NBA · resolved market
Spurs vs. Rockets: O/U 225.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4ee7ef52b546620df7947777b138ccf729b273d10352bc30c04fcd9ebfe4b486
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,942
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,935
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,942 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x09ad…819ebacked Under | 62c | 3,213$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,212.59 | 142 | 54.9%78 W · 64 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd622…8b56backed Over | 43c | 1,028$442 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$442.12 | 83 | 39.8%33 W · 50 L | -5.4wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xac53…6133backed Over | 38c | 1,000$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380 | 100 | 50%50 W · 50 L | +4.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc9ce…77eabacked Over | 68c | 924.81$629 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$628.52 | 64 | 48.4%31 W · 33 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf6de…95e8backed Under | 40c | 749.99$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450 | 230 | 47%108 W · 122 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7634…1b96backed Over | 41c | 679.75$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 240 | 51.3%123 W · 117 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Over | 37c | 550.8$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.71 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 46c | 505.5$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.53 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37de…f512backed Over | 39c | 412.99$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.79 | 1,390 | 26%361 W · 1,029 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 35c | 408.18$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.61 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb589…33d4backed Over | 6c | 314.32$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.86 | 353 | 26.6%94 W · 259 L | +21.9wins | +0.06per pick | 20cpaid | +31%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked Over | 39c | 234.68$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.49 | 263 | 36.5%96 W · 167 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x19a0…ac39backed Over | 46c | 200$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92 | 147 | 51%75 W · 72 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Under | 58c | 193.56$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.29 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1033…d851backed Under | 64c | 156.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.25 | 274 | 43.1%118 W · 156 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Under | 44c | 126.31$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.72 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4371…4fd9backed Under | 63c | 126.03$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.53 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x874e…9bcabacked Over | 70c | 87.2$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.04 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47e5…9b73backed Under | 61c | 81.31$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.71 | 425 | 51.3%218 W · 207 L | -7.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd44d…389dbacked Under | 61c | 81.31$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.71 | 413 | 54%223 W · 190 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd689…add6backed Under | 63c | 73.03$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.79 | 25 | 72%18 W · 7 L | +2.4wins | +0.09per pick | 63cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa4cd…e2abbacked Under | 63c | 40.3$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.91 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Over | 39c | 36$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.17 | 1,786 | 53.2%950 W · 836 L | +52.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Under | 60c | 33.19$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.28 | 2,602 | 50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L | -20.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b54…ea13backed Under | 62c | 32.26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.26 | 379 | 59.4%225 W · 154 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9371…3aecbacked Under | 49c | 28.29$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.43 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Over | 51c | 28.29$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.43 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Over | 60c | 27.8$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.58 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7a2…1bc7backed Under | 60c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 45 | 62.2%28 W · 17 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f9…4375backed Under | 64c | 23$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.28 | 70 | 57.1%40 W · 30 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b74…b58fbacked Over | 74c | 20$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.8 | 166 | 69.9%116 W · 50 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 68cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…20ebbacked Over | 80c | 20$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 854 | 49.4%422 W · 432 L | +15.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee20…5b37backed Over | 60c | 19.97$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.98 | 503 | 47.9%241 W · 262 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spurs vs. Rockets: O/U 225.5this page
- Spread: Rockets (-4.5)Rockets won
- Spurs vs. RocketsRockets won
- Spurs vs. Rockets: 1H MoneylineSpurs won
- Spurs vs. Rockets: O/U 220.5Under won
- Spurs vs. Rockets: O/U 221.5Under won
- Spurs vs. Rockets: O/U 222.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.