Crypto Milestones · resolved market
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 February 23-March 1?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x57ece88e7fcd063a73054a94ca1762076a592a2d10193c37d39c653542b63034
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Crypto Milestonesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $595,216
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $558,423
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $595,216 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 137 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Crypto Milestones is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0970…5ae4backed Yes | 4c | 134,761$5,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,040.23 | 280 | 21.1%59 W · 221 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09d3…4e84backed Yes | 5c | 19,678$1,076 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,076.12 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc2…2f88backed Yes | 3c | 18,161$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.39 | 32 | 0%0 W · 32 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7152…faacbacked Yes | 0c | 12,130$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.35 | 94 | 0%0 W · 94 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f6b…267ebacked Yes | 3c | 10,900$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$347.61 | 94 | 27.7%26 W · 68 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8869…c975backed Yes | 10c | 10,051$1,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,050 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc50…4c82backed Yes | 14c | 9,668$1,314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,313.92 | 581 | 26.9%156 W · 425 L | -9.0wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef72…3c45backed Yes | 2c | 9,408$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.97 | 45 | 28.9%13 W · 32 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | +18%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebb2…b265backed Yes | 20c | 8,358$1,676 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,676.4 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +2.4wins | +0.12per pick | 33cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xede5…7802backed Yes | 7c | 7,777$519 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$518.63 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaec0…5a19backed Yes | 2c | 7,468$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.89 | 33 | 12.1%4 W · 29 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -69.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x916b…644cbacked Yes | 28c | 7,101$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9def…d1a5backed Yes | 5c | 6,154$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.41 | 38 | 36.8%14 W · 24 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 1c | 5,671$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.47 | 1,844 | 4.4%81 W · 1,763 L | -13.1wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f31…4dccbacked Yes | 3c | 5,000$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.94 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 11cpaid | -62.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82cf…bc82backed Yes | 7c | 4,613$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5fac…4723backed Yes | 26c | 4,323$1,140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,139.68 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | -1.7wins | -0.12per pick | 19cpaid | -89.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd769…f90cbacked Yes | 21c | 4,210$864 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$864.15 | 195 | 35.4%69 W · 126 L | -13.0wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8193…3581backed Yes | 1c | 4,194$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.69 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbeda…4acbbacked Yes | 4c | 4,187$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.61 | 142 | 2.1%3 W · 139 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 4cpaid | -73.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb085…ed58backed Yes | 6c | 4,018$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeee9…7ecbbacked Yes | 24c | 4,015$980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$980.39 | 878 | 28.4%249 W · 629 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01ca…2f1dbacked Yes | 52c | 3,839$1,996 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,996.34 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.3wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 5c | 3,680$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.9 | 678 | 5.9%40 W · 638 L | +11.9wins | +0.02per pick | 4cpaid | -7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c5a…0a4fbacked Yes | 2c | 3,328$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.85 | 475 | 4.6%22 W · 453 L | +14.7wins | +0.03per pick | 2cpaid | +144.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf3a5…5f3cbacked Yes | 8c | 3,000$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | +3.0wins | +0.09per pick | 29cpaid | +37.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdde9…4bd5backed Yes | 4c | 2,990$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.6 | 128 | 8.6%11 W · 117 L | -9.0wins | -0.07per pick | 16cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1a3f…7112backed Yes | 7c | 2,935$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.05 | 25 | 12%3 W · 22 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 8cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05cb…f625backed Yes | 14c | 2,857$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 22 | 13.6%3 W · 19 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 21cpaid | +141.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…42d8backed Yes | 4c | 2,637$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.75 | 30 | 13.3%4 W · 26 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 12cpaid | +44.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd78c…3469backed Yes | 3c | 2,625$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.97 | 86 | 1.2%1 W · 85 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -87.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6db…cdd2backed Yes | 3c | 2,614$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.13 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd8e5…a18dbacked Yes | 2c | 2,174$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.16 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc95d…c470backed Yes | 2c | 2,086$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 15cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb27e…29d4backed Yes | 14c | 2,023$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16c9…65febacked Yes | 6c | 2,000$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 32 | 12.5%4 W · 28 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 10cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa996…99dabacked Yes | 6c | 2,000$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 29 | 13.8%4 W · 25 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 11cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb8…f7debacked Yes | 5c | 1,784$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.17 | 25 | 0%0 W · 25 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x25af…bcafbacked Yes | 7c | 1,728$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.79 | 399 | 8.5%34 W · 365 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 7cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x615e…5295backed Yes | 2c | 1,709$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.09 | 227 | 0.9%2 W · 225 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -94.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5e…3921backed Yes | 16c | 1,680$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271.32 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | -2.6wins | -0.16per pick | 29cpaid | -61.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xad1f…6c61backed Yes | 37c | 1,627$597 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$597 | 121 | 29.8%36 W · 85 L | +10.3wins | +0.09per pick | 21cpaid | +142.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd609…40f4backed Yes | 7c | 1,450$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 49 | 6.1%3 W · 46 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 4cpaid | -48.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd5b…0f93backed Yes | 4c | 1,421$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdfc0…eb3cbacked Yes | 7c | 1,394$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 19cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf575…c1d5backed Yes | 7c | 1,355$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.61 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x460e…addabacked Yes | 7c | 1,341$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe82…6611backed Yes | 6c | 1,339$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb4d…e39ebacked Yes | 25c | 1,205$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f80…4cfcbacked Yes | 1c | 1,200$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.2 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3552…51a5backed Yes | 9c | 1,178$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.91 | 16 | 6.3%1 W · 15 L | -2.8wins | -0.18per pick | 24cpaid | -91.