TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x79b9…7d93

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
167
Categories scored
15
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: NBA, grading 61 out of 100 (+0.10 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 61 out of 100; worst Dota2 at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Weather Inactivelast resolved Mar 25, 2026, EDT8431%26 W · 58 L+0.3wins0.00per pick31cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Weather — the 84 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 17°C or higher on March 25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.4
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 12°C on March 25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.56
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 28°C on March 25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+135.1%+$31.95
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 21°C on March 24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.1
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 50-51°F on March 24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.1
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 12°C on March 24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.48
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 3°C on March 24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.9
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 2°C on March 24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.15
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 16°C on March 24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+100%+$24.5
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 14°C on March 24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.98
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 17°C on March 24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.42
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 50-51°F on March 23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+201.8%+$107.57
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 2°C on March 23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$35.38
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 3°C on March 23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$43.47
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 5°C or higher on March 23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.94
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 17°C on March 23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$79Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$78.97
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 16°C on March 23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+138.5%+$96.73
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 26°C on March 23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+373.4%+$109.72
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 27°C on March 23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.99
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on March 23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.23
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on March 23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+109%+$53.19
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 16°C or higher on March 23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.32
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 21°C on March 23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.18
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 19°C on March 23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+1,575.4%+$190.88
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 20°C on March 23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.99
Showing 25 of 84 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Mar 23, 2026, EDT3281.3%26 W · 6 L+5.5wins+0.17per pick64cpaid+31.7%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
NBA — the 32 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Timberwolves vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Nets vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$45.73
Trail Blazers vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$148Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$44.23
Clippers vs. Mavericksbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+37%+$36.48
Bucks vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
76ers vs. Jazzbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$17.57
Lakers vs. Magicbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$370Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+114.5%+$423.67
Warriors vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$411Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+63.4%+$260.08
Lakers vs. Heatbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$149Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+266.7%+$397.01
Suns vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$6.65
Nuggets vs. Grizzliesbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Pacers vs. Knicksbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.09
Thunder vs. Magicbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$7.97
Spurs vs. Clippersbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$5.32
Lakers vs. Rocketsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$125Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+145.5%+$181.82
Grizzlies vs. Bullsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$8.57
Mavericks vs. Pelicansbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$7.03
Suns vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$5.64
Warriors vs. Wizardsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$5.27
Trail Blazers vs. Netsbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+25%+$3.75
Timberwolves vs. Warriorsbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+47.6%+$237.81
Nuggets vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$650Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$649.6
Hornets vs. Trail Blazersbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Celtics vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$106.53
Mavericks vs. Hawksbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$59.74
Showing 25 of 32 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Mar 9, 2026, EDT1618.8%3 W · 13 L-1.0wins-0.06per pick25cpaid-63.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Tweets — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$210Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$209.9
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$315Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$314.58
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$167Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$167.01
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$100.81
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$101.03
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from March 5 to March 7, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$298Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+28.8%+$85.87
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$26.26
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$38.41
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$35.78
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$92Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$91.97
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$146Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$145.56
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$160.47
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$412Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+140.6%+$579.27
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$147Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$146.54
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from February 28 to March 2, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$40.02
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from February 28 to March 2, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST+117.4%+$23.22
All 16 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 21, 2026, EDT837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-29.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Mar 29, 2026, EDT616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.10per pick26cpaid-77.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Apr 24, 2026, EDT580%4 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.24per pick56cpaid+33.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Middle East — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Feb 28, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick71cpaid-12.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Commodities — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 10, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Movies Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Movies — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Mar 11, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.15per pick65cpaid-10.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Predators vs. Krakenbacked Kraken · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$400
Islanders vs. Sharksbacked Islanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$96Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+78.7%+$75.77
All 2 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Feb 28, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-02-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+69.5%+$16.4
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Mar 10, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
BNP Paribas Open: Marta Kostyuk vs Elena Rybakinabacked Elena Rybakina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$56.43
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Mar 9, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Oviedo win on 2026-03-09?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+25%+$50
All 1 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 10, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.65per pick65cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Team Yandex (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stagebacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$190Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$190
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.