NBA · resolved market
Spurs vs. Rockets
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x54c51d064252af930c92a3aed89ebab46958fd12f4c4a655a31696de2ace24a2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Rocketsof Spurs, Rockets
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,682,964
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,757,441
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,682,964 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 1,827 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x07b8…8e25backed Spurs | 39c | 280,349$108,836 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108,836.11 | 232 | 57.8%134 W · 98 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb27…c56ebacked Rockets | 61c | 274,181$167,251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106,930.74 | 871 | 44.7%389 W · 482 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Spurs | 41c | 118,529$48,009 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48,009.28 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d16…d24dbacked Rockets | 61c | 88,288$53,742 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34,545.87 | 89 | 61.8%55 W · 34 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44d4…1970backed Rockets | 62c | 82,964$51,433 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31,530.44 | 167 | 52.1%87 W · 80 L | +7.6wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xedd0…f5f3backed Spurs | 0c | 77,510$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.51 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e82…752cbacked Rockets | 61c | 75,402$46,052 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29,349.63 | 1,204 | 55.3%666 W · 538 L | +52.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Spurs | 40c | 71,995$28,533 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28,532.56 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3ae…3020backed Rockets | 62c | 54,839$34,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,838.71 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x27cb…169ebacked Spurs | 39c | 53,462$20,850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,850 | 274 | 24.5%67 W · 207 L | -10.0wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e0…ad50backed Spurs | 38c | 51,494$19,568 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,567.81 | 431 | 48.7%210 W · 221 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…4c40backed Spurs | 40c | 50,000$20,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,000 | 144 | 34%49 W · 95 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6ee…697bbacked Rockets | 61c | 50,000$30,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,499.98 | 203 | 52.2%106 W · 97 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14ac…cb21backed Rockets | 61c | 49,581$30,267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,314.45 | 375 | 57.6%216 W · 159 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Rockets | 40c | 39,352$15,727 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,625.56 | 1,003 | 34.7%348 W · 655 L | -44.7wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Rockets | 61c | 32,107$19,440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,666.58 | 1,908 | 54.5%1,040 W · 868 L | +53.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x68dd…f0b2backed Spurs | 40c | 30,000$12,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,000 | 513 | 50.1%257 W · 256 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed Rockets | 61c | 30,000$18,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,799.99 | 257 | 53.7%138 W · 119 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7320…28b4backed Spurs | 39c | 30,000$11,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,599.92 | 126 | 57.1%72 W · 54 L | +11.4wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fd…f43ebacked Spurs | 39c | 29,721$11,591 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,591 | 107 | 46.7%50 W · 57 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9dd…b525backed Spurs | 39c | 29,000$11,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,350 | 443 | 37.9%168 W · 275 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…0cc1backed Spurs | 1c | 28,401$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.75 | 1,602 | 11.8%189 W · 1,413 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d5c…0182backed Rockets | 60c | 27,636$16,581 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,054.28 | 477 | 51.8%247 W · 230 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5523…51e9backed Spurs | 38c | 26,355$10,133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,132.56 | 618 | 51.6%319 W · 299 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed Rockets | 61c | 25,863$15,776 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,086.57 | 593 | 47%279 W · 314 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08c5…43edbacked Spurs | 39c | 25,641$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 443 | 52.4%232 W · 211 L | +10.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Rockets | 41c | 25,630$10,538 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,091.56 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Rockets | 40c | 25,158$10,022 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,135.55 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x062a…c2a3backed Rockets | 60c | 25,000$15,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,900 | 190 | 48.4%92 W · 98 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Spurs | 38c | 25,000$9,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,499.98 | 1,024 | 50.8%520 W · 504 L | +18.