Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 14°C on March 24?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x88fe6ea3b427014bf03fecc285bebbb9c76fd946ee4039fa20d33e1649c1589b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $73,500
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $73,500 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 171 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1f66…4c8dbacked Yes | 15c | 5,297$770 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$769.61 | 2,267 | 18%407 W · 1,860 L | -9.5wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes | 43c | 2,844$1,210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,210.42 | 6,787 | 39.1%2,654 W · 4,133 L | +256.4wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x044f…d1f1backed Yes | 5c | 2,683$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.74 | 8,162 | 49.4%4,035 W · 4,127 L | +269.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f6a…6c81backed Yes | 1c | 2,196$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.94 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57ee…8112backed Yes | 4c | 2,018$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.4 | 1,727 | 18%311 W · 1,416 L | +74.3wins | +0.04per pick | 14cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb84…4fbcbacked Yes | 14c | 1,471$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.48 | 110 | 25.5%28 W · 82 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc09…88edbacked Yes | 19c | 1,240$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.62 | 566 | 27.7%157 W · 409 L | +17.8wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed Yes | 7c | 1,228$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.71 | 605 | 23.3%141 W · 464 L | -21.1wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffb…119dbacked Yes | 13c | 866.2$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.03 | 430 | 21.9%94 W · 336 L | +22.0wins | +0.05per pick | 17cpaid | +34.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x43b1…aba6backed Yes | 34c | 745.01$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.92 | 774 | 28.6%221 W · 553 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf40…38b8backed No | 73c | 645.38$468 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.3 | 583 | 49.4%288 W · 295 L | +13.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80bd…a8cdbacked Yes | 27c | 625.46$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.66 | 168 | 40.5%68 W · 100 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9868…907ebacked Yes | 11c | 503.58$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.66 | 346 | 18.8%65 W · 281 L | +15.2wins | +0.04per pick | 14cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1838…29b4backed Yes | 6c | 457.91$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.19 | 963 | 13.7%132 W · 831 L | +33.9wins | +0.04per pick | 10cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7cc8…2389backed Yes | 24c | 414.2$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 171 | 56.7%97 W · 74 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf112…d9e1backed Yes | 47c | 403$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.74 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.23per pick | 52cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8bac…cf49backed Yes | 27c | 398.35$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.5 | 1,089 | 29.7%323 W · 766 L | +36.6wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 71c | 389.31$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.65 | 3,175 | 62.7%1,992 W · 1,183 L | +12.6wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe752…2200backed Yes | 23c | 350$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 1,204 | 25.3%305 W · 899 L | +18.2wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f34…2f50backed No | 67c | 349.94$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.82 | 4,120 | 60.8%2,506 W · 1,614 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc229…dbeabacked Yes | 38c | 303.44$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0cf…baa4backed Yes | 34c | 300$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.24 | 42 | 28.6%12 W · 30 L | -3.8wins | -0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3487…11f5backed Yes | 39c | 274.02$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.43 | 96 | 53.1%51 W · 45 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe196…0ab5backed Yes | 15c | 269.64$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.75 | 268 | 34%91 W · 177 L | +4.8wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6dce…4490backed Yes | 43c | 260$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.1 | 1,285 | 19.5%250 W · 1,035 L | +44.3wins | +0.03per pick | 16cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefae…3acebacked Yes | 25c | 252.43$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.82 | 268 | 27.2%73 W · 195 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb72…f5f9backed Yes | 24c | 232.39$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.74 | 304 | 28%85 W · 219 L | +14.9wins | +0.05per pick | 23cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1361…f12bbacked Yes | 33c | 231.54$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.84 | 1,924 | 33.8%651 W · 1,273 L | +29.2wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45b2…cbc1backed Yes | 12c | 229$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.48 | 621 | 9.8%61 W · 560 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed Yes | 28c | 220.28$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.61 | 7,481 | 37.5%2,808 W · 4,673 L | +97.