Crypto Milestones · resolved market
Will Bitcoin dip to $62,000 February 23-March 1?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xababc27f1b304467f59e8167e65f1fe093a79c977b6995cdc446c5a0763f5df4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Crypto Milestonesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $894,155
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $863,101
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $894,155 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 232 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Crypto Milestones is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x09d3…4e84backed Yes | 13c | 57,678$7,628 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,628.41 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c3c…7caabacked Yes | 6c | 26,466$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc2…2f88backed Yes | 4c | 15,345$683 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$682.88 | 32 | 0%0 W · 32 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0970…5ae4backed Yes | 1c | 15,084$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.38 | 280 | 21.1%59 W · 221 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5faf…1183backed No | 37c | 15,055$5,570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,484.57 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 15cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeee9…7ecbbacked Yes | 31c | 12,560$3,905 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,904.81 | 878 | 28.4%249 W · 629 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x41ae…51e0backed Yes | 13c | 12,368$1,612 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,611.99 | 140 | 19.3%27 W · 113 L | +5.4wins | +0.04per pick | 15cpaid | +119.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b7a…bc22backed No | 36c | 9,090$3,278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,811.64 | 27 | 18.5%5 W · 22 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 16cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e0…016abacked Yes | 11c | 8,829$986 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$985.94 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ef8…99d0backed Yes | 0c | 8,034$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.67 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd61e…c34fbacked Yes | 3c | 8,000$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231 | 13 | 0%0 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82cf…bc82backed Yes | 6c | 7,783$465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$465.43 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2053…1eedbacked Yes | 14c | 7,145$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7205…e1d6backed Yes | 0c | 7,119$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.16 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc50…4c82backed Yes | 22c | 6,734$1,507 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,507.12 | 581 | 26.9%156 W · 425 L | -9.0wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8974…bedebacked Yes | 56c | 6,347$3,533 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,532.85 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad1f…6c61backed Yes | 16c | 6,250$992 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$992 | 121 | 29.8%36 W · 85 L | +10.3wins | +0.09per pick | 21cpaid | +142.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7f7f…2352backed Yes | 32c | 5,987$1,905 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,905.13 | 57 | 26.3%15 W · 42 L | +3.8wins | +0.07per pick | 20cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbeda…4acbbacked Yes | 5c | 5,732$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.33 | 142 | 2.1%3 W · 139 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 4cpaid | -73.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x136b…b79dbacked No | 44c | 5,659$2,490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,169.09 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde17…0988backed Yes | 4c | 5,291$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.19 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +5.2wins | +0.17per pick | 39cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xaec0…5a19backed Yes | 5c | 5,049$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.26 | 33 | 12.1%4 W · 29 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -69.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 2c | 4,909$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.39 | 1,844 | 4.4%81 W · 1,763 L | -13.1wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb085…ed58backed Yes | 22c | 4,806$1,066 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,065.93 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x707e…1960backed Yes | 50c | 4,725$2,344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,344.28 | 225 | 50.2%113 W · 112 L | +9.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x61ee…932cbacked Yes | 76c | 4,672$3,567 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,567.24 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc1d4…4404backed Yes | 54c | 4,592$2,479 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,479.42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18f4…c58fbacked Yes | 53c | 4,576$2,409 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,408.52 | 143 | 40.6%58 W · 85 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07cc…2dd9backed Yes | 4c | 4,564$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93d7…7423backed Yes | 57c | 4,444$2,539 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,539.2 | 348 | 48.6%169 W · 179 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b64…707bbacked Yes | 5c | 4,144$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 9cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xede5…7802backed Yes | 3c | 4,002$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.77 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe14b…1ad3backed No | 25c | 3,939$997 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,942.12 | 36 | 33.3%12 W · 24 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a59…a364backed Yes | 6c | 3,332$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.67 | 46 | 6.5%3 W · 43 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 11cpaid | -81.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c55…9e26backed Yes | 3c | 2,993$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.01 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 8c | 2,895$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.99 | 678 | 5.9%40 W · 638 L | +11.9wins | +0.02per pick | 4cpaid | -7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb372…2048backed Yes | 6c | 2,880$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.96 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 26cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f1…1c00backed Yes | 3c | 2,768$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 78 | 6.4%5 W · 73 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 5cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c45…31c4backed Yes | 6c | 2,680$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.74 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a62…4f8dbacked Yes | 8c | 2,657$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.99 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 17cpaid | -49.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7152…faacbacked Yes | 0c | 2,581$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.28 | 94 | 0%0 W · 94 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5bfb…7632backed Yes | 24c | 2,557$610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$610 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b09…015cbacked Yes | 17c | 2,420$419 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$418.77 | 50 | 16%8 W · 42 L | +3.2wins | +0.06per pick | 10cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb8…f7debacked Yes | 4c | 2,396$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.27 | 25 | 0%0 W · 25 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd78c…3469backed Yes | 5c | 2,279$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.64 | 86 | 1.2%1 W · 85 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -87.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6179…6f80backed No | 37c | 2,042$753 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,288.91 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd769…f90cbacked No | 75c | 2,041$1,530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$511.45 | 195 | 35.4%69 W · 126 L | -13.0wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2b92…5ba3backed Yes | 2c | 2,000$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.22per pick | 3cpaid | +1,983.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ede…57c0backed Yes | 14c | 2,000$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd14…1c17backed Yes | 65c | 1,920$1,245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,244.71 | 59 | 54.2%32 W · 27 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01e7…d932backed Yes | 58c | 1,770$1,026 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,025.86 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +110.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x25af…bcafbacked Yes | 9c | 1,762$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.66 | 399 | 8.5%34 W · 365 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 7cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0070…0414backed Yes | 44c | 1,743$766 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$766.14 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x41fe…79c1backed Yes | 14c | 1,694$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.26 | 39 | 23.1%9 W · 30 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x615e…5295backed Yes | 2c | 1,502$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.26 | 227 | 0.9%2 W · 225 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -94.