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Spurs | 40c | 25,000$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,999.96 | 1,124 | 48.6%546 W · 578 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee39…a40abacked Spurs | 68c | 24,674$16,676 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,676.46 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Spurs | 46c | 23,647$10,892 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,892.3 | 830 | 39.4%327 W · 503 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76b3…04e1backed Spurs | 64c | 22,500$14,338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,337.63 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe734…8f6abacked Spurs | 40c | 22,499$9,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,999.59 | 191 | 50.8%97 W · 94 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe12a…67efbacked Rockets | 60c | 22,177$13,306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,870.8 | 158 | 41.1%65 W · 93 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ac4…3081backed Spurs | 40c | 20,000$8,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,000 | 64 | 54.7%35 W · 29 L | +4.5wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7960…b94fbacked Spurs | 40c | 20,000$7,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,899.96 | 197 | 51.8%102 W · 95 L | +9.2wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Rockets | 39c | 19,255$7,507 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,747.63 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ada…2f28backed Spurs | 1c | 18,333$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.33 | 645 | 17.1%110 W · 535 L | -11.9wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed Rockets | 31c | 18,317$5,736 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,580.74 | 596 | 46.1%275 W · 321 L | -16.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e4…bc51backed Rockets | 53c | 17,000$9,010 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,990 | 219 | 44.7%98 W · 121 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31b0…8c4cbacked Spurs | 46c | 16,960$7,770 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,769.53 | 117 | 50.4%59 W · 58 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a79…a442backed Spurs | 61c | 16,522$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 70 | 62.9%44 W · 26 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 66cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94d7…bef5backed Spurs | 42c | 16,422$6,841 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,840.68 | 259 | 25.9%67 W · 192 L | +6.5wins | +0.03per pick | 23cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Rockets | 60c | 16,089$9,663 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,425.88 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xedc8…cca9backed Rockets | 60c | 15,555$9,333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,222 | 205 | 51.2%105 W · 100 L | +8.6wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe258…2330backed Spurs | 40c | 15,500$6,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,199.98 | 232 | 45.3%105 W · 127 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed Rockets | 60c | 14,516$8,709 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,806.2 | 715 | 47.7%341 W · 374 L | -26.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd2fb…c6d7backed Spurs | 39c | 13,550$5,285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,284.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x951e…88c0backed Rockets | 60c | 13,550$8,130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,420 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +52.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Rockets | 60c | 12,596$7,591 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,005.48 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91fd…1cdebacked Spurs | 40c | 12,500$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,999.95 | 773 | 48.5%375 W · 398 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc153…6c8bbacked Rockets | 60c | 12,000$7,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,800 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +2.4wins | +0.18per pick | 59cpaid | +35.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Rockets | 33c | 11,919$3,908 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,011.39 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b15…9b08backed Spurs | 38c | 11,593$4,405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,405.31 | 102 | 39.2%40 W · 62 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Spurs | 65c | 11,328$7,396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,395.59 | 1,341 | 29.9%401 W · 940 L | -53.8wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x03ac…4f55backed Spurs | 39c | 11,110$4,277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,277.35 | 367 | 41.4%152 W · 215 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb3…f766backed Rockets | 60c | 10,913$6,535 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,378.08 | 489 | 44.2%216 W · 273 L | -12.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3644…6fdfbacked Rockets | 60c | 10,807$6,484 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,322.69 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 65cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64e9…eb4cbacked Rockets | 60c | 10,711$6,454 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,256.72 | 352 | 51.1%180 W · 172 L | +8.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e3a…3246backed Rockets | 54c | 10,659$5,731 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,928.12 | 199 | 54.8%109 W · 90 L | +12.2wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdddc…ced2backed Spurs | 39c | 10,508$4,099 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,098.67 | 125 | 41.6%52 W · 73 L | +6.3wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x19a0…ac39backed Rockets | 37c | 10,388$3,876 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,512.09 | 147 | 51%75 W · 72 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Rockets | 61c | 10,337$6,287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,050.28 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x78f7…2c5dbacked Rockets | 60c | 10,332$6,199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,132.8 | 381 | 48.6%185 W · 196 L | -15.6wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7791…af80backed Spurs | 39c | 10,000$3,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,899.99 | 74 | 41.9%31 W · 43 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfce1…9ce7backed Rockets | 60c | 10,000$5,952 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,047.9 | 354 | 50.8%180 W · 174 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12fd…90c0backed Spurs | 39c | 9,004$3,511 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,511.41 | 284 | 39.8%113 W · 171 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x832d…d420backed Spurs | 39c | 9,000$3,510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,510 | 65 | 40%26 W · 39 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Rockets | 61c | 8,888$5,422 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,466.32 | 461 | 45.6%210 W · 251 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf51…4a30backed Spurs | 42c | 8,408$3,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,500 | 767 | 46.4%356 W · 411 L | -16.