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa271…2727backed Yes | 1c | 1,178$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.63 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01e7…d932backed Yes | 38c | 1,068$406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$405.77 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +110.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f1…1c00backed Yes | 7c | 1,037$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 78 | 6.4%5 W · 73 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 5cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a6e…35b4backed Yes | 5c | 1,017$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.83 | 268 | 3.4%9 W · 259 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -53.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbcf…20aebacked Yes | 15c | 1,000$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.99 | 24 | 12.5%3 W · 21 L | -2.2wins | -0.09per pick | 22cpaid | -70.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0066…394fbacked Yes | 6c | 1,000$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 61 | 19.7%12 W · 49 L | -5.2wins | -0.09per pick | 28cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…606abacked Yes | 31c | 1,000$313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x77a6…4387backed Yes | 7c | 1,000$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 24 | 8.3%2 W · 22 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 14cpaid | -80.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14b0…8d0ebacked Yes | 18c | 971.33$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.64 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | +7.8wins | +0.22per pick | 23cpaid | +177.7%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x9897…889ebacked Yes | 5c | 934.57$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.73 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0770…912cbacked Yes | 5c | 925.93$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99f8…f072backed Yes | 1c | 901.65$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 30 | 0%0 W · 30 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a59…a364backed Yes | 6c | 864.2$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.93 | 46 | 6.5%3 W · 43 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 11cpaid | -81.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3085…7568backed Yes | 3c | 863.97$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.19 | 258 | 1.2%3 W · 255 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 4cpaid | -84%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b1b…29cdbacked Yes | 6c | 833.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 13cpaid | +209.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf60b…ff5fbacked Yes | 16c | 824.97$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.45 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +2.0wins | +0.18per pick | 27cpaid | +47.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x034e…f79dbacked Yes | 3c | 795.32$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 37 | 18.9%7 W · 30 L | +2.6wins | +0.07per pick | 12cpaid | +78.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93d7…7423backed Yes | 50c | 789.98$398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$398 | 348 | 48.6%169 W · 179 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9026…8df5backed Yes | 16c | 784.45$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126 | 20 | 15%3 W · 17 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 19cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x569a…ed5cbacked Yes | 5c | 769.16$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6179…6f80backed No | 55c | 750.72$413 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$337.86 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xacca…08b1backed Yes | 53c | 636.19$334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$334.18 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | +2.5wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +81%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x276b…9116backed Yes | 2c | 600$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.1 | 20 | 5%1 W · 19 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 9cpaid | -90.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61ee…932cbacked Yes | 38c | 600$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x78f8…2a8abacked Yes | 11c | 521.21$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88df…a457backed Yes | 23c | 516$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.32 | 33 | 30.3%10 W · 23 L | -5.3wins | -0.16per pick | 46cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3d16…8ac4backed Yes | 11c | 474.72$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x401e…6fc9backed Yes | 27c | 450$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.5 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -62%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaa85…907abacked Yes | 7c | 420$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x18f4…c58fbacked Yes | 52c | 382.69$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199 | 143 | 40.6%58 W · 85 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f20…5d9bbacked Yes | 7c | 371.56$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 22cpaid | -26%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1dc9…24dcbacked Yes | 9c | 371.22$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.41 | 51 | 11.8%6 W · 45 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30f6…0acabacked Yes | 27c | 365.07$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.18per pick | 48cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xad77…8992backed Yes | 6c | 333.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6919…d27bbacked Yes | 6c | 320$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.78 | 37 | 24.3%9 W · 28 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 18cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ede…57c0backed Yes | 9c | 300$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.3 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x672b…e909backed Yes | 7c | 291.45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4829…97ebbacked Yes | 51c | 264.71$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +5.0wins | +0.21per pick | 25cpaid | +346.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3a10…8bd7backed Yes | 22c | 256.82$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf223…86acbacked No | 78c | 255.8$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6c1…3be7backed Yes | 5c | 255.39$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x083c…f78cbacked Yes | 6c | 250.81$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.11 | 27 | 0%0 W · 27 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddfe…4c2ebacked Yes | 19c | 246.5$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.7 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92e0…0f3fbacked Yes | 7c | 238.59$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.08 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x171e…e046backed Yes | 22c | 231.64$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.96 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -67.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b8a…19f3backed Yes | 22c | 231.19$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed No | 79c | 224.92$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.23 | 315 | 23.8%75 W · 240 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9204…7bd5backed Yes | 6c | 218.5$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.02 | 30 | 30%9 W · 21 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe49…27a9backed Yes | 5c | 209.99$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 February 23-March 1?this page
- Will Bitcoin dip to $52,000 February 23-March 1?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $54,000 February 23-March 1?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $56,000 February 23-March 1?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $58,000 February 23-March 1?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $62,000 February 23-March 1?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $68,000 February 23-March 1?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 February 23-March 1?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $72,000 February 23-March 1?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $74,000 February 23-March 1?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $76,000 February 23-March 1?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $78,000 February 23-March 1?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 February 23-March 1?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.