TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spurs vs. Rockets: O/U 220.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$140,548
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$141,918

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $140,548 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 133 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc65c…ea39backed Over52c20,000$10,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,399.9917250.6%87 W · 85 L+0.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc8b4…f05dbacked Over52c20,000$10,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,399.9566853.4%357 W · 311 L+22.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+7.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x00ed…88b2backed Under48c8,833$4,240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,593.33875%6 W · 2 L+2.1wins+0.27per pick48cpaid+55%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa1f3…d99cbacked Under48c8,224$3,960 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,264.4948546.4%225 W · 260 L-14.6wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Under48c5,520$2,644 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,875.679,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x810d…0c74backed Over50c5,440$2,720 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,720450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-6.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0500…6158backed Under48c5,406$2,595 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,811.2512151.2%62 W · 59 L+3.8wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd9a9…48eebacked Over50c5,384$2,692 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,692475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.23per pick52cpaid+43.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1ea2…0ca7backed Over50c5,383$2,692 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,691.5450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-6.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb14a…13a0backed Over50c5,379$2,690 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,689.5450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7d3c…66efbacked Over50c5,375$2,688 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,687.5450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaf1e…bb08backed Over50c5,367$2,684 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,683.5450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa6fa…2253backed Over50c5,352$2,676 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,676450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8ece…75d5backed Over50c5,252$2,626 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,626450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6f28…ad54backed Over50c5,244$2,622 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,622450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb1a0…985dbacked Over50c5,243$2,622 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,621.5450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9540…0d77backed Over50c5,150$2,575 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,575560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+15.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x91fd…1cdebacked Under50c5,000$2,490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,510.1177348.5%375 W · 398 L+7.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xed8a…f47fbacked Over50c4,825$2,413 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,412.5450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbad…81aabacked Under48c4,375$2,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,2752040%8 W · 12 L-1.8wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-19.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc617…a854backed Under48c3,787$1,826 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,960.8142648.1%205 W · 221 L-5.1wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x92d8…0924backed Over50c3,600$1,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,80024045.4%109 W · 131 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5cce…5c2fbacked Under48c3,560$1,709 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,851.4216254.3%88 W · 74 L+7.1wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Over50c2,948$1,480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,480.442,66648%1,279 W · 1,387 L-8.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Over51c2,397$1,214 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,214.313,59150.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L+21.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc9ce…77eabacked Over53c2,287$1,208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,208.386448.4%31 W · 33 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf085…8237backed Over50c2,168$1,084 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,084425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.24per pick49cpaid-51.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8f5a…8100backed Under50c2,168$1,084 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,084450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x698b…4426backed Under51c2,118$1,080 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,03822055%121 W · 99 L+12.2wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+10.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Under50c2,000$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,000.131,91054.3%1,038 W · 872 L+25.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x34ec…32dcbacked Under50c2,000$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,000475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.22per pick53cpaid+42.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xde08…cd6dbacked Under50c2,000$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,000580%4 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.30per pick50cpaid+56.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7302…32c2backed Under50c2,000$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0004100%4 W · 0 L+1.9wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+89.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xc0d7…d789backed Under50c1,968$984 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$984450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x64b1…94ddbacked Under50c1,958$979 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$979450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x071e…6d26backed Under50c1,954$977 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$977450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6f31…f4e8backed Under50c1,945$973 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$972.5475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.23per pick52cpaid+42.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8fc5…6727backed Under50c1,929$965 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$964.5366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick49cpaid+29.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa55c…6d6cbacked Under50c1,924$962 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$962450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaa5e…20cebacked Under50c1,915$958 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$957.5785.7%6 W · 1 L+2.3wins+0.34per pick52cpaid+63.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe5ef…852dbacked Under50c1,892$946 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$946450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf3d2…adf1backed Under50c1,883$942 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$941.5475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.22per pick53cpaid+43.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x89c9…5be5backed Under50c1,879$940 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$939.5366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+27.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdd3d…0034backed Under50c1,852$926 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$926450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb6b6…e6aebacked Under50c1,843$922 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$921.5366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick49cpaid+29.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x49f4…77febacked Under50c1,814$907 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$907450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84bd…c496backed Under50c1,806$903 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$903475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.24per pick51cpaid+43.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x746d…e532backed Under50c1,793$897 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$896.5450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfc9d…d823backed Under50c1,765$883 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$882.5475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.22per pick53cpaid+42.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3d6c…17e1backed Under50c1,763$882 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$881.5580%4 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.29per pick51cpaid+54.