Crypto Milestones · resolved market
Will Bitcoin reach $72,000 February 23-March 1?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa1f9ea0567d771d73da6f8f21aa75e3c12c357c0b0fac675cbf2db7f31c80f6d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Crypto Milestonesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $759,892
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $689,209
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $759,892 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 130 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Crypto Milestones is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0970…5ae4backed Yes | 3c | 146,370$4,174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,173.99 | 280 | 21.1%59 W · 221 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc2…2f88backed Yes | 1c | 63,395$908 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$908.16 | 32 | 0%0 W · 32 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5360…1f6fbacked Yes | 2c | 26,028$465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$465.12 | 146 | 6.2%9 W · 137 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 3cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2033…4dd7backed Yes | 2c | 25,085$574 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$574 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e09…c7fabacked Yes | 16c | 24,600$3,840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,840.46 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde17…0988backed Yes | 0c | 9,918$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.78 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +5.2wins | +0.17per pick | 39cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6d70…064ebacked Yes | 4c | 6,390$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.43 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c8e…4e45backed Yes | 2c | 6,342$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.52 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c5a…0a4fbacked Yes | 2c | 6,214$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.38 | 475 | 4.6%22 W · 453 L | +14.7wins | +0.03per pick | 2cpaid | +144.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a59…a364backed Yes | 3c | 5,170$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 46 | 6.5%3 W · 43 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 11cpaid | -81.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa2a2…b04dbacked Yes | 2c | 5,096$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c3c…7caabacked Yes | 1c | 4,999$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c39…b28bbacked Yes | 5c | 4,714$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.41 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 6c | 4,607$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.07 | 678 | 5.9%40 W · 638 L | +11.9wins | +0.02per pick | 4cpaid | -7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbeda…4acbbacked Yes | 4c | 4,446$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.34 | 142 | 2.1%3 W · 139 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 4cpaid | -73.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 1c | 3,925$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.13 | 1,844 | 4.4%81 W · 1,763 L | -13.1wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf499…b5d9backed No | 72c | 3,891$2,803 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,088.37 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad1f…6c61backed Yes | 11c | 3,124$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$334.54 | 121 | 29.8%36 W · 85 L | +10.3wins | +0.09per pick | 21cpaid | +142.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5533…51babacked Yes | 1c | 2,907$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.89 | 197 | 0%0 W · 197 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd78c…3469backed Yes | 3c | 2,889$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.35 | 86 | 1.2%1 W · 85 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -87.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe3fe…3f4fbacked No | 78c | 2,835$2,205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$629.76 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x25af…bcafbacked Yes | 7c | 2,734$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.53 | 399 | 8.5%34 W · 365 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 7cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x707e…1960backed No | 78c | 2,704$2,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$583.73 | 225 | 50.2%113 W · 112 L | +9.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5ef8…99d0backed Yes | 1c | 2,555$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.84 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x07cc…2dd9backed Yes | 8c | 2,542$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa271…2727backed Yes | 1c | 2,412$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.35 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d74…596bbacked Yes | 2c | 2,314$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 26 | 3.8%1 W · 25 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 11cpaid | -92.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x276b…9116backed Yes | 2c | 2,268$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.06 | 20 | 5%1 W · 19 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 9cpaid | -90.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…42d8backed Yes | 5c | 2,188$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.92 | 30 | 13.3%4 W · 26 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 12cpaid | +44.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x615e…5295backed Yes | 2c | 2,175$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.99 | 227 | 0.9%2 W · 225 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -94.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50a5…bafebacked Yes | 1c | 2,152$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.94 | 234 | 11.1%26 W · 208 L | +9.2wins | +0.04per pick | 7cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9b7a…bc22backed Yes | 9c | 2,032$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 27 | 18.5%5 W · 22 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 16cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe18a…18e5backed Yes | 33c | 2,000$660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$660 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 17cpaid | +298.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ef…de81backed Yes | 8c | 1,843$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.7 | 56 | 37.5%21 W · 35 L | +3.7wins | +0.07per pick | 31cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe766…8fa8backed Yes | 1c | 1,801$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 17 | 0%0 W · 17 L | -2.5wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x569a…ed5cbacked Yes | 1c | 1,791$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a6e…35b4backed Yes | 5c | 1,635$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.47 | 268 | 3.4%9 W · 259 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -53.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ab6…6eecbacked Yes | 13c | 1,540$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41b9…de55backed Yes | 5c | 1,500$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b3a…d490backed Yes | 2c | 1,496$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.41 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82cf…bc82backed Yes | 1c | 1,458$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.47 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9488…8ccfbacked Yes | 1c | 1,458$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf274…37f4backed Yes | 2c | 1,450$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.25 | 56 | 12.5%7 W · 49 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 10cpaid | +48.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8765…ed81backed Yes | 2c | 1,368$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.2 | 241 | 7.1%17 W · 224 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 6cpaid | +47.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad80…ea53backed Yes | 1c | 1,300$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9868…907ebacked Yes | 4c | 1,215$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.91 | 14 | 0%0 W · 14 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3085…7568backed Yes | 4c | 1,214$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.97 | 258 | 1.2%3 W · 255 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 4cpaid | -84%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 1c | 1,205$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.89 | 115 | 33%38 W · 77 L | -7.0wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0a50…af41backed Yes | 4c | 1,125$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.65 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4648…fc9fbacked Yes | 13c | 1,105$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.4 | 70 | 18.6%13 W · 57 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 21cpaid | -34%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x25f9…fb6abacked Yes | 44c | 1,075$473 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$473 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72e4…06f1backed Yes | 1c | 1,054$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa894…7607backed Yes | 11c | 1,012$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 41 | 12.2%5 W · 36 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 11cpaid | -51%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x245b…f8c6backed Yes | 2c | 932.79$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.91 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9def…d1a5backed Yes | 4c | 926.08$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.04 | 38 | 36.8%14 W · 24 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5409…9fb2backed Yes | 2c | 826.76$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f1…1c00backed Yes | 12c | 807.69$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 78 | 6.4%5 W · 73 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 5cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd609…40f4backed Yes | 13c | 769.23$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 49 | 6.1%3 W · 46 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 4cpaid | -48.