$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf9b…f309backed Yes | 15c | 150.8$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.62 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | +92%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x553b…f71cbacked Yes | 14c | 150$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 24 | 16.7%4 W · 20 L | -3.3wins | -0.14per pick | 30cpaid | -50.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x60e3…7c2fbacked Yes | 16c | 145$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -45.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x10ff…5088backed Yes | 15c | 143.8$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.21 | 369 | 39.6%146 W · 223 L | -12.0wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9380…a275backed Yes | 15c | 133.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6859…3308backed Yes | 15c | 133.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e2d…fb60backed Yes | 15c | 133.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 118 | 46.6%55 W · 63 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea7b…5b6dbacked Yes | 16c | 127.18$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 33 | 24.2%8 W · 25 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b94…315bbacked Yes | 16c | 125$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x045d…185dbacked Yes | 16c | 125$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 137 | 56.9%78 W · 59 L | +7.0wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x660e…76ccbacked Yes | 16c | 125$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 192 | 41.1%79 W · 113 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9403…7361backed Yes | 16c | 125$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 155 | 22.6%35 W · 120 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7146…cc73backed Yes | 14c | 107.14$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Yes | 14c | 107$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.98 | 789 | 27.5%217 W · 572 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac01…2d77backed Yes | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 23cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba86…a66abacked Yes | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2019…fb46backed Yes | 16c | 100$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b50…d74dbacked Yes | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +3.3wins | +0.54per pick | 29cpaid | +235.7%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb251…6f5bbacked Yes | 16c | 100$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 130 | 45.4%59 W · 71 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x600f…4392backed Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2981…7f44backed Yes | 16c | 100$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | -2.8wins | -0.17per pick | 30cpaid | -70.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8a06…5d3bbacked Yes | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.24per pick | 42cpaid | +45.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed Yes | 15c | 95.07$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.26 | 89 | 30.3%27 W · 62 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | +43.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…c00abacked Yes | 16c | 93.75$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 62 | 43.5%27 W · 35 L | +4.7wins | +0.08per pick | 36cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84b2…f1dabacked Yes | 16c | 93.75$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 303 | 21.5%65 W · 238 L | +8.9wins | +0.03per pick | 18cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb520…60bcbacked Yes | 15c | 89$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.35 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0167…5b48backed Yes | 16c | 83.38$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 31 | 64.5%20 W · 11 L | +2.5wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc789…3907backed Yes | 15c | 75$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.25 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa755…1ea5backed Yes | 16c | 71.44$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.43 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7478…6562backed Yes | 15c | 64.66$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61a5…fc75backed Yes | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb38a…367fbacked Yes | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 24cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7529…5cd7backed Yes | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.18per pick | 29cpaid | -75.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0cb0…2a51backed Yes | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 26cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcec7…25b4backed Yes | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 20cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15b6…05f9backed Yes | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -67.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x47d3…4255backed Yes | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Germany vs. Slovakia end in a draw?this page
- Will Germany win on 2025-11-17?Yes won
- Will Slovakia win on 2025-11-17?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.