TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Crypto Milestones · resolved market

Will Bitcoin reach $68,000 February 23-March 1?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Crypto Milestonesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$136,320
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$139,834

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $136,320 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 84 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Crypto Milestones is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xa3fc…821dbacked No0c20,000$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2020%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5faf…1183backed Yes31c15,749$4,924 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,824.961323.1%3 W · 10 L+1.0wins+0.08per pick15cpaid-39.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9449…7a0cbacked No0c10,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x055d…9490backed No0c10,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeee9…7ecbbacked Yes47c6,984$3,309 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,675.1987828.4%249 W · 629 L+2.9wins0.00per pick28cpaid-32.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc936…d1f3backed No54c6,407$3,460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,459.78250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.17per pick67cpaid-37%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x707e…1960backed No34c3,304$1,126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,125.9122550.2%113 W · 112 L+9.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-8.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcc50…4c82backed No64c3,090$1,977 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,977.2158126.9%156 W · 425 L-9.0wins-0.02per pick28cpaid-39.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9b7a…bc22backed Yes30c3,000$900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,1002718.5%5 W · 22 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick16cpaid-26.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4d3e…783bbacked No70c3,000$2,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,1004858.3%28 W · 20 L+3.1wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+7.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc12a…dc73backed No64c2,469$1,592 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,592.334050%20 W · 20 L-3.0wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-18.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0970…5ae4backed No26c2,200$578 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$578.528021.1%59 W · 221 L+6.1wins+0.02per pick19cpaid-27.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x60f1…cb3ebacked Yes45c1,152$514 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$637.7212259.8%73 W · 49 L+5.1wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+0.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5d67…be7cbacked No58c1,024$591 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$590.8410%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6e88…0425backed Yes49c1,023$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$522.87333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.07per pick26cpaid-31.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xedad…17b2backed No68c1,000$679 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$678.856250%31 W · 31 L-3.3wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-16%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4ee2…46e1backed No57c979.63$558 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$558.3640643.3%176 W · 230 L+5.2wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-12.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf499…b5d9backed No51c788.24$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4001241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-36.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x69b9…1284backed Yes57c720$413 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$307.4650%3 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-8.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x01e7…d932backed Yes74c687.23$509 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$178.682152.4%11 W · 10 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+110.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3844…3ca3backed Yes39c571.93$222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$349.63933.3%3 W · 6 L+1.8wins+0.20per pick14cpaid+140.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2c1a…42d8backed No37c534.16$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$197.993013.3%4 W · 26 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick12cpaid+44.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8765…ed81backed No2c500$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102417.1%17 W · 224 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick6cpaid+47.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf6dc…246ebacked No70c500$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35013770.1%96 W · 41 L+9.4wins+0.07per pick63cpaid+8.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xbeda…4acbbacked No6c400$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$241422.1%3 W · 139 L-2.9wins-0.02per pick4cpaid-73.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x807d…76dcbacked No73c390$285 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$284.74334.9%15 W · 28 L-2.9wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-30.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x30f9…5949backed No49c383.78$186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$186.15366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.27per pick40cpaid+118.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1461…22d8backed Yes56c348.42$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152.132777.8%21 W · 6 L+7.0wins+0.26per pick52cpaid+29.2%equal weight65+0.14 edge/pick
0x0070…0414backed No50c337.09$169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$169.464654.3%25 W · 21 L+2.8wins+0.06per pick48cpaid-14.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x18f4…c58fbacked Yes33c323.28$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$216.8314340.6%58 W · 85 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-13.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd1dd…a272backed Yes40c318.58$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$192.611726.5%31 W · 86 L-10.1wins-0.09per pick35cpaid-24.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6fbc…1f74backed No11c312.53$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.011758.8%10 W · 7 L+2.5wins+0.15per pick44cpaid+13.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc33b…2372backed Yes33c303.03$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$203.031513.3%2 W · 13 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick18cpaid-70.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9def…d1a5backed No17c300$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$513836.8%14 W · 24 L+1.4wins+0.04per pick33cpaid-21.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x61ee…932cbacked No59c300$177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$177944.4%4 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.11per pick55cpaid-25.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x93d7…7423backed Yes32c299.97$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$203.9834848.6%169 W · 179 L+6.7wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xabe5…a37bbacked Yes66c290.38$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.731450%7 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd81d…20f7backed No55c272.93$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15010067%67 W · 33 L+7.5wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+6.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd6ee…37a2backed No65c269.7$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$175.2916537.6%62 W · 103 L-21.0wins-0.13per pick50cpaid-38.4%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x6179…6f80backed No59c266.67$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1584341.9%18 W · 25 L+1.9wins+0.04per pick37cpaid-8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7171…697abacked No38c263.16$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xad1f…6c61backed Yes46c217.39$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.3912129.8%36 W · 85 L+10.3wins+0.09per pick21cpaid+142.