TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x6f47…338e

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
71
Categories scored
8
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: Middle East, grading 50 out of 100 (0.00 per pick).

Best Category Middle East at 50 out of 100; worst Crypto Milestones at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT3330.3%10 W · 23 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-23.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 33 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Switzerland vs. Algeria end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$45
Will Croatia win on 2026-07-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$56.25
Will Spain vs. Austria end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$54
Will Senegal win on 2026-07-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$104Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$104
Will England vs. DR Congo end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$57
Will France win on 2026-06-30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$90
Will Portugal win Group K in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.97
Will Colombia win Group K in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+134.8%+$45.07
Will England win Group L in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.65
Will Croatia win Group L in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.62
Will Belgium win Group G in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$82Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$46.15
Will Iran win Group G in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.25
Will Uruguay win Group H in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$18.16
Will Norway win Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.87
Will France win Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.67
Will Netherlands win Group F in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$60.53
Will Japan win Group F in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$73Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+37%+$27
Will Morocco win Group C in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$33.15
Will Brazil win Group C in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+69.9%+$52.99
Will Canada win Group B in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$56.17
Will Austria win Group J in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.1
Will New Zealand vs. Egypt end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$140
Showing 25 of 33 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jun 15, 2026, EDT2927.6%8 W · 21 L-2.7wins-0.09per pick37cpaid-47.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 29 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin reach $66,000 June 8-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$23
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$154Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$46
Will Bitcoin dip to $64,000 March 23-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$51.04
Will Bitcoin reach $72,000 March 23-29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$56.77
Will Bitcoin dip to $62,000 February 23-March 1?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$116Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST+72.4%+$84
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$580Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$580
Will Ethereum dip to $1,700 February 2-8?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$82Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$82
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 February 2-8?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$227Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+48.7%+$110.64
Will Bitcoin dip to $74,000 January 26-1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$95.1
Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$500
Will Bitcoin dip to $88,000 December 8-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$180Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+177.8%+$320
Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 December 1-7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST-100%-$100.94
Will Bitcoin dip to $72,000 December 1-7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST-100%-$25
Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 December 1-7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$220Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST-100%-$220
Will Bitcoin dip to $74,000 December 1-7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Will Bitcoin dip to $78,000 December 1-7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST-100%-$140
Will Bitcoin reach $115,000 in November?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$690Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST+44.9%+$309.83
Will Bitcoin dip to $84,000 November 24-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$47.6
Will Bitcoin reach $98,000 November 17-23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$650Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2025, EST+53.8%+$350
Will Bitcoin dip to $86,000 November 17-23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$330Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST-100%-$330
Will Bitcoin dip to $88,000 November 17-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$350Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 20, 2025, EST+185.7%+$649.55
Will Bitcoin dip to $95,000 in November?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$457Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST+118.6%+$542.64
Will Bitcoin reach $125K in September?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$15.09
Will Bitcoin dip to $114,000 September 15-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$42.39
Showing 25 of 29 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick41cpaid+4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Commodities — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Feb 28, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+11.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Middle East — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US strikes Iran by March 6, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+122.2%+$55
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$545Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$545.4
All 2 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Nov 14, 2024, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
2024 Balance of Power: R Prez R Senate R Housebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2024, EST-100%-$26.04
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved May 7, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after May 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$24
All 1 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Yoon out as president of South Korea before April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$92Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$92.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 10, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Chiefs win Super Bowl 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$339Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2025, EST-100%-$338.81
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.