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8df0…f59cbacked Under50c1,749$875 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$874.5450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6baa…4113backed Under50c1,720$860 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$860475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.22per pick53cpaid+42.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd900…a1bdbacked Under50c1,702$851 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$851450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6e34…b50cbacked Under50c1,680$840 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$840450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x253d…aa62backed Under50c1,671$836 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$835.558347%274 W · 309 L-12.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5583…ce85backed Under50c1,653$827 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$826.5450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf20f…3b33backed Under48c1,650$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$849.6618343.7%80 W · 103 L-11.0wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-12%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xcaf6…f76cbacked Under50c1,645$823 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$822.5475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.24per pick51cpaid+42.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0247…bcc8backed Under50c1,631$816 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$815.5475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.25per pick50cpaid+46.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe117…7f4fbacked Under50c1,620$810 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$810475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.23per pick52cpaid+43.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbd2c…f236backed Under50c1,614$807 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$807560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+16.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe962…663abacked Over49c1,600$784 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78484342.9%362 W · 481 L-39.1wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-11.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under20c1,593$315 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,278.088,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x71ed…2960backed Under50c1,588$794 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$794475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.22per pick53cpaid+42.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc01a…84f4backed Under50c1,574$787 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$787580%4 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.28per pick52cpaid+52.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8e04…09e4backed Under50c1,572$786 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$786666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+33.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe748…d9b2backed Under50c1,560$780 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$780450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6bd8…4f70backed Under50c1,538$769 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$769450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6565…fbddbacked Under50c1,518$759 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$759366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+30.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc7e5…2d3abacked Over53c1,416$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75065339.5%258 W · 395 L-24.6wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-10.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbac9…55a3backed Under50c1,147$574 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$573.5366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick49cpaid+29.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Under48c1,024$492 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$532.486,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x21ce…6f34backed Under49c1,020$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$520.4113748.9%67 W · 70 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa3d3…f2bcbacked Over52c1,000$520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52040947.7%195 W · 214 L-13.0wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0eca…6a15backed Under48c1,000$480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5209742.3%41 W · 56 L-10.0wins-0.10per pick53cpaid-19%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xc922…2618backed Over52c999.99$520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52026755.8%149 W · 118 L+12.9wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+10.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd93b…cd48backed Under48c999.99$480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52017953.1%95 W · 84 L+7.9wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+9.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2e00…eb46backed Under48c860.38$413 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$447.436351.2%186 W · 177 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x17cd…7423backed Under48c843.75$405 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$438.755550.9%28 W · 27 L+4.0wins+0.07per pick44cpaid+25.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under47c771.15$363 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4084,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa009…a6efbacked Over53c717.65$380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$380.0914742.2%62 W · 85 L+5.4wins+0.04per pick39cpaid-1.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf5a7…63e7backed Over53c603.77$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32067252.7%354 W · 318 L+15.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Over51c600$304 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303.62,79650.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L+27.9wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf059…6dd9backed Under49c600$294 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30649246.3%228 W · 264 L-15.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3704…0e84backed Over51c588.24$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30025951.4%133 W · 126 L+3.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under49c471.96$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$242.424,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1733…dc80backed Over48c416.67$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20019741.6%82 W · 115 L-4.9wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-10.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf332…3c89backed Over49c400$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19665649.2%323 W · 333 L+9.5wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x84d7…298fbacked Under15c383.47$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$327.4226336.5%96 W · 167 L-9.1wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-11.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Over51c380$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.81,66752.7%878 W · 789 L+45.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1d0a…3389backed Over53c378.3$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1991361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.4wins+0.11per pick50cpaid+21.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa8f3…e544backed Under48c315$151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.878652.4%412 W · 374 L+14.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x15d5…ef7bbacked Under49c300$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1531,19838.8%465 W · 733 L+11.6wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6dbc…18a0backed Under48c208.33$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.3315650.6%79 W · 77 L-0.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid+1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6b3a…2841backed Under48c200$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1041,19747.5%569 W · 628 L-32.0wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1033…d851backed Over51c196.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10027443.1%118 W · 156 L-0.8wins0.00per pick43cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x561e…5670backed Over53c188.68$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.10per pick57cpaid+14.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfd3f…44f1backed Under48c170.76$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.7625452.8%134 W · 120 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb891…969bbacked Under48c150$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7824946.6%116 W · 133 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1831…6c99backed Over52c147$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.319350.3%97 W · 96 L+0.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid-3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.