Crypto Milestones · resolved market
Will Bitcoin dip to $88,000 December 8-14?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x12057146c489ec0a0bd06986cfe46afb6327a4bd2e1b0d20e6091123c92442d5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Crypto Milestonesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $456,967
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $471,311
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $456,967 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 205 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Crypto Milestones is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd769…f90cbacked No | 75c | 31,086$23,358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,357.66 | 195 | 35.4%69 W · 126 L | -13.0wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x97bc…30cdbacked Yes | 39c | 20,784$8,089 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,694.68 | 67 | 23.9%16 W · 51 L | +4.1wins | +0.06per pick | 18cpaid | +111.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d56…c454backed No | 11c | 10,192$1,145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,145.13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb63a…4064backed Yes | 39c | 10,169$3,949 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,219.86 | 172 | 31.4%54 W · 118 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd5e8…ceefbacked No | 1c | 10,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f26…d136backed Yes | 55c | 8,753$4,801 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,951.25 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +3.4wins | +0.18per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4124…8af2backed Yes | 33c | 6,000$1,980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,020 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +2.4wins | +0.11per pick | 41cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0970…5ae4backed Yes | 24c | 5,800$1,367 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,432.79 | 280 | 21.1%59 W · 221 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ea7…bcd9backed Yes | 25c | 5,255$1,314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,941.25 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.5wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe119…e30fbacked Yes | 42c | 5,208$2,192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,016.25 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +1.7wins | +0.15per pick | 21cpaid | +168%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeee9…7ecbbacked Yes | 38c | 3,988$1,506 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,481.99 | 878 | 28.4%249 W · 629 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf4fe…7365backed No | 31c | 3,248$1,012 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,012.22 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | +98.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7dba…b54dbacked No | 64c | 3,125$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +3.1wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +48.1%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x707e…1960backed No | 77c | 3,040$2,344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,344.02 | 225 | 50.2%113 W · 112 L | +9.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb6cd…77c1backed No | 66c | 3,030$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce8f…4400backed Yes | 66c | 3,000$1,990 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,010 | 48 | 39.6%19 W · 29 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb60e…3574backed Yes | 22c | 3,000$653 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,347.16 | 46 | 58.7%27 W · 19 L | +5.3wins | +0.12per pick | 47cpaid | +35.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfede…70c1backed Yes | 39c | 2,868$1,130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,737.98 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 24cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a40…6d1bbacked Yes | 42c | 2,500$1,055 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,445 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc2…3c7fbacked No | 49c | 2,495$1,227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,226.81 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | +2.6wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x62f5…eaaebacked Yes | 26c | 2,463$643 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,819.5 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -2.6wins | -0.11per pick | 42cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd643…0dd4backed No | 32c | 2,313$735 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$735.13 | 105 | 45.7%48 W · 57 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf23…3f2ebacked No | 36c | 1,908$687 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$686.82 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.26per pick | 34cpaid | +48.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x721c…49bbbacked Yes | 71c | 1,776$1,261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$515.08 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02c1…2e70backed No | 32c | 1,706$546 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$545.94 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | +2.0wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7b9…b319backed Yes | 19c | 1,362$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,102.08 | 19 | 10.5%2 W · 17 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 17cpaid | -52.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1054…ccdcbacked No | 31c | 1,344$416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$415.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9196…c311backed No | 21c | 1,273$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.41 | 127 | 36.2%46 W · 81 L | +9.1wins | +0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5e52…9434backed Yes | 20c | 1,247$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$997.38 | 49 | 20.4%10 W · 39 L | -3.5wins | -0.07per pick | 28cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2760…f8d0backed Yes | 16c | 1,190$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$999.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.84per pick | 16cpaid | +525%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc50…4c82backed No | 52c | 1,113$581 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$581.36 | 581 | 26.9%156 W · 425 L | -9.0wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87d5…fe30backed Yes | 48c | 1,015$491 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$523.42 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.23per pick | 27cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c9b…9393backed No | 50c | 1,009$501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$501 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x269c…9017backed No | 60c | 1,000$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ad9…4efebacked Yes | 23c | 1,000$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$770 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.77per pick | 23cpaid | +334.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcfc8…461ebacked No | 77c | 1,000$770 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$770 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbacf…d7a4backed No | 77c | 1,000$770 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$770 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ae9…f070backed Yes | 23c | 1,000$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$770 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.77per pick | 23cpaid | +334.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6172…bb67backed Yes | 61c | 1,000$610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b38…2c20backed Yes | 16c | 1,000$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$840 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.84per pick | 16cpaid | +525%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x48d1…43bcbacked No | 77c | 1,000$770 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$770 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2f54…845ebacked No | 77c | 1,000$770 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$770 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfae6…c165backed Yes | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 33cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8916…28eebacked Yes | 17c | 1,000$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$830 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.83per pick | 17cpaid | +488.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0be1…c8f4backed Yes | 23c | 1,000$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$770 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.77per pick | 23cpaid | +334.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba05…8f30backed No | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 15cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f06…0b20backed Yes | 23c | 1,000$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$770 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.77per pick | 23cpaid | +334.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe25a…7dd5backed No | 63c | 1,000$625 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$625 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 72cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ff3…b0febacked No | 49c | 999.65$493 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$493.16 | 71 | 23.9%17 W · 54 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x999d…afbbbacked No | 76c | 999.6$760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$759.96 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.30per pick | 63cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x960f…2124backed Yes | 15c | 980$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$833 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.85per pick | 15cpaid | +566.