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91f2…e2d7backed Yes | 23c | 218$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.02 | 165 | 48.5%80 W · 85 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ce3…4291backed Yes | 30c | 214.85$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.22 | 2,165 | 23.8%516 W · 1,649 L | +83.8wins | +0.04per pick | 20cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8e7f…7bfbbacked Yes | 33c | 212.49$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 43 | 32.6%14 W · 29 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82f3…9f82backed Yes | 25c | 202.07$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.57 | 1,455 | 24.7%359 W · 1,096 L | -33.3wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6316…7488backed Yes | 51c | 200$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 153 | 34%52 W · 101 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked Yes | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2,214 | 20.7%458 W · 1,756 L | -60.8wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe39f…c040backed No | 75c | 194.49$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.62 | 148 | 32.4%48 W · 100 L | +8.4wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x993f…35cbbacked No | 76c | 176.08$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.79 | 1,842 | 63.5%1,170 W · 672 L | -42.5wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3557…ae87backed Yes | 9c | 158.21$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f19…e819backed Yes | 13c | 154.14$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 529 | 35.7%189 W · 340 L | +26.7wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | +24%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1408…b4f8backed No | 63c | 152.45$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.93 | 1,605 | 42.9%689 W · 916 L | -86.9wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xac5e…87d1backed Yes | 36c | 150.47$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.74 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe5a1…3840backed Yes | 26c | 150$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.88 | 1,153 | 27.1%312 W · 841 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd721…57a7backed Yes | 13c | 143.86$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.15 | 451 | 27.1%122 W · 329 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f21…b376backed Yes | 21c | 138.23$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.62 | 17,355 | 19.9%3,460 W · 13,895 L | +396.7wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77f0…2b1fbacked No | 71c | 136.79$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.13 | 3,028 | 49.8%1,509 W · 1,519 L | +16.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2ed…844ebacked Yes | 31c | 128.42$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 60 | 33.3%20 W · 40 L | -4.0wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7908…4f35backed Yes | 27c | 127.32$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.38 | 33 | 9.1%3 W · 30 L | -2.9wins | -0.09per pick | 18cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe8a0…4e39backed Yes | 40c | 123.67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +3.3wins | +0.22per pick | 51cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9bda…439fbacked Yes | 41c | 121.9$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 594 | 40.6%241 W · 353 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49d7…1635backed Yes | 36c | 120.84$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.45 | 54 | 53.7%29 W · 25 L | +3.7wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee6…0987backed Yes | 24c | 120$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.8 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 22c | 119.89$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.19 | 7,148 | 9.3%666 W · 6,482 L | -1,105.8wins | -0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -75.9%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x8781…88c0backed Yes | 54c | 118.91$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.81 | 325 | 48.6%158 W · 167 L | +11.8wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3742…0b59backed No | 71c | 116.04$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.97 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.38per pick | 71cpaid | -52.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x883a…f76bbacked No | 68c | 110.29$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.29 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | -6.1wins | -0.13per pick | 58cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5c38…f194backed No | 35c | 109.99$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.74 | 2,517 | 47.2%1,188 W · 1,329 L | +52.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3024…8ecebacked Yes | 49c | 104.32$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.19 | 172 | 37.2%64 W · 108 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8350…8efebacked Yes | 41c | 100.36$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.6 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1,322 | 32.2%426 W · 896 L | -43.7wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbebb…28b8backed Yes | 44c | 100$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.26 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -40.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x865d…47aabacked Yes | 18c | 100$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 164 | 32.9%54 W · 110 L | +12.7wins | +0.08per pick | 25cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x983a…ca05backed Yes | 45c | 100$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.5 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -2.5wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x354d…eb8fbacked Yes | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 701 | 33.5%235 W · 466 L | +13.4wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9450…685abacked Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 75 | 21.3%16 W · 59 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 20cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fe8…1fd3backed Yes | 25c | 99.99$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 349 | 18.9%66 W · 283 L | +18.7wins | +0.05per pick | 14cpaid | +40.