TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spurs vs. Rockets: O/U 221.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$161,914
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$164,102

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $161,914 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 158 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xead0…f3babacked Under52c30,000$15,502 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,497.911,12448.6%546 W · 578 L+13.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Over49c20,554$10,039 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,038.852,09147.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L-56.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8f03…64d6backed Under51c12,167$6,205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,961.651,04651.1%534 W · 512 L-0.7wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over49c11,000$5,430 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,429.991,82052.1%948 W · 872 L+48.5wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Over47c10,205$4,843 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,842.79,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed Under50c10,000$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,0001,26944.5%565 W · 704 L+32.4wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3c7e…a65fbacked Under51c6,133$3,118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,015.2680737.7%304 W · 503 L-33.9wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-16.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x89c9…5be5backed Over47c5,579$2,622 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,622.13366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+27.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3d6c…17e1backed Over47c5,525$2,597 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,596.75580%4 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.29per pick51cpaid+54.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8df0…f59cbacked Over48c5,498$2,639 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,639.04450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x071e…6d26backed Over47c5,377$2,527 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,527.19450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde08…cd6dbacked Over47c5,331$2,506 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,505.57580%4 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.30per pick50cpaid+56.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0247…bcc8backed Over47c5,315$2,498 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,498.05475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.25per pick50cpaid+46.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdd3d…0034backed Over48c5,258$2,524 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,523.84450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6bd8…4f70backed Over47c5,230$2,458 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,458.1450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa55c…6d6cbacked Over48c5,206$2,499 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,498.88450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x746d…e532backed Over47c5,182$2,436 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,435.54450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x64b1…94ddbacked Over47c5,177$2,433 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,433.19450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6e34…b50cbacked Over47c5,145$2,418 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,418.15450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7298…fe8dbacked Over50c4,392$2,196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,19665750.1%329 W · 328 L+10.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under22c4,209$905 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,304.128,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x011c…31dfbacked Over48c4,167$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00033447.9%160 W · 174 L-6.3wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Over48c4,049$1,935 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,935.42,66648%1,279 W · 1,387 L-8.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1ea2…9ad4backed Under54c3,728$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,727.9212855.5%71 W · 57 L+3.7wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+6.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Under52c3,142$1,637 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,504.663,59150.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L+21.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3230…9cfcbacked Over47c3,000$1,420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,4201637.5%6 W · 10 L-1.6wins-0.10per pick48cpaid-14.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x04d2…4c2cbacked Under51c2,265$1,155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,109.7117454%94 W · 80 L+6.3wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+3.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbc37…2f65backed Over48c2,083$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00041649.8%207 W · 209 L+1.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcb75…2cdfbacked Over48c2,083$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0003548.6%17 W · 18 L-0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6b8d…854cbacked Over66c2,055$1,364 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,364.463354.5%18 W · 15 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-0.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Over49c2,038$1,002 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,001.672,51249.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L+6.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfc9d…d823backed Under53c2,000$1,060 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$940475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.22per pick53cpaid+42.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xed8a…f47fbacked Under53c2,000$1,060 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$940450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6f31…f4e8backed Under53c2,000$1,060 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$940475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.23per pick52cpaid+42.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd900…a1bdbacked Under53c1,996$1,058 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$938.12450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6565…fbddbacked Under52c1,991$1,035 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$955.68366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+30.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x34ec…32dcbacked Under53c1,987$1,053 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$933.89475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.22per pick53cpaid+42.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6baa…4113backed Under53c1,979$1,049 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$930.13475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.22per pick53cpaid+42.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x412f…30fabacked Over49c1,950$952 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$951.9735744.3%158 W · 199 L+1.5wins0.00per pick44cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe117…7f4fbacked Under52c1,946$1,012 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$934.08475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.23per pick52cpaid+43.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc01a…84f4backed Under53c1,937$1,027 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$910.39580%4 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.28per pick52cpaid+52.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x84bd…c496backed Under52c1,917$997 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$920.16475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.24per pick51cpaid+43.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8fc5…6727backed Under53c1,905$1,010 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$895.35366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick49cpaid+29.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7302…32c2backed Under53c1,886$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$886.424100%4 W · 0 L+1.9wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+89.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xd9a9…48eebacked Under53c1,867$990 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$877.49475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.23per pick52cpaid+43.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf3d2…adf1backed Under52c1,835$954 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$880.8475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.22per pick53cpaid+43.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbac9…55a3backed Under53c1,831$970 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$860.57366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick49cpaid+29.