Crypto Milestones · resolved market
Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 February 23-March 1?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x062505b350fd5224a7df454aa71ec8bd7858c5dbb588d0a6311ef1c0eb6c43e5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Crypto Milestonesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,189,488
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,257,333
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,189,488 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 244 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Crypto Milestones is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6dc2…2f88backed Yes | 2c | 101,789$1,868 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,868.07 | 32 | 0%0 W · 32 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75d6…96f6backed Yes | 0c | 77,535$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.07 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1461…22d8backed Yes | 28c | 50,184$13,892 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,891.75 | 27 | 77.8%21 W · 6 L | +7.0wins | +0.26per pick | 52cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x4124…8af2backed Yes | 4c | 44,839$1,811 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,811.14 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +2.4wins | +0.11per pick | 41cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x55e2…5fc9backed Yes | 3c | 24,275$786 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$785.91 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeee9…7ecbbacked Yes | 24c | 17,526$4,206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,205.78 | 878 | 28.4%249 W · 629 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0970…5ae4backed Yes | 8c | 13,561$1,082 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,081.78 | 280 | 21.1%59 W · 221 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ef8…99d0backed Yes | 0c | 11,520$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.98 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e75…4e58backed Yes | 6c | 11,000$660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$660 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x000e…8f8fbacked Yes | 55c | 10,828$5,925 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,925.3 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 60cpaid | -51.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x707e…1960backed Yes | 29c | 10,718$3,141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,141.17 | 225 | 50.2%113 W · 112 L | +9.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3c3c…7caabacked Yes | 3c | 10,630$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde17…0988backed Yes | 3c | 8,053$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276.22 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +5.2wins | +0.17per pick | 39cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xcc50…4c82backed No | 70c | 7,468$5,204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,263.77 | 581 | 26.9%156 W · 425 L | -9.0wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e5e…7315backed No | 22c | 6,675$1,469 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,206.23 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +1.7wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +66.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e17…5aacbacked No | 73c | 6,569$4,769 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,800.54 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31fa…20c5backed Yes | 17c | 5,898$992 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$991.69 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbeda…4acbbacked Yes | 5c | 5,380$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.6 | 142 | 2.1%3 W · 139 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 4cpaid | -73.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97bc…30cdbacked Yes | 22c | 4,393$960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$960 | 67 | 23.9%16 W · 51 L | +4.1wins | +0.06per pick | 18cpaid | +111.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe784…e664backed Yes | 13c | 4,264$544 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$544.34 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5409…9fb2backed Yes | 3c | 4,179$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.34 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa479…6a67backed Yes | 2c | 4,153$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.77 | 16 | 6.3%1 W · 15 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 11cpaid | -81.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6253…ce67backed Yes | 4c | 3,778$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.75 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5360…1f6fbacked Yes | 3c | 3,710$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.8 | 146 | 6.2%9 W · 137 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 3cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xede5…7802backed Yes | 6c | 3,418$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.42 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0070…0414backed Yes | 23c | 3,369$790 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$789.82 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…42d8backed Yes | 13c | 3,335$437 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$437.01 | 30 | 13.3%4 W · 26 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 12cpaid | +44.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85ef…3116backed Yes | 4c | 3,171$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.39 | 30 | 6.7%2 W · 28 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 4cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x696f…d8b9backed Yes | 3c | 3,125$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.05 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x615e…5295backed Yes | 1c | 3,091$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.34 | 227 | 0.9%2 W · 225 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -94.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 3c | 3,028$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.08 | 1,844 | 4.4%81 W · 1,763 L | -13.1wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53b5…d768backed Yes | 11c | 2,953$313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313.03 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f1…1c00backed Yes | 3c | 2,785$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 78 | 6.4%5 W · 73 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 5cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 4c | 2,714$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.02 | 678 | 5.9%40 W · 638 L | +11.9wins | +0.02per pick | 4cpaid | -7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad1f…6c61backed Yes | 30c | 2,650$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 121 | 29.8%36 W · 85 L | +10.3wins | +0.09per pick | 21cpaid | +142.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb8…f7debacked Yes | 4c | 2,623$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.02 | 25 | 0%0 W · 25 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda4a…2184backed Yes | 3c | 2,597$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.41 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x18f4…c58fbacked Yes | 33c | 2,316$754 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$754.14 | 143 | 40.6%58 W · 85 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c39…b28bbacked Yes | 18c | 2,210$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36d1…12b4backed Yes | 9c | 2,112$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e93…0d5fbacked Yes | 32c | 2,111$675 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$674.63 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x276b…9116backed Yes | 3c | 2,050$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.8 | 20 | 5%1 W · 19 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 9cpaid | -90.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd78c…3469backed Yes | 4c | 2,038$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.1 | 86 | 1.2%1 W · 85 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -87.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd609…40f4backed Yes | 5c | 2,008$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 49 | 6.1%3 W · 46 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 4cpaid | -48.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b7a…bc22backed Yes | 16c | 2,000$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 27 | 18.5%5 W · 22 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 16cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2cce…6e85backed No | 5c | 2,000$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,910 | 66 | 13.6%9 W · 57 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 11cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cd1…099ebacked Yes | 26c | 1,901$494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$494.26 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -2.8wins | -0.20per pick | 42cpaid | -55%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x60f1…cb3ebacked Yes | 52c | 1,844$966 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$966.16 | 122 | 59.8%73 W · 49 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x569a…ed5cbacked Yes | 3c | 1,802$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x25af…bcafbacked Yes | 8c | 1,776$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.67 | 399 | 8.5%34 W · 365 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 7cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 21c | 1,746$371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$371 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +7.2wins | +0.40per pick | 15cpaid | +556.8%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xd84b…0df3backed Yes | 16c | 1,740$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.75 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | -3.0wins | -0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -67.