NBA · resolved market
Spurs vs. Rockets: O/U 222.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4ce8c4b591a5fe8b95cd5bfa2d80ed5cad98b92a8327725de7f2de83ec630679
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $71,931
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $72,947
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $71,931 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 79 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 54c | 5,799$3,127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,672.58 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e04…09e4backed Over | 45c | 5,511$2,480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,479.95 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +33.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd900…a1bdbacked Over | 45c | 5,428$2,443 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,442.6 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe5ef…852dbacked Over | 45c | 5,364$2,414 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,413.8 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5583…ce85backed Over | 45c | 4,697$2,114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,113.65 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6565…fbddbacked Over | 45c | 4,588$2,065 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,064.6 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49f4…77febacked Over | 45c | 4,452$2,003 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,003.4 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6b6…e6aebacked Over | 45c | 4,439$1,998 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,997.55 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe748…d9b2backed Over | 45c | 4,416$1,987 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,987.2 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbac9…55a3backed Over | 45c | 4,112$1,850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,850.4 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71ed…2960backed Under | 55c | 4,095$2,252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,842.75 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +42.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8fc5…6727backed Over | 45c | 4,052$1,823 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,823.4 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd2c…f236backed Over | 45c | 3,920$1,764 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,764 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6baa…4113backed Under | 55c | 3,791$2,085 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,705.95 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +42.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x412f…30fabacked Over | 46c | 3,700$1,702 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,702 | 357 | 44.3%158 W · 199 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd7a5…7c26backed Over | 46c | 3,700$1,702 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,701.75 | 116 | 53.4%62 W · 54 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7302…32c2backed Under | 55c | 3,527$1,940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,587.15 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.9wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +89.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc01a…84f4backed Under | 55c | 3,486$1,917 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,568.7 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.28per pick | 52cpaid | +52.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc0d7…d789backed Over | 45c | 3,435$1,546 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,545.75 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcaf6…f76cbacked Under | 55c | 3,080$1,694 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,386 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +42.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa5e…20cebacked Under | 55c | 3,025$1,664 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,361.25 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.3wins | +0.34per pick | 52cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe117…7f4fbacked Under | 55c | 2,877$1,582 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,294.65 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +43.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc9d…d823backed Under | 55c | 2,874$1,581 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,293.3 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +42.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84bd…c496backed Under | 55c | 2,477$1,362 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,114.65 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +43.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f31…f4e8backed Under | 55c | 2,346$1,290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,055.7 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +42.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a30…8abdbacked Under | 53c | 2,135$1,135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000.11 | 507 | 54.2%275 W · 232 L | +13.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6bd8…4f70backed Under | 55c | 2,011$1,106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$904.95 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x34ec…32dcbacked Under | 55c | 2,003$1,102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$901.35 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +42.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf3d2…adf1backed Under | 55c | 1,945$1,070 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$875.25 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +43.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9540…0d77backed Under | 55c | 1,621$892 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$729.45 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ea2…0ca7backed Under | 55c | 1,532$843 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$689.4 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe962…663abacked Over | 46c | 1,327$610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$610.21 | 843 | 42.9%362 W · 481 L | -39.1wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0247…bcc8backed Under | 55c | 1,251$688 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$562.95 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +46.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e34…b50cbacked Under | 55c | 1,232$678 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$554.4 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f28…ad54backed Under | 55c | 1,211$666 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$544.95 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x89c9…5be5backed Under | 55c | 1,044$574 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$469.8 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a9…48eebacked Under | 55c | 1,026$564 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$461.7 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +43.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8df0…f59cbacked Under | 55c | 1,022$562 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$459.9 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d6c…17e1backed Under | 55c | 1,022$562 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$459.9 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.29per pick | 51cpaid | +54.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x09ad…819ebacked Under | 55c | 910.24$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410.24 | 142 | 54.9%78 W · 64 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde08…cd6dbacked Under | 55c | 811$446 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$364.95 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.30per pick | 50cpaid | +56.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7d3c…66efbacked Under | 55c | 788$433 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$354.6 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ece…75d5backed Under | 55c | 752$414 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$338.4 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda75…bbf9backed Under | 54c | 740.74$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340.74 | 265 | 53.2%141 W · 124 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Over | 45c | 696.99$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315.41 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa55c…6d6cbacked Under | 55c | 688$378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$309.6 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x746d…e532backed Under | 55c | 638$351 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.1 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64db…325bbacked Over | 48c | 625.74$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 1,259 | 48.7%613 W · 646 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd3d…0034backed Under | 55c | 521$287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.45 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6fa…2253backed Under | 55c | 438$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.1 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Over | 28c | 408.52$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.09 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37de…f512backed Over | 71c | 399.33$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281.56 | 1,390 | 26%361 W · 1,029 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 28c | 358.13$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.9 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf1e…bb08backed Under | 55c | 334$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.3 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a0…985dbacked Under | 55c | 322$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.9 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb14a…13a0backed Under | 55c | 235$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.75 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Under | 55c | 182.76$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.24 | 2,512 | 49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64b1…94ddbacked Under | 55c | 165$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.25 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x071e…6d26backed Under | 55c | 122$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.9 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Under | 25c | 120$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed Over | 46c | 100$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 635 | 55.6%353 W · 282 L | +9.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f89…f3eabacked Under | 54c | 92.37$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.49 | 44 | 54.5%24 W · 20 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x92cf…8b35backed Under | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.91 | 1,110 | 52%577 W · 533 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked Over | 46c | 89$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.94 | 888 | 45.7%406 W · 482 L | -12.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Under | 54c | 86$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.56 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed8a…f47fbacked Under | 55c | 65$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.25 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd6a…72e3backed Over | 46c | 60.02$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.56 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x985b…ce2cbacked Under | 56c | 53.57$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.57 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…4a2cbacked Under | 56c | 40$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.6 | 319 | 47.6%152 W · 167 L | -18.8wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe56e…0bb4backed Under | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.04 | 242 | 48.3%117 W · 125 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x810d…0c74backed Under | 55c | 37$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.65 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x78ad…45ccbacked Under | 74c | 35.47$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.23 | 83 | 61.4%51 W · 32 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x785f…e3d9backed Under | 54c | 31.52$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.43 | 1,029 | 47.7%491 W · 538 L | -13.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Under | 54c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.8 | 1,786 | 53.2%950 W · 836 L | +52.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0684…d593backed Under | 54c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.8 | 879 | 50.6%445 W · 434 L | -16.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95be…9968backed Under | 56c | 26.79$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.79 | 335 | 52.8%177 W · 158 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5767…8cc1backed Over | 47c | 25.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.22 | 1,084 | 42.4%460 W · 624 L | -48.6wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Under | 49c | 24.32$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.35 | 1,425 | 47.7%680 W · 745 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89c1…6790backed Over | 46c | 21.74$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spurs vs. Rockets: O/U 222.5this page
- Spread: Rockets (-4.5)Rockets won
- Spurs vs. RocketsRockets won
- Spurs vs. Rockets: 1H MoneylineSpurs won
- Spurs vs. Rockets: O/U 220.5Under won
- Spurs vs. Rockets: O/U 221.5Under won
- Spurs vs. Rockets: O/U 225.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.