NBA · resolved market
Spread: Rockets (-4.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe5ef09aadca42c437c003b5c27b5c463e6146a064c4437a42f209354d09273fb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Rocketsof Rockets, Spurs
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $362,095
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $368,435
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $362,095 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 169 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x777d…5143backed Spurs | 52c | 160,631$83,528 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83,528.02 | 197 | 54.3%107 W · 90 L | +12.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Rockets | 48c | 54,589$26,348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28,241.56 | 1,046 | 51.1%534 W · 512 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Rockets | 48c | 50,314$24,151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26,162.59 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc257…358ebacked Spurs | 51c | 49,496$25,243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,242.92 | 404 | 46.8%189 W · 215 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb27…c56ebacked Rockets | 49c | 48,485$23,758 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24,727.22 | 871 | 44.7%389 W · 482 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Rockets | 49c | 35,315$17,208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,107.32 | 1,908 | 54.5%1,040 W · 868 L | +53.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x08c5…43edbacked Spurs | 51c | 29,512$15,051 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,051 | 443 | 52.4%232 W · 211 L | +10.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Rockets | 48c | 27,021$13,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,981.49 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Spurs | 50c | 20,000$10,076 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,076.29 | 1,124 | 48.6%546 W · 578 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c16…09cbbacked Rockets | 48c | 16,261$7,805 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,455.85 | 132 | 48.5%64 W · 68 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Rockets | 48c | 11,801$5,664 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,136.91 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed Rockets | 49c | 9,633$4,720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,912.89 | 593 | 47%279 W · 314 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Rockets | 49c | 8,000$3,920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,080 | 1,820 | 52.1%948 W · 872 L | +48.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9752…5b36backed Spurs | 51c | 5,859$2,988 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,988.19 | 78 | 53.8%42 W · 36 L | -4.2wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Rockets | 48c | 5,808$2,789 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,019.86 | 2,512 | 49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e2f…ec47backed Rockets | 50c | 5,500$2,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,750 | 747 | 48.5%362 W · 385 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91fd…1cdebacked Spurs | 50c | 5,000$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 773 | 48.5%375 W · 398 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked Rockets | 50c | 4,209$2,105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,104.5 | 657 | 50.1%329 W · 328 L | +10.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41b7…f6babacked Spurs | 51c | 4,000$2,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,040 | 801 | 46.4%372 W · 429 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa1f3…d99cbacked Rockets | 50c | 4,000$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,000 | 485 | 46.4%225 W · 260 L | -14.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x35ac…92a7backed Rockets | 48c | 4,000$1,920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,079.98 | 121 | 44.6%54 W · 67 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1831…6c99backed Rockets | 50c | 3,852$1,916 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,936.13 | 193 | 50.3%97 W · 96 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb589…33d4backed Spurs | 1c | 3,846$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.46 | 353 | 26.6%94 W · 259 L | +21.9wins | +0.06per pick | 20cpaid | +31%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5bcf…dff4backed Spurs | 52c | 3,564$1,853 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,853.03 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2707…0afabacked Spurs | 52c | 3,000$1,545 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,545 | 359 | 42.1%151 W · 208 L | -12.9wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ef…8cd6backed Rockets | 49c | 3,000$1,470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,530 | 433 | 48.5%210 W · 223 L | +11.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb009…72f0backed Spurs | 52c | 2,500$1,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,299.99 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79c9…b2f1backed Rockets | 50c | 2,379$1,180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,198.91 | 75 | 36%27 W · 48 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -11%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77f1…f97dbacked Rockets | 48c | 2,365$1,135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,229.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14ac…cb21backed Spurs | 51c | 2,299$1,172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,172.39 | 375 | 57.6%216 W · 159 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c26…69c2backed Rockets | 48c | 2,282$1,095 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,186.39 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05e1…85a2backed Spurs | 52c | 2,273$1,178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,178.5 | 323 | 47.1%152 W · 171 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x454f…04e7backed Rockets | 48c | 2,095$1,006 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,089.4 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf059…6dd9backed Rockets | 48c | 2,083$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,083.33 | 492 | 46.3%228 W · 264 L | -15.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Rockets | 49c | 2,000$970 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,030 | 2,657 | 49.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L | +42.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Rockets | 49c | 2,000$980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,020 | 2,753 | 50.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L | +47.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa392…1415backed Spurs | 53c | 2,000$1,060 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,060 | 142 | 45.1%64 W · 78 L | -5.0wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f6c…b40cbacked Rockets | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +4.4wins | +0.28per pick | 47cpaid | +96.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x4667…cab0backed Spurs | 52c | 2,000$1,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,040 | 133 | 55.6%74 W · 59 L | +8.7wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd56d…bd7dbacked Spurs | 51c | 1,961$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 86 | 47.7%41 W · 45 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Spurs | 52c | 1,923$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae17…b10dbacked Spurs | 52c | 1,923$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Rockets | 48c | 1,854$889 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$965.73 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Rockets | 50c | 1,500$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$750 | 672 | 52.7%354 W · 318 L | +15.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3ca…2a84backed Spurs | 51c | 1,244$635 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$634.68 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +66.