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9def…d1a5backed Yes | 28c | 1,465$403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$403.4 | 38 | 36.8%14 W · 24 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05cb…f625backed Yes | 32c | 1,435$458 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$457.89 | 22 | 13.6%3 W · 19 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 21cpaid | +141.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcbb9…5d3fbacked Yes | 15c | 1,424$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.91 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a6e…35b4backed Yes | 8c | 1,400$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111 | 268 | 3.4%9 W · 259 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -53.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd84b…0df3backed Yes | 19c | 1,355$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.37 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | -3.0wins | -0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -67.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0b7a…8304backed No | 77c | 1,166$903 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.59 | 41 | 61%25 W · 16 L | +4.1wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdfc0…eb3cbacked Yes | 19c | 1,157$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 19cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79b9…7d93backed Yes | 9c | 1,142$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.58 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 26cpaid | -77.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8765…ed81backed Yes | 4c | 1,125$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.81 | 241 | 7.1%17 W · 224 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 6cpaid | +47.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa271…2727backed Yes | 1c | 1,124$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.2 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3844…3ca3backed Yes | 20c | 1,110$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +1.8wins | +0.20per pick | 14cpaid | +140.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeae5…33c1backed Yes | 6c | 1,076$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67 | 103 | 15.5%16 W · 87 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 18cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a36…1621backed Yes | 9c | 1,068$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.55 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -1.6wins | -0.12per pick | 20cpaid | -84.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ee2…46e1backed No | 76c | 1,064$811 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.35 | 406 | 43.3%176 W · 230 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf921…be16backed Yes | 10c | 1,043$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.85 | 42 | 9.5%4 W · 38 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 15cpaid | -44.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…42d8backed Yes | 4c | 1,027$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.2 | 30 | 13.3%4 W · 26 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 12cpaid | +44.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1de4…96ffbacked No | 77c | 1,024$784 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.74 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc95d…c470backed Yes | 5c | 1,015$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 15cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd5b…0f93backed Yes | 10c | 1,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19e1…976dbacked Yes | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f31…4dccbacked Yes | 5c | 1,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 11cpaid | -62.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Yes | 9c | 976.83$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.46 | 315 | 23.8%75 W · 240 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd609…40f4backed Yes | 11c | 891.76$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 49 | 6.1%3 W · 46 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 4cpaid | -48.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05d9…6f76backed No | 59c | 861.08$507 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$353.9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41da…f8e8backed Yes | 25c | 838.83$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.3 | 39 | 10.3%4 W · 35 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -63.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x967b…cc39backed Yes | 20c | 795.1$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.02 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef72…3c45backed Yes | 5c | 777$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.03 | 45 | 28.9%13 W · 32 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | +18%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb4d…e39ebacked Yes | 70c | 767.79$534 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$534 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x034e…f79dbacked Yes | 4c | 759.62$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 37 | 18.9%7 W · 30 L | +2.6wins | +0.07per pick | 12cpaid | +78.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaf9f…624cbacked Yes | 9c | 755.13$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.2 | 24 | 16.7%4 W · 20 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -45.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2bff…52e6backed No | 40c | 750$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +150%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17a6…fc06backed No | 40c | 750$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +150%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa09e…adc9backed No | 40c | 750$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.71per pick | 29cpaid | +292.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7e01…63bebacked Yes | 6c | 720$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.84 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | +2.7wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x73b7…7933backed Yes | 19c | 720$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.5 | 28 | 21.4%6 W · 22 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -45.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a3f…7112backed Yes | 14c | 717.51$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 25 | 12%3 W · 22 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 8cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88df…a457backed Yes | 28c | 662$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.1 | 33 | 30.3%10 W · 23 L | -5.3wins | -0.16per pick | 46cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3761…bb47backed Yes | 2c | 636.21$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.12 | 66 | 15.2%10 W · 56 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 10cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xedad…17b2backed Yes | 59c | 600$351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$351 | 62 | 50%31 W · 31 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -16%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8561…01d5backed Yes | 9c | 560.9$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.48 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f6b…267ebacked Yes | 32c | 544.88$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.12 | 94 | 27.7%26 W · 68 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ade…ac2bbacked Yes | 5c | 544.64$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.17 | 18 | 5.6%1 W · 17 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 6cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3085…7568backed Yes | 5c | 537.25$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.65 | 258 | 1.2%3 W · 255 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 4cpaid | -84%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9897…889ebacked Yes | 10c | 526.3$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.63 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1dd…a272backed No | 48c | 506.33$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261.94 | 117 | 26.5%31 W · 86 L | -10.1wins | -0.09per pick | 35cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Bitcoin dip to $62,000 February 23-March 1?this page
- Will Bitcoin dip to $52,000 February 23-March 1?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $54,000 February 23-March 1?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $56,000 February 23-March 1?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $58,000 February 23-March 1?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 February 23-March 1?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $68,000 February 23-March 1?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 February 23-March 1?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $72,000 February 23-March 1?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $74,000 February 23-March 1?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $76,000 February 23-March 1?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $78,000 February 23-March 1?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 February 23-March 1?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.