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1461…22d8backed Yes | 14c | 754.38$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.92 | 27 | 77.8%21 W · 6 L | +7.0wins | +0.26per pick | 52cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xf6dc…246ebacked No | 71c | 750$533 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.5 | 137 | 70.1%96 W · 41 L | +9.4wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xad77…8992backed Yes | 3c | 700$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41ae…51e0backed Yes | 8c | 700$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 140 | 19.3%27 W · 113 L | +5.4wins | +0.04per pick | 15cpaid | +119.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c4d…24cdbacked Yes | 7c | 672.68$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3761…bb47backed Yes | 1c | 667.33$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 66 | 15.2%10 W · 56 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 10cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f45…97cebacked Yes | 23c | 612.54$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.14 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa667…ceb3backed Yes | 4c | 600.79$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.94 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ff5…50eabacked Yes | 10c | 600$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 15cpaid | -29%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x11e4…0f1bbacked Yes | 2c | 600$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.39per pick | 11cpaid | +163.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x47b0…3b60backed Yes | 10c | 590.91$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 23 | 13%3 W · 20 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 16cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x154d…99f9backed Yes | 12c | 573.91$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.14 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd859…38c5backed Yes | 11c | 558.25$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.6 | 143 | 7.7%11 W · 132 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 11cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2755…5016backed No | 80c | 500$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ee…04c2backed Yes | 6c | 473.29$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.13 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +3.3wins | +0.20per pick | 17cpaid | +119.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x67fe…fea5backed Yes | 22c | 460.73$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.23 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55e2…5fc9backed Yes | 8c | 458$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.64 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8dda…6ec7backed Yes | 10c | 416.4$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.64 | 30 | 30%9 W · 21 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -40%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x807d…76dcbacked No | 59c | 400$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164 | 43 | 34.9%15 W · 28 L | -2.9wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf921…be16backed Yes | 13c | 400$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 42 | 9.5%4 W · 38 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 15cpaid | -44.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6402…2fa1backed Yes | 6c | 373.06$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.38 | 64 | 3.1%2 W · 62 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 8cpaid | -72.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8c…bfffbacked Yes | 5c | 363.73$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.46 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 23cpaid | -70.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2510…60adbacked Yes | 10c | 357.87$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.73 | 65 | 64.6%42 W · 23 L | +6.9wins | +0.11per pick | 54cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xeee8…7e06backed Yes | 7c | 350$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 69 | 40.6%28 W · 41 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0e8…904cbacked Yes | 4c | 341.14$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 14cpaid | -83.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6253…ce67backed Yes | 12c | 334.4$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.99 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a36…1621backed Yes | 17c | 326.7$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.46 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -1.6wins | -0.12per pick | 20cpaid | -84.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x60f1…cb3ebacked Yes | 32c | 312.5$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 122 | 59.8%73 W · 49 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x76c8…e383backed Yes | 10c | 306.27$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.57 | 90 | 4.4%4 W · 86 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd84b…0df3backed Yes | 12c | 305.64$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.01 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | -3.0wins | -0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -67.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0822…82efbacked Yes | 9c | 300$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -49.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13dd…b2b7backed Yes | 5c | 300$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 22 | 18.2%4 W · 18 L | -2.2wins | -0.10per pick | 28cpaid | -59.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9ff…d3bfbacked Yes | 7c | 285.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 51 | 17.6%9 W · 42 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 14cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe16f…655cbacked Yes | 38c | 263.16$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 23 | 13%3 W · 20 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 17cpaid | -39.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71b1…ac2cbacked Yes | 6c | 250$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.75 | 74 | 24.3%18 W · 56 L | +4.5wins | +0.06per pick | 18cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6a62…4f8dbacked Yes | 7c | 244.14$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.09 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 17cpaid | -49.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a1b…4eddbacked Yes | 9c | 232.96$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 20cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x029d…8d3dbacked Yes | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1dd…a272backed No | 56c | 203.48$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.6 | 117 | 26.5%31 W · 86 L | -10.1wins | -0.09per pick | 35cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd51b…9606backed Yes | 26c | 200$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e93…0d5fbacked Yes | 28c | 178.57$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe52d…3728backed Yes | 24c | 170$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.8 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +2.7wins | +0.12per pick | 42cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Bitcoin reach $72,000 February 23-March 1?this page
- Will Bitcoin dip to $52,000 February 23-March 1?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $54,000 February 23-March 1?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $56,000 February 23-March 1?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $58,000 February 23-March 1?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 February 23-March 1?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $62,000 February 23-March 1?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $68,000 February 23-March 1?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 February 23-March 1?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $74,000 February 23-March 1?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $76,000 February 23-March 1?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $78,000 February 23-March 1?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 February 23-March 1?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.