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca5…73bcbacked Spurs | 51c | 1,225$625 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$625 | 404 | 51.5%208 W · 196 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ce…7ec8backed Spurs | 51c | 1,176$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 71 | 53.5%38 W · 33 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x889c…e375backed Rockets | 49c | 1,020$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520.41 | 509 | 54.8%279 W · 230 L | +14.8wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Rockets | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x478f…f5d9backed Spurs | 52c | 961.54$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 220 | 35.5%78 W · 142 L | -11.5wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4918…8573backed Spurs | 52c | 813$423 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$422.76 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb93d…f0c4backed Spurs | 50c | 789.39$395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$394.69 | 30 | 76.7%23 W · 7 L | +8.8wins | +0.29per pick | 47cpaid | +69.9%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xe098…8ee2backed Rockets | 50c | 700$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350 | 207 | 54.1%112 W · 95 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf395…8e3cbacked Spurs | 53c | 648.26$343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$343.48 | 118 | 39.8%47 W · 71 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3704…0e84backed Rockets | 50c | 600$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 259 | 51.4%133 W · 126 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked Rockets | 48c | 500$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260 | 456 | 47.1%215 W · 241 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dc5…b639backed Spurs | 51c | 490.2$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 54 | 37%20 W · 34 L | -5.2wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -29%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbec4…637fbacked Spurs | 51c | 485.15$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.43 | 531 | 49.3%262 W · 269 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeddf…a953backed Rockets | 50c | 482.24$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.12 | 361 | 43.5%157 W · 204 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaece…b0c9backed Spurs | 50c | 415.39$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.98 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26c8…2564backed Rockets | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x04b4…8d0bbacked Rockets | 50c | 399.82$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.91 | 572 | 50%286 W · 286 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x48cf…c7dfbacked Spurs | 52c | 384.62$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 364 | 53%193 W · 171 L | -17.0wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x64db…325bbacked Spurs | 52c | 384.62$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1,259 | 48.7%613 W · 646 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Rockets | 48c | 361.25$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.61 | 3,120 | 44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L | -7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Spurs | 50c | 334.26$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.13 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…dca3backed Rockets | 49c | 306.12$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.12 | 150 | 52.7%79 W · 71 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x682f…3265backed Rockets | 49c | 304.18$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.18 | 1,389 | 54.9%762 W · 627 L | +16.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b87…f42dbacked Spurs | 51c | 303.92$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155 | 75 | 44%33 W · 42 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e57…2bf6backed Rockets | 50c | 300$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 125 | 49.6%62 W · 63 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57e4…a2e8backed Spurs | 52c | 300$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156 | 20 | 15%3 W · 17 L | -3.8wins | -0.19per pick | 34cpaid | -61.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2bcc…4324backed Spurs | 50c | 299.99$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 528 | 44.7%236 W · 292 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6036…d2ccbacked Spurs | 52c | 289.98$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.79 | 406 | 48%195 W · 211 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3947…a5a9backed Spurs | 53c | 283.02$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -2.7wins | -0.21per pick | 59cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x785f…e3d9backed Rockets | 48c | 240.11$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.92 | 1,029 | 47.7%491 W · 538 L | -13.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa596…ce69backed Spurs | 52c | 206.31$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.28 | 97 | 64.9%63 W · 34 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c49…ca9dbacked Spurs | 51c | 206$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.06 | 182 | 40.7%74 W · 108 L | -8.7wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe70d…dd35backed Spurs | 52c | 200.31$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.16 | 119 | 55.5%66 W · 53 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x188a…de60backed Rockets | 48c | 200$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0e9…5112backed Spurs | 51c | 200$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 217 | 49.3%107 W · 110 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3212…634ebacked Rockets | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 400 | 35.5%142 W · 258 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8cbb…acb2backed Spurs | 51c | 200$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 890 | 50.4%449 W · 441 L | +4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5093…dee4backed Spurs | 50c | 198$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.98 | 102 | 55.9%57 W · 45 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe85d…95d8backed Spurs | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 153 | 55.6%85 W · 68 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1925…8249backed Spurs | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 112 | 52.7%59 W · 53 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde46…a7afbacked Spurs | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 50 | 54%27 W · 23 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…dc80backed Spurs | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 197 | 41.6%82 W · 115 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Spurs | 76c | 183.36$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.04 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0bf4…fde8backed Rockets | 51c | 164.35$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.11 | 65 | 73.8%48 W · 17 L | +11.3wins | +0.17per pick | 56cpaid | +18%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x3dc1…e318backed Rockets | 48c | 163.48$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.01 | 530 | 43.8%232 W · 298 L | -25.4wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x89a7…e7dbbacked Spurs | 51c | 150$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.5 | 111 | 43.2%48 W · 63 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a31…152cbacked Spurs | 52c | 137.54$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.52 | 484 | 51.2%248 W · 236 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e7d…4a9bbacked Spurs | 53c | 132.8$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 317 | 45.4%144 W · 173 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa173…3315backed Rockets | 48c | 130$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.6 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.29per pick | 38cpaid | +77%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1dc0…099dbacked Spurs | 53c | 129.35$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.14 | 66 | 53%35 W · 31 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Rockets | 44c | 126.25$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.19 | 1,425 | 47.7%680 W · 745 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f8c…2157backed Rockets | 50c | 126.2$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.1 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40ef…10ebbacked Spurs | 51c | 117.65$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6de9…a8e5backed Rockets | 50c | 114.44$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.22 | 362 | 47.5%172 W · 190 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef71…dedebacked Spurs | 51c | 111.76$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 65 | 52.3%34 W · 31 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Rockets (-4.5)this page
- Spurs vs. RocketsRockets won
- Spurs vs. Rockets: 1H MoneylineSpurs won
- Spurs vs. Rockets: O/U 220.5Under won
- Spurs vs. Rockets: O/U 221.5Under won
- Spurs vs. Rockets: O/U 222.5Under won
- Spurs vs. Rockets: O/U 225.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.