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5f7d…2c4bbacked No | 59c | 99.99$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x74e0…af4bbacked Yes | 76c | 99.98$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.49 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x094a…1274backed Yes | 26c | 95.63$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 77 | 28.6%22 W · 55 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ee…37a2backed Yes | 31c | 93.22$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.51 | 1,592 | 30.8%491 W · 1,101 L | -6.4wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3681…4e48backed No | 71c | 90.36$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.06 | 1,375 | 56%770 W · 605 L | +25.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98d1…019abacked Yes | 33c | 89.75$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.9 | 255 | 36.9%94 W · 161 L | +17.3wins | +0.07per pick | 30cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc9cb…015fbacked Yes | 22c | 89.08$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.74 | 200 | 27.5%55 W · 145 L | +10.7wins | +0.05per pick | 22cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4c7e…35e7backed Yes | 29c | 86.85$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +2.1wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xabbd…d4bcbacked Yes | 21c | 84$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.64 | 130 | 10.8%14 W · 116 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 10cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85bd…7f75backed Yes | 24c | 83.68$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 253 | 62.8%159 W · 94 L | +16.0wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc219…04fabacked No | 47c | 82.73$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.45 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.27per pick | 53cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xae7a…b4f6backed Yes | 18c | 78.42$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79b9…7d93backed Yes | 26c | 78.09$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.98 | 84 | 31%26 W · 58 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84cb…4b77backed No | 70c | 78$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.32 | 318 | 68.6%218 W · 100 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89b4…55bcbacked Yes | 20c | 78$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.98 | 930 | 34%316 W · 614 L | +53.0wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e7…8a71backed Yes | 31c | 75.93$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.63 | 123 | 29.3%36 W · 87 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5264…9a63backed Yes | 17c | 70.59$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 740 | 23.9%177 W · 563 L | +23.6wins | +0.03per pick | 21cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36aa…a683backed Yes | 22c | 69.71$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 45 | 20%9 W · 36 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked Yes | 23c | 69.19$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.14 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64a4…c103backed Yes | 24c | 68.63$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 110 | 38.2%42 W · 68 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac16…4f44backed Yes | 31c | 68.17$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.13 | 230 | 35.7%82 W · 148 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa498…727bbacked Yes | 29c | 67.42$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.63 | 97 | 28.9%28 W · 69 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2205…8089backed No | 77c | 66.67$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.52 | 290 | 56.2%163 W · 127 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca5…32bebacked Yes | 30c | 66.13$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 58 | 41.4%24 W · 34 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb581…0308backed No | 68c | 66$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.9 | 358 | 43.9%157 W · 201 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x919d…d88cbacked Yes | 31c | 65.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 145 | 44.8%65 W · 80 L | +5.7wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbff7…554fbacked Yes | 45c | 64.85$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.21 | 1,026 | 60.8%624 W · 402 L | +11.0wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98d9…2c8cbacked No | 70c | 64.27$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.49 | 576 | 59%340 W · 236 L | -17.2wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c69…4622backed No | 64c | 64.27$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.15 | 562 | 65.5%368 W · 194 L | +35.2wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf2de…ff4fbacked No | 63c | 63.8$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.81 | 64 | 60.9%39 W · 25 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x270b…9b20backed Yes | 37c | 62.48$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.16 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47af…3999backed No | 65c | 61.96$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.69 | 326 | 52.1%170 W · 156 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b29…623bbacked No | 70c | 61.71$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.81 | 268 | 28.7%77 W · 191 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a3a…fc88backed Yes | 33c | 61.52$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 36 | 33.3%12 W · 24 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 14°C on March 24?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 10°C on March 24?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 11°C on March 24?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 12°C on March 24?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 13°C on March 24?Yes won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 15°C or higher on March 24?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 9°C on March 24?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.