TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xa755…1ea5

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
86
Categories scored
19
Categories below 50
10

Best Category: Us Politics, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Us Politics at 54 out of 100; worst NBA at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 10, 2026, EDT2437.5%9 W · 15 L-2.0wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-17.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
NBA — the 24 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Lakers vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$62.58
Cavaliers vs. Pistonsbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$33
Lakers vs. Sunsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$66
Warriors vs. Grizzliesbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+56.3%+$37.8
Pistons vs. Knicksbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+150.8%+$67.86
Spurs vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Knicks vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+108.3%+$54.17
Bulls vs. Raptorsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Hawks vs. Heatbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$60
Pistons vs. Warriorsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+112.8%+$56.38
Rockets vs. Hawksbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+66.7%+$40
Knicks vs. Raptorsbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST+96.1%+$49
Magic vs. Cavaliersbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$32
Nuggets vs. Bucksbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+233.3%+$77
Lakers vs. Clippersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Spurs vs. Rocketsbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Nuggets vs. Mavericksbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST+104.1%+$52.04
Raptors vs. Celticsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$22
Heat vs. Timberwolvesbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Knicks vs. Pistonsbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Magic vs. Bullsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+156.4%+$36.6
Rockets vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST-100%-$39
Grizzlies vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST-100%-$30
Lakers vs. Grizzliesbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$56.03
All 24 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST1553.3%8 W · 7 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+6.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Seahawks vs. Patriotsbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$35
Patriots vs. Broncosbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+49.3%+$32.99
Texans vs. Patriotsbacked Texans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Texans vs. Steelersbacked Texans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+69.5%+$41.69
Bills vs. Jaguarsbacked Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+108.3%+$54.17
Lions vs. Vikingsbacked Vikings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST+316.7%+$57
Jaguars vs. Broncosbacked Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$30
Packers vs. Bearsbacked Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+88.7%+$22.17
Bears vs. Packersbacked Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Texans vs. Coltsbacked Colts · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$30
Chiefs vs. Cowboysbacked Chiefs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST-100%-$40.84
Colts vs. Chiefsbacked Chiefs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST+58.7%+$18.49
Rams vs. 49ersbacked Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+40.8%+$20.42
49ers vs. Texansbacked 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
49ers vs. Buccaneersbacked Buccaneers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$125Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 12, 2025, EDT+69.5%+$86.86
All 15 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.12per pick31cpaid+67.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Nov 13, 2025, EST580%4 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.22per pick58cpaid+44%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Apr 8, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick35cpaid+5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 6, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick18cpaid-53.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Champions League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Dec 10, 2025, EST475%3 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.16per pick59cpaid+14.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 6, 2026, EST450%2 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+131.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Dec 30, 2025, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.22per pick55cpaid-50.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 14, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Feb 28, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+51.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
AI — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Feb 28, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-37.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Oct 30, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Over $1B committed to the MegaETH public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT+25%+$15
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Oct 26, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Madrid vs. Barcelona end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$19
All 1 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Movies — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Sinners win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$22
All 1 picks, newest first.
F1 Inactivelast resolved Nov 9, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
F1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Max Verstappen win the 2025 F1 Brazilian Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$24
All 1 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Jan 27, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Weather — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will there be 14 or more inches of snow in NYC this weekend?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$11.1
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Sep 7, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Jannik Sinner win the 2025 US Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
All 1 picks, newest first.
Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 15, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Olympics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Men's Group A - Switzerland vs. Czechiabacked Czechia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.