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf274…37f4backed Yes | 4c | 1,713$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.81 | 56 | 12.5%7 W · 49 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 10cpaid | +48.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7280…65d2backed Yes | 20c | 1,682$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335.56 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -66.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e8f…e1ebbacked No | 67c | 1,572$1,047 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$524.92 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +43.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13dd…b2b7backed Yes | 7c | 1,510$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.85 | 22 | 18.2%4 W · 18 L | -2.2wins | -0.10per pick | 28cpaid | -59.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc936…d1f3backed No | 79c | 1,507$1,195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$311.47 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -37%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef72…3c45backed Yes | 10c | 1,500$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155 | 45 | 28.9%13 W · 32 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | +18%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9aa8…1f7bbacked Yes | 4c | 1,365$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ee2…46e1backed No | 73c | 1,283$937 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$345.35 | 406 | 43.3%176 W · 230 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedad…17b2backed No | 68c | 1,265$865 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400.11 | 62 | 50%31 W · 31 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -16%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9135…7efbbacked Yes | 12c | 1,249$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.89 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa271…2727backed Yes | 1c | 1,231$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.19 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d67…cf6abacked Yes | 44c | 1,221$538 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$537.53 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93d7…7423backed Yes | 32c | 1,197$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$379.63 | 348 | 48.6%169 W · 179 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86fe…025cbacked Yes | 59c | 1,194$704 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$704.13 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcab…e3a5backed Yes | 37c | 1,154$425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$425 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 29cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5533…51babacked Yes | 2c | 1,023$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.1 | 197 | 0%0 W · 197 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a6e…35b4backed Yes | 4c | 1,015$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.72 | 268 | 3.4%9 W · 259 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -53.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5bb…a429backed No | 63c | 1,000$628 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$372 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9def…d1a5backed No | 55c | 1,000$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450 | 38 | 36.8%14 W · 24 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x986b…56bcbacked No | 30c | 1,000$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$700 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x82cf…bc82backed Yes | 3c | 934.61$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d74…596bbacked Yes | 2c | 933.78$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.75 | 26 | 3.8%1 W · 25 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 11cpaid | -92.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x491e…59adbacked Yes | 3c | 930.23$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01e7…d932backed Yes | 74c | 922.04$680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$680.35 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +110.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a50…af41backed Yes | 12c | 916.2$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.93 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a26…1851backed No | 29c | 911$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$642.76 | 71 | 63.4%45 W · 26 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc44a…8da6backed Yes | 6c | 877.42$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2778…8547backed Yes | 3c | 855.56$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.58 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe474…1508backed Yes | 62c | 811.68$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0066…394fbacked Yes | 19c | 805.24$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.2 | 61 | 19.7%12 W · 49 L | -5.2wins | -0.09per pick | 28cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7bf6…3544backed Yes | 3c | 795.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe62b…28b4backed Yes | 11c | 787.96$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b64…707bbacked Yes | 2c | 784.08$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 9cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4648…fc9fbacked Yes | 16c | 781.36$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.93 | 70 | 18.6%13 W · 57 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 21cpaid | -34%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x46f7…2353backed Yes | 3c | 780.77$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Yes | 14c | 769.65$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.31 | 315 | 23.8%75 W · 240 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6364…8316backed Yes | 3c | 733.6$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.38 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14de…2c97backed Yes | 6c | 733.34$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x154d…99f9backed Yes | 33c | 718.65$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.94 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1137…4ed5backed No | 72c | 670.75$481 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.33 | 216 | 51.4%111 W · 105 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x453d…f3bbbacked Yes | 3c | 666.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c5a…0a4fbacked Yes | 3c | 664.19$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 475 | 4.6%22 W · 453 L | +14.7wins | +0.03per pick | 2cpaid | +144.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0688…7a12backed No | 70c | 660$462 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198 | 46 | 50%23 W · 23 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe626…6771backed Yes | 12c | 656.98$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.97 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | +2.8wins | +0.10per pick | 29cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0313…67dbbacked Yes | 29c | 631.02$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.91 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.27per pick | 43cpaid | -76.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3761…bb47backed Yes | 5c | 630.38$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 66 | 15.2%10 W · 56 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 10cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x24a5…6fc0backed Yes | 5c | 610.73$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3085…7568backed Yes | 4c | 600$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.7 | 258 | 1.2%3 W · 255 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 4cpaid | -84%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 February 23-March 1?this page
- Will Bitcoin dip to $52,000 February 23-March 1?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $54,000 February 23-March 1?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $56,000 February 23-March 1?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $58,000 February 23-March 1?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 February 23-March 1?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $62,000 February 23-March 1?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $68,000 February 23-March 1?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin reach $72,000 February 23-March 1?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $74,000 February 23-March 1?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $76,000 February 23-March 1?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $78,000 February 23-March 1?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 February 23-March 1?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.