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2c8a…4c20backed Yes75c217.39$163 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.35683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.26per pick58cpaid+60.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9112…7797backed Yes70c175.85$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.864553.3%24 W · 21 L-2.3wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-16.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa289…b412backed Yes59c169.49$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.496575.4%49 W · 16 L+9.0wins+0.14per pick62cpaid+19.2%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xe626…6771backed Yes32c157.19$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.192839.3%11 W · 17 L+2.8wins+0.10per pick29cpaid-8.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9a31…b2c2backed No72c153.02$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1102454.2%13 W · 11 L+3.4wins+0.14per pick40cpaid+88.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x25af…bcafbacked No16c150$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$243998.5%34 W · 365 L+6.2wins+0.02per pick7cpaid-9.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x73b7…7933backed Yes37c150$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.82821.4%6 W · 22 L0.0wins0.00per pick21cpaid-45.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcbc6…7820backed Yes34c147.06$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.06366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.41per pick25cpaid+122.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5b91…bb89backed Yes36c138.89$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.89250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.25per pick25cpaid+38.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd55d…7484backed Yes41c130$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.73339.4%13 W · 20 L-3.4wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-21.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x0066…394fbacked Yes43c127.91$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.916119.7%12 W · 49 L-5.2wins-0.09per pick28cpaid-40.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe652…d114backed No59c127.17$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.033050%15 W · 15 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-12.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1275…1517backed No59c120$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.82552%13 W · 12 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick54cpaid+6.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1137…4ed5backed Yes42c119.05$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.0521651.4%111 W · 105 L+3.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-15.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xfc86…2f83backed Yes36c118.19$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.64366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.21per pick45cpaid+35%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5784…0830backed No43c116.14$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505347.2%25 W · 28 L+0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-16%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0f6c…e10dbacked No59c110$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.92450%12 W · 12 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick52cpaid+17%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2cb7…93c7backed No60c100$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$607950.6%40 W · 39 L+3.6wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x68ed…fbddbacked Yes41c100$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$592560%15 W · 10 L+1.7wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+15.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9a6e…35b4backed No10c100$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102683.4%9 W · 259 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick5cpaid-53.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x96e9…4b32backed No60c100$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.56758.2%39 W · 28 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xad77…8992backed Yes32c93.75$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.75520%1 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.10per pick10cpaid-37.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xccd6…4735backed Yes61c81.97$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.974269%29 W · 13 L+4.5wins+0.11per pick58cpaid+9.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd00f…782bbacked Yes53c74.74$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.761100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+86.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbb1d…2f41backed Yes39c61.01$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.3250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+28.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc9f2…132bbacked Yes43c60.41$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.411250%6 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xab14…e786backed No60c60$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.75933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-36.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5759…2d3fbacked Yes30c60$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.82326.1%6 W · 17 L-1.5wins-0.07per pick33cpaid-53.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd050…be7abacked No49c54.85$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.619940.4%40 W · 59 L-3.8wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-25.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x75ea…1616backed No65c53.85$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$353050%15 W · 15 L-2.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9b59…f71cbacked Yes48c52.08$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.081100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8de4…db4cbacked No58c51.72$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.22per pick44cpaid+109%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x71b1…ac2cbacked Yes39c50$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.57424.3%18 W · 56 L+4.5wins+0.06per pick18cpaid+5.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x788d…5d23backed Yes46c50$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$272646.2%12 W · 14 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd737…71bbbacked No71c50$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.51752.9%9 W · 8 L+0.8wins+0.05per pick48cpaid-7.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xabc1…47bebacked No64c40.6$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.9620%0 W · 2 L-1.3wins-0.67per pick67cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3a60…03c6backed No48c35.45$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.8420%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x41ae…51e0backed Yes32c35$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.814019.3%27 W · 113 L+5.4wins+0.04per pick15cpaid+119.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x298a…eda6backed Yes47c30$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.9540%2 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.16per pick24cpaid-10.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x06c8…d39cbacked No71c28.17$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202759.3%16 W · 11 L+4.3wins+0.16per pick43cpaid+28.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x87c4…1a19backed No72c27.78$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20520%1 W · 4 L-1.7wins-0.33per pick53cpaid-74.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xd3de…fe0ebacked No70c15.28$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.7944.4%4 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.13per pick57cpaid-23.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.