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb1a0…985dbacked Under53c1,810$959 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$850.7450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5583…ce85backed Under52c1,784$928 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$856.32450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcaf6…f76cbacked Under53c1,776$941 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$834.72475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.24per pick51cpaid+42.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x71ed…2960backed Under53c1,758$932 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$826.26475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.22per pick53cpaid+42.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8e04…09e4backed Under53c1,740$922 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$817.8666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+33.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbd2c…f236backed Under53c1,734$919 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$814.98560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+16.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc0d7…d789backed Under52c1,729$899 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$829.92450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe748…d9b2backed Under53c1,712$907 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$804.64450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7d3c…66efbacked Under53c1,698$900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$798.06450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaa5e…20cebacked Under53c1,694$898 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$796.18785.7%6 W · 1 L+2.3wins+0.34per pick52cpaid+63.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa6fa…2253backed Under53c1,684$893 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$791.48450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9540…0d77backed Under52c1,672$869 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$802.56560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+15.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x05e3…4b87backed Under51c1,647$840 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$807.0647856.7%271 W · 207 L+11.6wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x253d…aa62backed Under53c1,625$861 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$763.7558347%274 W · 309 L-12.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6f28…ad54backed Under53c1,623$860 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$762.81450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc922…2618backed Over49c1,600$784 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78426755.8%149 W · 118 L+12.9wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+10.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x86e1…dcf6backed Under52c1,600$839 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$760.92138.1%8 W · 13 L-2.6wins-0.12per pick50cpaid-25%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xb14a…13a0backed Under53c1,597$846 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$750.59450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x810d…0c74backed Under52c1,583$823 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$759.84450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-6.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x49f4…77febacked Under53c1,559$826 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$732.73450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb6b6…e6aebacked Under53c1,542$817 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$724.74366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick49cpaid+29.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe5ef…852dbacked Under53c1,526$809 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$717.22450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over70c1,521$1,069 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,068.692,63036.7%966 W · 1,664 L-119.1wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-25.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8ece…75d5backed Under53c1,519$805 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$713.93450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1ea2…0ca7backed Under52c1,505$783 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$722.4450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-6.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaf1e…bb08backed Under53c1,501$796 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$705.47450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfbf2…b852backed Under53c1,400$742 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6581450%7 W · 7 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Under24c1,114$271 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$842.842,16940.8%885 W · 1,284 L-8.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-14.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Over49c1,077$528 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$527.736,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0e92…c03fbacked Under52c971.15$505 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$466.152147.6%10 W · 11 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf20f…3b33backed Under51c866.47$442 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$424.5718343.7%80 W · 103 L-11.0wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-12%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xce65…6759backed Over70c800$562 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56213441%55 W · 79 L-16.1wins-0.12per pick53cpaid-30%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xc8b4…f05dbacked Over49c710.2$348 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34866853.4%357 W · 311 L+22.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+7.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Under51c700$359 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$340.942,79650.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L+27.9wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe544…3cfcbacked Over48c625$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30010251%52 W · 50 L-0.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd092…342abacked Over50c500$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25046258.2%269 W · 193 L-0.6wins0.00per pick58cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Over47c439$206 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206.332,07853.6%1,113 W · 965 L+44.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Over46c438.16$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.75,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under50c403.98$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$199.974,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Over49c399$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195.511,66752.7%878 W · 789 L+45.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6b3a…2841backed Under52c360$187 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$172.81,19747.5%569 W · 628 L-32.0wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbec4…637fbacked Under52c353.37$184 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$169.6253149.3%262 W · 269 L+5.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd947…9b61backed Under50c350$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17528751.9%149 W · 138 L+6.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+6.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc688…5987backed Under48c344.11$164 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$179.9532346.4%150 W · 173 L-8.3wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-2.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5cbf…82abbacked Over49c326.53$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16016945.6%77 W · 92 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6036…d2ccbacked Over49c307$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.4340648%195 W · 211 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Over48c303.87$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.625,84446.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L+32.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb589…33d4backed Under21c290.32$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$229.3635326.6%94 W · 259 L+21.9wins+0.06per pick20cpaid+31%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x0d29…6da9backed Over77c281.16$216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$216.1914255.6%79 W · 63 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-1.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5b20…99e9backed Over48c270.83$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13066046.8%309 W · 351 L-16.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-5.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1e29…9e66backed Under51c260$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.450241.2%207 W · 295 L-3.8wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd77d…b01cbacked Over48c208.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10026956.1%151 W · 118 L+8.8wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1831…6c99backed Over50c202$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10119350.3%97 W · 96 L+0.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid-3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.