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca9f…fa14backed Yes | 17c | 950$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$788.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.83per pick | 17cpaid | +488.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9197…08d4backed Yes | 15c | 900$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$767 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbba8…8f5fbacked Yes | 16c | 880$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$739.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.84per pick | 16cpaid | +525%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa801…e390backed Yes | 17c | 870$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$722.1 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.83per pick | 17cpaid | +488.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50a5…bafebacked Yes | 29c | 867.81$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$612.35 | 234 | 11.1%26 W · 208 L | +9.2wins | +0.04per pick | 7cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a7f…f6e9backed Yes | 17c | 860$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$713.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.83per pick | 17cpaid | +488.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e91…5048backed Yes | 16c | 850$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$714 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.84per pick | 16cpaid | +525%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x297a…3c75backed Yes | 63c | 800$504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.13per pick | 35cpaid | -68.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7621…ef40backed Yes | 15c | 784.42$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$666.76 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | +1.3wins | +0.10per pick | 13cpaid | +76%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6eb4…9776backed Yes | 55c | 765.6$425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340.81 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 26cpaid | -70%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…604ebacked No | 62c | 753.44$465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$464.62 | 172 | 29.7%51 W · 121 L | -13.0wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x487d…465fbacked Yes | 60c | 700.14$418 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.15 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe585…91b5backed No | 78c | 642.93$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | -3.0wins | -0.11per pick | 68cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xacca…c8f2backed No | 80c | 600$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 79cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 21c | 592.25$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$467.33 | 648 | 12%78 W · 570 L | -61.6wins | -0.10per pick | 22cpaid | -53.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc122…731fbacked No | 36c | 589.06$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.92 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e8b…e99fbacked No | 30c | 572.98$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.71 | 76 | 42.1%32 W · 44 L | +4.5wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a59…3a52backed Yes | 18c | 559.47$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$459.47 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 21cpaid | +179.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64c5…feeabacked No | 73c | 545.98$397 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$397.08 | 49 | 55.1%27 W · 22 L | -4.6wins | -0.09per pick | 64cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed Yes | 29c | 505.45$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360.89 | 44 | 11.4%5 W · 39 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 13cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f47…338ebacked Yes | 36c | 500$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320 | 29 | 27.6%8 W · 21 L | -2.7wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0e45…ae93backed No | 8c | 500$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80a0…5708backed Yes | 12c | 500$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 15cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6138…97a0backed Yes | 26c | 500$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +43.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ee2…46e1backed Yes | 22c | 478.07$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$373.7 | 406 | 43.3%176 W · 230 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5651…66a6backed No | 48c | 470.47$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.28 | 62 | 50%31 W · 31 L | -8.4wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xeadd…0215backed Yes | 25c | 417.03$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.91 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -47%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e8f…7994backed No | 75c | 406.67$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.39per pick | 72cpaid | -52.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x95b9…4ed0backed Yes | 24c | 400$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | +1.9wins | +0.14per pick | 15cpaid | +105.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xab26…9656backed No | 45c | 400$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 40 | 35%14 W · 26 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -41.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec3c…d68ebacked Yes | 10c | 399.5$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360.55 | 120 | 3.3%4 W · 116 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -61.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5379…a031backed Yes | 45c | 367.36$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.28 | 105 | 55.2%58 W · 47 L | +11.7wins | +0.11per pick | 44cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x03fc…a8e6backed No | 40c | 364.36$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b5e…2efebacked Yes | 64c | 358.61$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.1 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.16per pick | 17cpaid | +91.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c32…d55fbacked No | 52c | 326.03$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb1c…963ebacked Yes | 37c | 316.26$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.77 | 550 | 32.5%179 W · 371 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeee8…7e06backed Yes | 20c | 307$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.6 | 69 | 40.6%28 W · 41 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4706…286ebacked Yes | 10c | 300$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270 | 143 | 1.4%2 W · 141 L | -5.3wins | -0.04per pick | 5cpaid | -85.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd493…7f04backed Yes | 10c | 300$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271 | 146 | 3.4%5 W · 141 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 5cpaid | -57.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcef…7388backed Yes | 10c | 300$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271 | 78 | 1.3%1 W · 77 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 6cpaid | -86.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1247…9ce9backed No | 73c | 300$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 40 | 62.5%25 W · 15 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 66cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cf4…cc11backed No | 40c | 300$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.5 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | +3.5wins | +0.10per pick | 37cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9dc2…0727backed Yes | 10c | 300$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271 | 107 | 3.7%4 W · 103 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -53.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…6345backed Yes | 10c | 300$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271 | 212 | 5.7%12 W · 200 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4451…fcbebacked No | 50c | 300$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 46 | 43.5%20 W · 26 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f6b…267ebacked No | 33c | 300$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 94 | 27.7%26 W · 68 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x454f…bb79backed Yes | 14c | 300$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.27per pick | 48cpaid | +173.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeecd…4fefbacked Yes | 72c | 286.54$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.23 | 34 | 26.5%9 W · 25 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0d9…94c6backed Yes | 10c | 280$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252 | 70 | 20%14 W · 56 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -10%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Bitcoin dip to $88,000 December 8-14?this page
- Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 December 8-14?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $78,000 December 8-14?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 December 8-14?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $82,000 December 8-14?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $84,000 December 8-14?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $86,000 December 8-14?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 December 8-14?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $102,000 December 8-14?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $104,000 December 8-14?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $94,000 December 8-14?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin reach $96,000 December 8-14?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $98,000 December 8-14?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.