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1433…56a0backed Rockets | 60c | 8,167$4,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,266.69 | 175 | 54.9%96 W · 79 L | +8.8wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed Rockets | 61c | 7,689$4,690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,998.71 | 584 | 49.7%290 W · 294 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7517…0353backed Spurs | 63c | 7,676$4,812 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,812.45 | 278 | 65.8%183 W · 95 L | +25.4wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa07c…11a0backed Rockets | 39c | 7,666$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,666.09 | 181 | 40.3%73 W · 108 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc330…1667backed Rockets | 40c | 7,423$2,997 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,425.49 | 62 | 53.2%33 W · 29 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26f8…3452backed Spurs | 61c | 7,241$4,417 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,416.98 | 99 | 38.4%38 W · 61 L | -8.4wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -26%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x13ff…16a3backed Rockets | 24c | 7,187$1,749 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,437.33 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fb7…082dbacked Spurs | 39c | 7,164$2,794 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,793.93 | 132 | 50%66 W · 66 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb76f…8536backed Spurs | 39c | 7,074$2,759 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,759.01 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -29%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x35bd…1ecfbacked Spurs | 39c | 7,000$2,730 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,730 | 149 | 45.6%68 W · 81 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c42…da3cbacked Rockets | 60c | 6,999$4,199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,799.6 | 140 | 55.7%78 W · 62 L | +11.5wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaf35…b5eabacked Spurs | 39c | 6,767$2,639 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,639.13 | 132 | 39.4%52 W · 80 L | -8.7wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8ddd…39eebacked Spurs | 66c | 6,558$4,328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,327.9 | 225 | 42.2%95 W · 130 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x986c…3180backed Rockets | 60c | 6,411$3,821 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,590.47 | 399 | 58.4%233 W · 166 L | +19.6wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked Rockets | 38c | 6,323$2,415 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,907.35 | 263 | 36.5%96 W · 167 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2580…1d56backed Spurs | 41c | 6,133$2,503 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,502.74 | 117 | 37.6%44 W · 73 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a59…9a2fbacked Spurs | 41c | 6,050$2,481 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,480.58 | 168 | 63.1%106 W · 62 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2707…0afabacked Rockets | 56c | 6,029$3,352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,676.71 | 359 | 42.1%151 W · 208 L | -12.9wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa849…c825backed Spurs | 41c | 6,000$2,460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,460 | 166 | 41%68 W · 98 L | -12.9wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdc09…3079backed Rockets | 36c | 5,800$2,079 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,720.98 | 68 | 39.7%27 W · 41 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x880a…e678backed Rockets | 61c | 5,724$3,494 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,230.31 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d36…68fdbacked Rockets | 52c | 5,716$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,716.11 | 127 | 40.9%52 W · 75 L | -15.3wins | -0.12per pick | 53cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc1e1…f855backed Spurs | 39c | 5,700$2,233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,233.44 | 287 | 42.9%123 W · 164 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Rockets | 38c | 5,594$2,105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,489.05 | 469 | 40.3%189 W · 280 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5116…58c4backed Spurs | 45c | 5,555$2,478 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,477.52 | 768 | 50.3%386 W · 382 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d26…1c15backed Spurs | 39c | 5,344$2,084 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,084.1 | 224 | 59.4%133 W · 91 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f82…9b01backed Spurs | 40c | 5,272$2,109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,108.74 | 166 | 35.5%59 W · 107 L | -8.4wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed Spurs | 39c | 5,128$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 489 | 38.7%189 W · 300 L | -10.9wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spurs vs. Rocketsthis page
- Spread: Rockets (-4.5)Rockets won
- Spurs vs. Rockets: 1H MoneylineSpurs won
- Spurs vs. Rockets: O/U 220.5Under won
- Spurs vs. Rockets: O/U 221.5Under won
- Spurs vs. Rockets: O/U 222.5Under won
- Spurs vs. Rockets: O/U 225.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.